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Brandon Aiyuk - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsBrandon Aiyuk's Basic Stats

Brandon Aiyuk
ADP: 9.5
Bye: 9
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24.3
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 200
40 Time: 4.50
Speed Score: 98.60
Burst Score (Rank): 132.00 (92%)

Brandon Aiyuk's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#63 Wide Receiver

110.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
9.5 58.6 797 4.7 2 0.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsBrandon Aiyuk's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:
  • After a rough training camp, Aiyuk opened the 2021 season in a part-time role. He played just 47% and 54% of the 49ers’ offensive snaps in the first 2 games. He totaled only 9 catches on 16 targets for 96 yards and 1 TD over the first 6 games. Aiyuk sat 93rd among WRs in PPR points at that point.
  • Aiyuk’s playing time and production spiked the rest of the way.
    • He played 88+% of San Francisco’s offensive snaps in each of the final 11 games.
    • Aiyuk saw 68 targets over that stretch – 6.2 per game and 21.1% of the team total.
    • He totaled 47 catches for 730 yards and 4 TDs, ranking 16th among WRs in PPR points and 13th in non-PPR.
    • Aiyuk continued to play a full-time role in the playoffs, although he managed just 9 catches for 135 scoreless yards across 3 games.
  • As a rookie in 2020, Aiyuk posted a 60-748-5 line across 12 games. He missed 2 games with injury and 2 on the COVID list. But, from Week 7 on, he ranked 28th among WRs in fantasy points per game.
  • Aiyuk actually took a step back in Pro Football Focus receiving grade and yards per route run from 2020 to 2021. Among 89 WRs with 50+ targets last year, he ranked 28th in PFF receiving grade and 40th in yards per route run.
  • HC Kyle Shanahan returns in 2022 for his 6th season with the 49ers.
  • WR Deebo Samuel and TE George Kittle also return. They combined for 215 targets (41.8% share) last year.
    • Samuel hogged 31.0% of San Francisco’s targets over his first 8 games. He moved into a hybrid WR/RB role over his last 8 games and saw just 17.9% of the targets. We’re expecting him to play something closer to the role he played over those first 8 games in 2022.
  • QB Trey Lance is slated to take over as the 49ers’ starter this season.
    • He started just 1 full season at North Dakota State.
    • In 2 starts in place of QB Jimmy Garoppolo last year, Lance totaled 441 yards and 2 TDs on a 59.6% completion rate and 8.5 yards per attempt.
  • The 49ers have ranked 20th or lower in pass attempts in 3 of the last 4 seasons, including a 29th-place finish last year. They ranked 30th in situation-neutral pass rate last year. Expect this to remain a run-heavy offense with Lance at the helm.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Aiyuk got off to a slow start last season but ranked 16th among WRs in PPR points and 13th in non-PPR over his final 11 games.

The concerns heading into 2022 are a likely run-heavy offense under QB Trey Lance and stiff target competition in WR Deebo Samuel and TE George Kittle. It has Aiyuk looking like no better than a WR3 in fantasy drafts.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Jimmy Garoppolo, QB SF

7:26pm EST 12/27/21

Garoppolo has torn UCL and fracture in right thumb

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo has a torn UCL along with a fracture in his right thumb. NFL Network's Ian Rapoport calls the latter injury a "chipped bone" and adds that Garoppolo is "going to try to gut it out, somehow" vs. the Texans on Sunday. We'll see how this week goes, but for now, we're expecting QB Trey Lance to get the Week 17 start. Lance's rushing ability gives him fantasy upside -- but he'd be a downgrade for Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle.

View all Jimmy Garoppolo Shark Bites »

49ers WR Deebo Samuel (groin) is out for Sunday's game vs. the Seahawks. He's expected to miss 1-2 weeks, so we'll see if he can make it back for next weekend's game in Cincinnati. WR Brandon Aiyuk and TE George Kittle should dominate Niners targets with Samuel out.

View all Deebo Samuel Shark Bites »

HC Kyle Shanahan said the 49ers expect WR Deebo Samuel to miss 1-2 weeks with the groin strain he suffered in Sunday's win over the vikings, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. That leaves Brandon Aiyuk to lead the WR corps for the next game or 2, with Jauan Jennings and Trent Sherfield likely to each see more time. Samuel's absence can only help George Kittle's target outlook as well.

View all Deebo Samuel Shark Bites »

The forecast for tonight's Colts-49ers game calls for a 100% chance of rain with winds of 20-30 mph. That's ugly -- and certainly enough to impact the passing and kicking games. We'd try to avoid both of these passing games outside of 49ers WR Deebo Samuel and Colts WR Michael Pittman. You should also stay away from both Ks.

View all Carson Wentz Shark Bites »

Addressing 49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk's usage in the opener, insider Matt Maiocco wrote that Aiyuk "tailed off dramatically" in training camp and is "still learning how to be a pro." If that's the case, it went completely unreported. "Kyle Shanahan, clearly, favors some of the other WRs right now," Maiocco added. Aiyuk ended up finishing 2nd among 49ers WRs with 15 pass routes in Week 1 -- but that was just 1 more than Trent Sherfield and 4 more than Mohamed Sanu. Easily a top 2 talent on the roster, Aiyuk should eventually return to a full-time role. But he can't be trusted in fantasy lineups until we see it happen.

View all Brandon Aiyuk Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Brandon Aiyuk, WR SF
Dynasty MVP 107.2
Position Rank #42 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
347
570
918
Dynasty Write-up
It's bothersome that Aiyuk managed to draw 12 fewer targets in Year 2 vs. his rookie campaign, despite playing 5 more games. He did overcome a sluggish start to finish much stronger, which should mean a better beginning in 2022. Whether Trey Lance delivers on the promise that got him picked 3rd overall and just how much the 49ers let him throw will go a long way toward deciding how high Aiyuk's ceiling rises.

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