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Brandon Aiyuk - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Brandon Aiyuk
SF

WR SF

#35 Wide Receiver

132 Projected Points

ADP: 6.9
Bye: 6
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 205
40 Time: Not Available

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#35 Wide Receiver

132 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
6.9 70 907 6 2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Med Floor

113.5

DS Projection

132

Consensus

38 other sites
95.2

High Ceiling

175.6

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Aiyuk missed 4 games as a rookie last year: Week 1 after injuring his hamstring in late August, Weeks 9 and 12 on the COVID list and Week 17 with a high-ankle sprain.
  • He was excellent in the other 12.
    • Aiyuk played 71+% of San Francisco’s offensive snaps in all 12 of those games, including 85+% in 9 of them.
    • He averaged 5 targets, 2.8 catches, 33 yards and .2 TDs over his first 5 games.
    • But then he exploded for 10.1 targets, 6.6 catches, 83.3 yards and .6 TDs over his final 7. Only 7 WRs averaged more fantasy points per game over that stretch.
  • Among 84 WRs with 50+ targets last season, Aiyuk ranked 42nd in yards per route run and 20th in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades. He ranked 5th and 2nd in those metrics among 12 qualifying rookies.
  • Aiyuk was used primarily as a short-range, run-after-catch receiver. His 9.9-yard average depth of target ranked 50th among 77th qualifying WRs. But his 4.8 yards-after-catch average was 25th best.
  • Aiyuk certainly benefited from injuries to WR Deebo Samuel and TE George Kittle. Samuel missed 9 games and was limited in 2 others last year. Kittle missed 8 games.
  • Aiyuk, Samuel and Kittle were only healthy together for 3 games last season. Targets in those 3 games:
    • Kittle - 25
    • Samuel - 19
    • Aiyuk - 16
  • In 4 healthy games together, Samuel out-targeted Aiyuk 28 to 25.
  • Samuel beat Aiyuk in yards per route run and PFF receiving grade last year.
  • Here’s where the 49ers have ranked in pass rate and pass attempts in 4 seasons under HC Kyle Shanahan:
    • 2017 - 7th and 2nd
    • 2018 - 20th and 20th
    • 2019 - 31st and 29th
    • 2020 - 17th and 16th
  • Rookie QB Trey Lance -- the 3rd overall pick of the draft -- figures to take over as San Francisco’s starter at some point this season. Considering his inexperience and high-end rushing ability, the 49ers figure to lean even more toward the run with Lance under center.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Aiyuk turned in a promising rookie season and is a candidate to take a step forward in 2021.

But we’re worried about his volume. He benefited from WR Deebo Samuel and TE George Kittle missing a bunch of games last year. Both guys actually out-targeted Aiyuk when they were healthy. The 49ers also figure to be a run-leaning offense, especially once rookie QB Trey Lance takes over.

Aiyuk looks like just a WR3 who will likely be overvalued in your fantasy drafts.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk suffered a high-ankle sprain in Saturday's win over the Cardinals and will miss the finale vs. the Seahawks. It ends an impressive rookie campaign that saw Aiyuk average 6.6 catches, 83 yards and .6 TDs over his final 7 games. Kendrick Bourne and Richie James will close out the season as San Francisco's top 2 WRs.

View all Brandon Aiyuk Shark Bites »

49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk has been activated from the COVID list. That puts him in line to return for Monday night's game against the Bills. San Francisco has had Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel together for only 4 games this season. Samuel has out-targeted Aiyuk 22 to 21 in those contests.

View all Brandon Aiyuk Shark Bites »

49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk (COVID) is out for today’s game against the Rams. Deebo Samuel, Richie James and Kendrick Bourne should operate as San Francisco’s top 3 WRs.

View all Brandon Aiyuk Shark Bites »

As of Friday evening, 49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk remains on the COVID list. HC Kyle Shananah said he hasn't heard any updates on Aiyuk's chances of getting cleared in time for Sunday's game against the Rams. San Francisco promoted WR Jordan Matthews from the practice squad, so the team is obviously preparing to be without Aiyuk. He should be on fantasy benches for now.

View all Brandon Aiyuk Shark Bites »

49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk has been placed back on the COVID list. San Francisco has a Week 11 bye, but we'll see if the rookie is cleared in time for next week's game vs. the Rams.

View all Brandon Aiyuk Shark Bites »

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