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Chase Claypool - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsChase Claypool's Basic Stats

Chase Claypool
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24.3
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 238
40 Time: 4.42
Speed Score: 129.80
Burst Score (Rank): 131.90 (92%)

Chase Claypool's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.5 30.7 0.2 4.3
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.5 43.3 0.4 7.1

Chase Claypool's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#50 Wide Receiver

113.4 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 52.4 757.4 5 1.9 0.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsChase Claypool's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Claypool tied for 40th in average depth of target last year among 103 WRs with 40+ targets, according to Pro Football Focus. That number was down a little from his rookie year.
  • Claypool trailed Diontae Johnson by 10 percentage points in target share last season, ranking just 51st in that category. (Johnson finished 6th.)
  • The divide was much narrower on intended air yards. According to NFL Next Gen Stats, Johnson led the team at 32.4% of targeted air yards, with Claypool at 27.2%.
  • Claypool has beaten his expected yards after catch per reception by more than 1.0 in each of his 2 campaigns. He has ranked 7th and 21st in that category (among 132 and 127 qualifiers, respectively).
  • Much was made of Claypool’s maturity issues last December, and they may have affected his playing time. After 5 straight games of 81% snap share or more (surrounding an inactive Week 10), Claypool played 63%, 59% and 63% in consecutive outings – the middle being his infamous Thursday night in Minnesota. But Claypool then played 82%, 88% and 91% to close out the year.
  • This 90-second clip from a December HC Mike Tomlin press conference acknowledges that Claypool still had some maturing to do and that it “can’t happen fast enough for him, and it can’t happen fast enough for us.” But Tomlin also called Claypool a “willing participant” in pushing that growth. The clip is worth watching to get the coach’s outlook on the young wideout.
  • Pittsburgh drafted WRs George Pickens in Round 2 and Calvin Austin in Round 4. Pickens, in particular, has been viewed by many as the heir to Claypool.
  • Counting 2022, Claypool still has 2 years left on his rookie contract.
  • Claypool has ranked 33rd and 47th in PPR points per game in 2 seasons; 26th and 46th in half-PPR points per game.
  • According to Pro Football Focus, Ben Roethlisberger generated the 2 shortest ADOTs of his career the past 2 years: 7.6 and 7.1. The latter ranked 2nd shortest among all QBs with at least 200 dropbacks.
  • Mitchell Trubisky’s ADOTs through 4 Chicago seasons: 8.1, 9.4, 8.3, 8.4.
  • Kenny Pickett’s ADOTs in 5 college seasons: 10.8, 9.4, 8.2, 9.4, 9.7.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

The QB change should be particularly good for Claypool, who has generated his production by earning targets downfield and creating yards after the catch – rather than by winning on target volume. George Pickens could challenge the target distribution but will 1st need to prove he’s ready for a significant role. The departures of James Washington, Ray-Ray McCloud and JuJu Smith-Schuster also leave behind more than 20% target share, so Pickens could take on a significant role without even taking away from Claypool. Most importantly, fantasy drafters have started 2022 apprehensive about the 3rd-year Steeler. He sits 52nd among WRs in current Underdog drafting and 49th in FFPC best-ball drafting. We already know that Claypool can at least deliver spike weeks and overall upside well beyond that level. And we probably haven’t seen his ceiling yet. Barring negative reports on the 3rd-year wideout this summer, you can bet on Claypool remaining a draft target in our rankings.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Darnell Mooney, WR CHI

9:13pm EST 11/27/22

Mooney "likely" needs season-ending surgery

Bears WR Darnell Mooney "likely" needs season-ending surgery to repair torn ligaments in his ankle, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. If that's the case, Chicago will be without the guy who drew 26.6% of the team's targets over the first 10 games of the season. It'd open up opportunity for WR Chase Claypool and TE Cole Kmet. But this will remain a low-volume passing game, so it's tough to get excited about any of the pass catchers. Even Mooney sat just 45th among WRs in PPR points through Week 11.

View all Darnell Mooney Shark Bites »

Bears QB Justin Fields went off against Miami in Week 9, rushing 15 times for 178 yards and 1 score. Oh, and he added 3 TDs through the air. The ground game was really rolling, though, as Fields’ yardage marked a single-game record for a QB. There simply aren’t many QBs that can move the way he does. And it’s clear that designed runs are becoming a bigger part of the offense. Fields’ passing scores went to Darnell Mooney and Cole Kmet (2). Chase Claypool was a non-factor (2-13) but did garner a 21.4% target share. As Claypool gets up to speed, Fields’ fantasy value only figures to strengthen. He has an excellent 2-game stretch coming up: vs. Detroit and at Atlanta.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

Bears HC Matt Eberflus said Friday that WR Chase Claypool will play against the Dolphins this weekend. He added that it could be anywhere between 10-35 snaps. That's obviously a huge range -- but even 35 snaps would only be a little over half of the game. Claypool isn't a viable Week 9 fantasy play, although he does give QB Justin Fields' passing upside a boost.

View all Chase Claypool Shark Bites »

The Bears are trading a 2nd-round pick to the Steelers in exchange for WR Chase Claypool, ESPN's Field Yates reports. It's a steep price for a guy who's been mostly disappointing since a flashy rookie season. Claypool ranks 52nd among 62 qualifying WRs in Pro Football Focus' 2022 receiving grades. His 1.03 yards per route run ranks 57th -- a bit behind teammates Diontae Johnson (1.16) and George Pickens (1.14). Of course, Claypool is still just 24 and brings a 6'4, 238-pound frame with 99th percentile athleticism. There's still intriguing fantasy upside here. Chicago is obviously a rough landing spot, though. QB Justin Fields has been better lately but remains a question mark as a passer. And this is the league's run-heaviest offense. The Bears rank dead last with just 20.0 pass attempts per game. That's climbed to 22.8 over the last 5 weeks -- but that's still not a workable number for Claypool. Consider him a WR4 unless we get a significant increase in passing volume from Chicago. Claypool's departure from Pittsburgh should mean more targets for Johnson, Pickens and TE Pat Freiermuth.

View all Chase Claypool Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Chase Claypool, WR CHI
Dynasty MVP 104.6
Position Rank #59 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
356
584
781
Dynasty Write-up
Ben Roethlisberger's deteriorating arm strength likely held Claypool's development back in 2021, but the wideout's apparent lack of maturity has a chance to get in the way as well. If Kenny Pickett or Mitchell Trubisky works out at QB, however, there's plenty of talent to give Claypool enticing upside.
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