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Chase Claypool - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsChase Claypool's Basic Stats

Chase Claypool
ADP: 9.8
Bye: 9
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23.9
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 238
40 Time: 4.42
Speed Score: 129.80
Burst Score (Rank): 131.90 (92%)

Chase Claypool's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#46 Wide Receiver

120 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
9.8 56.4 817.4 5.1 2 0.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsChase Claypool's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Claypool tied for 40th in average depth of target last year among 103 WRs with 40+ targets, according to Pro Football Focus. That number was down a little from his rookie year.
  • Claypool trailed Diontae Johnson by 10 percentage points in target share last season, ranking just 51st in that category. (Johnson finished 6th.)
  • The divide was much narrower on intended air yards. According to NFL Next Gen Stats, Johnson led the team at 32.4% of targeted air yards, with Claypool at 27.2%.
  • Claypool has beaten his expected yards after catch per reception by more than 1.0 in each of his 2 campaigns. He has ranked 7th and 21st in that category (among 132 and 127 qualifiers, respectively).
  • Much was made of Claypool’s maturity issues last December, and they may have affected his playing time. After 5 straight games of 81% snap share or more (surrounding an inactive Week 10), Claypool played 63%, 59% and 63% in consecutive outings – the middle being his infamous Thursday night in Minnesota. But Claypool then played 82%, 88% and 91% to close out the year.
  • This 90-second clip from a December HC Mike Tomlin press conference acknowledges that Claypool still had some maturing to do and that it “can’t happen fast enough for him, and it can’t happen fast enough for us.” But Tomlin also called Claypool a “willing participant” in pushing that growth. The clip is worth watching to get the coach’s outlook on the young wideout.
  • Pittsburgh drafted WRs George Pickens in Round 2 and Calvin Austin in Round 4. Pickens, in particular, has been viewed by many as the heir to Claypool.
  • Counting 2022, Claypool still has 2 years left on his rookie contract.
  • Claypool has ranked 33rd and 47th in PPR points per game in 2 seasons; 26th and 46th in half-PPR points per game.
  • According to Pro Football Focus, Ben Roethlisberger generated the 2 shortest ADOTs of his career the past 2 years: 7.6 and 7.1. The latter ranked 2nd shortest among all QBs with at least 200 dropbacks.
  • Mitchell Trubisky’s ADOTs through 4 Chicago seasons: 8.1, 9.4, 8.3, 8.4.
  • Kenny Pickett’s ADOTs in 5 college seasons: 10.8, 9.4, 8.2, 9.4, 9.7.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

The QB change should be particularly good for Claypool, who has generated his production by earning targets downfield and creating yards after the catch – rather than by winning on target volume. George Pickens could challenge the target distribution but will 1st need to prove he’s ready for a significant role. The departures of James Washington, Ray-Ray McCloud and JuJu Smith-Schuster also leave behind more than 20% target share, so Pickens could take on a significant role without even taking away from Claypool. Most importantly, fantasy drafters have started 2022 apprehensive about the 3rd-year Steeler. He sits 52nd among WRs in current Underdog drafting and 49th in FFPC best-ball drafting. We already know that Claypool can at least deliver spike weeks and overall upside well beyond that level. And we probably haven’t seen his ceiling yet. Barring negative reports on the 3rd-year wideout this summer, you can bet on Claypool remaining a draft target in our rankings.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

George Pickens, WR PIT

8:46pm EDT 4/29/22

Pickens goes to Pittsburgh

The Steelers added Georgia WR George Pickens with the 52nd overall pick of the 2022 NFL Draft. Pickens was a 5-star recruit and a top-5 WR in the 2019 class. He immediately delivered on that hype, leading the Bulldogs in catches (49), yards (727) and TDs (8) as a true freshman. He ranked 17th in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades among 290 WRs with 50+ targets – 2 spots ahead of Jerry Jeudy and 3 spots ahead of Justin Jefferson. Pickens improved his per-game numbers a tad in 2020, averaging 4.5 catches, 64.1 yards and .75 TDs across 8 games. But his PFF receiving grade took a significant step back, landing 75th among 146 qualifying WRs. Pickens’ 2021 was then basically wiped out by a torn right ACL suffered in March of that year. He made it back for the final 4 games of the season but totaled just 4 catches. That freshman year is enticing, though, and Pickens pops on tape. He has long-striding speed, a big catch radius and is physical after the catch. The 6’3, 195-pounder earned a 94th percentile Relative Athletic Score at the Combine. Pickens’ limited college resume leaves him as a risky prospect. But he has the upside to develop into a #1 WR in the NFL. Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool are locked in as Pittsburgh’s top 2 WRs in the short term, but Pickens has a good shot to win the #3 WR job this summer. Longer term, Johnson is is the final year of his contract and Claypool is set to hit free agency in 2024.

View all George Pickens Shark Bites »

The Steelers placed WR Diontae Johnson on the COVID list Thursday, which should knock him out for Sunday's regular-season finale at Baltimore. Johnson's absence leaves Chase Claypool, James Washington and Ray-Ray McCloud as Pittsburgh's top 3 WRs for a high-ceiling matchup with the bad Ravens pass D. All 3 will be worth a look in fantasy football lineups at varying levels.

View all Diontae Johnson Shark Bites »

Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger has been activated from the COVID list. He'll fly separate from the rest of the team to Los Angeles but is expected to start Sunday night's game vs. the Chargers. Roethlisberger is just a low-end QB2 against the league's 3rd-ranked QB defense. But his return is good news for Pittsburgh's skill-position guys after QB Mason Rudolph's Week 10 flop.

View all Ben Roethlisberger Shark Bites »

Steelers WR Chase Claypool (toe) is not listed on the final injury report after putting in a full practice on Friday. That suggests that he’ll be at least close to 100% for Sunday night’s game vs. the Chargers. Los Angeles ranks 2nd in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs, and Claypool might be catching passes from QB Mason Rudolph. It leaves him as just a WR3 for Week 11.

View all Chase Claypool Shark Bites »

Steelers WR Chase Claypool (toe) was limited on Thursday for the 2nd straight practice. It remains unclear whether he'll be ready for return for Sunday night's game vs. the Chargers. Check back tomorrow for another update.

View all Chase Claypool Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Chase Claypool, WR PIT
Dynasty MVP 107.3
Position Rank #41 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
377
618
725
Dynasty Write-up
Ben Roethlisberger's deteriorating arm strength likely held Claypool's development back in 2021, but the wideout's apparent lack of maturity has a chance to get in the way as well. If Kenny Pickett or Mitchell Trubisky works out at QB, however, there's plenty of talent to give Claypool enticing upside.
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