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Christian Kirk - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsChristian Kirk's Basic Stats

Christian Kirk
ADP: N/A
Bye: 11
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26.2
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 200
40 Time: 4.47
Speed Score: 96.60
SPARQx (Rank): 111.00 (70%)
Burst Score (Rank): 117.90 (32%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.54 (17%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.82 (15%)

Christian Kirk's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Christian Kirk's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#16 Wide Receiver

157.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 72.7 986.7 9.7 2.5 0.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsChristian Kirk's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • 2021, Kirk’s final year in Arizona, turned up 5 TDs and career highs in catches (77) and yards (984).
  • Kirk posted 2 WR1 lines; 4 inside WR2 range.
  • He played a full slate of games for the first time in his career.
  • Playing mostly out of the slot, Kirk caught a career-high 74.7% of his targets alongside Kyler Murray.
  • Among 33 WRs with 100+ targets, Kirk ranked a mid-pack 20th in yards per route run.
  • The Jags signed Kirk to a massive 4-year, $72 million deal with $37 million guaranteed.
  • He immediately projects as the team’s top target ahead of Marvin Jones and fellow free agent adds Zay Jones and Evan Engram.
  • QB Trevor Lawrence praised Kirk in OTAs, calling him “quarterback friendly” while singling out his speed and football IQ.
  • The Jags swapped out failed HC Urban Meyer for former SB champ Doug Pederson. It’s an upgrade — potentially a huge one — for this offense.
  • In 5 years as Eagles HC, Pederson’s units ranked 10th, 8th, 7th, 13th and 6th in pass attempts. Mix in a suspect defense, and volume figures to be there for Kirk in ’22.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Kirk, only 26 in November, landed one of the most shocking free agent deals in recent memory.

He’s a starting-caliber WR, but to date, he hasn’t proven to be anywhere near elite. Yet the money he’s earning says the Jags see that type of potential. If he can run with the opportunity, 120+ targets are certainly possible in what should be a much-improved offense.

At a 10th round price tag, Kirk makes plenty of sense as a WR4 with upside.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Christian Kirk, WR JAC

1:00pm EST 1/22/23

Kirk busy in Divisional Round loss

Jags WR Christian Kirk snagged 7 balls for 52 yards and 1 score in the Divisional Round loss to Kansas City. He tied a season-high (and matched last week’s number) with 14 targets. He nearly cracked 100 yards in this one, but a well-thrown deep ball from Trevor Lawrence bounced off Kirk’s hands. The former Cardinal exited the regular season with 84-1,108-8 on 133 targets, enough to make him WR11 in PPR. He’ll enter year 2 in Jacksonville alongside newly acquired WR Calvin Ridley. We’ll see where their ADPs shake out in early drafting.

View all Christian Kirk Shark Bites »

The Jaguars have no plans to rest starters against the Texans today, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. "It's full steam ahead," a Jaguars official told ESPN. "Everybody's ready and everybody's playing." The AFC South title comes down to next weekend's game vs. the Titans, but the Jaguars do still have about a 6% chance at a Wild Card spot, so today's game isn't meaningless. We're projecting Jaguars players for full playing time.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

Jaguars TE Evan Engram racked up 113 yards on 7 catches in Thursday night's win over the Jets. His team-leading 8 targets constituted 25.8% of QB Trevor Lawrence's total attempts. Engram also accounted for 35% of the team's receptions and 49.3% of the receiving yards. No other Jaguar reached 30 yards on the night or exceeded 3 receptions. WR Christian Kirk caught 3 of 6 targets for 22 yards. WR Zay Jones managed just 1 reception for 14 yards on 4 targets. Jacksonville closes out the fantasy schedule (for most leagues) with a Week 17 visit to Houston. Although that matchup has favored rushing all season, it's not a scary spot for any members of the Jacksonville pass offense. For Engram's sake, the Texans matchup has also been much friendlier to TE scoring (7th best) than to WRs (28th).

View all Evan Engram Shark Bites »

The forecast for tonight’s Jaguars-Jets game calls for light rain early, potentially getting heavier throughout the night. The bigger concern is the wind. We’re looking at sustained 15-20 mph winds with gusts of 30+ mph. It's ugly weather that figures to impact the passing and kicking games — while also possibly pushing both teams to run more than they would in better conditions. We’ve updated our Jaguars and Jets projections for the forecast.

View all Garrett Wilson Shark Bites »

Jaguars WR Zay Jones racked up a monster 6-109-3 receiving line on 8 targets in Sunday's OT win against the Cowboys. It marked the 5th straight game of at least 7 targets for Jones and his 4th time with at least 6 catches in that span. It was just his 2nd 100-yard game of the year, though, and just his 3rd time north of 80 yards. The TDs also more than doubled Jones' season total. TE Evan Engram led the team with 8 receptions and tied WR Christian Kirk for the target lead (10). WR Marvin Jones claimed the team's other TD reception among 2 catches for 17 yards (on 6 targets).

View all Zay Jones Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Christian Kirk, WR JAC
Dynasty MVP 133.8
Position Rank #21 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
448
700
1,121
Dynasty Write-up
Kirk was mocked last offseason after signing a mega free-agent contract. But we’d say he pretty much delivered, topping 75 catches and 1,000 yards alongside breakout QB Trevor Lawrence. Kirk is only 26 years old.

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