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Christian Kirk - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Christian Kirk
ARI

WR ARI

#73 Wide Receiver

82 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 12
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 24
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 201
40 Time: 4.47

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

3.6

DS Projection

6.2

Consensus

38 other sites
6

Med Ceiling

9.3

Rest of
Season

7.3

Week 6 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.3 43.9 0.3 6.2
Weekly Writeup
For the 1st time this season, Kirk was 4th among WRs in pass routes last week. We'll see if that becomes a trend, but Kirk is a thin fantasy play vs. the Browns in Week 6.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.9 53 0.3 7.3
Week 4
Kirk was almost invisible in the Week 4 win over the Rams. He caught a 5-yard pass on Arizona’s 2nd offensive snap … and that was it. No targets the rest of the day. Six Cardinals saw more targets, including WRs DeAndre Hopkins, A.J. Green and Rondale Moore.

The good news is that Kirk was still the #3 WR in terms of playing time. He played 72% of Arizona’s offensive snaps and ran a route on 88% of the pass plays. Those marks were just behind Hopkins and Green but well ahead of Rondale Moore’s 42% and 39%.

This is a loaded Cardinals offense, so there will be more quiet games from Kirk. But this is also an explosive Cardinals offense. So as long as Kirk continues to get this kind of playing time, he’ll have plenty more useful weeks. He gets the 49ers, Browns and Texans the next 3 Sundays, followed by a Thursday-nighter vs. the Packers.
Week 1
The Christian Kirk breakout many have been waiting for might actually be on the cusp of happening. The 4th year WR looked every bit the part of a fantasy contributor. He caught all 5 of his targets for 70 yards and 2 TDs. Both his targets and yards were good for second on the team. If Kirk can keep this kind of volume and production up in an offense many are excited about, Kirk could supply WR3 value this season. He is a player that should be rostered in most leagues. Next up is a non-threatening Vikings pass D.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Kirk totaled 48 catches for 621 yards and 6 TDs in 14 games last year.
  • He finished 58th among WRs in PPR points per game and 50th in non-PPR.
  • His 3.4 catches and 44.4 yards per game were both 3-year lows.
  • Kirk went from 8.3 targets per game in 2019 to 5.6 per game last year. Blame DeAndre Hopkins.
  • Among 87 WRs with 50+ targets last year, Kirk ranked 53rd in yards per target, 76th in yards per route run and 76th in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades. He finished 70th, 60th and 71st in those metrics in 2019.
  • Kirk missed 2 games last year -- 1 with a groin injury and 1 on the COVID list. He missed 3 games with an ankle injury in 2019 and 4 games in 2018 with a broken foot.
  • QB Kyler Murray and HC Kliff Kingsbury are back for year 3 in Arizona.
  • The Cardinals also return Hopkins and added veteran WR A.J. Green and rookie WR Rondale Moore.
  • But, as of early June, the team has not re-signed WR Larry Fitzgerald. The soon-to-be 38-year-old might retire. Fitzgerald averaged a 79% snap rate and 5.5 targets in his 13 games last season.
  • Fitzgerald played 83% of his snaps in the slot last year. Kirk’s slot rates over the last 2 seasons: 36% and 17%.
  • Kirk was more effective in the slot last year, averaging 1.41 yards per route run vs. 1.18 when lined up outside. Back in 2019, though, he averaged 1.40 yards per route run in the slot vs. 1.41 on the outside.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Kirk lost targets to DeAndre Hopkins last year and was inefficient for the 2nd straight season. The result was a WR58 finish in PPR points per game and WR50 in non-PPR.

The target competition might be even tougher in 2021. Hopkins is back; Larry Fitzgerald is gone; but Arizona added A.J. Green and Rondale Moore.

Kirk’s best shot at a bounce-back season might come if Arizona uses him to replace Fitzgerald as the primary slot receiver. We’ll keep an eye on his role in August.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Cardinals released their 1st "unofficial" depth chart of the year Monday, ahead of Friday's preseason opener against the Cowboys. Unsurprisingly, the team lists DeAndre Hopkins, A.J. Green and Christian Kirk as the top 3 receivers. Kirk would have been the only 1 of the 3 in question, with Hopkins an incumbent and Green a veteran arriving on a sizable 1-year free agent deal. Kirk, meanwhile, has missed some practice time with a "minor" (though unspecified) injury, allowing rookie WR Rondale Moore to generate some buzz. We'll see where things go between these 2 the rest of the month. Moore certainly brings the higher ceiling. We'll see if he can push past Kirk before the regular season. Of course, it's also worth noting that these preseason depth charts can sometimes prove meaningless -- especially this early in the process.

View all Christian Kirk Shark Bites »

The Cardinals on Saturday placed WR Christian Kirk on the COVID list. That knocks him out for Sunday's game against the Rams and should leave Larry Fitzgerald and KeeSean Johnson as Arizona's 2nd and 3rd wideouts for the regular-season finale. Andy Isabella might also finally make it off the inactive list. We'll see about Kirk's availability for the playoff opener, if Arizona makes it.

View all Christian Kirk Shark Bites »

Cardinals WR Christian Kirk (groin) is active for today’s game against the Panthers. He was limited in practice all week after missing Week 3, so it’s unclear what kind of shape he’ll be in today. Kirk totaled just 3 catches for 57 scoreless yards in 2 games before the injury, so we’d try to leave him on fantasy benches today.

View all Christian Kirk Shark Bites »

Cardinals WR Christian Kirk (groin) is a game-time decision for Sunday’s game against the Panthers after a limited week of practice. He’d get a volume boost if WR DeAndre Hopkins sits with his ankle injury. But Kirk was struggling before going down and still isn’t at 100%. We’d try not to use him in Week 4 fantasy lineups.

View all Christian Kirk Shark Bites »

Cardinals WR Christian Kirk (groin) put in a limited practice on Wednesday. That gives him a shot to return for this weekend's game vs. the Panthers. Kirk totaled just 3 catches for 57 scoreless yards over the first 2 weeks.

View all Christian Kirk Shark Bites »

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