Clyde Edwards-Helaire - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats

RB KC

#15 Running Back

203 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available

Bye: 12

Experience: 1 Yr(s)

Age: 22

Height: 5'7"

Weight: 207

40 Time: 4.60

Weekly Outlook

Med Floor

6.7

DS Projection

10.3

Consensus

38 other sites
10

Low Ceiling

13.4

Rest of
Season

10.7

Week 14 Projections

Rush Yds	Rush TDs	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TDs	Fantasy Pts
60.9	0.3	2.3	18.1	0.1	10.3

Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds	Rush TDs	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TDs	Fantasy Pts
59	0.3	2.3	18	0.2	10.7

Week 13
Edwards-Helaire had 14 rushes for 54 yards while adding 3 receptions for 28 yards in the Chiefs win over the Broncos on Sunday Night Football.
CEH had 14 carries compared to just 5 for Darrel Williams, but the Chiefs only scored 2 TDs as their offense struggled to move the ball in a low-scoring game.
Edwards-Helaire is getting strong usage in a good offense but has just 2 games with 20+ fantasy points with no more than 3 targets in a game all season.
Edwards-Helaire has an elite matchup in Week 14 against the Raiders, who give up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing RBs.

Week 11
The Chiefs came out running against Dallas. Edwards-Helaire, back after missing 5 games because of a knee injury, gained 6 and 8 yards in the 1st 2 offensive plays. They seemed to be going by the blueprint that Denver used to beat the Cowboys. KC rolled up 69 yards in 7 carries in the 1st quarter, but just 57 yards over the last 3 quarters. CEH did score his 1st rushing TD this season from 1 yard out for a 16-3 lead early in the 2nd quarter. After crossing the goal line, he was penalized for taunting. He finished with 63 yards in 12 carries and caught both targets for 13 yards.
Because QB Patrick Mahomes has been such a prolific passer, there often isn’t room or a need for help on the ground. After a bye week resting his knee, Edwards-Helaire’s best chance to score could be on passes in the red zone; 2 of his 10 catches this season have crossed the goal line and he totaled 36 receptions last season. However, complementary RB Darrel Williams already has caught 32 passes this season.

Week 4
CEH has rebounded from a couple of weak outings for 2 straight 100-yard games. He also scored a receiving TD for the 2nd straight game in Sunday’s win over the Eagles.

If you have Edwards-Helaire on your team, you already know all of that. So let’s get to the downside.

The rushing yards at Philly overshadowed that CEH played a season-low 52% of the snaps. Darrel Williams, meanwhile, played a season-high 36% and carried 10 times vs. Edwards-Helaire’s 14.

The TD “reception” also overshadowed a season-low route rate. CEH ran a route on just 46% of Patrick Mahomes’ dropbacks. And his TD catch was a shovel pass at the goal line -- basically a fancy handoff.

We’ll certainly take any kind of touches near the goal line, but it’s more gadget play than staple.

Edwards-Helaire will never be a “must” sell, because the Kansas City offense vaults his weekly upside. But his usage hasn’t matched the fantasy numbers he has put up the past 2 weeks. That makes the 2nd-year RB worth shopping.

Week 3
Sunday had the potential for disaster. In the 2nd quarter, CEH lost a fumble — his 2nd of the young season. Fortunately, though, HC Andy Reid stuck with the 2nd-year back. And he responded by posting his 3rd career 100-yard rushing day on 17 attempts. He remained a limited factor in the passing game, however, snagging 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards. One catch did go for a score on a designed screen. Frankly, a matchup with the Chargers should have produced breakout numbers. Going forward, CEH will belong in fantasy lineups as an RB2, but expect further turbulence. There’s at least further scoring upside for a Week 4 matchup at Philly.

Week 2
It’s frustrating to see the lack of efficiency when CEH has the ball. He was given 13 carries in the game but was unable to do much with those opportunities. The Chiefs were in position to kick a late field goal and take the lead, but CEH coughed up the ball with less than 2 minutes remaining in the game.

When he was drafted, fantasy owners were drooling over the possibilities of massive production from CEH in this dynamic offense. Unfortunately, we haven’t seen him being utilized as much as we would like. CEH finished the day with 13 carries for 46 yards against Baltimore.

On a positive note, CEH does have favorable conditions in the box when he does get opportunities due to the incredible efficiency of the Chiefs passing game. He also will face a banged-up defense that just allowed 180 rushing yards and 2 TDs last week against Dallas. We have him ranked at RB17 this week against the Chargers. He is also ranked RB17 the rest of the way.

Week 1
Edwards-Helaire rushed 14 times for 43 yards, hauling in all 3 of his targets for 29 yards in Kansas City's Week 1 win over the Browns.
Edwards-Helaire struggled to get anything going against the Browns with a long run of just 9 yards — but he did have 14 of the 15 carries in the Chiefs backfield.
There will be bigger games ahead for CEH as he dominated touches in the Chiefs backfield and will have plenty of chances to score in the Chiefs high-powered offense.
Edwards-Helaire should be viewed as a borderline RB1 in Week 2’s matchup against the Ravens, who let the Raiders score 33 points against them on Monday night in Week 1.

Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

Edwards-Helaire finished his 2020 rookie campaign with a 181-803-4 rushing line and 36-297-1 receiving line across 13 regular-season games.
He ranked 25th among RBs in PPR points per game and 26th in non-PPR.
CEH scored at a top-24 level in 9 of his 13 outings -- a rate of 69% that ranked 13th highest at the position.
He missed Week 13 with a non-COVID illness and the final 2 regular-season games -- plus Kansas City’s playoff opener -- with a left hip strain and high-ankle sprain. He returned for the AFC Championship and Super Bowl.
Edwards-Helaire averaged 17.8 carries and 5.2 targets over his first 6 games. Those marks sunk to 9.9 carries and 3.1 targets over his final 9 games (including playoffs) as he ceded more work to Le’Veon Bell and Darrel Williams.
Among 47 RBs with 100+ carries last year, Edwards-Helaire ranked 13th in Elusive Rating, 20th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade and 33rd in Football Outsiders DVOA.
Among 37 RBs with 30+ targets, he ranked 25th in yards per route run and 16th in PFF receiving grade.
Two areas CEH struggled: Pass protection and near the goal line.
- He ranked 31st among those 37 RBs in PFF pass-blocking grade.
- He scored on just 1 of 9 carries inside the opponent’s 5-yard line. That 11.1% conversion rate ranked 47th among 48 RBs with 5+ chances inside the 5.
  - Edwards-Helaire received 9 carries inside the 5 over his first 5 games; just 2 over his final 8.
CEH remains in a great position heading into 2021 with QB Patrick Mahomes and HC Andy Reid.
- Reid’s offense has produced a top 16 PPR RB in 16 of 22 seasons, including 10 top-10 finishes.
The Chiefs parted ways with Le’Veon Bell this offseason but re-signed Darrel Williams and also added Jerick McKinnon.
Edwards-Helaire remains the clear favorite for lead duties -- but just how big a slice of the backfield pie he’ll receive is unclear.
The 2020 Chiefs ranked 12th in Pro Football Focus’ run-blocking grades and 14th in Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards.
They made a bunch of moves on the offensive line this offseason …
- Made a trade for OT Orlando Brown, a 24-year-old who’s ranked 40th and 25th at his position in Pro Football Focus’ run-blocking grades the last 2 seasons.
- Signed G Joe Thuney to a 5-year, $80 million deal. He ranked 18th among 63 qualifiers in PFF’s 2020 run-blocking grades.
- Signed G Kyle Long to a 1-year deal. He’s a 3-time Pro Bowler but is 32 and has played in just 30 games over the past 4 seasons.
- Signed former Rams C Austin Blythe and drafted C Creed Humphrey in Round 2. Those 2 figure to battle for the starting job this summer.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Edwards-Helaire’s rookie season was a mixed bag. He was good-not-great in most efficiency metrics. He really struggled at the goal line. And he lost volume to Le’Veon Bell and Darrel Williams over the 2nd half of the season.

He still finished 25th among RBs in PPR points per game and 26th in non-PPR -- which feels like his absolute floor in 2021. And as the clear favorite for lead duties in 1 of the league’s top offenses, there’s still a RB1 ceiling here.

CEH figures to come cheaper in fantasy drafts this summer than last. His risk/reward profile makes sense in Round 3.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Chiefs RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) is active for tonight's game vs. the Broncos. He was added to the injury report and did not practice on Friday due to a stomach bug. But we’re not expecting that to impact Edwards-Helaire’s usage tonight. He’s a solid RB2 play.

View all Clyde Edwards-Helaire Shark Bites »

Chiefs RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) is expected to get a "heavy workload" vs. the Broncos tonight, per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. CEH was added to the injury report and did not practice on Friday due to a stomach bug, but it doesn't sound like it'll impact his role at all tonight. He's safe to get into fantasy lineups.

View all Clyde Edwards-Helaire Shark Bites »

Chiefs RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) is expected to play vs. the Broncos tonight, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. CEH was listed as questionable after being added to the injury report and missing practice on Friday. But we're not expecting his usage to be impacted by the situation tonight. Edwards-Helaire is safe to get into fantasy lineups.

View all Clyde Edwards-Helaire Shark Bites »

Chiefs RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) is listed as questionable for Sunday night's game vs. the Broncos. He was added to the injury report and did not practice on Friday. HC Andy Reid said that CEH has a stomach flu but "should be fine" for Sunday night. Edwards-Helaire can stay penciled into Week 13 fantasy lineups for now. We'll let you know if something changes with his status.

View all Clyde Edwards-Helaire Shark Bites »

Chiefs RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (knee) is active for today’s game vs. the Cowboys. It’ll be his 1st action since Week 5. NFL Network's James Palmer reported this morning that the Chiefs "really don't know how much" Edwards-Helaire will play today. That obviously makes him a risky fantasy start. Darrel Williams is the better bet in the Chiefs backfield.

View all Clyde Edwards-Helaire Shark Bites »

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