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Darnell Mooney - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDarnell Mooney’s Basic Stats

Darnell Mooney
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 4
Age: 27.0
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 173
40 Time: 4.38
Speed Score: 91.70

Burst Score (Rank): 124.90 (69%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.86 (25%)

Darnell Mooney's Weekly Outlook

Week 10 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.4 60.8 0.32 7.9
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.7 62.3 0.3 8.2

Darnell Mooney's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#30 Wide Receiver

196.1 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 71.3 952.2 4.89 1 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDarnell Mooney's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Mooney’s $26 million dollar guaranteed contract shows how much he is valued by the Falcons’ new coaching staff.

Despite this, his usage as a deep threat makes him unreliable for consistent fantasy production as the likely fourth option behind Bijan Robinson, Drake London and Kyle Pitts.

Mooney remains an end-of-the-roster flier who could have spike weeks when the game plan and matchup align for him to make a few big plays.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Mooney had the worst production of his NFL career last season. His per-game averages were:
    • 4.07 targets
    • 2.07 receptions
    • 27.6 yards
    • 13.4 yards per catch
    • 0.07 TDs per game
  • He saw his production increase with Tyson Bagent throwing the football while Justin Fields was injured. Mooney’s per-game stats with Bagent:
    • 4.4 targets
    • 2.8 receptions
    • 43.4 yards
    • 15.5 yards per catch
    • 0 TDs
  • Mooney ranked as the PPR WR83 in total fantasy points (78.9) and WR86 in points per game (3.0).
  • He missed the final two games of the season due to concussion-like symptoms.
  • He had no top-12 finishes, and twelve WR37 or worse finishes.
  • Mooney’s 15.1% target share was 66th in the league.
  • His 11.3-yard average target depth was the lowest of his career.
  • Two factors affected these numbers:
    • Mooney played the highest slot percentage of his career at 65.4% compared to a 39.5% average in his first three years.
    • He dropped numerous passes in key moments. Among 93 WRs with 40+ targets, Mooney had the fourth-highest drop rate.
  • Among that same WR group, Mooney ranked 80th in PFF receiving grade, the worst of his career.
  • He also ranked 24th in average separation yards (3.1), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Mooney signed a three-year, $39 million contract with the Falcons this offseason with $26 million guaranteed. His $13 million per year is tied for 25th among WRs.
  • He will play under HC Raheem Morris and first-time OC and play-caller Zac Robinson.
    • Robinson has been on the Rams’ staff since 2019 under Sean McVay, working as the QB coach and pass game coordinator since 2022.
    • Under Robinson, the Rams averaged 628 passes per season.
  • Joining an offense led by Kirk Cousins will provide a significant QB upgrade for Mooney.
    • Last season Cousins had a superior 85.1 PFF passing grade compared to Justin Fields (67.2)
  • The Falcons are expected to be pretty good. They lead the NFC South with a 9.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • This expectation of success is largely due to Cousins joining the team. The Falcons’ Super Bowl odds jumped from +4000 before Cousins to +2800 after he signed.
  • Mooney enters his 5th season at 26 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Mooney’s career produces 92% of his peak value at age-26.

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Darnell Mooney, WR ATL

4:45pm EST 11/3/24

Darnell Mooney Steps Up vs. Cowboys

Falcons WR Darnell Mooney recorded 5 catches, 88 yards, and 1 score in a Week 9 win over Dallas. Mooney saw a team-high 9 targets – a huge 37.5% share – boosted by the first-half departure of Drake London (hip).

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Falcons WR Darnell Mooney led the team in receiving catching five of seven targets including a TD. With QB Kirk Cousins throwing four TDs on the day, Mooney was the beneficiary of that strong passing attack from Cousins.

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Falcons WR Darnell Mooney recorded his first career two-TD game in Thursday night's 36-30 overtime win over the Bucs. The first was an impressive 24-yarder in between multiple defenders. Mooney went up to get the ball and absorbed contact before tumbling into the end zone. His second TD came from 12 yards out. Mooney ran a quick out, spun away from his defender, and then beat the angle of another defender to get into the paint. Those were two of Mooney's nine catches for 105 yards on the night. He could have had an even bigger game but had an ugly drop in the fourth quarter for what could have gone for a 36-yard TD.

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Eagles WR A.J. Brown missed practice Saturday after experiencing hamstring tightness in Friday's workout. The team has listed him as questionable for Monday night's game against the Falcons.

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Falcons WR Rondale Moore will miss the 2024 season after suffering a knee injury in Wednesday's practice, NFL Network reports. We don't have any details yet on the injury.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Darnell Mooney, WR ATL
Dynasty MVP 28.4
Position Rank #52 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
284
436
717
Dynasty Write-up
Mooney missed the final 5 games of 2022 with a torn ankle ligament. His 2023 wasn't much better following the arrival of D.J. Moore (31-414-1 in 14 games). Mooney signed a stunningly lucrative deal with Atlanta in March (3 years, $26 million guaranteed). He projects as a boom/bust player for Atlanta's loaded offense.
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