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Darnell Mooney - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDarnell Mooney's Basic Stats

Darnell Mooney
ADP: 15.2
Bye: 12
Experience: 4
Age: 26.7
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 173
40 Time: 4.38
Speed Score: 91.70

Burst Score (Rank): 124.90 (69%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.86 (25%)

Darnell Mooney's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.4 44.7 0.21 5.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.2 42 0.2 5.6

Darnell Mooney's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#63 Wide Receiver

128.1 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
15.2 47.6 625.8 2.94 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDarnell Mooney's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Mooney’s $26 million dollar guaranteed contract shows how much he is valued by the Falcons’ new coaching staff.

Despite this, his usage as a deep threat makes him unreliable for consistent fantasy production as the likely fourth option behind Bijan Robinson, Drake London and Kyle Pitts.

Mooney remains an end-of-the-roster flier who could have spike weeks when the game plan and matchup align for him to make a few big plays.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Mooney had the worst production of his NFL career last season. His per-game averages were:
    • 4.07 targets
    • 2.07 receptions
    • 27.6 yards
    • 13.4 yards per catch
    • 0.07 TDs per game
  • He saw his production increase with Tyson Bagent throwing the football while Justin Fields was injured. Mooney’s per-game stats with Bagent:
    • 4.4 targets
    • 2.8 receptions
    • 43.4 yards
    • 15.5 yards per catch
    • 0 TDs
  • Mooney ranked as the PPR WR83 in total fantasy points (78.9) and WR86 in points per game (3.0).
  • He missed the final two games of the season due to concussion-like symptoms.
  • He had no top-12 finishes, and twelve WR37 or worse finishes.
  • Mooney’s 15.1% target share was 66th in the league.
  • His 11.3-yard average target depth was the lowest of his career.
  • Two factors affected these numbers:
    • Mooney played the highest slot percentage of his career at 65.4% compared to a 39.5% average in his first three years.
    • He dropped numerous passes in key moments. Among 93 WRs with 40+ targets, Mooney had the fourth-highest drop rate.
  • Among that same WR group, Mooney ranked 80th in PFF receiving grade, the worst of his career.
  • He also ranked 24th in average separation yards (3.1), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Mooney signed a three-year, $39 million contract with the Falcons this offseason with $26 million guaranteed. His $13 million per year is tied for 25th among WRs.
  • He will play under HC Raheem Morris and first-time OC and play-caller Zac Robinson.
    • Robinson has been on the Rams’ staff since 2019 under Sean McVay, working as the QB coach and pass game coordinator since 2022.
    • Under Robinson, the Rams averaged 628 passes per season.
  • Joining an offense led by Kirk Cousins will provide a significant QB upgrade for Mooney.
    • Last season Cousins had a superior 85.1 PFF passing grade compared to Justin Fields (67.2)
  • The Falcons are expected to be pretty good. They lead the NFC South with a 9.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • This expectation of success is largely due to Cousins joining the team. The Falcons’ Super Bowl odds jumped from +4000 before Cousins to +2800 after he signed.
  • Mooney enters his 5th season at 26 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Mooney’s career produces 92% of his peak value at age-26.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Darnell Mooney, WR ATL

11:46am EDT 3/12/24

Darnell Mooney looks like WR2 in Atlanta

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports that WR Darnell Mooney is signing a three-year deal with the Falcons. Mooney joins an offense that now has QB Kirk Cousins and features a new coaching staff. Mooney might have trouble ranking higher than fourth in targets, with WR Drake London, TE Kyle Pitts, and RB Bijan Robinson likely drawing more focus. But Mooney and his 11.7-yard career average target depth can fit nicely as a downfield worker. Expect him to be more of a later-round best ball factor than worthwhile option in lineup-setting formats. Check our best ball rankings for his updated position.

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Bears WR Darnell Mooney (concussion) is out for Sunday’s finale vs. the Packers. WR D.J. Moore should continue to dominate targets from QB Justin Fields.

View all Darnell Mooney Shark Bites »

Bears WR Darnell Mooney (concussion) is out for Sunday's game vs. the Falcons. It'll be some combination of WRs Tyler Scott, Equanimeous St. Brown, Velus Jones, Collin Johnson, and Trent Taylor behind top dog D.J. Moore. Moore is obviously the only viable fantasy play in this WR corps.

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Bears WR Darnell Mooney (concussion) did not practice on Wednesday. He self-reported concussion symptoms after last week's win over the Cardinals, HC Matt Eberflus said. Mooney is now unlikely to play vs. the Falcons this weekend. Hopefully you weren't counting on him in Week 17 fantasy lineups.

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Bears WR Darnell Mooney (knee) got in a full practice on Friday and isn’t listed on the final injury report. He should be ready for his usual role vs. the Chiefs this weekend. Chicago’s passing volume figures to be elevated in that one, but Mooney remains a desperation fantasy play.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Darnell Mooney, WR ATL
Dynasty MVP 63.4
Position Rank #139 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
205
323
572
Dynasty Write-up
Mooney missed the final 5 games of 2022 with a torn ankle ligament. His 2023 wasn't much better following the arrival of D.J. Moore (31-414-1 in 14 games). Mooney signed a stunningly lucrative deal with Atlanta in March (3 years, $26 million guaranteed). He projects as a boom/bust player for Atlanta's loaded offense.
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