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Ezekiel Elliott - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsEzekiel Elliott's Basic Stats

Ezekiel Elliott
ADP: 10.10
Bye: 7
Experience: 8
Age: 29.0
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.47

Burst Score (Rank): 114.30 (28%)

Ezekiel Elliott's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
38.3 0.38 1.8 11.3 0.07 8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
28.3 0.3 0.8 5 0 5

Ezekiel Elliott's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#34 Running Back

143.8 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
10.10 156.3 581 5.77 0 0 27.5 172.2 1.06

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsEzekiel Elliott's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Consider Dallas a best-case landing spot for Elliott.

He joins a backfield looking to replace 307 Tony Pollard touches. Despite some pre-draft rumblings, Dallas passed on adding a RB in the draft.

We’re certainly leary of Elliott’s career trajectory. But if healthy, he should see the volume to at least deliver low-end RB3/FLEX numbers.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Elliott signed with New England, but not until August.
  • The 29-year-old battled knee issues in recent years but appeared in all 17 games for the Pats.
  • Let’s start with the positive. Elliott popped with 65 targets – second most on the team. He led the squad with 51 catches.
    • Zeke averaged just 6.1 yards per catch. Yet he posted his highest yards per route run (1.27) and yards after catch per reception (7.4) since 2018.
  • As a rusher, Elliott showed no signs of reversing a decline.
    • Among 36 RBs with 150+ carries, Elliott ranked 28th in EPA per rush, 34th in yards per carry, 31st in yards after contact per attempt, and 34th in success rate.
    • His explosive play rate ranked 48th. His long run? 17 yards.
  • Elliott played in one of the league’s worst offenses. New England ranked 32nd in points per game; 30th in yards.
  • The bulk of his fantasy production came late in the year with Rhamondre Stevenson sidelined.
    • He finished as a top-20 back four times over the final six weeks, including a pair of top-five finishes.

What to Expect in 2024

  • The Cowboys brought back Zeke on a one-year deal worth $2 million guaranteed.
  • He’ll look to replace a chunk of the 252 carries and 67 targets left by new Titan Tony Pollard.
  • Dallas passed on adding an RB in the draft. At least for now, they’ll rely on Zeke, Rico Dowdle, and Royce Freeman.
    • Dowdle was just OK last year as Pollard’s backup. He's still largely an unknown with only 96 career carries.
    • Freeman showed up with a couple of fantasy-worthy lines with the Rams in ‘23.
    • He ultimately totaled 319 yards on 77 carries (4.1 YPC). Freeman added nothing in the receiving game.
  • Here’s HC Mike McCarthy’s assessment of the backfield. “We’re a running back by committee (team),” McCarthy said in May. “But I think he’ll [Elliott] definitely play at the level that he’s played at in my time here. I don’t see any drop-off in the way he moves. He’s in good shape. … He has come in here and picked up right where he left off.”
  • Dallas should remain one of the league’s top-scoring offenses – a huge boost from Elliott’s environment in 2023.
  • This O-line carries some question marks, as two rookies (OT Tyler Guyton and C Cooper Beebe) are likely starters. It’s not a unit we’re concerned about overall, though.

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Ezekiel Elliott, RB DAL

8:04am EDT 4/29/24

Ezekiel Elliott returning to Dallas

The Cowboys and RB Ezekiel Elliott have agreed to a contract, NFL Network reports. It's a reunion after Elliott spent his first seven seasons in Dallas. The 28-year-old mustered just 3.8 yards per carry in his last season with the Cowboys and then averaged 3.5 yards per carry for the Patriots last year. Elliott ranked 29th among 42 qualifiers in Pro Football Focus' 2022 rushing grades and 41st among 49 last year. There's very little gas left in this tank, although Elliott still proved capable of handling big workloads down the stretch last season. He averaged 14.8 carries and 6.5 targets over the final six weeks. The Cowboys are desperate for RB help after losing Tony Pollard in free agency and failing to land a RB in the draft. Elliott just might be the favorite to lead the backfield in touches ahead of Rico Dowdle, Deuce Vaughn, and Royce Freeman. He's still not an exciting fantasy pick. We'll see where his ADP settles.

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The Patriots placed RB Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) on IR. He'll end up missing the final five games of the season. Stevenson got off to a brutally slow start this year, averaging just 60 total yards over his first eight games. He got rolling over his final three healthy games, though, averaging 91 rushing yards per game on 5.5 yards per carry plus 4.0 catches and 21.7 receiving yards per game. We'll see what New England adds to the backfield this offseason, but Stevenson figures to play a significant role again in 2024. Ezekiel Elliott will finish out this season as the Patriots' lead back. See where he sits in the Week 17 RB Rankings.

View all Rhamondre Stevenson Shark Bites »

Patriots RB Ezekiel Elliott tallied 12 carries for 27 rushing yards in Week 16 vs. the Broncos. Though the veteran didn’t shine as a runner, he did thrive in the receiving game on Sunday night. Elliott concluded the contest with 9 catches on 11 targets (both team-highs) for 33 yards and a score. All said, he finished the week with 21 PPR points and turned in a fourth-straight game with at least 16 touches. Assuming Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) is out of the lineup again in Week 17, Elliott will be in a position to be an RB2 candidate going up against a Bills defense that ranks as the 13th-best RB matchup per our adjusted fantasy points allowed.

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Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Ezekiel Elliott, RB DAL
Dynasty MVP 31.5
Position Rank #143 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
120
160
226
Dynasty Write-up
Well, he’s back. Zeke signed a one-year deal with Dallas in late April. This followed an NFL Draft that found the Cowboys pass on taking a RB. While Zeke's outlook looks favorable for 2024, we're not expecting a throwback year in terms of efficiency. And this is almost certainly his final year as a lead- back with any team.
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