Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

Ezekiel Elliott - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Ezekiel  Elliott
DAL

RB DAL

#4 Running Back

254 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 7
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.45

Weekly Outlook

Week 20 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 14
12 carries for 45 yards rushing, 1 catch in 6 targets for 15 yards, with a 2-point conversion but no TDs is not what fantasy owners had envisioned from Elliott this season. After averaging 1 TD per game during the 1st 5 weeks, Zeke has averaged half that rate (0.5 per game) in the last 8 games.
Elliott’s most recent TD was in Week 12. He has hobbled his way to his 6th straight season with 1,000 yards from scrimmage (810 Rushing, 245 receiving). However, Elliott has not exceeded 51 yards in any of the last 7 games. If RB Tony Pollard returns to play against the Giants at the Meadowlands, he could come out of Sunday’s game with nearly as much total yardage from scrimmage. He now has 861 – 602 rushing, 259 receiving.
Week 13
Apparently still hobbled by a knee injury, Elliott provided just 45 yards in 13 carries for a struggling Dallas running game. He caught 2 of 3 targets for 2 yards. Aside from a 58-yard run by RB Tony Pollard and 33 yards on a lateral to WR CeeDee Lamb, the team’s 22 other running plays produced just 55 yards, 2.5 per carry.
With 10 days between games, Cowboys owner/GM Jerry Jones said, “I really look forward to a powerful and dynamic Zeke as we move on into this last part of the season.” Really? Dallas fans and the Fort Worth Star-Telegram’s Clarence E. Hill Jr. weren’t buying it. He wrote, “No one believes that.” In the last 39 days with 6 games, Elliott has totaled 71 carries for 244 yards, 40.7 per game and 3.4 per carry. That’s less than half of his career average against the next 3 weeks’ opponents: Washington twice and the Giants. He has only 1 TD in the last 3 games. Until further notice, Elliott is a shaky fantasy play.
Week 12
Elliott’s struggles continued as he continued to play despite an injured right knee. Against Las Vegas Thursday, he carried 9 times for a season-low 25 yards and 1-yard TD. That score was his only touch in the 2nd quarter. Zeke caught 6 of 8 targets for 24 yards, with the longest 12 yards. In the last 4 games, he has caught 18 of 20 targets, usually as a check-down receiver.
In the season’s first 7 games, Elliott was in for 84% of the offensive snaps. In the last 4, his work load was down to 59%. There has been talk that the Cowboys could rest Zeke and his right knee for a game or 2, after missing only 1 game in the last 3 seasons. After Thursday’s game, he would have 10 days before playing at Washington in Week 14. However, owner/GM Jerry Jones said, “we expect him to have a serious load against New Orleans.” If he does play, he’ll be going against the Saints’ 3rd-ranked rushing defense and the Football Team’s No. 4 unit. Elliott practiced fully on Monday. RT Terence Steele will not play Thursday after testing positive for Covid-19, meaning that former starting RT La’el Collins will be in the lineup.
Week 11
Elliott had season lows of 9 carries and 32 rushing yards, in large part because he aggravated a right knee injury and had his right ankle rolled over on a sideline tackle. He caught all 6 short-yardage targets for 36 yards. The most significant came in the 3rd quarter after Dallas pulled within 10 points. It was a 3rd-and-2 swing pass when he was tackled by LB Willie Gay Jr. for no gain. At the time, the Cowboys were averaging 2.5 yards per pass play, yet OC Kellen Moore called for a pass.
Against a Kansas City team ranked 27th in yards per rush, Zeke averaged 3.6. That continued a trend that has limited him to 3.7 per carry in the last 5 games. The Cowboys reported that on Tuesday he practiced fully, whatever that means in a week that includes just 3 possible practice days. With a compromised right leg, it doesn’t seem likely that Elliott can do much better Thursday against the Raiders. He said, “I think it will be a point for us Thursday to get that run game going.” The question is how much of a part of that run game Elliott will be.
Week 10
Playing just the 1st 3 quarters, Elliott carried 14 times for 41 yards, 2 TDs and a 2-point conversion in a blowout against Atlanta. He caught his only target for 4 yards and threw the 1st pass of his 6-year career to RB Tony Pollard for a 4-yard gain. A down side was Elliott’s fumble lost in the 3rd quarter.
Week 10 re-established Elliott’s ability to produce in goal-line and short-yardage situations, which had been sorely lacking. The fumble was Zeke’s 1st this season. His history has been giving up fumbles in bunches (6 in 2020, 6 in 2018). He’s well aware of that and seems likely to be more careful in holding on to the ball.
Week 9
Elliott had a season-low 10 carries. Those produced 51 yards (5.1 per carry) but included was a 4th-and-1 failure in the 1st quarter. He caught all 3 passes thrown to him for 25 yards. As the Dallas offense sputtered and failed to control the ball, Zeke’s role declined. A lingering knee injury further reduced his playing time.
Injury? Aging? Faltering offense? Whatever the reason, since scoring 6 TDs in 4 games, Elliott has not reached the end zone or exceeded 69 rushing yards in any of the last 3 games. The lack of scoring is symptomatic of his problems. He repeatedly failed to score in goal-line situations in Weeks 7 and 8 but did run for a 2-point conversion against Denver. His knee injury in problematic.
Week 8
With the Vikings concentrating their defensive effort on stopping the run, Elliott carried just 16 times for 50 yards and 3.1 yards per carry, all his lowest total since Week 1. In the passing game, Zeke caught 4 of 6 targets for 23 yards. The most important came on a 4th-quarter 3rd-and-11 with the Cowboys trailing by 3 points. QB Cooper Rush saw his downfield receivers covered and checked down to Elliott, who took the ball 15 yards to the 5 yard line to set up the game-winning TD.
Especially if starting QB Dak Prescott comes back this week or soon after, opposing defenses will be concentrating more on stopping the Dallas passing game. That should open more running room for RBs Elliott and Tony Pollard. Elliott has had between 16 and 21 carries in each of the last 6 games but has totaled just 119 yards in the 2 most recent games after two 100-yard games. He had his most productive game as a receiver, 7 catches for 50 yards, when Prescott last played in Week 6.
Week 5
The Elliott Renaissance resumed with his 21 carries for 110 yards and a rushing TD against the Giants. He had 5 runs of 10-plus yards, including a 13-yard TD, and caught 2 of 3 targets, including 1 that went for a 4-yard TD. He returned to the field after knocking over a camera-bearing pylon caused an apparent back injury for the scoring play, on which he was so far open that he high-stepped into the end zone. With Elliott and RB Tony Pollard, the Cowboys have 200 rushing yards in 2 straight games for the 1st time in 19 games.
Zeke has moved up to 3rd in the NFL with 452 rushing yards. He might not be as effective in the 2 road games coming up in the next 3 weeks, but Elliott has returned to a must-start status until further notice. A U.S. District Court denied RT La’el Collins’ appeal for an injunction to end his suspension, so he will miss a 5th game when Dallas plays at New England on Sunday. His absence hasn’t really influenced an offense that has functioned well with backup RT Terence Steele starting.
Week 4
Elliott had his longest run (47 yards) since 2016 and his 6th-highest yardage total (143 yards in 20 carries). Included was a 1-yard TD, running behind G Conner McGovern lined up as an FB. In a game when QB Dak Prescott threw just 22 passes, the only 1 directed toward an RB was an incomplete pass targeted for Elliott. A 245-yard rushing attack ran frequently behind RG Zack Martin, possibly Dallas’s most valuable offensive player.
Zeke has been rejuvenated in a potent rushing attack, part of an effective balanced offense. Sunday’s opponents, the Giants, won for the 1st time in Week 4. If they can keep this week competitive, the outcome could be decided by the running of Elliott and RB Tony Pollard. If it’s close and the Cowboys must pass, Pollard could take playing time away from Elliott. Going forward, if Zeke isn’t injured, you can consider him the must-start Elliott of the late teens.
Week 3
We weren’t the only ones questioning whether Elliott’s time as the Cowboys’ bell cow in the running game was up. He and the Dallas coaching staff showed us that reports of Zeke’s demise were premature. Elliott took the lead role in a Cowboys running game that ran up 118 yards in the 1st half and coasted in the 2nd. Zeke finished with 17 carries for 95 yards and 2 TDs. He caught all 3 passes thrown to him and appeared to have a 3rd TD on a short pass that a replay showed he had come up short of the goal line. Elliott would easily have exceeded 100 yards if he had been needed in a 2nd half when #3 RB Corey Clement finished.
This week’s opponent, Carolina, has allowed an NFL-best 45 rushing yards per game and only 1 TD. It’s likely that the Cowboys again will intersperse Elliott’s carries with Pollard’s. If Dallas again can get an early lead, we could see the ‘Boys protect that advantage by keeping the ball on the ground to run out the clock.
Week 2
In Week 1, Elliott had 11 carries for 33 yards. Against the Chargers, he was on a similar pace with 33 yards in his 1st 9 carries. He was more productive thereafter, with an additional 38 yards in 7 attempts with a long gain of 19 yards. He punched the ball into the end zone from the 6-yard line in the 1st quarter. Elliott caught both passes thrown his way for a meaningful 26 yards, much more production than his 6 receiving yards in the season opener. We don’t want to say Zeke is the old man of the offense at age 26, but the biggest threat to his playing time and fantasy value is losing playing time to dynamic, seemingly much younger 24-year-old Tony Pollard.
Pro Bowl RG Zack Martin returned Sunday from the Covid-19 list and made a huge difference for Elliott and Pollard with 142 of Dallas’s 198 rushing yards to the right. Expect that to continue whoever is running the ball. Also, don’t be surprised if Pollard continues to eat away at Zeke’s playing time.
Week 1
Elliott had 11 carries for 33 yards, with a long gain of 13 yards. He failed to score from the 2-yard line and was a non-factor in the passing game, with 2 catches for 3 yards each. We couldn’t see it, but USA Today reported that QB Dak Prescott checked out of running plays on 12 occasions. The Bucs had the NFL’s best run defense in 2020. The Cowboys emphasized how well he picked up blitzes, but that’s not the skill that brought him a 6-year, $90-million contract extension in 2019.

Last year we wrote, “Wear and tear in years past have made Zeke an old 25-year-old.” We could find out Sunday if he’s an old 26-year-old. It seems likely that the Cowboys would have more than 14 RB carries against the Chargers. Last season, Elliott ran for 127 yards and 2 TDs against them. In addition, Pro Bowl RG Zack Martin will be returning from the Covid-19 list.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Dallas’ O-line was in shambles last season. LT Tyron Smith lost 14 games to a neck injury. RT La’el Collins missed the whole season with a hip injury. RG Zack Martin lost 6 games to a calf strain. C Travis Frederick retired for health reasons before the season.
  • The unit fell from 7th in Pro Football Focus run-blocking grade in 2019 -- with those guys healthy and in the lineup -- to 29th in 2020.
  • Martin, Smith and Collins should be back. Tyler Biadasz looks poised to take over at center. He was just a 4th-round pick last year but drew a higher PFF run-blocking grade in limited duty than more frequent 2020 starter Joe Looney.
  • The O-line issues contributed to Elliott posting the worst PFF rushing grade of his career. He ranked just 43rd among 63 RBs with 75+ carries. (Tony Pollard checked in 13th.)
  • Elliott also trailed Pollard in PFF’s elusive rating, but his number in that category saw only a slight dip vs. 2019 and ranked 2nd-best for his career.
  • Other measures, however, found the 2 closer together. Football Outsiders rated Elliott 20th among 47 qualifiers in rushing DYAR, vs. Pollard at 18th. Elliott ranked just 27th in DVOA vs. Pollard’s #13 placement, but he finished 25th in success rate; Pollard 37th.
  • NFL’s Next Gen Stats had Elliott gaining 0.07 rushing yards over expectation per attempt. Pollard beat that, but only by 0.06 (at 0.13). To add some context, here were the splits between some other teammate pairs:
    • Raheem Mostert over Jeff Wilson Jr. by 0.10
    • Devin Singletary over Zack Moss by 0.22
    • J.K. Dobbins over Gus Edwards by 0.53
    • Nick Chubb over Kareem Hunt by 1.38
    • Ronald Jones over Leonard Fournette by 1.52
  • Football Outsiders also rated Elliott 5th in “effective yards,” higher than his #9 ranking in actual rushing yards. By FO’s explanation, that discrepancy generally points to a player outperforming his actual results.
  • Elliott beat Pollard in receiving DYAR and DVOA, though he checked in just 25th and 32nd -- respectively -- among 50 qualifying RBs.
  • In 2019, Elliott ranked 10th in receiving DYAR, 15th in receiving DVOA, 1st in rushing DYAR and 4th in rushing DVOA.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Elliott is heading into his 6th NFL season. It’s quite likely that he has declined at least a little vs. the beginning of his career. But the results of his first 5 years also suggest that injuries to teammates impacted his 2020 quite a bit. Dak Prescott’s Week 5 downfall certainly hurt the offense on whole. And Elliott undoubtedly was hurt by losing his starting center plus another 36 player games among LT Tyron Smith, RT La’el Collins and RG Zack Martin. All 3 of those guys return this year, as does Prescott. Tony Pollard also returns as a workload challenger, but he reached 10 carries just twice in 15 shared games with Elliott last year. And the season’s final 2 contests -- following the game Elliott missed with a hamstring injury -- found Elliott out-carrying Pollard 33-14.

We see no reason to project Pollard to take significantly more work from Elliott in 2021. The Dallas starter belongs in consideration near the end of Round 1 in fantasy drafts.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott said after Sunday’s loss to San Francisco that he played part of the season with a PCL injury. "It was hard," Elliott said. "It's never fun being banged up. But it's my job to make sure I get my body right and be ready for this team, for the fanbase and for the coaches. It's hard, but that's my job. I won't need a procedure. I just partially tore my PCL this year. It was an injury that wasn't going to get worse, but it was just going to take time. I was just doing my job in playing through the injury. I was going out there and doing what I needed to do for my team.” Zeke, 27 in July, will return for his 7th season in Dallas next fall.

View all Ezekiel Elliott Shark Bites »

Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott told reporters on Wednesday that his injured knee is expected to be back to 100% in 3-4 weeks. That doesn't help fantasy owners much -- but it would mean that Elliott is healthy for the NFL playoffs. Zeke also confirmed that he'll play through the nagging issue in the meantime. "You’re going to have to drag me off of the field," he said. A plodding Elliott is just a lower-end RB2 in fantasy lineups right now.

View all Ezekiel Elliott Shark Bites »

Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott (knee) is not listed on the final injury report for Thursday night's game vs. the Saints. He was listed as a full participant in practice all 3 days. We're expecting Elliott to cede more work than usual to RB Tony Pollard -- like he did on Thanksgiving -- making both guys RB2s. We still prefer Zeke over Pollard if you're choosing between the 2.

View all Ezekiel Elliott Shark Bites »

Cowboys owner Jerry Jones confirmed that RB Ezekiel Elliott (knee) will play against the Saints on Thursday night. He even said that he expects Zeke to carry a "serious load." We're not buying that and will be projecting Elliott to cede more work than usual to RB Tony Pollard. But Elliott will be useable for fantasy owners in Week 13.

View all Ezekiel Elliott Shark Bites »

Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott (knee) was a full participant in Monday's practice. It looks like the team has decided against holding Elliott out of Thursday night's game vs. the Saints to give his troublesome knee a rest. Zeke tallied 9 carries and 8 targets to RB Tony Pollard's 10 carries and 4 targets on Thanksgiving. We could see a similar split in New Orleans.

View all Ezekiel Elliott Shark Bites »

Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy

Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?

Check out thisleague-winning info

2021 Draft Package Now - Sept 15th

$39

Get Instant Access
2021 In-Season Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$39

Get Access Sept. 5th
2021 DFS Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$49

Get Access Sept. 5th
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual auto-renew
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool
Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “My Team” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice
Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access
Draft Sharks App
All–Access Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept. 5th Get Access Sept. 5th Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play