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Ezekiel Elliott - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsEzekiel Elliott’s Basic Stats

Ezekiel Elliott
ADP: N/A
Bye: 7
Experience: 8
Age: 29.3
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.47

Burst Score (Rank): 114.30 (28%)

Ezekiel Elliott's Weekly Outlook

Week 10 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
0 0 0 0 0 0
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
20.6 0.2 1 6.4 0 4.3

Ezekiel Elliott's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#55 Running Back

95.6 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 103.8 369.2 3.97 1 0 19.1 121.5 0.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsEzekiel Elliott's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Consider Dallas a best-case landing spot for Elliott.

He joins a backfield looking to replace 307 Tony Pollard touches. Despite some pre-draft rumblings, Dallas passed on adding a RB in the draft.

We’re certainly leary of Elliott’s career trajectory. But if healthy, he should see the volume to at least deliver low-end RB3/FLEX numbers.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Elliott signed with New England, but not until August.
  • The 29-year-old battled knee issues in recent years but appeared in all 17 games for the Pats.
  • Let’s start with the positive. Elliott popped with 65 targets – second most on the team. He led the squad with 51 catches.
    • Zeke averaged just 6.1 yards per catch. Yet he posted his highest yards per route run (1.27) and yards after catch per reception (7.4) since 2018.
  • As a rusher, Elliott showed no signs of reversing a decline.
    • Among 36 RBs with 150+ carries, Elliott ranked 28th in EPA per rush, 34th in yards per carry, 31st in yards after contact per attempt, and 34th in success rate.
    • His explosive play rate ranked 48th. His long run? 17 yards.
  • Elliott played in one of the league’s worst offenses. New England ranked 32nd in points per game; 30th in yards.
  • The bulk of his fantasy production came late in the year with Rhamondre Stevenson sidelined.
    • He finished as a top-20 back four times over the final six weeks, including a pair of top-five finishes.

What to Expect in 2024

  • The Cowboys brought back Zeke on a one-year deal worth $2 million guaranteed.
  • He’ll look to replace a chunk of the 252 carries and 67 targets left by new Titan Tony Pollard.
  • Dallas passed on adding an RB in the draft. At least for now, they’ll rely on Zeke, Rico Dowdle, and Royce Freeman.
    • Dowdle was just OK last year as Pollard’s backup. He's still largely an unknown with only 96 career carries.
    • Freeman showed up with a couple of fantasy-worthy lines with the Rams in ‘23.
    • He ultimately totaled 319 yards on 77 carries (4.1 YPC). Freeman added nothing in the receiving game.
  • Here’s HC Mike McCarthy’s assessment of the backfield. “We’re a running back by committee (team),” McCarthy said in May. “But I think he’ll [Elliott] definitely play at the level that he’s played at in my time here. I don’t see any drop-off in the way he moves. He’s in good shape. … He has come in here and picked up right where he left off.”
  • Dallas should remain one of the league’s top-scoring offenses – a huge boost from Elliott’s environment in 2023.
  • This O-line carries some question marks, as two rookies (OT Tyler Guyton and C Cooper Beebe) are likely starters. It’s not a unit we’re concerned about overall, though.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Rico Dowdle, RB DAL

5:13pm EST 11/3/24

Rico Dowdle Delivers vs. Falcons

Cowboys RB Rico Dowdle rushed 12 times for 75 yards in Sunday's loss to Atlanta. He delivered in the passing game, catching 5 of 6 targets for 32 yards and 1 score.

View Full Story »

Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott did not travel with the team to Atlanta and won't play vs. the Falcons on Sunday. Zeke is out for disciplinary reasons, according to multiple reports. His absence could mean an expanded role for RB Rico Dowdle. Or RB Dalvin Cook could soak up Elliott's snaps and touches. Dowdle remains the only viable fantasy play in this backfield. His ceiling is a bit higher now than it was a few hours ago.

View all Ezekiel Elliott Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Tom Pelissero talked up RB Dalvin Cook ahead of the veteran's first game with the Cowboys on Sunday night against the 49ers. Someone must have forgotten to tell Cook or the team how good he had looked in practice, though. Cook carried six times for just 12 yards and added a 10-yard catch on his lone target. He trailed RB Ezekiel Elliott in carries, yards, and yards per rush, and watched Elliott claim the team's only rushing TD.

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Cowboys RB Rico Dowdle (illness) will be inactive for tonight's game vs. the 49ers, NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports. That'll leave the backfield to Dalvin Cook, Ezekiel Elliott, and Hunter Luepke. Cook is the best fantasy bet if you were planning to start Dowdle, but it's a backfield to avoid if possible.

View all Rico Dowdle Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Ezekiel Elliott, RB DAL
Dynasty MVP -5.2
Position Rank #76 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
66
88
125
Dynasty Write-up
Well, he’s back. Zeke signed a one-year deal with Dallas in late April. This followed an NFL Draft that found the Cowboys pass on taking a RB. While Zeke's outlook looks favorable for 2024, we're not expecting a throwback year in terms of efficiency. And this is almost certainly his final year as a lead- back with any team.
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