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Jamaal Williams - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Jamaal Williams
DET

RB DET

#38 Running Back

125 Projected Points

ADP: 11.1
Bye: 9
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.59

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#38 Running Back

125 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
11.1 164 688 4 0 0 35 269 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

100

DS Projection

125

Consensus

38 other sites
55

High Ceiling

181.3

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • You’ve probably read or heard some version of new OC Anthony Lynn classifying his RBs. Here’s his full quote (from The Athletic):
    • “Jamaal is what I’d call a classic ‘A’ back. I like to break the backs down into A and B. My ‘A’ backs are normally my bigger backs. They can run between the tackles, block probably a little better than a ‘B’ back. They can also run the perimeter. I can leave those guys in there for all three downs. My ‘B’ back comes in, he’s a guy that sometimes I want to use in space more. He’s my speed-in-space guy. I feel like Jamaal would be an outstanding ‘A’ back. I like his energy, I like his pad level and the way he runs the football between the tackles.”
  • In the same article, Lynn credited Williams as presenting surprisingly good route-running and pass-catching ability.
  • Williams ranked 20th in Pro Football Focus’ rushing grades last season among 63 RBs with 75+ carries -- well ahead of D’Andre Swift at 46th. Williams’ 2020 rushing grade came in well ahead of his marks from the previous 3 seasons, but he has improved that number each year.
  • Swift (19th) beat Williams (32nd) in receiving grade, among 61 RBs with 20+ targets.
  • Williams rated near the top of the position as a pass-blocker over his 1st 3 seasons, before earning a poor grade in that area in 2020.
  • Football Outsiders rated him 15th in receiving DYAR and 16th in DVOA among 50 qualifying RBs. (Swift checked in 9th and 13th, respectively.)
  • Swift also topped Williams in FO’s rushing metrics: 16th vs. 26th in DYAR and 14th vs. 22nd in DVOA. Both backs rated above replacement/average level in each phase.
  • The Lions return just 2 players who reached 40 targets for the team in 2020.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Even if you believe D’Andre Swift to be the superior talent -- and we do -- there’s room for both him and Williams to factor heavily into the 2021 Lions offense. New OC Anthony Lynn has indicated he will have Williams on the field plenty and praised his ability in basically every area of RB play.

Williams’ range of outcomes for this season includes leading Detroit in carries. The sheer possibility of that makes him a solid value at RB40. Beware of further ADP climbing, though, as Williams has already moved up amid the Lynn buzz.

 

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Lions OC Anthony Lynn suggested in an interview with The Athletic that RB Jamaal Williams will play a bigger role than fantasy drafters are expecting. “Jamaal is what I’d call a classic ‘A’ back,” Lynn said. “I like to break the backs down into A and B. My ‘A’ backs are normally my bigger backs. They can run between the tackles, block probably a little better than a ‘B’ back, they can also run the perimeter. I can leave those guys in there for all three downs. My ‘B’ back comes in, he’s a guy that sometimes I want to use in space more. He’s my speed-in-space guy." D'Andre Swift -- who's going 11 rounds ahead of Williams in ADP -- would be the 'B' back in this scenario. No one should be expecting the 212-pound Swift to be a true workhorse. But he averaged 16 touches over his final 6 games last season and seemed in line to at least see that much work in 2021. It's worth noting that Detroit's new coaching staff inherited Swift but went out and acquired Williams in free agency. This backfield split will be worth monitoring closely this summer. Swift carries some risk at his mid-2nd-round ADP, while Williams looks like a nice value in the 13th.

View all Jamaal Williams Shark Bites »

RB Jamaal Williams has agreed to a 2-year deal with the Lions worth "up to" $7.5 million, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero. Williams saw regular usage in both the run and passing game with the Packers, averaging 125 carries and 30.5 receptions across 4 seasons. His contract terms don't suggest he'll threaten D'Andre Swift's expected lead role in the backfield. We'll see about Williams vs. Kerryon Johnson, though, under new HC Dan Campbell and his staff. Williams turns 26 in April.

View all Jamaal Williams Shark Bites »

Packers RB Jamaal Williams (quad) isn’t listed on the final injury report and will return for Sunday’s game vs. the Bears. We’re curious to see how reps are split between Williams and A.J. Dillon behind Aaron Jones after the rookie’s Week 16 breakout. Neither Williams nor Dillon can be trusted in Week 17 fantasy lineups.

View all Jamaal Williams Shark Bites »

Packers RB Jamaal Williams (quad) is inactive for tonight's game vs. the Titans. Look for Aaron Jones to dominate backfield work.

View all Jamaal Williams Shark Bites »

Packers RB Jamaal Williams (quad) missed practice all week and is listed as doubtful for Sunday night's game vs. the Titans. His absence will leave rookie A.J. Dillon as the #2 RB -- but Aaron Jones should dominate backfield work. He set season highs with a 90% snap rate and 20 carries after Williams exited early in last week's game.

View all Jamaal Williams Shark Bites »

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