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Jared Goff - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Jared Goff
DET

QB DET

#33 Quarterback

297 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 9
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 27
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.75

Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 14
Goff completed 24 of 39 passes for 215 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT in the Lions' Week 14 loss to the Broncos.
The Lions quickly fell behind 14-0 and did cut the deficit to 14-10 in the 2nd quarter but then stalled out for the rest of the game with a couple of red-zone turnovers in the 2nd half.
Goff has the worst group of weapons in the NFL and can’t be used for fantasy unless it’s a 2-QB league. The Lions take on the Cardinals in Week 15.
Week 13
Goff completed 25 of 41 passes for 296 yards, 3 TD and 1 INT as the Lions got their first win of the season against the Vikings.
Goff had a mediocre 45.5 QBR but did what he had to do to get their first win as he drove the Lions down the field with under 2 minutes left in the game and threw a game-winning TD to Amon-Ra St. Brown as time expired.
Goff threw TD passes to T.J. Hockenson, Brock Wright and the game winner from 12 yards out to St. Brown.
Goff had one of his best games of the season but still has the weakest group of weapons in the league and is only an option in 2-QB leagues.
The Lions will most likely fall down to Earth as they travel to Denver to take on the Broncos in Week 14.
Week 10
Goff completed 14 of 25 passes for 114 yards in the Lions’ Week 10 tie with the Steelers.
Goff had more yards in OT than he did in regulation as he was stymied by a tough Steelers defense playing in tough conditions.
It was reported after the game that Goff played through an oblique injury. Goff doesn’t offer anything with his legs and the Lions have the worst WR group in the NFL, which makes Goff one of the worst fantasy starting QBs in the NFL.
Goff is a bottom-barrel option in Week 11’s matchup against the Browns.
Week 7
Goff hasn’t been much of a fantasy option himself in 2021 but continues to see pass heavy game scripts as the Lions trail in most games. In Week 7 the Lions had a few tricks up their sleeves as they used a few trick plays on special teams to keep things close. This led to a much more competitive game than most people expected. Even with the game closer than expected, Goff wasn’t really helping matters much with his play. Goff only completed 61% of his passes for 1 TD and 2 INTs. The 1 TD came on a short pass that D’Andre Swift took for 63 yards to the house on the first drive. After that play Goff only threw for 201 yards and 2 INTs.
Heading into Week 8, the Lions take on the Eagles as these teams will duke it out for which team gets to have the 4th quarter garbage time. Goff is clearly off the fantasy radar, but against the Eagles he should do enough to support T.J. Hockenson and Swift.
Week 4
Goff completed 24 of 38 passes for 299 yards and 2 TDs in the Lions' Week 4 loss to the Bears, adding 3 rushes for 8 yards.
Goff and the Lions moved the ball well against the Bears, but they struggled in the red zone with Goff fumbling 3 times during the game.
Goff threw both TD passes to Kalif Raymond in the 2nd half. The Lions offense has been a bit better than expected, but Goff remains a low-end QB2.
Week 3
In negative game scripts in each of the first 2 games of the year, Goff averaged 272 yards and 2.5 passing TDs. Detroit kept this game close throughout. As a result, he threw just 30 passes while also being able to play conservatively, and he failed to throw a single TD pass. The good news is that he took what the defense gave him, allowing the team to move the ball. He didn’t make any critical errors, and that led to the Lions having a lead into the last minute of the game before they lost on a record-long FG by Justin Tucker.

Goff’s season-long production has been skewed by a 92-snap, 57 pass-attempt performance in Week 1. In the 2 games since, he’s averaged just 33 pass attempts, 231 yards and 1 TD. He has no real weapons at WR, and he has to rely upon T.J. Hockenson and the RBs to help his fantasy production, and that’s not a path to consistent fantasy success.
Week 2
Goff looked viable once again against the Packers. Did he have some not so great throws and turn the ball over? Of course. But he also threw some dimes and helped his pass catchers have impressive fantasy days.

Goff completed 26 of 36 passes for 246 yards and 2 TDs. He also added 46 yards on 4 rush attempts. This was the 2nd straight game where Goff had 3 or more rush attempts.

It's been better than expected for Goff and the Lions so far. But he remains an option only in 2-QB leagues.
Week 1
In terms of actual QB play, Goff didn’t play well at all. But he was amazing for fantasy once this game got out of hand. During the last 20 minutes of the contest, he threw a pair of TD passes while piling up yardage while the 49ers seemed mentally checked out after racing to a 38-10 lead. Despite the great stats, Goff did most of his damage throwing to his RBs and TE T.J. Hockenson, as the trio put up over 200 yards with a pair of scores. There was very little production by the WRs.

Even though all starting QBs are viable options in superflex or 2-QB leagues, the fact that Goff had very little going on with his WRs is troubling. At the end of the day, a fantasy QB will only go so far when primarily throwing to RBs and the TE, so there’ll be many low-floor weeks for Goff. However, the defense may be so bad that they find themselves in hurry-up mode in many of their games. And ultimately, fantasy points are all the same, even when they occur in garbage time.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Goff has apparently gotten worse as a deep passer. He threw a career-low 7.5% of his attempts into that range (20+ yards downfield) in 2020, according to Pro Football Focus. Even so, Goff posted:
    • His worst deep-passing grade to date
    • His worst adjusted completion rate deep since his rookie campaign
    • His 2nd-worst deep-ball passer rating, ahead of only his 2019 mark
  • Among 41 QBs with 15+ deep attempts last year, Goff ranked 31st in adjusted completion rate, 32nd in passer rating and 35th in passing grade.
  • Goff has fared much better in the intermediate range (10-19 yards downfield). He ranked 16th in passing grade to that level in 2020, 9th in 2019, 12th in 2018 and 24th in 2017.
  • Success in the deeper ranges matter because they beef up the QB’s fantasy scoring. Goff has topped 20 fantasy points per game twice in his career: the 2 seasons in which he topped 90.0 in PFF deep-passing grade and 95.0 in passer rating on deep balls.
  • Those 2 seasons also found the largest percentage of Goff’s attempts flying to the deep range: 11.5% and 11.2%. Each of those beat his 2020 deep share by at least 3.7 percentage points.
  • Goff leaves a Rams offense with Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp as the lead WRs -- plus Brandin Cooks and Sammy Watkins in previous seasons -- for a Lions offense with a shrug emoji currently topping the WR depth chart.
  • Detroit let Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones and Danny Amendola walk this offseason. The Lions signed Tyrell Williams and Breshad Perriman in free agency and drafted Amon-Ra St. Brown in Round 4.
  • Quintez Cephus is the top returning producer at the position, with his 35 targets and 20-349-2 receiving line in 2020.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Goff seemed to be coming along a couple of years ago, which is why the Rams gave him a then-record extension in September 2019. Less than 2 years later, they paid Detroit a 1st-round pick to take on his contract, in exchange for a 33-year-old Matthew Stafford. If Goff has any real-life rebound potential or fantasy appeal, we’ll need to see it before buying in. An unexciting player lands in what looks like 1 of the league’s worst offensive situations -- especially at wideout. Pass in all formats.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Lions QB Jared Goff (knee) is active for today’s game vs. the Packers. That’s good news for WR Amon-Ra St. Brown and RB D’Andre Swift.

View all Jared Goff Shark Bites »

Lions QB Jared Goff (knee) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Packers after a limited week of practice. We’ll find out whether he’s playing around 11:30 am ET on Sunday.

View all Jared Goff Shark Bites »

Lions QB Jared Goff (knee) put in a limited practice on Wednesday. That's an upgrade after he was sidelined all last week. We'll see if Goff can make it back for Sunday's finale vs. the Packers.

View all Jared Goff Shark Bites »

Lions QB Jared Goff (knee) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Seahawks. QB Tim Boyle will make his 3rd start of the season. He was decent enough last week to trust WR Amon-Ra St. Brown and RB D’Andre Swift in Week 17 fantasy lineups.

View all Jared Goff Shark Bites »

Lions HC Dan Campbell called QB Jared Goff (knee) "doubtful" to play vs. the Seahawks on Sunday. That figures to mean another start for QB Tim Boyle, who was at least good enough to feed WR Amon-Ra St. Brown 9 catches on 11 targets for 91 yards and a score last week. St. Brown remains a solid Week 17 fantasy play.

View all Jared Goff Shark Bites »

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