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Jared Goff - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJared Goff's Basic Stats

Jared Goff
ADP: N/A
Bye: 6
Experience: 6 Yr(s)
Age: 28.3
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 222
40 Time: 4.82
SPARQx (Rank): 81.50 (21%)
Burst Score (Rank): 102.30 (13%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.64 (34%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 58.00 (85%)

Jared Goff's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Jared Goff's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#23 Quarterback

253.1 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 356.4/540 3997 24.9 11.3 33 69.2 2.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJared Goff's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Goff's first season with the Lions turned up six top-14 fantasy weeks. He maxed out as the QB6 (vs. Minnesota).
  • He tossed 0 TDs in 5 outings, hurt by a Lions offense that lacked depth and reliable pass volume. Goff tossed 30 or fewer passes 5 times.
  • Goff played through an oblique injury in Week 10, forcing 1 absence. He missed Week 16 on the COVID list and Week 17 with a knee injury.
  • T.J. Hockenson and D’Andre Swift also combined to miss 9 games.
  • Goff’s play did improve down the stretch, right alongside the emergence of Amon-Ra St. Brown. Goff hit 2+ TD passes in 4 of his final games. He completed 69.6% of his passes over that stretch.
  • Per Pro Football Reference, Goff ranked 26th among 33 qualifiers in net yards per attempt. He sat 22nd in TD rate; 12th in completion rate.
  • The latter mark isn’t too surprising considering his 6.4-yard average depth of target. That set a career low and ranked last in the above sample.
  • Following seasons with 2, 2 and 4 rushing scores, Goff posted 0 rushing TDs in ’21.
  • The ’22 Lions let OC Anthony Lynn walk. New OC Ben Johnson takes over after serving as the team’s TE coach. It’s not yet clear if Johnson or HC Dan Campbell will call plays.
  • St. Brown talked up Johnson’s role in OTAs. Note that Johnson assumed the role of pass-game coordinator in the middle of last season. “I think Ben stepping in halfway through the season really helped us as an offense with the pass game. I love him,” St. Brown said. “I think he’s one of the better coaches I’ve ever been around, and I’m super excited for him to be the offensive coordinator.”
  • The Lions added free agent WR D.J. Chark as a vertical field stretcher. However, he missed most of 2021 with an ankle fracture.
  • Detroit used a Round 1 pick on Alabama speedster Jameson Williams. Coming off a December ACL tear, though, he’s no better than 50/50 to play Week 1.
  • Led by OTs Taylor Decker and Penei Swell, Goff’s O-line at least profiles as an asset.
  • Per Lions beat writer Kyle Meinke, “the table is set for [Jared] Goff to improve dramatically this season.” Goff might enter the spot-start radar for fantasy, but a lack of rushing upside makes him a clear QB2 for season-long projecting.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Last year, Goff showed flashes of why he was the top pick back in 2016.

Ultimately, he finished just outside the top-20 in fantasy PPG.

While his supporting cast improved for 2022, Goff’s unlikely to be a go-to streamer this fall.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Detroit Lions, TQB DET

6:05am EST 1/18/23

OC Johnson chooses to stay

Lions OC Ben Johnson is passing on HC opportunities elsewhere to stick with Detroit for 2023, according to multiple reports. Johnson elected to skip an in-person interview with the Panthers this week, after already talking with the franchise by teleconference. Johnson was viewed as the favorite for the Carolina job and has also interviewed with the Colts and Texans. He instead sticks with an offense that jumped from 25th in scoring and 22nd in yards in 2021 to 5th and 4th, respectively, this season. Detroit also leaped from 29th in Football Outsiders' offensive DVOA to 5th. Johnson's continued presence is undoubtedly good news for QB Jared Goff and other key Lions offensive pieces.

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According to Dave Burkett of the Detroit Free Press, Lions HC Dan Campbell "all but confirmed" Monday that QB Jared Goff will remain the starter in 2023. "He's really a perfect fit for what we do and what we ask," Campbell said. The Rams, of course, paid Detroit draft picks (including 2 first-rounders) to swap Matthew Stafford for Goff 2 offseasons ago. Goff didn't do anything impressive across 14 games in his 1st year with the Lions. But he finished this season throwing 324 consecutive passes without an INT. Goff also finished 15th among QBs in fantasy points per game (depending on your format). He has 2 more years on his contract, though each comes with salaries of more than $30 million vs. dead-cap totals of $10 million and then $5 million if he were to get cut, according to Spotrac. Detroit also holds the 6th overall pick in the upcoming NFL Draft, thanks to the Rams -- along with their own selection at #18. So although Goff looks most likely to open next season at the helm, it's worth noting that Campbell stopped short of actually confirming that the 2023 job belongs to Goff.

View all Jared Goff Shark Bites »

Lions QB Jared Goff threw 3 TD passes on 21-of-29 passing for 255 yards in Sunday's lopsided win over the Bears. Goff found TE Brock Wright for a pair of scores, hitting RB D'Andre Swift for the other. He spread targets around, with 10 different Lions catching a pass but none exceeding 5 targets. WR Amon-Ra St. Brown led the team with 5 looks, catching 4 for a team-high 62 yards. It was St. Brown's lowest catch total since Week 9 and fewest targets of any full game this season. Detroit closes the regular season against the Packers, a rematch of a game that finished just 15-9 (in Detroit's favor) in Week 9.

View all Jared Goff Shark Bites »

Lions QB Jared Goff threw for 355 yards and 3 TDs in Saturday's loss to Carolina. He hit TE Shane Zylstra for all 3 scores. WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, as usual, led the team with 13 targets and 7 catches, tallying 76 yards. WR D.J. Chark added 4 receptions for 108 on 5 targets. No other Lion caught more than 2 balls. Detroit gets a weak Chicago defense in Week 17, and won't have weather concerns back home in the dome.

View all Jared Goff Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Jared Goff, QB DET
Dynasty MVP 223.7
Position Rank #26 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
744
1,162
1,908
Dynasty Write-up
Goff, 28, looked like a bridge option for the rebuilding Lions. But he wound up making great strides under 1st-year OC Ben Johnson, putting the former Ram in line to start in 2023. A full plate of weapons -- and an excellent staff -- affords the support to sustain his short-term stock.

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