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Jared Goff - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJared Goff’s Basic Stats

Jared Goff
ADP: N/A
Bye: 5
Experience: 8
Age: 30.1
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 217
40 Time: 4.82

SPARQx (Rank): 81.50 (20%)
Burst Score (Rank): 102.30 (12%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.64 (35%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 58.00 (84%)

Jared Goff's Weekly Outlook

Week 15 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
233.6 1.76 0.7 3.6 15.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
230.2 1.7 0.6 4.2 15.8

Jared Goff's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#13 Quarterback

279.8 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 356.3/529.4 4118.7 30.17 10.2 34.1 64.6 3.4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJared Goff's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Goff has played well the past two years, especially at home. He returns a strong group of pass catchers that would get a boost if WR Jameson Williams is ready to step up. Goff’s lack of rushing limits the ceiling, and you’ll want to primarily play him at home. But he can be an underrated piece of a QB platoon.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Goff tallied seven top-12 finishes in 2023. That’s one more than he produced in 2022 and two more than he had (in 14 games) in 2021, his first season with the Lions.
  • Goff finished five of those seven weeks among the top 6 fantasy QBs. Only four QBs delivered more top 6 weeks.
  • Four of those top 6 finishes and five of the top 12s came at home, where Goff has historically performed much better since arriving in Detroit.
  • Last year found him:
    • Completing 70.1% of passes at home vs. 64.8% on the road
    • Averaging 280.0 yards at home vs. 259.4 on the road
    • Throwing for a 6.8% TD rate at home vs. 3.4% on the road
    • Generating a 107.9 passer rating at home vs. 89.4 on the road
  • For the season, Goff posted his highest TD rate since 2018. He reached 67% completions for the third time in four years.
    • He has climbed from 63.4% completions over five seasons with the Rams to 66.5% over three with the Lions.
    • His average target depth has shortened in Detroit. But the yards per pass attempt have stayed close (7.5 with Rams, 7.3 with Lions). And Goff finished each of the past two years at 7.6 after a low start in Detroit (6.6 in 2021).
  • Goff tallied the second-best fantasy scoring average of his career last season, ranking 14th at the position in points per game. That trailed only his 2018 with the Rams, when they lost to New England in the Super Bowl.

What to Expect in 2024

  • The Lions showed their commitment to Goff by extending him in mid-May. The contract likely locks Goff in at least through 2027.
  • Detroit didn’t add anything to the pass offense but expects to get more from WR Jameson Williams in his third season.
    • HC Dan Campbell called Williams the team’s “most improved” player of the offseason in May.
    • Williams might have started that improvement last season. After averaging 5.0 yards per target over his first 11 career games, he climbed to 10.1 over the next 10.
  • Goff benefited from the emergence of TE Sam LaPorta and RB Jahmyr Gibbs out of last year’s draft class.
  • The Lions retained OC Ben Johnson amid HC interviews. That’s good, because the offense improved with him coordinating over the past two years.
    • Detroit went from 19th in total plays in 2021 (Goff’s first season) to 12th and then second the past two years.
    • The Lions climbed from 25th in points and 22nd in total yards in 2021 to fifth in scoring each of the past two years; fourth and third in yards.
  • The offensive efficiency has helped Goff’s production amid a run-leaning approach.
    • The Lions have ranked 25th in neutral-situation pass rate over the past two years. That included No. 25 ranking last season.
  • Don’t be surprised if Detroit falls from last year’s No. 9 ranking in pass attempts
    • The passing volume could get boosted, though, if the team trails more than last season’s 12-5 version.
  • Goff doesn’t turn 30 until mid-October and should thus be in his prime, according to our historical aging data.

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Jared Goff, QB DET

5:13pm EST 11/24/24

Jared Goff Fine but Can't Find End Zone

Lions QB Jared Goff went a solid 26 of 36 passing (72.2%) for 269 yards (7.47 yards per attempt) in Sunday's win over the Colts. But all three of Detroit's TDs went to RBs, on the ground.

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Lions QB Jared Goff had another efficient and explosive day against the weak pass defense of the Jacksonville Jaguars. He completed 24 of 29 passes for 412 yards and four TDs with the Lions scoring 52 against the Jaguars

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Lions QB Jared Goff had a rough Sunday night against the Texans. He went just 7-of-17 passing for 91 yards in the first half, with 1 TD and 3 INTs -- though the third of those came on a half-ending hail mary. Goff tossed another 2 INTs in the second half. But he also completed eight of 13 throws for 149 yards and another TD in piloting the comeback victory.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Jared Goff, QB DET
Dynasty MVP 10.5
Position Rank #21 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
759
1,210
1,760
Dynasty Write-up
Goff once looked like a bridge option for the rebuilding Lions. But he's made great strides under young OC Ben Johnson, putting the former Ram in line to start well beyond 2023 (especially after signing a mega-extension in May). A strong group of weapons -- Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Sam LaPorta -- support Goff's value.
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