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Justin Fields - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJustin Fields's Basic Stats

Justin Fields
ADP: 17.12
Bye: 9
Experience: 3
Age: 25.3
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 228
40 Time: 4.51

Justin Fields's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
0 0 0 0 0
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
198.6 1.2 0.8 63.4 20.7

Justin Fields's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#34 Quarterback

71.9 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
17.12 70/113.6 807.6 4.88 3.2 31.6 180 1.2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJustin Fields's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Fields retains modest value in dynasty because he’s an instant lineup option if he ever starts another game. And he’s fine as a high-ceiling QB3 in best ball. But expect Russell Wilson to start for the Steelers, with Fields backing him up.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Fields showed some passing improvement in his third season … but not enough.
  • His 67.2 Pro Football Focus passing grade marked a significant improvement vs. 2022 but still ranked just 25th among QBs with 100+ dropbacks – behind Kenny Pickett, among others.
  • A career-low average target depth likely helped produce a career-high adjusted completion rate. That also ranked 25th at the position (just ahead of Matthew Stafford and C.J. Stroud, to be fair).
  • Fields remained a stellar runner. Even at 1.8 fewer yards per carry and 25.7 fewer per game than the year before, Fields finished second among QBs in rushing yards – despite missing four games and half of a fifth.

What to Expect in 2024

  • His stats don’t matter all that much, because the events of this offseason tell us a lot about what we should expect from Fields in 2024: not much.
  • It was one thing for Chicago to quit on him in favor of a QB (Caleb Williams) near-universally viewed as a significant upgrade.
    • But the rest of the league basically said “no thanks” as well. The Bears got only a 2025 conditional sixth-round pick. (Can become a fourth based on playing time.)
    • You can say what you want about how Chicago mishandled the timing or tried to help Fields by sending him to the team he wanted. If any team were hopeful for Fields’ future or viewed him as a potential 2024 starter, he would have garnered more market interest.
  • If Fields does make it onto the field – by Russell Wilson injury or otherwise – he’ll remain a strong fantasy bet simply by virtue of his rushing.

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Justin Fields, QB PIT

8:45am EDT 3/25/24

Justin Fields in the mix for Steelers' job

It was reported when the Steelers traded for QB Justin Fields that he was coming in to back up QB Russell Wilson. HC Mike Tomlin clarified the situation over the weekend, calling Wilson the favorite for the starting job but adding that Fields is in the mix, too. "When it's time to compete, Justin will given an opportunity to compete," Tomlin said. "But I thought it was appropriate to describe it in a way for when we get started. Russell's in pole position, and I think his body of work justifies that." Wilson was decent last year, completing 66.4% of his passes, averaging 6.9 yards per attempt, and ranking 19th among 30 qualifiers in Pro Football Focus' passing grades. It's certainly possible that he plays well enough throughout 2024 to keep Fields on the bench. But fantasy drafters should not be treating Wilson as a locked-in starter at this point. Fields, meanwhile, is tough to spend a pick on in early best-ball drafts. But this could be a nice time to buy low in dynasty leagues.

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The Bears are sending QB Justin Fields to the Steelers for a low-level draft pick. According to ESPN's Adam Schefter, Chicago gets only a sixth-rounder in 2025 that will become a fourth-rounder if he plays at least 51% of Pittsburgh's offensive snaps this year. NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports that a source told him "Russ is the starter." That, of course, refers to Russell Wilson, also recently acquired. It's a steep fall for Fields but a decent landing, behind a 35-year-old starter in clear decline. Fields is also unlikely to have his fifth-year option picked up this offseason. So we're betting he'll hit unrestricted free agency ahead of the 2025 season. We'll see about Fields' status at that point. For now, hold him if you can in dynasty -- just in case he finds a starting opportunity this year. We've seen that Fields can deliver fantasy points even while playing iffy-to-poor football. But Fields isn't a must-hold in shallower formats.

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NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports that the Bears are finalizing a deal to make Shane Waldron their new OC. Waldron spent the past three seasons as Seattle's OC, finding particular success in passing efficiency. The Seahawks finished those years ranked ninth, ninth, and sixth in pass-offense DVOA. That span covered QB Russell Wilson's injury-interrupted final Seattle campaign and then QB Geno Smith's first two as starter. The Seahawks also increased their passing rate the past two years vs. Waldron's first in town. We'll see what the Bears do at QB this offseason. If Justin Fields remains at the 2024 helm, we wouldn't bet on a pass-heavy approach -- though we wouldn't be surprised to see at least a bit more of a lean in that direction. Chicago, of course, owns the No. 1 NFL Draft pick (from the Panthers), though, and could select USC's Caleb Williams. That move could signal a new era of Chicago passing. The uncertainty for both players is likely to make Fields and Williams intriguing values in early best ball drafting.

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The Bears have fired OC Luke Getsy and other members of the offensive staff, NFL Network reports. QBs coach Andrew Janocko is also among the coaches being dumped. Chicago did improve its ranking in both points and yards in the second season under HC Matt Eberflus but still ranked just 18th and 20th, respectively. The Bears also finished just 22nd in offensive DVOA (a slight boost from 24th in 2022). It's tough to say whether these moves tell us anything about the team's plan at QB. Chicago could keep rolling with Justin Fields, move him and replace with a rookie, or keep Fields and draft a QB early. It'll be an interesting offseason for that spot no matter which path the Bears choose. And Fields remains a solid-to-good fantasy asset. We'd bet on him starting somewhere in 2024. You might not want to go buying him in dynasty, though. It's possible Fields' passing struggles knock him out of a consistent starting position beyond the coming season.

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Bears QB Justin Fields completed 20 of 38 passes for 268 yards and a TD in Sunday’s win vs. the Falcons. He also ran for a score and tallied 45 rushing yards on 11 carries in the contest. Though he missed 4 games due to a thumb injury, Fields ranks second among QBs in rushing yards (630) through Week 17 and helped fantasy managers with seven top-12 weekly finishes in four-point per passing TD scoring in that span. It’s evident that he can be a difference-making player, but the largest question looming over him this offseason is still whether or not he’ll be the Bears’ QB in next season. Chicago holds the first overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft and could opt to either part ways with Fields or continue to build the offense around him. It’s reasonable to view him as a low-end QB1/high-end QB2 in dynasty at this stage, though we’ll be anxiously awaiting clarity surrounding his future. Where he suits up next year will have a sizable influence on how he’s viewed moving forward.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Justin Fields, QB PIT
Dynasty MVP 67.4
Position Rank #71 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
209
340
645
Dynasty Write-up
Fields nearly broke Lamar Jackson’s single-season rushing record in 2022. His passing improved in 2023, as he benefited from the arrival of WR D.J. Moore. Fields missed four games with a dislocated thumb, though. And his future as a starter is in question after Chicago traded him to Pittsburgh (for a conditional 6th). For now, Fields is poised to sit behind Russell Wilson.
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