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Justin Fields - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJustin Fields's Basic Stats

Justin Fields
ADP: N/A
Bye: 1
Experience: 3
Age: 24.9
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 228
40 Time: 4.51

Justin Fields's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
199.5 0.94 0.7 49.6 17.6
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
198.6 1.2 0.8 63.4 20.7

Justin Fields's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#12 Quarterback

307.7 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 297.5/484.5 3391.5 15.98 11.9 147.9 843.2 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJustin Fields's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

While he didn’t produce much as a passer last year, Fields was a superstar as a runner with 1,143 yards on the ground.

However, the Bears have invested plenty into bringing in weapons (namely WR D.J. Moore) for their passing attack this offseason.

Whatever improvements Fields can make as a passer on top of his rushing will once again make him an impact QB1.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Fields ascended to QB6 in fantasy points per game.
  • He produced 10 top-12 weekly finishes among 15 games.
  • The Ohio State product stayed mostly healthy, although he had an A/C joint separation in his right shoulder.
    • Fields missed one game with that injury and sat out Week 18 with a hip strain.
  • Passing was not a strong suit. He completed 192 throws on 319 attempts with 2,242 passing yards, 17 TDs, and 11 INTs. Fields ranked dead-last in PFF passing grade among 25 QBs who recorded 400+ dropbacks.
  • The Bears ran an absurdly run-heavy offense, ranking first in team rushing yards per game and 31st in pass rate. They notched the league’s lowest pass rate over expectation since 2016 (-14.1%).
  • Fields recorded the second-most rushing yards (1,143) and third-most carries (160) ever among QBs. He accounted for 30% of the Bears’ team rushing attempts.
  • It’s worth mentioning that Pro Football Focus counts 70 of Fields’ 160 carries (43.75%) as scrambles out of the pocket.
  • The only multi-game starter who faced a higher pressure rate than Fields’ 45.7% was Miami’s Skylar Thompson (two starts). Some of that is on Fields, but there’s clearly room for the Bears’ O-line to improve. If it does, we might see less scrambling going forward.

What to Expect in 2023

  • The Bears figure to remain one of the league’s run-heavier offenses, but expect the rate to come down from last year’s 56.2% – perhaps by a lot.
  • The Bears acquired WR D.J. Moore in a trade that sent the No. 1 pick to Carolina. That came less than six months after the team traded a second-round pick for WR Chase Claypool.
  • It’s pretty evident the team wants to get Fields some weapons and build up that aerial attack.

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Chicago Bears, TQB CHI

7:21am EST 1/22/24

Bears adding pass-friendly OC Shane Waldron

NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports that the Bears are finalizing a deal to make Shane Waldron their new OC. Waldron spent the past three seasons as Seattle's OC, finding particular success in passing efficiency. The Seahawks finished those years ranked ninth, ninth, and sixth in pass-offense DVOA. That span covered QB Russell Wilson's injury-interrupted final Seattle campaign and then QB Geno Smith's first two as starter. The Seahawks also increased their passing rate the past two years vs. Waldron's first in town. We'll see what the Bears do at QB this offseason. If Justin Fields remains at the 2024 helm, we wouldn't bet on a pass-heavy approach -- though we wouldn't be surprised to see at least a bit more of a lean in that direction. Chicago, of course, owns the No. 1 NFL Draft pick (from the Panthers), though, and could select USC's Caleb Williams. That move could signal a new era of Chicago passing. The uncertainty for both players is likely to make Fields and Williams intriguing values in early best ball drafting.

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The Bears have fired OC Luke Getsy and other members of the offensive staff, NFL Network reports. QBs coach Andrew Janocko is also among the coaches being dumped. Chicago did improve its ranking in both points and yards in the second season under HC Matt Eberflus but still ranked just 18th and 20th, respectively. The Bears also finished just 22nd in offensive DVOA (a slight boost from 24th in 2022). It's tough to say whether these moves tell us anything about the team's plan at QB. Chicago could keep rolling with Justin Fields, move him and replace with a rookie, or keep Fields and draft a QB early. It'll be an interesting offseason for that spot no matter which path the Bears choose. And Fields remains a solid-to-good fantasy asset. We'd bet on him starting somewhere in 2024. You might not want to go buying him in dynasty, though. It's possible Fields' passing struggles knock him out of a consistent starting position beyond the coming season.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

Bears QB Justin Fields completed 20 of 38 passes for 268 yards and a TD in Sunday’s win vs. the Falcons. He also ran for a score and tallied 45 rushing yards on 11 carries in the contest. Though he missed 4 games due to a thumb injury, Fields ranks second among QBs in rushing yards (630) through Week 17 and helped fantasy managers with seven top-12 weekly finishes in four-point per passing TD scoring in that span. It’s evident that he can be a difference-making player, but the largest question looming over him this offseason is still whether or not he’ll be the Bears’ QB in next season. Chicago holds the first overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft and could opt to either part ways with Fields or continue to build the offense around him. It’s reasonable to view him as a low-end QB1/high-end QB2 in dynasty at this stage, though we’ll be anxiously awaiting clarity surrounding his future. Where he suits up next year will have a sizable influence on how he’s viewed moving forward.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

Bears QB Justin Fields made his return from a thumb injury in Week 11 vs. Detroit. He instantly paid off for fantasy managers, posting 169-1 passing and 104 rushing yards on 18(!) attempts. (Those 18 attempts matched a career-high.) His lone score came on a beautiful deep ball to D.J. Moore, who led the team with 9 targets, 7 catches, and 96 yards. Week 12 turns up a neutral matchup vs. the Vikings, followed by a Week 13 bye. Fields will be a no-doubt QB1 down the stretch, especially for matchups with Detroit (Week 14), Arizona (Week 16) and Atlanta (Week 17).

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

Bears QB Justin Fields (thumb) put in a full week of practice and isn’t listed on the final Week 11 injury report. He’ll be back for Sunday’s game against the Lions after missing the past four. Fields carries elevated risk coming off the throwing-thumb injury. But the full practices are encouraging. And, of course, Fields derives much of his fantasy value from his rushing production. See where he sits in the Week 11 QB Rankings.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Justin Fields, QB UNS
Dynasty MVP 281.5
Position Rank #23 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
895
1,434
2,595
Dynasty Write-up
Fields nearly broke Lamar Jackson’s single-season rushing record in 2022. His passing improved in 2023, as he benefited from the arrival of WR D.J. Moore. Fields missed four games with a dislocated thumb, though. And it's quite possible the Bears select a rookie QB at the top of the 2024 draft.
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