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Justin Fields - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJustin Fields's Basic Stats

Justin Fields
ADP: 11.8
Bye: 14
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23.3
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 228
40 Time: 4.51

Justin Fields's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#26 Quarterback

294.4 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
11.8 324.3/523 3661 20.9 13.1 112 582.4 3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJustin Fields's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • The Bears landed Fields at 11th overall in the 2021 draft. He was the 4th QB selected.
  • Limited by former HC Matt Nagy’s fascination with Andy Dalton and rib, ankle and hand injuries, Fields went on to start only 10 games. He also missed 1 game on the COVID list.
  • The rookie ranked top-10 in fantasy scoring 4 times, with 3 such finishes coming over his final 5 games.
  • His rushing production was key. Fields totaled 72-420-2, highlighted by games with 103 and 74 yards.
  • Playing behind a bad O-line, Fields’ passing was never consistent.
  • He ranked 29th among 33 qualifiers in on-target rate. Note: He dealt with the 3rd-highest drop rate in the sample.
  • Among 33 QBs with 250+ dropbacks, Fields ranked 21st in YPA, 27th in PFF passing grade and 33rd in adjusted completion rate.
  • He did push the ball down field, ranking 2nd behind Russell Wilson in average depth of target.
  • Per USA Today’s Doug Farrar, Fields had the NFL’s highest passer rating (138.5) on designed rollouts. They were called on only 7% of his passes, though. Look for that number to grow in 2022 under a new staff.
  • The Bears have 213 vacated targets, with the biggest chunk coming from new Ram Allen Robinson.
  • Chicago failed to upgrade Field’s supporting cast. Byron Pringle, Equanimeous St. Brown and rookie speedster Velus Jones are the primary candidates for snaps behind Darnell Mooney.
  • This O-line doesn’t look much better. The play of OT Teven Jenkins will be key; the 2nd-year Round 2 pick played only 6 games following back surgery.
  • New OC Luke Getsy arrives after spending 3 seasons as Green Bay’s QBs coach. He’s never called plays at the NFL level.
  • He’s spoken highly of Fields. From early May: "I've been super impressed with him, I really have," Getsy said. "There's no one in the building that works harder than him. There's no one that cares more than him. We're off to a great start. He's really accepted this challenge. We're asking a lot of him to learn a lot of new things. He's been a pleasure to work with.”
  • HC Matt Eberflus talked up Fields’ deep ball in June, indicating that it’ll remain a key aspect of the offense.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

While there’s some refining to be done, we love Fields as an uber-talented passer.

His rushing upside is clear. And an upgraded coaching staff helps boost the case for a 2022 breakout.

However, a lack of playmakers makes it tough to place Fields much higher than the middle of QB2 range. Like so many QBs around him, the 2nd-year man projects as a matchup-based spot-starter.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Justin Fields, QB CHI

8:30pm EDT 6/24/22

Bears 'happy' with development

ESPN's Jeremy Fowler says he's "told" the Bears like the way QB Justin Fields has developed this offseason. Specifically, the 2nd-year QB has reportedly quickened his release when passing and improved at throwing on the move. "The Bears are excited for offensive coordinator Luke Getsy's system, which should give Fields more space to operate," Fowler writes. Even if you're not ready to fully buy in on Fields, he's going 15th among QBs in FFPC ADP and 16th on Underdog. There's plenty of fantasy upside from that range even if Fields struggles from a real-life perspective.

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Bears HC Matt Eberflus talked up Justin Fields’ deep ball ability at OTAs. “I would say, ‘Man, he throws a good deep ball,’ ” Eberflus said. “I’m excited about that. And you could see it in the seven-on-seven and 11-on-11s, and we’re gonna take our shots down the field and, man, he does a nice job doing that. And that’s what stands out to me.” Fields wasn’t afraid to go deep last year, posting the league's 2nd highest intended air yards per attempt (33 qualifiers). A lack of weapons is troubling, but the arrival of Round 3 pick Velus Jones at least supplies another deep threat alongside Darnell Mooney.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

New Bears OC Luke Getsy commented on the development of QB Justin Fields. ‘‘I’ve been super-impressed with him, I really have,’’ Getsy said. ‘‘There’s no one in this building that works harder than him. There’s no one that cares more than him. We’re off to a great start. He’s really accepted this challenge. We’re asking a lot of him, to learn a lot of new things. He’s been a pleasure to work with.’’ Formerly Green Bay’s QB coach/pass game coordinator, Getsy is expected to implement “a mix of outside-zone and read-option runs with a vertical passing attack,” per beat writer Pat Finley. Getsy’s almost certainly an upgrade over the old regime. But a lack of weapons around Fields for 2022 remains a serious concern.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

The Bears are set to hire Luke Getsy as their new OC, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Getsy has spent the past 3 years as the Packers' QBs coach and passing-game coordinator under Matt LaFleur. Getsy previously worked under Mike McCarthy in Green Bay and has coaching experience at 6 different colleges. He held the OC title at Indiana (PA) in 2011 and 2012 and at Mississippi State in 2018. That Bulldogs team ranked outside the top 60 in total yards and points. Getsy is largely an unknown heading into 2022. The Packers, meanwhile, are expected to promote offensive line coach Adam Stenavich to OC.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

The Bears are hiring Matt Eberflus as their new HC. The 51-year-old has been in the NFL since 2009, working as a LBs coach in Cleveland and Dallas before getting the DC job in Indianapolis in 2018. Under Eberflus over the past 4 seasons, the Colts ranked top 10 in points allowed, yards allowed and takeaways. We'll see who he tabs to run the Bears offense.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Justin Fields, QB CHI
Dynasty MVP 292.9
Position Rank #20 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
915
1,580
2,579
Dynasty Write-up
Fields needs work as a passer, but his rookie-year rushing output was enough to excite us long-term. Chicago moving on from Matt Nagy was a fine first offseason step. Next up is upgrading the supporting cast around David Montgomery and Darnell Mooney. That's failed to happen this offseason, putting a damper on Fields' short-term upside.

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