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Justin Fields - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Justin Fields
CHI

QB CHI

#16 Quarterback

294 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 10
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: N/A
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 228
40 Time: Not Available

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#16 Quarterback

294 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 290/468 3323 19 11 390

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

220.5

DS Projection

294

Consensus

38 other sites
0

High Ceiling

361.6

Ceiling Likelihood

High
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Fields entered college dead-even with Trevor Lawrence in recruiting rankings, with the 2 of them splitting the top spots across recruiting services.
  • As a 1st-time starter at Ohio State in 2019, Fields ranked 3rd in the nation in passing efficiency. He trailed only Joe Burrow and Jalen Hurts.
  • Fields also ranked 8th nationally with 9.2 yards per pass attempt that season and delivered a terrific 11.6% passing-TD rate.
  • In 2020, he posted 9.3 YPA. Even better, Fields ranked 2nd among 154 draft-eligible QBs in Pro Football Focus’ adjusted completion rate -- trailing only Mac Jones.
  • PFF deemed him “one of the most accurate quarterbacks we’ve ever charted.”
  • Fields ran a 4.46-second 40 at his pro day. Even if you give that the 0.05 pro-day penalty, Fields would still rank 99th percentile at the position.
  • The former Buckeye ranked 13th in scrambles per dropback among 154 draft-eligible QBs in 2020, according to PFF data. He averaged a scramble every 8.5 dropbacks. Zach Wilson averaged 1 every 22.8, Lawrence 1 every 36.4 and Jones 1 every 47.6. (There’s no data for Lance, who played just 1 game in 2020.)
  • Check our Dynasty Prospect Scouting Report for more, including clips of Fields in action.
  • The Bears signed Andy Dalton this offseason to a 1-year, $10 million contract and tweeted on March 24 that he was “QB1.”
  • The NFL drafted 58 first-round QBs from 2002 (expanded to 32 teams) and last season. On average, the 1st start for those players came in Game 7.5. The median for the group: Game 4.
  • Widdle it down to the 36 QBs taken among the top 12 picks, and the average 1st start comes in Game 5.35. The median: Game 3.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Fields enjoyed a terrific 2 seasons as Ohio State’s starter. Chicago jumped up from #20 to #11 to secure Fields.

Sure, Matt Nagy was on the Kansas City staff that sat Patrick Mahomes for a year behind Alex Smith. And the same could happen here. But Nagy might be coaching for his job. More importantly, Fields is simply a bigger talent. History says a highly drafted QB is likely to start at some point in his rookie season -- and usually sooner than later. We’re betting Fields starts more games than Dalton this year. The more games he starts, the more opportunity to turn his combo of rushing and passing ability into a high fantasy ceiling. Fields carries immediate upside well into the position’s top 12.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Athletic's Adam Jahns expects the Bears offense to feature more deep passes this season. "[HC Matt] Nagy’s offense has always been vertical," Jahns writes. "His practices in the offseason program and camp have featured plenty of shots down the field, including this year with [Andy] Dalton and [Justin] Fields in OTAs and minicamp. Nagy wants to be aggressive down the field. It’s in his playbook and in his nature as a coach and play-caller." QB Mitchell Trubisky struggled throwing deep over the past few seasons -- but it's a strength of Fields' game. More deep shots would be particularly good news for speedy WR Darnell Mooney.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports that Bears HC Matt Nagy wants to have QB Andy Dalton spend this season as the starter, with Justin Fields learning behind him. Nagy, of course, was the Chiefs OC in 2017, when K.C. traded up to 10 to draft Patrick Mahomes and then sat him for a year behind Alex Smith. Overall, history says that Fields is more likely to enter the starting lineup at some point this season. But this report is worth taking seriously for at least current best-ball drafting. Dalton doesn't come close to Fields in upside for either real or fantasy football, but he's pretty similar to what Smith was in 2017. Dalton does throw a lot more INTs, however, than Smith did. He has also posted sub-.500 win-loss records in his past 5 seasons. It's hard to imagine a struggling Bears team not making a switch to Fields. It's also worth noting that Fields enters the league as a more-polished passer than Mahomes did. We'll see if the buzz changes once we get into training camp and preseason.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

The Bears traded up from #20 to #11 to snag Ohio State QB Justin Fields. Fields’ career has run parallel with that of Trevor Lawrence since high school. He entered college essentially tied with Lawrence as the nation’s top recruit. After a year at Georgia, Fields starred across 2 Ohio State seasons. He delivered 63 TD passes vs. just 9 INTs while completing 68.4% of his throws at 9.3 yards per attempt. Fields ranked 2nd only to Alabama’s Mac Jones in Pro Football Focus adjusted completion rate among draft-eligible QBs in 2020 (80.8%). Fields adds dynamic running ability, tallying 1,133 yards and 19 TDs on the ground for his college career. Fields hits the NFL with at least as much fantasy upside as Lawrence and the potential to deliver QB1-level numbers right away. It shouldn’t take him long to beat out Andy Dalton for the starting job in Chicago.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

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