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Justin Fields - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Justin Fields
CHI

QB CHI

#14 Quarterback

301 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 10
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 22
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 228
40 Time: 4.46

Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 14
Fields played pretty well throughout the game against the Packers on Sunday Night Football in a losing effort. A lot of his passing yards came from 2 big plays though, a 46-yard TD “pass” on a push pass to Jakeem Grant in the 2nd quarter and a HB option route 54-yard TD pass to Damiere Byrd in the 2nd quarter. He did throw a pick 6 on a bad throw to Darnell Mooney in the 2nd quarter as well though. Fields suffered a bruised non-throwing hand in the Sunday Night Football loss, but it does not appear it will impact him long-term. The future is bright at QB for the Chicago Bears. He finished the night 18/33 for 224 yards, 2 TDs, and 2 INTs. He added 9 carries for 74 yards on the ground, a lot of that was picked up late in the game. Fields injured non-throwing hand does not sound like it will be an issue but keep an eye on practice reports this week. We have Fields ranked as our QB14 this week against the Vikings. The Vikings defense has given up 3+ passing TDs in 3 of their last 4 games. The next three games on the Bears schedule to wrap up the fantasy football playoffs include MIN, @SEA, and NYG.
Week 9
Fields had a mostly forgettable 1st half. He was able to connect with Cole Kmet on a couple of occasions but had very little yardage and the Bears failed to find the end zone. However, with the Bears trailing at the half, they used extra bodies to keep Fields well-protected against a strong Pittsburgh pass rush, and the QB had a number of downfield connections with Kmet, Allen Robinson, and Marquise Goodwin that led to him blowing away his previous high of 209 passing yards. Although he wasn’t looking to run as a primary option, he did well on a number of occasions to break contain, leading to 45 yards on 8 carries.

Down the stretch, Fields doesn’t have a great schedule, as he doesn’t face a defense outside the top 20 against QBs from Weeks 12 through 18. He’ll also be up against a number of teams (Baltimore, Arizona, Green Bay, and Minnesota) that are likely to put significant pressure on him in creative ways. That said, he’s rushed for at least 38 yards in each of his last 4 games, and as long as he keeps producing as a runner, he has a chance of being a borderline QB1 the rest of the way.
Week 8
Fields played his best game at the NFL level on Sunday. He completed 19 of 27 passes for 175 yards with a TD and an INT. He also added 103 and a TD on 10 rush attempts. It was the second time this season he had double-digit carries. He also more than doubled his previous rush yardage total with 43 yards being his previous season high.

Going forward, there is reason to be optimistic about the rest of the season for Fields. The passing yardage has not come to fruition like many had hoped, but he has the potential to post big rushing numbers every week.

He has thrown for a passing TD in 3 of the last 4 starts. Fields is also running more consistently with 24 attempts over the past 3 weeks. This is a real departure from the 3 or less attempts he had in 4 of his first 5 games.

If the rushing work can stay, it should provide a decent floor with more fantasy impactful games coming when the passing game clicks. He is a compelling streaming option when the schedule dictates it.
Week 7
Fields’ Week 7 performance in Tampa Bay can only be described as a disaster. He completed 22 of 32 passes for just 184 yards, 0 TDs and 3 INTs.

Fields didn’t get much help from his offensive line. He was pressured on 30.2% of his drop backs, per Pro Football Focus, and was sacked 4 times. But Fields wasn’t good, either. His processing was slow and his passes inaccurate. Pro Football Focus graded Fields as the worst passer of the week out of 30 qualifiers.

Fields and the Bears offense are a mess right now. The rookie clearly has a long way to go and isn’t getting help from his play callers or teammates. He’s not even a viable fantasy play in 2-QB or Superflex leagues.
Week 6
Sunday was a positive performance for the Fields. He appeared to be much more comfortable in the pocket, delivering the ball on time and showing off the rushing ability. He completed 16 of 27 passes for 174 yards with a TD and an INT. The INT came on what should have been an offsides call against the Packers. Fields thought he had a free play and let it rip to the end zone.

On the ground, Fields added 43 yards on his 6 rush attempts. It was his best rushing performance of the season from a yards perspective. While the rush attempts were not a season high, they was twice as many as each of the 3 previous weeks.

Going forward, this performance should provide some optimism to a situation that seemed bleak. Fields had his most passing attempts in this game. And this was the 2nd straight game where he threw a TD.

The Bears have the Buccaneers, 49ers and Steelers in the coming weeks. All three can be had via the pass, including the Bucs, who are allowing the 4th most fantasy points to the position. With bye week barrage upcoming, Fields could make for a reasonable streaming option.
Week 5
It was an underwhelming performance on Sunday for Fields, who completed 12 of 20 passes for 111 yards and a TD. He also added 4 rushing yards on 3 attempts. Fields did leave the game after getting banged up but returned to the field after 2 plays.

Going forward, this offense remains inept and not for a lack of talent. Matt Nagy is seriously holding back his rookie QB from taking this offense to where it needs to be. We spent the offseason salivating over the potential of this offense, but it has yet to find the form we expected to see. Until things change with the play calling it will be hard to start Fields in any format.
Week 4
Fields completed 12 of 18 passes for 215 yards and 1 INT in the Bears' 24-14 Week 4 win over the Lions. He rushed 3 times for an additional 9 yards.
Fields wasn’t asked to do much with the Bears defense dominating and getting off to an early big lead.
He hit Darnell Mooney for a 64-yard completion and had a few excellent passes, but in the end was a let-down for fantasy with the Bears rushing for 3 TDs and electing to go run heavy.
We’ll see if Fields gets another start in Week 5 vs. Vegas, but he’s only an option in 2-QB leagues right now.
Week 3
Fields’ Week 3 numbers support the narrative of a rookie QB unready for the pro game: 6-of-20 passing, 68 yards, 9 sacks.

The game film itself certainly isn’t good. But it also shows more of a young player set up to fail than a rookie flubbing his opportunity.

First came the pressure. According to Pro Football Focus, Fields took pressure on 53.3% of his dropbacks, 2nd only to Carson Wentz (53.8%) in Week 3. Of the 16 pressures among his 30 dropbacks, PFF charged 14 to Bears blockers. Cleveland also converted 56.3% of those pressures into sacks. That was the highest rate for any QB on the week, with Dak Prescott the only other higher than 35.7%.

Fields took some blame in that area as well. PFF charged him with “some responsibility” for pressure on 20% of dropbacks, tied for 5th-highest among starting QBs. Altogether, that area was enough to ruin Fields’ debut.

On top of that, though, the Bears couldn’t run the ball: 34 yards on 10 RB carries, with nearly half of that accounted for on David Montgomery’s game-opening, 16-yard run. Ill-timed sacks and penalties added to the difficulty in extending several drives. A 2nd-quarter possession, for example, found Fields sailing a pass over Darnell Mooney’s head on 2nd-and-short, then a false start by G Germain Ifedi turning a sneakable play into 3rd-and-5. Fields took a sack in the ensuing obvious passing situation.

Later, Fields got creative and underhanded a 3rd-and-9 pass to Cole Kmet for 6 yards. But a holding penalty wiped out the play. The rookie QB then threw a nice ball on 3rd-and-19 that drew a 48-yard PI call on Browns S John Johnson vs. Allen Robinson. Good pickup for the Bears, but another 48 yards Fields didn’t get on the stat sheet.

The rookie's mere 3 rushes for 12 yards in the game might be the most disappointing aspect for fantasy players. But no room in the pocket also meant little room for running. And the Bears clearly didn't design much rushing work into the Fields plan.

In his 3 preseason outings, we saw Fields rush once per every 4.45 pass attempts. When he relieved Andy Dalton in Week 2, he finished with 10 rushes vs. 13 pass attempts. So we should expect more runs going forward than we saw in Cleveland.

Of course, this whole package means we can’t trust Fields in our Week 4 fantasy lineups, even with a much better matchup against Detroit. Just know that the rookie’s actual performance wasn’t nearly as hopeless as his stat line might indicate.

Whether to hold him through these growing pains depends heavily on your QB situation and league format. In common 1-QB setups for leagues of 12 teams or fewer, don't feel like you need to stay patient if you already have a quality QB1.
Week 2
It looks as if the Justin Fields era has begun in Chicago, at least for now. Andy Dalton left Sunday’s game a couple of times after an awkward hop going out of bounds after a scramble.

Reports out of Chicago say Dalton is dealing with a bone bruise and there is no timetable for his return at the time this was written. NFL Network's Tom Pelissero said, “QB Andy Dalton is considered week-to-week with his knee injury. No final decision, but Justin Fields appears to be in line to make his first NFL start Sunday at Cleveland.” HC Matt Nagy did reiterate that Dalton would be the starter when healthy, which is less than ideal. We shall see if this sticks or not.

This probably has less to do with Dalton and more to do with the the less-than-ideal decision making from Fields at the end of the first half and throughout the 2nd half. He completed 6 of 13 passes for just 60 yards and an INT. He also fumbled the ball while scrambling, leading to a punt. He did add 31 yards on his 10 rushes. This potential production should add a bit of safety to his weekly floor

Fields had the following target distribution while running the show:

- Darnell Mooney: 4

- Allen Robinson: 3

- Marquise Goodwin: 3

- David Montgomery/Cole Kmet/Damien Williams: 1 each

Giving Fields a week of preparation as the starter should make things better going forward, as long as he remains the guy. He should open up the offense a bit and allow for plays that Andy Dalton just can’t make to be on the table.
Week 1
Fields only was on the field for 5 snaps and he outproduced Andy Dalton in fantasy points. The guy just brings a different element to the game that Andy Dalton doesn’t have at this point in his career. The defense must be aware of Fields taking off at any point and must account for every inch of the field. Fields was able to get into the end zone on a 3-yard rush off a read option in the third quarter. He also finished 2 for 2 for 10 yards in the passing game. It’s only a matter of time before we get to see Justin Fields taking all the snaps for this Bears offense.
Matt Nagy hasn’t named a starter for the Bears’ Week 2 game against Cincinnati yet, but it appears Andy Dalton will get another start. We have Fields at QB35 this week. However, if Nagy is watching the same thing we are, Fields will be named the starter sooner than later. He gives the Bears a better chance to win games, plain and simple. We have him at QB12 the rest of the season. If this guy is somehow on your waiver wire, go get him now because it won’t be long before he is putting up big numbers as the starter for the Bears.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Fields entered college dead-even with Trevor Lawrence in recruiting rankings, with the 2 of them splitting the top spots across recruiting services.
  • As a 1st-time starter at Ohio State in 2019, Fields ranked 3rd in the nation in passing efficiency. He trailed only Joe Burrow and Jalen Hurts.
  • Fields also ranked 8th nationally with 9.2 yards per pass attempt that season and delivered a terrific 11.6% passing-TD rate.
  • In 2020, he posted 9.3 YPA. Even better, Fields ranked 2nd among 154 draft-eligible QBs in Pro Football Focus’ adjusted completion rate -- trailing only Mac Jones.
  • PFF deemed him “one of the most accurate quarterbacks we’ve ever charted.”
  • Fields ran a 4.46-second 40 at his pro day. Even if you give that the 0.05 pro-day penalty, Fields would still rank 99th percentile at the position.
  • The former Buckeye ranked 13th in scrambles per dropback among 154 draft-eligible QBs in 2020, according to PFF data. He averaged a scramble every 8.5 dropbacks. Zach Wilson averaged 1 every 22.8, Lawrence 1 every 36.4 and Jones 1 every 47.6. (There’s no data for Lance, who played just 1 game in 2020.)
  • Check our Dynasty Prospect Scouting Report for more, including clips of Fields in action.
  • The Bears signed Andy Dalton this offseason to a 1-year, $10 million contract and tweeted on March 24 that he was “QB1.”
  • The NFL drafted 58 first-round QBs from 2002 (expanded to 32 teams) and last season. On average, the 1st start for those players came in Game 7.5. The median for the group: Game 4.
  • Widdle it down to the 36 QBs taken among the top 12 picks, and the average 1st start comes in Game 5.35. The median: Game 3.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Fields enjoyed a terrific 2 seasons as Ohio State’s starter. Chicago jumped up from #20 to #11 to secure Fields.

Sure, Matt Nagy was on the Kansas City staff that sat Patrick Mahomes for a year behind Alex Smith. And the same could happen here. But Nagy might be coaching for his job. More importantly, Fields is simply a bigger talent. History says a highly drafted QB is likely to start at some point in his rookie season -- and usually sooner than later. We’re betting Fields starts more games than Dalton this year. The more games he starts, the more opportunity to turn his combo of rushing and passing ability into a high fantasy ceiling. Fields carries immediate upside well into the position’s top 12.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Bears fired HC Matt Nagy. This move has been anticipated for weeks now. Nagy went 12-4 in his first season at the helm but totaled only 22 wins over the past 3 seasons. He also didn't seem to maximize QB Justin Fields' skill set this year. Chicago's next HC hire will be key for Fields' development.

Update: Chicago also fired GM Ryan Pace.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

Bears QB Justin Fields was placed on the COVID list on Thursday. He'll very likely miss this weekend's finale vs. the Vikings. That figures to put Andy Dalton back under center for Chicago.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

Bears HC Matt Nagy said QB Justin Fields (ankle) will put in a full practice on Wednesday and start Sunday's finale vs. the Vikings. Fields has missed the past 2 games, but he finished as a top-10 fantasy QB in each of his previous 4 full games. He's an intriguing Week 18 DFS play.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

Bears QB Justin Fields (ankle) got in a limited practice on Wednesday. We'll see if he can make it back for this weekend's game vs. the Giants, but Fields will be tough to trust in fantasy lineups if he's not at 100%.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

Bears QB Justin Fields (ankle) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Seahawks. Someone named Ryan Willis will back up QB Nick Foles.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

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