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Justin Fields - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJustin Fields's Basic Stats

Justin Fields
ADP: 4.11
Bye: 13
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24.5
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 228
40 Time: 4.51

Justin Fields's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
192 1.1 0.9 56 18.6
Weekly Writeup
Fields dudded again last week, but there was some good news. His seven designed runs and 11 total runs were both season highs -- and both above his 2022 per-game averages. If that continues, Fields should at least be a low-end QB1. Week 4 brings a get-right matchup vs. a Broncos defense that just gave up 70 points.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
161.2 1.1 0.7 59.5 17.7

Justin Fields's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#16 Quarterback

283.4 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
4.11 250.1/397 2579.2 17.2 11.9 152 951.7 7.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJustin Fields's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

While he didn’t produce much as a passer last year, Fields was a superstar as a runner with 1,143 yards on the ground.

However, the Bears have invested plenty into bringing in weapons (namely WR D.J. Moore) for their passing attack this offseason.

Whatever improvements Fields can make as a passer on top of his rushing will once again make him an impact QB1.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Fields ascended to QB6 in fantasy points per game.
  • He produced 10 top-12 weekly finishes among 15 games.
  • The Ohio State product stayed mostly healthy, although he had an A/C joint separation in his right shoulder.
    • Fields missed one game with that injury and sat out Week 18 with a hip strain.
  • Passing was not a strong suit. He completed 192 throws on 319 attempts with 2,242 passing yards, 17 TDs, and 11 INTs. Fields ranked dead-last in PFF passing grade among 25 QBs who recorded 400+ dropbacks.
  • The Bears ran an absurdly run-heavy offense, ranking first in team rushing yards per game and 31st in pass rate. They notched the league’s lowest pass rate over expectation since 2016 (-14.1%).
  • Fields recorded the second-most rushing yards (1,143) and third-most carries (160) ever among QBs. He accounted for 30% of the Bears’ team rushing attempts.
  • It’s worth mentioning that Pro Football Focus counts 70 of Fields’ 160 carries (43.75%) as scrambles out of the pocket.
  • The only multi-game starter who faced a higher pressure rate than Fields’ 45.7% was Miami’s Skylar Thompson (two starts). Some of that is on Fields, but there’s clearly room for the Bears’ O-line to improve. If it does, we might see less scrambling going forward.

What to Expect in 2023

  • The Bears figure to remain one of the league’s run-heavier offenses, but expect the rate to come down from last year’s 56.2% – perhaps by a lot.
  • The Bears acquired WR D.J. Moore in a trade that sent the No. 1 pick to Carolina. That came less than six months after the team traded a second-round pick for WR Chase Claypool.
  • It’s pretty evident the team wants to get Fields some weapons and build up that aerial attack.

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Justin Fields, QB CHI

7:50pm EDT 9/24/23

Justin Fields whiffs in Week 3

Bears QB Justin Fields completed 11 of 22 attempts for 99 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT in Week 3’s loss vs. the Chiefs. He also added 47 rushing yards on 11 carries in the contest, but this 41-10 blowout loss is just the latest blemish on what’s been a terrible start to the season for Chicago. It’s fair to question at this point if Fields can even be trusted for fantasy purposes. Fortunately, the Bears are set to face off against the Broncos in Week 4. The Denver defense just got annihilated by the Dolphins, so maybe there’ll be some hope for Fields.

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Bears QB Justin Fields posted 24 completions on 37 attempts for 216 passing yards with 1 TD and 1 INT in Sunday’s loss vs. the Packers. The speedster also added 59 yards on 9 carries with a lost fumble in the contest. It’s too early in the season to declare the Bears’ experiment of supporting Fields’ passing a failure, though fantasy managers didn’t see much evidence of a step forward in Week 1. It certainly wasn't for a lack of passing volume, either. Their big offseason acquisition, WR D.J. Moore, recorded just 2 catches for 25 yards. Fields will have a chance to bounce back in Week 2 vs. the Buccaneers, a team that surrendered the second-most passing yards (344) in the NFL on Sunday.

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Bears WR Darnell Mooney said QB Justin Fields's biggest area of growth is his knowledge of the playbook. "There's no confusion there at all,” Mooney said on Wednesday. Per beat writer Courtney Cronin, Fields has called plays himself in walk-throughs during two-minute drills — something he didn’t do in 2022. Entering Year 2 in the same system, it’d be a disappointment if Fields wasn’t showing growth. The arrival of WR D.J. Moore simply adds to his passing ceiling.

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Sports Illustrated’s Albert Breer believes Bears QB Justin Fields has shown growth in training camp. Per Breer: “The ball’s coming out faster, and he’s throwing with more accuracy…[Fields] looks looser out there in large part because he’s moving more efficiently (with improved footwork) and the picture of all that’s around him is clearer to him than it was a year ago.” Chicago’s O-line received a shout-out, too — specifically the arrivals of G Nate Davis and Round 1 rookie OT Darnell Wright. See where Fields sits in our updated fantasy QB rankings.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler passed along an update on the development of Bears QB Justin Fields. "The people I've spoken to out of Chicago say that Fields is 'slingin' it' this offseason,” Fowler said on SportsCenter. “And that he's had a nice command of the Bears offense, [OC] Luke Getsy's second year in that system. He's changing plays at the line of scrimmage in OTAs and minicamp, felt good about taking ownership of things, how the offense should be run as a whole.” The coaching staff also wants Fields to be “more decisive” in 2023, with the goal of turning more scrambles into easy completions. While that sounds bad fantasy-wise, Fields was always a long shot to post another 1,100+ rushing yards. He still profiles as a weekly QB1.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Justin Fields, QB CHI
Dynasty MVP 267.0
Position Rank #13 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
817
1,358
2,566
Dynasty Write-up
Fields nearly broke Lamar Jackson’s single-season rushing record in 2022. The Bears upgraded his supporting cast by adding WR D.J. Moore in March.
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