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Mar'Keise Irving - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsMar'Keise Irving's Basic Stats

Draft Sharks
ADP: N/A
Bye: 11
Experience: 0
Age: 21.8
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 192
40 Time: 4.55
Burst Score (Rank): 107.70 (7%)

Mar'Keise Irving's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
22.1 0.13 1.3 9.9 0.05 3.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Mar'Keise Irving's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#49 Running Back

99.3 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 95.8 400 2.36 0 0 22.6 173.6 0.86

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsMar'Keise Irving's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

The Buccaneers addressed their lack of RB depth by drafting Irving in the fourth round of the NFL Draft.

Irving is multi-faceted, leading Oregon in rushing over the last two years while also being a major part of the passing game.

His talent gives him an instant edge to be the bac-up RB to Rachaad White and earn snaps. If White gets injured, Irving could be an every-week fantasy starter.

We are higher on Irving than his ADP as an upside shot to take late in drafts.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Irving was selected by the Buccaneers with the 125th overall pick in the fourth round of the 2024 NFL Draft.
  • He spent one season at Minnesota and two seasons at Oregon.
  • Irving led Oregon in rushing over the last two seasons.
  • He never missed a college game due to injury.
  • In 2023, he had the best year of his career:
    • 186 carries
    • 1,180 yards
    • 6.34 yards per carry
    • 11 rushing TDs
  • Irving recorded the 25th most rushing yards in the FBS.
  • He ranked 44th in the FBS in rushing yards per game with 84.29.
  • Irving is also a capable receiver. He graded 13th among RBs in Pro Football Focus receiving grade last year, totaling 56 receptions for 413 yards and two TDs.
  • At the NFL Combine, Irving measured in at 5’9, 192 pounds
  • He ran a 4.55 40-yard dash at the Combine and registered a poor 2.22 Relative Athletic Score.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Irving enters his first season with the Buccaneers under HC Todd Bowles
  • New OC Liam Coen spent last year as the Kentucky OC after coordinating the Rams in 2022.
    • In 2022, the Rams ranked 25th with 411 rushing attempts.
  • The Buccaneers are expected to take a slight step backward. They are tied for second in the NFC South with a 7.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • The Buccaneers have the 21st-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +5500 on most sportsbooks, second best in the division.
  • Irving enters his first season at 22 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average RB with Irving’s draft capital and profile produces at 98% of his peak value at age-22.
  • Rachaad White is the clear favorite to lead Bucs RBs in carries this season. But there’s room for Irving to steal some touches considering how inefficient White was last season. Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries last year, he ranked:
    • 44th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • 28th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
    • 46th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Mar'Keise Irving, RB TB

1:23pm EDT 4/27/24

Buccaneers draft backfield challenger in Bucky Irving

The Buccaneers drafted Oregon RB Bucky Irving in the fourth round of the NFL Draft. Irving earned 133 carries as a freshman at Minnesota, but left after that season. He transferred to Oregon in 2022 and immediately earned a 1A backfield role. That year, the 192-pounder showed surprising power with 4.36 yards after contact per attempt. Nearly 22% of his carries went for 10+ yards en route to a career-best 6.8 yards per carry. Irving struggled with drops, but that issue proved less worrisome in 2023. Irving even led the nation in receptions by a RB (55). He showed scheme versatility by lining up out wide on 13.2% of his passing snaps. He played the slot nearly 10% of the time. On the ground, Irving remained productive while running both gap and zone concepts. The junior posted career highs in carries (186), yards (1,192), and TDs (11). By mid-winter, it looked like Irving had a chance to be among the first couple of RBs selected. Then came a horrid NFL Combine that included a 2.25 Relative Athletic Score. Irving posted a 26th-percentile broad jump (9'7) and 4th-percentile vertical (29.5 inches). He came off the board sixth among RBs, though, and lands in a Tampa Bay backfield that presents opportunity. Rachaad White enjoyed a breakout 2023 but did so primarily thanks to touch volume. He ranked sixth-lowest among qualifiers in rush yards over expected per attempt, according to NFL Next Gen Stats. Among 63 RBs with at least 60 carries, White ranked just 48th in yards after contact per attempt (according to Pro Football Focus). He even checked in just 27th in PFF receiving grade among 61 RBs with at least 20 targets. Expect Irving to siphon some work from White right away, with a chance to keep earning more. This is a good landing spot for Irving's dynasty outlook. We'll see where he lands in rookie ADP.

View all Mar'Keise Irving Shark Bites »

Oregon RB Bucky Irving posted a weak 3.71 Relative Athletic Score in Scouting Combine testing Saturday. That ranks 1,111 among 1,765 RBs since 1987, according to RAS.football. That's not good, but it's also not necessarily a killer. We need only look back two years to find Kyren Williams scoring even lower in his Combine workout. The fifth-round pick of the Rams endured a quiet rookie campaign before a breakthrough 2023. Like Williams, Irving delivered a productive college career. That included leading the Ducks in carries and yards per carry each of the past two years, averaging 6.2 yards per rush for his career, averaging 8.3 yards per catch for his career, and tallying 95 career receptions. His Combine testing should temper excitement for his NFL upside and seems likely to hurt his draft status. But it certainly doesn't kill his chances of becoming fantasy relevant.

View all Mar'Keise Irving Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Mar'Keise Irving, RB TB
Dynasty MVP 67.3
Position Rank #65 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
217
347
602
Dynasty Write-up
Irving performed as one of the most elusive RBs in this class. From 2022 to 2023, he forced a missed tackle every 2.5 carries – a terrific mark. He’s undersized at 5’9, 192 pounds, and pass protection limitations could limit his snaps early on. Irving also bombed at the Combine, registering an ugly 3.71 Relative Athletic Score. The Bucs provide a fine landing spot, though, at least for an immediate part-time role.
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