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Odell Beckham Jr. - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Odell Beckham Jr.
CLE

WR CLE

#26 Wide Receiver

136 Projected Points

ADP: 6.5
Bye: 13
Experience: 7 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 198
40 Time: 4.38

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#26 Wide Receiver

136 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
6.5 67 925 7 2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Low Floor

122.4

DS Projection

136

Consensus

38 other sites
156.6

High Ceiling

176.8

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

-Beckham played through a core muscle injury for most of the 2019 season. He underwent surgery in January of 2020 and was declared “100%” by HC Kevin Stefanski in late June.

-A torn left ACL ended his 2020 season in Week 7. He underwent surgery on November 10.

-Prior to that, Beckham underwhelmed as a fantasy asset. In 6 full games, he finished as the WR77, WR19, WR48, WR1, WR41 and WR66. That stretch turned up 23-319-3 on 42 targets.

-A low, 54.7% catch rate really stands out. He dropped only 1 pass but was targeted deeper down field with an average depth of target of 14.1 — a career-high. His connection with Baker Mayfield routinely looked off.

-Beckham’s WR1 finish (at Dallas) was boosted by a 50-yard rushing TD. He recorded 3 carries on the season; 3 back in 2019 (16 games).

-Beckham was decently efficient, ranking 38th among 99 WRs with 40+ targets in yards per route run (1.79).

-He garnered a 24.7% target share in his 6 full games for a thin, low-volume pass offense.

-For comparison, Jarvis Landry’s target share stood at 19.4% over the same stretch.

-Cleveland didn’t make any significant WR/TE upgrades in the spring. The nucleus of this offense, including HC Kevin Stefanski and OC Alex Van Pelt, return.

-With Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, a strong, high-volume running game will return to the Browns in ’21. Last year, the team ranked 4th in rush attempts; 4th in run rate.

-Long-time Browns beat writer Mary Kay Cabot wrote the following over the offseason: "I'm of the mind that Beckham would have flourished in the second half [of 2020] once Baker Mayfield hit his stride. I think they'll be dynamite together, especially now that Mayfield has the confidence to run this offense at a high level.”

-Mayfield rebounded from a down 2019 to post career-bests in QB rating (95.9), QBR (72.2) and INT rate (1.6%).

-Beckham was floated as a trade candidate early in the offseason, but barring a surprise, he’ll return for a 3rd season in Cleveland.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

After posting 1,035 yards in his debut season with the Browns, Beckham’s progress was slowed by a torn ACL last fall. Beckham saw heavy downfield usage in year 1 under HC Kevin Stefanski and a still-developing Baker Mayfield.

Now 28, Beckham enters a critical season. His health will be worth monitoring, but he’s expected to be 100% for Week 1. Plus, the fact that Cleveland will put him right back in a featured role means they have some level of trust in the 3-time Pro Bowler.

If Beckham’s ADP stays in the Round 7 range, he’ll be worth the risk as a WR3.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Browns WR Odell Beckham took the field for minicamp practice on Tuesday for the first time since tearing his ACL last October. He was held out of full-team work but participated in individual drills without a brace or wrap on that surgically repaired knee. "He looked good to me," HC Kevin Stefanski said. It's still uncertain if Beckham will be a full-go for the start of training camp -- but he's trending toward being ready come Week 1.

View all Odell Beckham Jr. Shark Bites »

Browns WR Odell Beckham is on track in his recovery from October's torn ACL, according to HC Kevin Stefanski. "He's progressing very well," Stefanski told reporters Tuesday. "He's trending in the right direction." It's standard offseason rhetoric -- but better than hearing about a setback. Beckham will be nearly 11 months removed from the injury when the 2021 season kicks off, so it's fair to expect him to be at least close to 100%. We'll continue to monitor his progress.

View all Odell Beckham Jr. Shark Bites »

Browns WR Odell Beckham has been diagnosed with a torn ACL and will miss the rest of the 2020 season. A smooth rehab should have him ready for the start of the 2021 campaign. His absence leaves Jarvis Landry as Cleveland's clear top WR the rest of the way. Rashard Higgins and Donovan Peoples-Jones look like the #2 and #3 WRs. Higgins ran a route on 97% of QB Baker Mayfield's drop backs yesterday, posting a 6-110 line on 6 targets. Peoples-Jones posted a 72% route rate and 3-56-1 line on 3 targets. Higgins is worth grabbing in fantasy leagues of 12+ teams. Peoples-Jones is a deeper-league stash.

View all Odell Beckham Jr. Shark Bites »

Browns WR Odell Beckham is "feared to have suffered a major knee injury," according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Beckham is scheduled for an MRI on the left knee on Monday morning to get an official diagnosis. We should know his fate by tomorrow afternoon. Beckham's absence would seemingly leave Rashard Higgins and Donovan Peoples-Jones as Cleveland's #2 and #3 WRs behind Jarvis Landry.

View all Odell Beckham Jr. Shark Bites »

Browns WR Odell Beckham appeared to suffer a knee injury trying to make a tackle after a Baker Mayfield INT in the 1st quarter of Sunday's game against the Bengals. He limped off to the locker room with trainers. Stay tuned for an update.

Update: The Browns are calling Beckham questionable to return.

Update: Beckham has been ruled out for the rest of the game. That leaves Jarvis Landry and Rashard Higgins as Cleveland's top 2 WRs.

View all Odell Beckham Jr. Shark Bites »

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