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Odell Beckham Jr. - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Odell Beckham Jr.
CLE

WR CLE

#25 Wide Receiver

137 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 13
Experience: 7 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 198
40 Time: 4.38

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

5

DS Projection

8

Consensus

38 other sites
8

Med Ceiling

12

Rest of
Season

8.5

Week 6 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.2 55.8 0.4 8
Weekly Writeup
Beckham has been super frustrating over the past 2 weeks -- first due to Baker Mayfield misfires, and then from a lack of targets. There's still upside here in what should be a high-scoring affair against the Cardinals. But we wouldn't blame you for sitting OBJ on your bench until he gets going.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.2 60 0.4 8.5
Week 5
Beckham took a backseat to everyone in Week 5. Beckham finished 5th on the team targets while only catching 2 for 20 yards. The only good news for Beckham’s fantasy owners is he at least led in pass routes. The problem is at this point it seems that Baker Mayfield has better chemistry with Donovan Peoples-Jones (5-70) and Rashard Higgins (3-29-1). Beckham might have come back earlier than he wanted due to the injury to Jarvis Landry. This could be the main reason why he is struggling to find consistency.
Heading into Week 6, Beckham can’t be started with confidence until we see him perform on the field.
Week 4
Through his first two games Beckham has immediately emerged as the go-to target for Baker Mayfield from a usage standpoint. In week 4, Beckham paced the team in targets (7), deep targets (4) and end zone targets (2). None of these great opportunities resulted in any production as Beckham failed to catch any of his deep passes or any of his end zone looks. The league average conversion rate for both these metrics is about 40%, so better days should be ahead of Beckham if this usage keeps up.
Those better days might not be until Week 6 as the Browns take on the Chargers in Week 5. The Chargers this season have held notable WRs Terry McLaurin (4-62), Amari Cooper (3-24) and Tyreek Hill (5-56) well below expectations this season. This makes Beckham tough to trust as a WR3 in Week 5.
Week 3
Beckham made his season debut in Week 3 after sitting inactive through the 1st 2 games. He immediately reminded us that he can get downfield, logging 149 air yards. That’s higher than any other player’s per-game average through 3 weeks.

Cleveland also sought to get Beckham involved early. Baker Mayfield targeted him on the Browns’ 2nd play; twice total on the initial drive. Beckham got his 3rd target on the 2nd play of Cleveland’s 2nd drive, though defensive penalties wiped out that one.

Beckham’s 4 official targets by halftime trailed only Kareem Hunt, and he led the team with 9 by the end of the game. Beckham caught 5 of those for 77 yards, with a long of 26. His 64% playing time trailed Donovan Peoples-Jones among Cleveland wideouts by just 1 total snap, and Beckham led the group in routes run.

Expect the playing time to grow going forward. Beckham looks like a comfy starter in a positive Week 4 matchup at Minnesota.
Week 2
The injury to Jarvis Landry opens the door for Odell Beckham to return to a prominent role right away. The issue for Beckham owners is he chose to sit in weeks 1 and 2 and says he’s still not 100%. It is hard to recommend Beckham as a start until we see him healthy and productive.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Beckham played through a core muscle injury for most of the 2019 season. He underwent surgery in January of 2020 and was declared “100%” by HC Kevin Stefanski in late June.
  • A torn left ACL ended his 2020 season in Week 7. He underwent surgery on November 10.
  • Prior to that, Beckham underwhelmed as a fantasy asset. In 6 full games, he finished as the WR77, WR19, WR48, WR1, WR41 and WR66. That stretch turned up 23-319-3 on 42 targets.
  • A low, 54.7% catch rate really stands out. He dropped only 1 pass but was targeted deeper down field with an average depth of target of 14.1 — a career-high. His connection with Baker Mayfield routinely looked off.
  • Beckham’s WR1 finish (at Dallas) was boosted by a 50-yard rushing TD. He recorded 3 carries on the season; 3 back in 2019 (16 games).
  • Beckham was decently efficient, ranking 38th among 99 WRs with 40+ targets in yards per route run (1.79).
  • He garnered a 24.7% target share in his 6 full games for a thin, low-volume pass offense.
  • For comparison, Jarvis Landry’s target share stood at 19.4% over the same stretch.
  • Cleveland didn’t make any significant WR/TE upgrades in the spring. The nucleus of this offense, including HC Kevin Stefanski and OC Alex Van Pelt, return.
  • With Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, a strong, high-volume running game will return to the Browns in ’21. Last year, the team ranked 4th in rush attempts; 4th in run rate.
  • Long-time Browns beat writer Mary Kay Cabot wrote the following over the offseason: "I'm of the mind that Beckham would have flourished in the second half [of 2020] once Baker Mayfield hit his stride. I think they'll be dynamite together, especially now that Mayfield has the confidence to run this offense at a high level.”
  • Mayfield rebounded from a down 2019 to post career-bests in QB rating (95.9), QBR (72.2) and INT rate (1.6%).
  • Beckham was floated as a trade candidate early in the offseason, but barring a surprise, he’ll return for a 3rd season in Cleveland.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

After posting 1,035 yards in his debut season with the Browns, Beckham’s progress was slowed by a torn ACL last fall. Beckham saw heavy downfield usage in year 1 under HC Kevin Stefanski and a still-developing Baker Mayfield.

Now 28, Beckham enters a critical season. His health will be worth monitoring, but he’s expected to be 100% for Week 1. Plus, the fact that Cleveland will put him right back in a featured role means they have some level of trust in the 3-time Pro Bowler.

If Beckham’s ADP stays in the Round 7 range, he’ll be worth the risk as a WR3.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Browns WR Odell Beckham (knee) isn't listed on the final injury report after putting in a full week of practice. ESPN's Dan Graziano confirmed on Friday morning that OBJ is on track to make his 2021 debut vs. the Bears this weekend, barring a setback between now and then. OC Alex Van Pelt suggested that Beckham will be on some type of snap count on Sunday. But, especially with WR Jarvis Landry out, Beckham could still see plenty of volume. Consider him a risk/reward WR3 for this week.

View all Odell Beckham Jr. Shark Bites »

Browns WR Odell Beckham (knee) "has had a good week of practice" and is on track to play vs. the Bears on Sunday "barring an unforeseen setback between now and game time," ESPN's Dan Graziano reports. Beckham has been trending toward making his 2021 debut this weekend since putting in his first full practice of the year on Wednesday. OC Alex Van Pelt suggested that Beckham will be on some type of snap count in Week 3, though, which lowers his fantasy ceiling and floor.

View all Odell Beckham Jr. Shark Bites »

Browns OC Alex Van Pelt called WR Odell Beckham (knee) a game-time decision for Sunday's tilt with the Bears. OBJ was supposedly a game-time decision for the opener before being scratched. He was listed as a full participant in Wednesday's practice, so he seems to be trending in the right direction. "He's looked good so far in practice," Van Pelt said. "We’ll see how he feels later in the week, but we’re hoping." Van Pelt also hinted that Beckham will be on a snap count if he plays this weekend. "Definitely have to be smart with his reps. Can’t expect him to come out and have a huge day first time back, we’ve just got to ease him back into it if he does make it to the game," Van Pelt said. We'll continue to keep a close eye on the situation. For now, Beckham looks like a risk/reward WR3 for Week 3.

View all Odell Beckham Jr. Shark Bites »

Browns HC Kevin Stefanski said WR Odell Beckham (knee) will be "full go" in Wednesday's practice. Beckham has been listed as limited in every practice so far, so this is clearly a step forward. We'll see if he's ready to make his debut vs. the Bears this weekend. Cleveland needs him with WR Jarvis Landry out.

View all Odell Beckham Jr. Shark Bites »

Browns HC Kevin Stefanski said Wednesday that WR Odell Beckham Jr. will not play Sunday against the Texans, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Beckham missed Week 1 as well, despite reported optimism leading up to game day. We'll see about his participation in Week 3 practices.

View all Odell Beckham Jr. Shark Bites »

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