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Saquon Barkley - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Saquon Barkley
NYG

RB NYG

#8 Running Back

218 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 10
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 24
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 233
40 Time: 4.40

Weekly Outlook

Week 20 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 14
Barkley saved fantasy lineups with a late TD reception in the blowout loss to the Chargers in Week 14. He rushed the ball 16 times for 64 yards and caught 3 balls for 31 yards—including an 18-yard TD. Barkley out-touched backup RB Devontae Booker 19-12, but it was Booker that looked more explosive.

Barkley still has a hesitancy while hitting gaps, and it’s probably due to poor line play, but also because he’s not 100%. You have to give him credit for grinding out the year, especially with how badly the Giants have looked the past month plus.
Week 13
Barkley racked up 74 scrimmage yards on 17 touches in the tough loss to Miami in Week 13. He was on the field for 49 of the 65 snaps (75%) for the offense but garnered little production once again—except for a few plays. His 6 receptions and 9 targets were also team highs as QB Mike Glennon turned to Barkley coming out of the backfield.
Barkley has been getting max volume of the snaps now that he is the most healthy he’s been, but the Giants offense is so terrible that it’s not really worth much at this point. They are just wasting one of the better talents in the game. He looks hesitant and tentative in some spots because he knows he cannot trust his line to get the job done. This is just a lost season for the Giants RB and it will only get worse with a tough matchup on the road to the Chargers this weekend.
Week 12
Barkley finished Week 12’s win over the Eagles with 53 scrimmage yards on 17 touches. He caught 4 of his 5 targets while rushing the ball 13 times—including ripping off a 32-yard scamper that showed he can get back to his top gear. Not much else happened for Barkley, though.

Barkley has been eased into action since coming back a couple weeks ago, but he dominated snaps (87%) and touches against the Eagles. He still hasn’t scored since Week 4, and he might have trouble doing so this weekend in Miami. The Dolphins haven’t allowed a RB TD since Week 6. Miami has also allowed only 1 RB to gain more than 35 rush yards over that time.

Barkley remains a volume-based fantasy play and has talent upside, but his situation knocks him down the Week 13 rankings.
Week 11
Barkley made his return to action in the Week 11 loss to Tampa Bay on Monday night, rushing 6 times for 25 yards and catching 6 balls for 31 yards. He dominated the backfield in snaps, but the Giants were cautious about getting him too involved before shaking off all the rust. Thankfully, he was able to salvage respectability for fantasy owners in PPR leagues, but the long term outlook is bleak at best as the O-Line continues not being able to get a push upfield.
Barkley was okay, but you could tell he was still a step slower than we’re used to seeing him. Throw in the lack of imagination from the Giants play calling and you have a dismal output. With the firing of Jason Garrett earlier this week, perhaps we could see some new life from Barkley and company.
Week 5
Very little of Barkley in this one. He carried twice for 9 yards on New York’s 1st possession. When the Giants’ offense returned to the field, Barkley ran a slant pattern, reached up for a high, off-target pass, came down and collided with a defender and didn’t return to the field because of a left ankle injury. The game devolved into an attempt in vain to pass to try to catch up with the Cowboys. Barkley’s absence probably didn’t change the trajectory of the game; he hasn’t gained more than 57 rushing yards this season
Barkley’s injury wasn’t as serious as the Giants 1st thought. X rays were negative, but he’s already being listed as out for Sunday’s game against the Rams. In New York’s only win, in Week 4, he totaled 126 yards and scored 2 TDs.
Week 4
Barkley backed up an impressive breakout Week 3 performance with better output in a thrilling comeback OT win in New Orleans.

He finished the game with 126 scrimmage yards and 2 TDs on 18 touches—including a 54-yard receiving TD and the game-winning rush in extra time. Barkley tied for 3rd on the team with 5 receptions on 6 targets.
Barkley has been building momentum as the season wears on, and this was a glimpse of what he looked like before tearing his ACL last year. A healthy Barkley most definitely opens the playbook up for the Giants and could make other players more viable.

He will get a true test this weekend against a stout Dallas D that has yet to allow a score to an opposing RB.
Week 3
Barkley put up 94 yards from scrimmage and a score on 22 touches (6 receptions) in the Week 3 loss to Atlanta. He rushed the ball 16 times with one of them floating over the goal line for a 4th-quarter score, his first TD since 2019. Barkley also led the team in receptions as he was used more frequently with numerous injuries to the other pass catchers. Finally, we are seeing Barkley making some things happen, but it was always the expectation against a beatable Falcons defense. He will have all he can handle against a stingy defense in New Orleans that has been really tough on the ground. Slot him in as a low-end RB1 this week as his usage continues to climb.
Week 2
Barkley had better outing this time around than Week 1, finishing with 57 yards rushing and 12 more through the air. 41 of those yards came on one play where Barkley broke out and hustled for a big gain. It was promising to see him with some acceleration when given a lane to burst through. Aside from QB Daniel Jones, the running game had a hard time getting traction going up against the stout front-4 of Washington. The terrible O-Line for the Giants took another hit as lineman Nick Gates went down with a gruesome injury that will require a lengthy recovery. It’s bad enough Barkley cannot find the holes as is; now this will continue to be a blow for Barkley owners. At least a matchup against the Falcons in Week 3 has the potential to be a true breakout.
Week 1
Yay! He’s back. But temper your excitement because the struggling numbers before he got injured last year crept up and continued in the disappointing Week 1 loss at home against Denver. Barkley managed 26 yards on 10 carries — and added a 1-yard reception — as he found tough sledding behind a lackluster O-line performance. The takeaway from all of this is that he looked good and came away feeling healthy.
Let’s also give credit to the Denver front 7 that was lights out and played a great game. The Giants O-line was clearly overmatched as the Broncos filled the gaps and kept the pressure all game long. It doesn’t get much better for Barkley and gang as they have a short week with a trip to the nation’s capital to take on Washington Thursday night. Certainly a risky start, although Washington gave up 91 yards and a TD to the Chargers backfield.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Barkley tore the ACL in his right knee in Week 2 last season. He also sustained a partial meniscus tear and MCL strain. The largest impact of the latter 2 details appears to have been delaying the surgery date a little to allow swelling to subside.
  • Although all 3 ailments are reportedly healing well, with no setbacks, ESPN’s Jordan Raanan reported in late May: “The idea is to bring Barkley along slowly to make sure he’s healthy for the duration of the 17-game season, and hopefully a postseason. Having Barkley, 24, return to his rookie season form as well as the same usage in the first few weeks of the 2021 season was never realistic.”
    • We’ll see this summer whether that plan came from the team or is a reporter’s projection.
  • The reason we all care so much, of course, is because Barkley was a beast in his lone full healthy season so far.
    • He led all RBs in PPR points as a 2018 rookie, trailing only Todd Gurley in points per game.
    • Barkley ranked 3rd among RBs in targets (121), 2nd in catches (91) and 4th in receiving yards (721).
    • He checked in 10th in yards after contact per attempt among 62 RBs with 60+ carries and finished 9th in Pro Football Focus’ elusive rating.
  • A high-ankle sprain interrupted his sophomore campaign, but Barkley still ranked 7th in PPR points per game in 2019. That jumps to 5th if you remove his injury game at Tampa.
    • Barkley tied for 13th in yards after contact per attempt in 2019 and ranked 13th in elusive rating.
    • He might have been on his way to something bigger.
  • Barkley racked up 139 and 135 total yards in the first 2 games that season, before the Week 3 injury. He then averaged just 3.2 yards per rush and 7.3 per catch over the 7 games following his return. Barkley then tallied 143, 279 and 117 total yards in the final 3 games. Those 3 combined with the first 2 games produce 6.3 yards per rush and 10.0 yards per reception. (To be fair, that’s a pair of small samples. And there’s no way to know how much and how long the high-ankle sprain affected him.)
  • We don’t have many recent high-volume RBs with ACL returns to help set our expectations.
    • Dalvin Cook came off a 2017 tear to average just 12.1 carries over 11 games in 2018, with Latavius Murray averaging 8.8.
    • Jamaal Charles didn’t do much over 3 seasons following his 2015 tear, but that was his 2nd. He followed his 2011 tear with an RB9 PPR season that found him playing 16 games and averaging 17.8 carries per outing.
    • Todd Gurley saw his 2015 rookie season start 3 games late because of an ACL tear in his final college campaign, but he posted strong production in a bad Rams offense once he returned.
    • Knowshon Moreno and Rashard Mendenhall each missed 8+ games and lost 0.5 off their per-carry averages the season after their 2011 tears.
    • Adrian Peterson, of course, rebounded from his 2011 tear to deliver a magical 2012, including a career-high 2,097 yards.
  • The mixed bag of historical results says we should keep watching Barkley’s return closely.
  • He should return to a RB-friendly offense. Giants OC Jason Garrett has spent 14 seasons as an NFL OC or HC. Those offenses have averaged just a 57.7%, with only 2 reaching 60% pass. Last year’s Giants sat right in the middle of the league in run-pass split, despite going 4-12 and losing their star RB in Week 2.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

A healthy Saquon Barkley sits on the top shelf of RBs in the NFL (and fantasy). Just how close to full health he is, though, and how much early-season use he’ll get will bear watching as we move through summer. At this point, it seems wise to expect lighter usage at least early in the season.

That adds risk to Barkley as an early 1st-round pick. It helps his case, though, that just about any early RB carries some risk. And patience with Barkley could unlock his extreme upside.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Giants fired HC Joe Judge. He becomes the 3rd straight Giants HC to last 2 seasons or fewer. Judge went 10-23 over the past 2 years but was strapped with a bad offensive line, an inconsistent QB and an oft-injured RB. GM Dave Gettleman is retiring, so it'll be a brand new regime in New York.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

Giants RB Saquon Barkley (ankle) is active for today’s game vs. the Eagles. He was limited in practice this week and listed as questionable, but Barkley got out of last week’s game without a setback and should be in better shape today.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

ESPN's Adam Schefter confirms that Giants RB Saquon Barkley (ankle) is expected to play vs. the Eagles today. Barkley was limited in practice all week and listed as questionable, but there was never much doubt about his availability for this one after he made it out of last week's loss to the Bucs without a setback.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

Giants RB Saquon Barkley (ankle) was limited in practice all week and is listed as questionable for Sunday's game vs. the Eagles. He's fully expected to play after getting out of last week's game without a setback. Barkley carried just 6 times in that loss to the Bucs but caught all 6 of his targets. His role should grow in his 2nd game back from the ankle injury.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

Giants RB Saquon Barkley (ankle) is active for tonight's game against the Bucs. He was limited in practice all week, and it's unclear how big a role he's ready for in his first action since Week 5. But if you were waiting on Barkley, get him into fantasy lineups. RB Devontae Booker (hip) is also active for the G-Men.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

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