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Saquon Barkley - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Saquon Barkley


#8 Running Back

218 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 10
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 24
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 233
40 Time: 4.40

Weekly Outlook

Week 6 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
57 0.5 3.4 26 0.1 11.9
Week 5
Very little of Barkley in this one. He carried twice for 9 yards on New York’s 1st possession. When the Giants’ offense returned to the field, Barkley ran a slant pattern, reached up for a high, off-target pass, came down and collided with a defender and didn’t return to the field because of a left ankle injury. The game devolved into an attempt in vain to pass to try to catch up with the Cowboys. Barkley’s absence probably didn’t change the trajectory of the game; he hasn’t gained more than 57 rushing yards this season
Barkley’s injury wasn’t as serious as the Giants 1st thought. X rays were negative, but he’s already being listed as out for Sunday’s game against the Rams. In New York’s only win, in Week 4, he totaled 126 yards and scored 2 TDs.
Week 4
Barkley backed up an impressive breakout Week 3 performance with better output in a thrilling comeback OT win in New Orleans.

He finished the game with 126 scrimmage yards and 2 TDs on 18 touches—including a 54-yard receiving TD and the game-winning rush in extra time. Barkley tied for 3rd on the team with 5 receptions on 6 targets.
Barkley has been building momentum as the season wears on, and this was a glimpse of what he looked like before tearing his ACL last year. A healthy Barkley most definitely opens the playbook up for the Giants and could make other players more viable.

He will get a true test this weekend against a stout Dallas D that has yet to allow a score to an opposing RB.
Week 3
Barkley put up 94 yards from scrimmage and a score on 22 touches (6 receptions) in the Week 3 loss to Atlanta. He rushed the ball 16 times with one of them floating over the goal line for a 4th-quarter score, his first TD since 2019. Barkley also led the team in receptions as he was used more frequently with numerous injuries to the other pass catchers. Finally, we are seeing Barkley making some things happen, but it was always the expectation against a beatable Falcons defense. He will have all he can handle against a stingy defense in New Orleans that has been really tough on the ground. Slot him in as a low-end RB1 this week as his usage continues to climb.
Week 2
Barkley had better outing this time around than Week 1, finishing with 57 yards rushing and 12 more through the air. 41 of those yards came on one play where Barkley broke out and hustled for a big gain. It was promising to see him with some acceleration when given a lane to burst through. Aside from QB Daniel Jones, the running game had a hard time getting traction going up against the stout front-4 of Washington. The terrible O-Line for the Giants took another hit as lineman Nick Gates went down with a gruesome injury that will require a lengthy recovery. It’s bad enough Barkley cannot find the holes as is; now this will continue to be a blow for Barkley owners. At least a matchup against the Falcons in Week 3 has the potential to be a true breakout.
Week 1
Yay! He’s back. But temper your excitement because the struggling numbers before he got injured last year crept up and continued in the disappointing Week 1 loss at home against Denver. Barkley managed 26 yards on 10 carries — and added a 1-yard reception — as he found tough sledding behind a lackluster O-line performance. The takeaway from all of this is that he looked good and came away feeling healthy.
Let’s also give credit to the Denver front 7 that was lights out and played a great game. The Giants O-line was clearly overmatched as the Broncos filled the gaps and kept the pressure all game long. It doesn’t get much better for Barkley and gang as they have a short week with a trip to the nation’s capital to take on Washington Thursday night. Certainly a risky start, although Washington gave up 91 yards and a TD to the Chargers backfield.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Barkley tore the ACL in his right knee in Week 2 last season. He also sustained a partial meniscus tear and MCL strain. The largest impact of the latter 2 details appears to have been delaying the surgery date a little to allow swelling to subside.
  • Although all 3 ailments are reportedly healing well, with no setbacks, ESPN’s Jordan Raanan reported in late May: “The idea is to bring Barkley along slowly to make sure he’s healthy for the duration of the 17-game season, and hopefully a postseason. Having Barkley, 24, return to his rookie season form as well as the same usage in the first few weeks of the 2021 season was never realistic.”
    • We’ll see this summer whether that plan came from the team or is a reporter’s projection.
  • The reason we all care so much, of course, is because Barkley was a beast in his lone full healthy season so far.
    • He led all RBs in PPR points as a 2018 rookie, trailing only Todd Gurley in points per game.
    • Barkley ranked 3rd among RBs in targets (121), 2nd in catches (91) and 4th in receiving yards (721).
    • He checked in 10th in yards after contact per attempt among 62 RBs with 60+ carries and finished 9th in Pro Football Focus’ elusive rating.
  • A high-ankle sprain interrupted his sophomore campaign, but Barkley still ranked 7th in PPR points per game in 2019. That jumps to 5th if you remove his injury game at Tampa.
    • Barkley tied for 13th in yards after contact per attempt in 2019 and ranked 13th in elusive rating.
    • He might have been on his way to something bigger.
  • Barkley racked up 139 and 135 total yards in the first 2 games that season, before the Week 3 injury. He then averaged just 3.2 yards per rush and 7.3 per catch over the 7 games following his return. Barkley then tallied 143, 279 and 117 total yards in the final 3 games. Those 3 combined with the first 2 games produce 6.3 yards per rush and 10.0 yards per reception. (To be fair, that’s a pair of small samples. And there’s no way to know how much and how long the high-ankle sprain affected him.)
  • We don’t have many recent high-volume RBs with ACL returns to help set our expectations.
    • Dalvin Cook came off a 2017 tear to average just 12.1 carries over 11 games in 2018, with Latavius Murray averaging 8.8.
    • Jamaal Charles didn’t do much over 3 seasons following his 2015 tear, but that was his 2nd. He followed his 2011 tear with an RB9 PPR season that found him playing 16 games and averaging 17.8 carries per outing.
    • Todd Gurley saw his 2015 rookie season start 3 games late because of an ACL tear in his final college campaign, but he posted strong production in a bad Rams offense once he returned.
    • Knowshon Moreno and Rashard Mendenhall each missed 8+ games and lost 0.5 off their per-carry averages the season after their 2011 tears.
    • Adrian Peterson, of course, rebounded from his 2011 tear to deliver a magical 2012, including a career-high 2,097 yards.
  • The mixed bag of historical results says we should keep watching Barkley’s return closely.
  • He should return to a RB-friendly offense. Giants OC Jason Garrett has spent 14 seasons as an NFL OC or HC. Those offenses have averaged just a 57.7%, with only 2 reaching 60% pass. Last year’s Giants sat right in the middle of the league in run-pass split, despite going 4-12 and losing their star RB in Week 2.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

A healthy Saquon Barkley sits on the top shelf of RBs in the NFL (and fantasy). Just how close to full health he is, though, and how much early-season use he’ll get will bear watching as we move through summer. At this point, it seems wise to expect lighter usage at least early in the season.

That adds risk to Barkley as an early 1st-round pick. It helps his case, though, that just about any early RB carries some risk. And patience with Barkley could unlock his extreme upside.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Giants RB Saquon Barkley (ankle) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Rams. We’ll see if he can make it back for Week 7. Devontae Booker should dominate backfield work this weekend and is a volume-based RB2 in fantasy lineups.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

The "estimate" for Giants RB Saquon Barkley's timetable for return from his sprained ankle is 2-4 weeks, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Barkley is scheduled for more tests on that ankle on Monday. It's worth noting that the Giants have a Week 10 bye, so if Barkley ends up on the long end of that timetable, we might not see him again until Week 11.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

Giants RB Saquon Barkley is believed to have a low-ankle sprain and will "likely" miss next weekend's game vs. the Rams, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. "He’ll have more tests, but he’s best characterized as week-to-week," Rapoport adds. "A fast healer, Barkley will work to miss only one week." We'll look for a more concrete timetable for Barkley's return. Devontae Booker operated as New York's clear lead back after Barkley exited today's game, handling 19 of the 20 RB opportunities.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

Giants RB Saquon Barkley was in a walking boot and on crutches after hurting his left ankle in Sunday's loss to the Cowboys. We see this often after a player hurts an ankle, so it doesn't necessarily tell us anything about the severity of the injury. HC Joe Judge said after the game that Barkley got an X-ray on the ankle but gave no other updates. We should learn more tomorrow.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

Giants RB Saquon Barkley rolled his left ankle in the 1st quarter of Sunday's game vs. the Cowboys. He didn't put much weight on it as he left the field. Stay tuned for an update.

Update: The Giants have ruled him out for the game.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

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