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Saquon Barkley - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsSaquon Barkley's Basic Stats

Saquon Barkley
ADP: 1.10
Bye: 13
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 26.6
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 232
40 Time: 4.40
SPARQx (Rank): 149.80 (100%)
Burst Score (Rank): 134.70 (97%)

Saquon Barkley's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
0 0 0 0 0 -0.4
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
56.6 0.5 3.4 25.3 0.1 11.7

Saquon Barkley's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#15 Running Back

166.5 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
1.10 246.2 829.2 7 1.8 1.9 48.9 357.8 1.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsSaquon Barkley's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

After contract drama early in the offseason and then a franchise tag, Barkley eventually re-signed with the Giants on a 1-year deal.

For 2023, at least, he’s positioned for another strong year alongside HC Brian Daboll and QB Daniel Jones. An upgraded supporting cast should help retain his double-digit TD upside.

If his receiving efficiency improves, we could even see Barkley challenge for overall RB1 totals.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Barkley enjoyed a resurgence alongside NFL Coach of the Year Brian Daboll.
  • Good health differentiated 2022 from recent seasons.
    • Barkley suffered a neck stinger late in the year but played through it. No other issue landed him on the injury report.
    • Barkley sat out Week 18 to rest for the postseason.
  • Across 16 games, he tallied four top-5 PPR lines; only three outside the top 17.
    • Overall, he ranked as the RB5 in PPR.
  • Barkley finished fourth in carries, fourth in yards, and tied for fifth in TDs. The carries and yardage marked a career high.
  • Volume was vital, as Barkley’s underlying metrics weren’t flawless.
    • Among 24 RBs with 200+ carries, Barkley slotted seventh in Pro Football Focus rushing grade but 21st in elusive rating and 19th in yards after contact per attempt.
    • He ranked 30th at the position in success rate, according to Football Outsiders; 21st in rushing DVOA.
  • Barkley’s receiving numbers proved inconsistent, too.
    • He recorded just 5.9 yards per catch and 0 TDs on 57 receptions.
    • His 8.4 yards after catch per reception was strong, but he had a career-low 0.94 yards per route run.
  • Barkley needed to shoulder the load for a Giants offense that lacked impact talent. Only two RBs tallied more touches (352).
  • He ran behind a Giants’ O-line that ranked a mid-pack 19th in PFF rushing grade and 26th in run block win rate.

What to Expect in 2023
  • The Giants return HC Brian Daboll and OC Mike Kafka after ranking eighth in rush attempts per game; seventh in run rate.
  • Now 26 and with nearly 1,200 career touches, Barkley’s likely already hit peak performance as an NFL RB. But our research with historical aging curves shows he’s not in for an on-field decline this year.
  • Any lack of efficiency can be overcome by volume.
    • The Giants made no significant backfield investments, drafting Oklahoma’s Eric Gray in Round 5 and retaining veteran Matt Breida.
    • There’s no clear handcuff, but Gray would be our pick right now. He’s still not a must-draft for Barkley managers.
  • The Giants applied the franchise tag to Barkley in March.
  • Barkley skipped OTAs and threatened to holdout into the season. But he eventually agreed to a 1-year deal to stay in New York.
  • This O-line returns three locked-in starters: LT Andrew Thomas, RT Evan Neal, and RG Mark Glowinski. No issues with that trio.
  • New York used a Round 2 pick on C John Michael Schmitz. On his run-blocking, NFL Network’s Lance Zierlein said: “His overall technique and teamwork in the run game should create a plug-and-play opportunity in the pros.”
  • LG looks like a potential weak spot, making it one to watch in camp. Former Raven Ben Bredeson is the likely favorite.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Saquon Barkley, RB NYG

10:40am EDT 9/24/23

Saquon Barkley "has a chance" to play Week 4

Giants RB Saquon Barkley (ankle) "has a chance" to play vs. the Seahawks next Monday night, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. That'd be a quick return from a high-ankle sprain, but we'll keep a close eye on Barkley's progress this coming week.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

Giants RB Saquon Barkley told NFL Network's Taylor Rooks that he's dealing with a high-ankle sprain. Previous reports had it as a low-ankle sprain. Those tend to be less significant than high sprains. Barkley also told Rooks that his injury isn't as severe as it could have been but that he's not sure if he'll be ready for Week 4. High-ankle sprains usually cost guys at least 3-4 weeks, so Barkley owners should prepare to be without him beyond Week 3. We'll continue to track his rehab.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

The Giants have officially ruled RB Saquon Barkley out for Thursday night's game against the 49ers. That's been expected since news broke of his Week 2 ankle sprain. Matt Breida is expected to be the first guy up in the Week 3 backfield, but that's only enough to land him in RB4 territory in our Week 3 RB rankings. Expect Gary Brightwell and rookie Eric Gray to mix in as well for a backfield that has been limited even with Barkley through two weeks.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Saquon Barkley, RB NYG
Dynasty MVP 106.6
Position Rank #27 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
372
556
847
Dynasty Write-up
Barkley hit as our 2022 Comeback Pick. Now, the 26-year-old will return to New York after getting the franchise tag in March.
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