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Saquon Barkley - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsSaquon Barkley's Basic Stats

Saquon Barkley
ADP: N/A
Bye: 9
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 25.8
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 233
40 Time: 4.40
SPARQx (Rank): 149.80 (100%)
Burst Score (Rank): 134.70 (97%)

Saquon Barkley's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
70.3 0.5 2.7 17.2 0.1 12
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
74 0.5 4.2 34 0.2 14.8

Saquon Barkley's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#5 Running Back

210 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 235.8 1036.6 7.7 2.3 1.7 61.9 485.3 2.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsSaquon Barkley's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • “This is the healthiest that Barkley has been entering an offseason maybe since his rookie year.” That’s the word from NJ.com’s Zack Rosenblatt.
  • Barkley suffered a high-ankle sprain in Week 3 of his 2nd season (2019). He likely didn’t get back to full strength at any point that season.
  • He tore his right ACL in Week 2 of 2020. That cost Barkley the rest of that season and kept him short of full strength to open 2021.
  • That was obvious in his usage and his efficiency. Barkley averaged just 12.5 carries and 4.4 targets per game in 2021, ranking 17th in opportunities per game. Over his 1st 2 seasons, though, Barkley averaged 16.5 carries and 6.7 targets per contest. Those 23.2 opportunities per game would have ranked 4th last season.
  • Barkley’s 3.7 yards per rush in 2021 fell way short of his rates in each of his 1st 2 years. He also posted significantly lower numbers in Pro Football Focus’ yards after contact per attempt, missed tackles forced, yards per route run, breakaway percentage and elusive rating.
  • Beyond his health questions, the Giants’ O-line didn’t help. The team did improve slightly in PFF run-blocking grade vs. 2020, though. The Giants climbed from 23rd to 21st in that category. They also ranked just 22nd in that category in 2019. And even though they finished higher (16th) in 2018, the team’s run-blocking grade came in lower that season than it did last year.
  • Football Outsiders ranked the Giants 31st in adjusted line yards last year, a measure of the per-carry yardage a team’s blocking accounts for. The blocking can basically only improve from there.
  • The Giants spent the 7th overall pick on OT Evan Neal. They also signed Mark Glowinski to upgrade 1 of the guard spots and 2 other reserve linemen to improve the depth.
  • Rosenblatt reports that the Giants have been running Barkley from WR spots in OTA practices – in addition to his backfield work, of course.
  • Barkley has finished each of his 3 seasons (excluding the 1.5 games of 2020) short of 1.0 in average depth of target. His 3 college seasons produced ADOTs of -0.4, 5.6 and 1.1. Among the 66 RBs who garnered 20+ targets in the NFL last season …
    • only 18 reached an ADOT of 1.0
    • just 8 reached 2.0
    • only Kyle Juszczyk and Cordarrelle Patterson topped 2.6
  • Why does that stuff matter? If an altered receiving role can add depth to Barkley’s targets, it would add upside and value to his targets. And it’s not difficult to gain an advantage on most of the position in that area.
  • These are the rest of the RBs currently on the Giants roster:
    • Matt Breida
    • Gary Brightwell
    • Jashaun Corbin
    • Sandro Platzgummer
    • Antonio Williams
  • Breida has seen his carries and targets decline for 3 straight seasons. Each of those years found his team dumping him afterward. The rest of that group has 13 total NFL carries and 2 targets. Thirteen of those opportunities came from Williams in a single 2020 game with the Bills.
  • Devontae Booker garnered 34.6% of Giants carries and 7.6% of targets last season, compared with 38.7% and 9.6%, respectively, for Barkley. Booker did not re-sign with the Giants after the season and remains on the open market as of this writing.
  • Barkley heads into the final year of his rookie contract this fall.
  • Giants beat writer Paul Schwartz writes that RB Saquon Barkley could lead the team in catches. As Schwartz put it, “there are times when it almost seems as if there is a need to tone down how much Barkley is finding the ball in his hands.”
  • Barkley has "on numerous occasions" lined up as a receiver -- both in the slot and outside.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We all know about Barkley entering the league as an elite prospect (drafted 2nd overall) and leading the position in fantasy points as a rookie. It’s just gotten easy to overlook those facts because of 3 straight injury-inhibited campaigns. Barkley is finally healthy, though, and his rough stretch has fantasy drafters apprehensive. As of this writing, Barkley’s Underdog ADP still sits early in Round 3, at RB13. FFPC best-ball drafting has him at about the same spot, 14th among RBs. Interestingly, though, early Footballguys Players Championship drafts have bumped him a little – to RB11, in the middle of Round 2. The difference, that’s a lineup-setting format. Don’t be surprised if Barkley keeps getting nudged up the board as we get closer to the season. We’re ready to chase him all the way through Round 2, though. At full strength, Barkley presents as high a fantasy ceiling as anyone at the position (maybe excluding Christian McCaffrey).

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Saquon Barkley, RB NYG

8:49pm EST 11/24/22

Barkley saves tough day with TD

Giants RB Saquon Barkley totaled just 52 yards in Thursday's loss to the Cowboys. He managed 39 yards on 11 carries (3.5 per rush) and tallied merely 13 yards on 4 receptions Barkley's 6 targets tied 2 others for the team lead. Gary Brightwell chimed in with 5-31 rushing and 2 catches (on 2 targets) for 18 yards. RB Matt Breida went 2-6 rushing and caught his lone target for 9 yards.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

Giants RB Saquon Barkley managed just 22 yards on his 15 carries in Sunday's loss to the Lions. He added only 13 more on 2 receptions among 5 targets. It was even more disappointing for such a performance to come against a Lions defense ranked 27th in Football Outsiders' rushing DVOA. The rest of Barkley's season, of course, means we need to dismiss this one and continue playing the fantasy stud. Week 12 holds a Dallas defense that allowed him 126 total yards in their Week 3 meeting.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

Giants RB Saquon Barkley racked up 35 carries in Sunday's win over the Texans, more than doubling the team's pass attempts (17). He tallied 152 yards and a TD on the ground, adding 1 catch for 8 yards. It marked the 4th straight game of 20+ rushes for Barkley and his 2nd game this season with more than 30 attempts. Let's hope -- for the sake of his health -- that the Giants don't continue to work Barkley quite so hard. A Week 11 home date with a soft Lions defense should find him busy once again, though.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

The Seahawks limited RB Saquon Barkley to just 62 total yards on 23 touches Sunday. He averaged a meager 2.7 yards across 20 carries and tallied a meager 9 yards on 3 receptions (5 targets). Barkley saved his fantasy day with a 1-yard TD plunge in the 2nd quarter. The Seattle defense has been terrific in 3 straight outings, against both the run and pass. Barkley and the Giants get a Week 9 bye.

View all Saquon Barkley Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Saquon Barkley, RB NYG
Dynasty MVP 150.2
Position Rank #10 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
620
812
812
Dynasty Write-up
It's been 2 straight injury-ruined seasons for Barkley. He's still only 25, but it's fair to wonder if all the lower-body injuries have sapped some of his explosion. A new coaching staff in New York can't hurt his chances of a bounce back in 2022.
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