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Trey Lance - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Trey Lance


#15 Quarterback

294 Projected Points

ADP: 11.7
Bye: 6
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 21
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 226
40 Time: 4.64

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor


DS Projection



38 other sites

High Ceiling


Rest of


Week 3 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
12 0 0 15 2.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
214.6 1.4 0.7 34 20.8

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Lance spent just 1 season as a starting QB in high school and started for just 1 full season at North Dakota State.
  • That 2019 season was spectacular: 2,786 passing yards, 28 TDs and 0 INTs on a 66.9% completion rate and 9.7 yards per attempt, plus 1,100 rushing yards and 14 scores. North Dakota State went 16-0 and won the FCS national title.
  • He played just 1 exhibition game last year after the Missouri Valley Conference postponed its season until the spring due to COVID. Lance went 15-of-30 for 149 yards, 2 TDs and his 1st career INT in that one. He also ran for 143 and 2 scores, though, on 15 attempts.
  • So Lance arrives to the NFL with just 17 career starts at the FCS level.
  • That didn’t stop the 49ers from selecting Lance with the 3rd overall pick of this year’s draft -- after making a big trade to move up from the 12th pick.
  • What did they see in Lance? A rare combination of size, arm talent, athleticism and football IQ.
    • Lance goes 6’4 and 224 pounds.
    • We didn’t get athletic testing numbers on him, but turn on the tape and it’s clear that he’s a plus athlete.
    • Lance set his own protections and made full-field reads at North Dakota State. And he just turned 21 in May.
    • “His physical traits, poise and intelligence are a rare package for his age and meager experience,” The Athletic’s Dane Brugler wrote in his scouting report on Lance.
    • Pro Football Focus: “In an utterly loaded class, Lance may have more pure physical talent than all of these QBs.”
  • QB Jimmy Garoppolo remains on the 49ers’ roster as of mid-June. But expect to see Lance on the field sooner than later.
    • 14 QBs were selected with a top-5 pick between 2011 and 2020. 9 of them were named Week 1 starters, and 11 of them started at least 12 games as rookies.
  • Lance will find himself in a nice situation under HC Kyle Shanahan and with plenty of weapons.
    • The 49ers have ranked top 15 in passing yards and yards per pass attempt in all 4 seasons with Shanahan at the helm. That’s despite a rotating cast at QB of Garoppolo, Nick Mullens, C.J. Beathard and Brian Hoyer.
    • Shanahan also has experience with a dual-threat QB. He was OC in Washington for QB Robert Griffin’s first 2 seasons. RG3 finished 7th among QBs in fantasy points as a rookie and 13th in points per game the following year.
    • Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel are talented, ascending WRs. George Kittle remains 1 of the top TEs in the league. All 3 guys are excellent after the catch, which will make Lance’s job easier.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We’ll see how Lance fares in training camp and preseason action, but bet on him taking over as the 49ers’ starter early in the season -- potentially by Week 1.

Whenever the rookie hits the field, he’ll boast big fantasy upside thanks to the combination of his rushing ability, HC Kyle Shanahan’s scheme and a talented pass-catching trio of Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

49ers QB Trey Lance (finger) was limited in practice all week but isn't listed on the final injury report. We presume he'll be active for Sunday's opener against the Lions, although it's unclear exactly what kind of role he'll have behind starter Jimmy Garoppolo. Lance obviously isn't a Week 1 fantasy option; Garoppolo is only in play in 2-QB leagues.

View all Trey Lance Shark Bites »

49ers QB Trey Lance (finger) got in a limited practice on Wednesday. QB Jimmy Garoppolo will start this weekend's opener vs. Detroit, but it remains to be seen if Lance will be ready for a Taysom Hill-esque role behind Garoppolo.

View all Trey Lance Shark Bites »

49ers QB Trey Lance is "trending in the right direction" in his recovery from a small chip to 1 of the fingers on his right hand, GM John Lynch said Wednesday. The 'Niners are still hoping to get Lance back at practice on Monday -- although Lynch admitted that's "kind of the optimistic" timetable. This injury has likely killed any chance Lance had of winning the Week 1 starting job. But we're still expecting to see the rookie under center by the midway point of the season.

View all Trey Lance Shark Bites »

49ers QB Trey Lance has a small “chip” in his finger, per HC Kyle Shanahan. The rookie is expected to miss about 1 week. That puts him back in time for Week 1. Even if Jimmy Garoppolo starts, the preseason showed us that the Niners might give Lance a handful of snaps right away.

View all Trey Lance Shark Bites »

Niners HC Kyle Shanahan told reporters Sunday that there is no imminent plan to increase 1st-team reps or QB Trey Lance. “I don’t know,” Shanahan said, according to Pro Football Talk. “I haven’t really defined that for myself either. Just when I think it feels right, when he seems ready, when I think the team seems ready. I mean, we’ll continue to mix him in there. But I don’t plan on just doing that completely." Lance completed 5 of 14 passes in his preseason debut Saturday, including an 80-yard TD to WR Trent Sherfield on his 2nd throw. Shanahan said after the game that the rookie produced "some good and some bad" in his 1st action.

View all Trey Lance Shark Bites »

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