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Trey Lance - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Trey Lance


#15 Quarterback

294 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 6
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 21
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 226
40 Time: 4.64

Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 5
It was a mixed bag for Trey Lance against the Cardinals. He went 15 of 29 for 192 yards and an INT passing. He did gain 89 yards on his 16 rush attempts which helped to salvage his day. Lance flashed the skills that make him a compelling option long term but showed his inexperience.

The bye week is coming at a great time for Lance and the 49ers. He suffered a knee strain that could sideline him for 1-2 weeks, per HC Kyle Shanahan. It will be interesting to see how San Francisco plays the bye week and beyond.

Lance has tremendous upside as the starter but will need to make better decisions. This injury will let Shanahan go back to Jimmy Garoppolo if he feels better about him.

It's hard holding a 2nd QB on most rosters, but Lance still has the chance to be a league winner this season if he gets to be the guy down the stretch.
Week 4
Once Jimmy Garoppolo injured his calf late in the 1st half, Lance finally had his chance to take over the starting job. Of course, the installed game plan was for Garoppolo, so there weren’t many plays designed for Lance’s skillset. Also, some of his pass placement was dreadful, but he benefited from a busted coverage that turned into a 76-yard TD pass to Deebo Samuel. And when pressure started to mount when he was in the pocket, he had no issue using his legs, which he turned into 41 rushing yards.

It really doesn’t matter what his accuracy is like because if and when he starts games, the offense will be schemed up to get receivers into open space, which will allow Lance to make big plays with his arm. And it goes without saying that he can have fantasy value simply by running the ball. As he showed in this game, once the pocket gets muddy, he’s content to take off and run, and defenses will have very few answers once he takes off.
Week 3
We saw Lance on the field for 3 snaps in this game. He made the most of his 3 snaps, though.

With the clock running out late in the 1st half, we saw Lance trot onto the field for 3rd-and-goal when most teams would have kicked a FG. Lance took the snap, ran left and found his way into the end zone for a 1-yard score. He brings a completely different element to this offense and San Francisco will likely continue to use him in a limited role until he grabs the lead job.

The 49ers enduring their 1st loss of the season can only help Lance’s chances of breaking into the lineup. Until that happens, he’s a risk/reward stash for fantasy rosters. The rookie makes more sense for your bench if you're sitting on an every-week QB starter.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Lance spent just 1 season as a starting QB in high school and started for just 1 full season at North Dakota State.
  • That 2019 season was spectacular: 2,786 passing yards, 28 TDs and 0 INTs on a 66.9% completion rate and 9.7 yards per attempt, plus 1,100 rushing yards and 14 scores. North Dakota State went 16-0 and won the FCS national title.
  • He played just 1 exhibition game last year after the Missouri Valley Conference postponed its season until the spring due to COVID. Lance went 15-of-30 for 149 yards, 2 TDs and his 1st career INT in that one. He also ran for 143 and 2 scores, though, on 15 attempts.
  • So Lance arrives to the NFL with just 17 career starts at the FCS level.
  • That didn’t stop the 49ers from selecting Lance with the 3rd overall pick of this year’s draft -- after making a big trade to move up from the 12th pick.
  • What did they see in Lance? A rare combination of size, arm talent, athleticism and football IQ.
    • Lance goes 6’4 and 224 pounds.
    • We didn’t get athletic testing numbers on him, but turn on the tape and it’s clear that he’s a plus athlete.
    • Lance set his own protections and made full-field reads at North Dakota State. And he just turned 21 in May.
    • “His physical traits, poise and intelligence are a rare package for his age and meager experience,” The Athletic’s Dane Brugler wrote in his scouting report on Lance.
    • Pro Football Focus: “In an utterly loaded class, Lance may have more pure physical talent than all of these QBs.”
  • QB Jimmy Garoppolo remains on the 49ers’ roster as of mid-June. But expect to see Lance on the field sooner than later.
    • 14 QBs were selected with a top-5 pick between 2011 and 2020. 9 of them were named Week 1 starters, and 11 of them started at least 12 games as rookies.
  • Lance will find himself in a nice situation under HC Kyle Shanahan and with plenty of weapons.
    • The 49ers have ranked top 15 in passing yards and yards per pass attempt in all 4 seasons with Shanahan at the helm. That’s despite a rotating cast at QB of Garoppolo, Nick Mullens, C.J. Beathard and Brian Hoyer.
    • Shanahan also has experience with a dual-threat QB. He was OC in Washington for QB Robert Griffin’s first 2 seasons. RG3 finished 7th among QBs in fantasy points as a rookie and 13th in points per game the following year.
    • Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel are talented, ascending WRs. George Kittle remains 1 of the top TEs in the league. All 3 guys are excellent after the catch, which will make Lance’s job easier.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We’ll see how Lance fares in training camp and preseason action, but bet on him taking over as the 49ers’ starter early in the season -- potentially by Week 1.

Whenever the rookie hits the field, he’ll boast big fantasy upside thanks to the combination of his rushing ability, HC Kyle Shanahan’s scheme and a talented pass-catching trio of Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

49ers HC Kyle Shanahan said after Sunday's win over the Texans that QB Jimmy Garoppolo will start next weekend's regular-season finale if his thumb is back to 100%. But he also admitted that it'll be tough for Garoppolo to get to 100% by next Sunday. So it sure sounds like QB Trey Lance is the favorite to start vs. the Rams. The rookie disappointed with just 31 scoreless rushing yards today but delivered with 249 yards and 2 TDs passing.

View all Trey Lance Shark Bites »

49ers QB Trey Lance (knee) is not listed on the final injury report and will return for Sunday's game against the Bears. QB Jimmy Garoppolo will start, but Lance could steal a handful of snaps.

View all Trey Lance Shark Bites »

49ers QB Trey Lance (knee) did not practice on Wednesday. QB Jimmy Garoppolo (calf) was limited and is expected to be a full-go later this week, HC Kyle Shanahan said. Garoppolo remains in line to start Sunday night's game vs. the Colts.

View all Trey Lance Shark Bites »

Niners HC Kyle Shanahan said Monday that QB Trey Lance has a sprained left knee. Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports that Lance said he didn't know when the injury occurred and didn't feel it until he went to bed Sunday night. San Francisco has a Week 6 bye, but Barrows reports he's "questionable" for the Week 7 game against the Colts. With Jimmy Garropolo likely ready to return from his calf injury, we'd bet on the veteran reclaiming his job in Week 7. We'll see as the game draws closer.

View all Trey Lance Shark Bites »

49ers QB Trey Lance (finger) was limited in practice all week but isn't listed on the final injury report. We presume he'll be active for Sunday's opener against the Lions, although it's unclear exactly what kind of role he'll have behind starter Jimmy Garoppolo. Lance obviously isn't a Week 1 fantasy option; Garoppolo is only in play in 2-QB leagues.

View all Trey Lance Shark Bites »

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