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Tua Tagovailoa - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTua Tagovailoa's Basic Stats

Tua Tagovailoa
ADP: 10.9
Bye: 11
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24.3
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 217
40 Time: 4.79

Tua Tagovailoa's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#16 Quarterback

300.7 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
10.9 383.5/564 4342.8 28.2 12.4 55 176 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTua Tagovailoa's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Tua ranked as the QB25 in fantasy PPG last year.
  • He was fairly efficient (67.8%) but his YPA (6.8), TD rate (4.1%) and QBR (49.7) provide a snapshot of his underwhelming 2nd season.
  • He finished as a QB1 in only 3 of 12 starts. He missed time with a rib injury and a fractured finger.
  • Tua had just 2.5 seconds to throw on average, one of the lowest marks league-wide. A quick-strike offense played a role, but Miami’s O-line was a clear weakness.
  • Miami lacked a reliable running game to keep defenses honest.
  • A busy offseason changes all of that (and more). Miami’s added rushing/receiving talent in Tyreek Hill, Cedrick Wilson and Chase Edmonds -- plus O-line help with LT Terron Armstead and OG Connor Williams.
  • HC Mike McDaniel arrived following the departure of Brian Flores.
  • A Mike Shanahan disciple, McDaniel is expected to roll out a version of the West Coast offense heavy on play-action passing. He’s a first-time play-caller, so we don’t have past data to dissect.
  • Frank Smith joined the staff as OC. Formerly of the Chargers, 2022 marks the first time Smith has held the OC role in the NFL. McDaniel is expected to call plays.
  • The staff projects as a huge upgrade for Tua, who’s lacked coordinator stability (and creativity) as a pro.
  • 2022 shapes up as a make-or-break year for Tua. With Miami holding two 1st round picks next year, they could easily find his replacement in the 2023 draft if he underwhelms again.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Considering what little Tua’s done to this point, you might think he’s an easy avoid in 2022 drafts.

After all, the QB position is rich with fantasy options.

We simply can’t discount the upside to a healthy Tua — only in year 3 — with this stacked Miami supporting cast. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle give him elite run-after-catch ability, so an iffy deep ball is less of a concern. Mike Gesicki and Cedrick Wilson supply some red zone size.

Mix in a breath of fresh air with new HC Mike McDaniel, and it’s easy to see Tua joining the spot-start QB1 mix this fall.

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Tua Tagovailoa, QB MIA

9:49am EST 1/10/22

Dolphins fire Flores

The Dolphins fired HC Brian Flores. This one was not expected. Flores lasted 3 seasons in Miami, compiling a 24-25 record. He won 19 games over the past 2 years, though, and seemed to have the Fins heading in the right direction. According to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, Miami is retaining GM Chris Grier. "A power struggle in Miami," Rapoport tweeted. We'll see where the Dolphins go at HC.

View all Tua Tagovailoa Shark Bites »

Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa (finger) is not listed on the final injury report. He was a full-go in practice on both Thursday and Friday. That finger should be close to 100% this week, making Tua a viable fantasy spot starter in a plus matchup vs. the Jets.

View all Tua Tagovailoa Shark Bites »

Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa (finger) was upgraded to full participation in Thursday's practice. That makes him easier to trust in this weekend's plus matchup vs. the Jets.

View all Tua Tagovailoa Shark Bites »

Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa (finger) was limited in Wednesday's practice. He's on track to start vs. the Jets this weekend after playing well in relief of QB Jacoby Brissett Thursday night. But it'd be nice to see Tua get in a full practice or 2 this week.

View all Tua Tagovailoa Shark Bites »

Dolphins HC Brian Flores named QB Tua Tagovailoa his Week 11 starter on Monday. Tagovailoa replaced QB Jacoby Brissett in the 3rd quarter of Thursday night's game and didn't seem bothered by that small fracture in his right middle finger, completing 8 of 13 passes for 158 yards. We'll keep an eye on his practice participation level this week, but Tua gets a nice matchup on Sunday vs. the Jets' bottom-5 pass defense.

View all Tua Tagovailoa Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Tua Tagovailoa, QB MIA
Dynasty MVP 293.8
Position Rank #19 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
Tua simply didn’t take the year 2 jump that his pedigree suggested was possible. Missing Will Fuller for nearly all of the year hurt. But Tua nevertheless proved his arm talent isn’t anywhere near the league’s elite. Adding Tyreek Hill, LT Terron Armstead and a bright young offensive mind in HC Mike McDaniel at least sets Tua up for success.

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