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T.Y. Hilton - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

T.Y. Hilton
IND

WR IND

#75 Wide Receiver

64 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 14
Experience: 9 Yr(s)
Age: 32
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 183
40 Time: 4.37

Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 13
T.Y. Hilton is slowly getting healthy, which is great news for the Colts offense. The Colts have struggled for playmakers in the receiving corps behind Michael Pittman. After Pittman’s 94 targets, only Zach Pascal (61) has more than 50 targets on the season. This lack of weapons hasn’t made a major impact on the Colts winning games as they have been able to dominate on the ground. As they play better teams that gear up to stop the run, Hilton should play a vital role in helping the pass game behind Pittman.
A big takeaway from Week 13 that we should monitor moving forward is this week marked the first game that Hilton ran more routes than Zach Pascal since his return. This is good sign for his prospects coming out of the bye week. Hilton isn’t on the fantasy radar just yet, but he’s a name to monitor as he could be an asset down the stretch if healthy.
Week 6
Hilton led the Colts in targets (4), receptions (4) and receiving yards (80) in his 1st game back from IR following neck surgery. But he also left early with a quad injury that at least sidelined him to start the next practice week.

Hilton’s immediate usage makes him a worthwhile stash if you have the room, but he’s not a must-hold if you need the spot for more immediate help. We're still betting on Michael Pittman as the lead target here.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Hilton posted a 56-762-5 line in 15 games last year, finishing 42nd among WRs in PPR points and 41st in non-PPR.
  • The 50.8 receiving yards per game were the 2nd lowest mark of his 9-year career -- less than a yard better than his 50.1 per game in 2019.
  • Hilton did improve from a career-low 7.4 yards per target in 2019 to 8.2 last year. That latter mark ranked 45th among 87 WRs with 50+ targets.
  • Hilton finished 39th in yards per route run and 28th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade among those 87 WRs.
  • He finished the regular season strong last year, averaging 4.5 catches, 72.5 yards and .8 TDs over his final 6 outings. He was a top 10 WR across fantasy scoring formats during that stretch.
  • But Hilton benefitted from a plush schedule. Five of those final 6 games came against bottom-12 WR defenses.
  • Hilton will turn 32 this November. He’s missed 9 games over the past 3 seasons -- 2 in 2018, 6 in 2019 and 1 last year -- with hamstring, quad, calf and groin injuries.
  • The Colts re-signed him on a 1-year, fully guaranteed, $8 million deal in free agency. It makes Hilton the league’s 14th highest-paid WR in 2021.
  • The Colts return 7 of their top 8 target-getters (including Hilton) from last season, with TE Trey Burton the only notable departure. WR Michael Pittman is a candidate for a year-2 leap, and the Colts will hope to get a healthier season from WR Parris Campbell, who made it through just 1 game last year before a season-ending knee injury.
  • The big change comes at QB, where Carson Wentz replaces Philip Rivers. That’ll be an upgrade if we get 2017-2019 Wentz; a downgrade if it’s 2020 Wentz.
  • The Colts have ranked 27th and 25th in pass rate and 24th and 20th in pass attempts the past 2 seasons. Those teams were quarterbacked by Jacoby Brissett and then Rivers. In 2018 -- Frank Reich’s 1st season as HC and with Andrew Luck under center -- Indy finished 7th in pass rate and 2nd in attempts. We’re projecting the Colts’ 2021 pass rate to settle in between where it was in 2018 and 2019-2020.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Going on 32, Hilton looks like a player in decline. He ranked just outside the top 40 WRs across fantasy scoring formats last year after missing 6 games with multiple injuries in 2019.

The Colts gave him a 1-year, $8 million deal and didn’t make any significant WR additions this offseason, so they’re evidently optimistic that Hilton has 1 more good season left in him. We’re not as optimistic but will keep an eye on Hilton and his rapport with new QB Carson Wentz this summer.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Colts WR T.Y. Hilton (concussion) is not listed on the final injury report after putting in full practices on Thursday and Friday. Hilton will play in a plus matchup vs. the Jaguars this weekend but remains a risky fantasy option. He’s played in 2 games this season and left both with injuries.

View all T.Y. Hilton Shark Bites »

Colts WR T.Y. Hilton (concussion) put in a full practice on Thursday. He's on track to return for this weekend's game vs. Jacksonville. Hilton has played in just 2 games so far this season -- and he exited both early with injuries. He'd be tough to trust in Week 10 fantasy lineups.

View all T.Y. Hilton Shark Bites »

Colts WR T.Y. Hilton (concussion) was limited in Wednesday's practice. He seemingly has a shot to be cleared for this weekend's game vs. the Jaguars. Check back tomorrow for another update.

View all T.Y. Hilton Shark Bites »

Colts WR T.Y. Hilton sustained a concussion in Sunday's loss to the Titans and will miss Thursday night's game vs. the Jets, according to The Athletic's Zak Keefer. We'll see if Hilton can get cleared for Week 10. Michael Pittman and Zach Pascal will again operate as Indy's top 2 WRs on Thursday night.

View all T.Y. Hilton Shark Bites »

Colts WR T.Y. Hilton exited in the 4th quarter of Sunday's game vs. the Titans to get checked for a concussion. His status hasn't been updated since. We should learn more tomorrow.

View all T.Y. Hilton Shark Bites »

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