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Tyler Lockett - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Tyler Lockett
SEA

WR SEA

#17 Wide Receiver

162 Projected Points

ADP: 5.6
Bye: 9
Experience: 6 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 182
40 Time: 4.31

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#17 Wide Receiver

162 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
5.6 92 1147 8 2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Med Floor

140.9

DS Projection

162

Consensus

38 other sites
148.2

Low Ceiling

183.1

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Lockett tallied 132 targets, 100 catches, 1,054 yards and 10 TDs last year. The targets and catches were career highs; the TDs matched a personal best.
  • Lockett finished 8th among WRs in PPR points and 11th in non-PPR.
  • He was extremely volatile from week to week …
    • Lockett scored as a top-3 WR 3 times. That was tied for 2nd most behind only Davante Adams.
    • But he scored as a top-24 WR in only 6 of 16 games. That tied for 22nd.
    • And Lockett failed to crack the top 36 WRs in 9 of his 16 games.
  • Most of Lockett’s duds came over the 2nd half of the season. He finished outside the top 36 WRs in 5 of his final 6 games. He also caught just 2 of 4 targets for 43 yards in Seattle’s playoff loss to the Rams.
    • That coincided with a decline in QB Russell Wilson’s play. Wilson went from a 71.0% completion rate and 8.6 yards per attempt over the first 8 games to 66.3% and 6.4 over the final 8.
  • Lockett has now finished as a top 16 PPR WR and top 15 in non-PPR in 3 straight seasons.
  • He’s dropped from 13th to 27th to 45th in yards per route run in those years among WRs with 50+ targets.
  • He’s followed a similar path in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades: from 14th to 20th to 27th.
  • Lockett turns 29 in September.
  • The Seahawks signed him to a new 4-year, $69 million deal in March. It makes Lockett the league’s 10th-highest-paid WR in terms of average annual salary.
  • He should be in for similar volume in 2021. D.K. Metcalf, who Lockett edged 132 to 129 in targets last year, is back. WR David Moore and his 47 targets from a year ago figure to be replaced by 2nd-round rookie WR Dwayne Eskridge. Seattle added TE Gerald Everett in free agency, but don’t expect him to eat into Lockett’s targets.
  • The Seahawks canned OC Brian Schottenheimer this offseason and replaced him with Shane Waldron.
    • Waldron’s only OC experience came at Buckingham Browne & Nichols High School in 2011.
    • He spent the past 4 seasons as passing-game coordinator/QBs coach for the Rams under Sean McVay.
    • He also worked under Bill Belichick in New England in 2008 and 2009.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Lockett has finished as a top 16 WR across fantasy scoring formats in 3 straight seasons. That includes a WR8 PPR and WR11 non-PPR finish last year.

Lockett and QB Russell Wilson’s production dipped over the 2nd half of last season, which is a slight concern. But we’re betting on a bounce back for both guys considering their histories.

Be prepared for weekly volatility from Lockett. But he’s a great WR3 and can even work as your WR2.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Seahawks and WR Tyler Lockett agreed to a 4-year, $69.2 million extension with $37 million guaranteed, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. He's now signed with Seattle through the 2025 season and is the league's 10th-highest-paid WR in average annual salary. Lockett has finished 16th, 13th and then 8th among WR in PPR points over the last 3 years -- although he's been maddeningly inconsistent at times. His forward-looking fantasy value hinges on just how often the Seahawks are willing to chuck it and whether QB Russell Wilson remains in town.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett left to get checked for a concussion in the 1st quarter of Sunday's game vs. the Giants. We'll update his status when we know more.

Update: Lockett has been cleared to return.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett (knee) is active for tonight's game against the Cardinals. He suffered what HC Pete Carroll called a minor knee sprain this past Sunday and only got in a limited practice on Wednesday. It adds some risk to Lockett's Week 11 outlook, but he's almost impossible to bench in season-long leagues after exploding for a 15-200-3 line in the 1st meeting with Arizona.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett (knee) is listed as questionable for Thursday night's game against the Cardinals after getting in a limited practice on Wednesday. HC Pete Carroll said Lockett "looked fine" and is expected to play. We'll get his official status around 7 pm ET tomorrow.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett is dealing with a knee sprain, HC Pete Carroll said Monday. Carroll added that it's not serious and labeled Lockett "day to day," but it's a trickier situation with Seattle playing Arizona on Thursday night. We'll monitor Lockett's status over the next few days. If he's unable to play vs. the Cardinals, WR David Moore would become a nice spot start.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

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