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Tyler Lockett - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Tyler Lockett
SEA

WR SEA

#19 Wide Receiver

162 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 9
Experience: 6 Yr(s)
Age: 29
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 182
40 Time: 4.31

Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 14
Just as it’s been for much of the season, Lockett was the only thing going right in Seattle’s passing attack. Although he led the team with 9 targets, he caught just 5 of them, but 4 of those went for long yardage, as he consistently beat the Texans’ CBs on deep outs and slants. On his long TD, he split a pair of defenders before Russell Wilson hit him in stride to help the Seahawks erase an early deficit, leading toward a win.

Although he’s had 5 games with 35 yards or fewer this season, Lockett has also surpassed 95 yards on 5 occasions, giving him weekly upside. And even though he’s found the end zone just a single time since Week 3, he’s always capable of going on a run or posting a multi-score game. Aside from a tough matchup against the Rams in Week 15, he’ll finish the fantasy playoffs with excellent matchups against the Bears and Lions, with both of those games coming at home.
Week 13
Lockett tied DK Metcalf for the team lead with 8 targets, and as has been the case for the past month, Lockett continued to be the better producer. He scored his 1st TD since Week 2 on a corner route in the end zone on which Russell Wilson threw a perfect pass over the shoulder, and Lockett boxed out the defender before making the catch. Otherwise, it was Metcalf who was seeing the downfiled targets, as Lockett’s longest grab of the day was just 16 yards.

Like much of his career, Lockett usually needs big plays to come through for fantasy. But the good news is that he’s done exactly that recently, even with the Seattle offense crumbling around him. Coming into this game, he posted at least 96 yards in 3 of his last 4. Look for him to be volatile with excellent upside going forward. Aside from positive matchups in Weeks 14 and 16 against the Texans and Bears, his remaining games are all neutral matchups.
Week 12
Lockett caught 3 of his 5 targets on Monday night for 96 yards, including a 55-yard bomb. While things in Seattle are clearly not going well, Lockett has been one of the lone bright spots of late. Against Arizona he produced 115 yards on 4 catches. Prior to the poor performance against Green Bay, he tallied 142 yards on 12 catches against Jacksonville.

Leading into that stretch there were a lot of underwhelming showings. Going forward, Lockett is someone who can finish the season strong. His volume fluctuates pretty aggressively, but a healthy Russell Wilson should hopefully get this train back on the tracks. With his big play ability, one pass can get him there.
Week 11
Lockett caught 4 of 5 targets for 115 yards in the Seahawks' Week 11 loss to the Cardinals.
Lockett had a solid game despite being targeted just 5 times. The Seahawks only possessed the ball for 20 minutes as the defense was abused by the Cardinals backups.
Lockett and Russell Wilson have had an amazing connection over the years, and even with Wilson struggling, Lockett still eclipsed 100 yards as he got open down the field on several occasions.
Lockett should be used as a WR2 with elite WR1 upside with an excellent matchup against the Football Team in Week 12.
Week 10
Lockett caught 2 of 8 targets for 23 yards in the Seahawks' Week 10 loss to the Packers.
Lockett seemed to get open a lot against the Packers secondary, but the timing was a bit off with Russell Wilson returning from his broken middle finger on his throwing hand.
Lockett and Russ have shown extraordinary chemistry throughout the years and we expect them to rebound in a big way in Week 11 against the Cardinals.
Lockett should be viewed as a solid WR2 with WR1 upside in Week 11.
Week 8
It was apparent that the Seahawks knew that the Jaguars have been terrible against opponents’ #2 WRs, as Geno Smith funneled as many targets as possible towards Lockett from the 1st drive of the game. On the day, Smith threw just 24 passes with 13 of those going to Lockett. The only thing that could’ve gone better for him was on a catch that was made near the goal line he was unable to keep from hitting the ground before getting into the end zone. The play was initially ruled a TD but quickly overturned.

During Weeks 1 and 2, Lockett had totaled 12-278-3 and looked on his way to an amazing season. Unfortunately, that hasn’t been the case since that time. Even though he’s had both Russell Wilson and Geno Smith at QB, he came into this game having posted 159 yards and 0 TDs over his previous 5 games while failing to reach 36 yards in 4 of those contests. Unless he shows signs of building on his success in this game, he’ll be a risky fantasy option with a low-scoring floor.
Week 7
The player that has taken the biggest hit due to the injury to Russell Wilson is Lockett. Smith’s check down tendencies have completely killed Lockett’s fantasy value. So far with Smith at QB, Lockett has only caught 5 passes for 52 yards in just over 2 games. However, knowing Wilson could return after the bye in Week 9, there is a buy-low opportunity for fantasy managers. If the fantasy team that has Lockett needs immediate help, Lockett makes for an interesting trade target if you can stash him on your bench for the next two weeks.
Week 6
The player that has taken the biggest hit because of the Russell Wilson injury is Tyler Lockett. Lockett has lived off the chemistry with Wilson over the past few years. We have seen time and time again Wilson throws it up for Lockett even if he wasn’t open. That is clearly not there with Smith, which should be expected. This is leading to lower catch rates and production as Lockett only caught 2-35 on 5 targets in week 6. The good news for fantasy owners is the Seahawks will be back home on Monday night vs. the Saints. If the Saints use Marshon Lattimroe to shadow Metcalf, Lockett could benefit. However, until we see it with Smith at QB it might be best to sit Lockett in week 7.
Week 5
The loss of Russell Wilson will probably be felt more by Lockett than D.K. Metcalf as Lockett and Wilson seem to just have a unique connection. It wasn’t like Lockett took a major backseat once Geno Smith entered the game as he did see 4 targets of his own in the 4th quarter. The issue is Lockett only caught 1 of those 4 targets for just 7 yards. Things should look better for Lockett as Smith will get a full week of practice with the 1st team offense. This should lead to more productive days for Lockett with Smith.
In Week 6, we should be cautiously optimistic for Lockett as he does draw a plus matchup vs. the Steelers. However, until we see the connection on the field it might be best to view Lockett as a WR3/flex.
Week 2
Lockett has started this season as one of the hottest receivers in the game. Through Week 2, Lockett leads the NFL in every deep receiving category, proving once again to be one of the best deep threats in the game. A ridiculous 44% of his targets are 20+ yards and he’s produced 81 more yards than the next highest player (Tyreek Hill) in deep receiving yards. As D.K. Metcalf continues to demand attention on the other side, there isn’t much a defense can do to stop both of these players on a weekly basis.
Heading into Week 3 Lockett should continue his hot streak as he gets a Vikings D that is hurting at outside CB opposite of Patrick Peterson. The Vikings have been beat by speed, giving up big games to Ja’Marr Chase and Rondale Moore so far in 2021. This makes Lockett a candidate for your DFS lineups again in Week 3.
Week 1
D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett remain the 1a and 1b in this offense and it is not close. The best part about this duo is they can each put up fantasy points in the same week as they are the clear focal points. On a day that Russell Wilson only threw the ball 23 times, both Lockett and Metcalf got it done. Both players finished with at least 14 fantasy points in half PPR and secured at least 60 yards and a score on the week. Lockett led the way, exploding for 100 yards and 2 TDs. Metcalf did lead the team in routes and ran a route on every Wilson drop back.
This week the Seahawks will play the Titans, who just allowed the second most points to WRs in Week 1 with the Cardinals WRs scoring 57 fantasy points. This matchup makes both D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett must-start players and DFS plays in Week 2.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Lockett tallied 132 targets, 100 catches, 1,054 yards and 10 TDs last year. The targets and catches were career highs; the TDs matched a personal best.
  • Lockett finished 8th among WRs in PPR points and 11th in non-PPR.
  • He was extremely volatile from week to week …
    • Lockett scored as a top-3 WR 3 times. That was tied for 2nd most behind only Davante Adams.
    • But he scored as a top-24 WR in only 6 of 16 games. That tied for 22nd.
    • And Lockett failed to crack the top 36 WRs in 9 of his 16 games.
  • Most of Lockett’s duds came over the 2nd half of the season. He finished outside the top 36 WRs in 5 of his final 6 games. He also caught just 2 of 4 targets for 43 yards in Seattle’s playoff loss to the Rams.
    • That coincided with a decline in QB Russell Wilson’s play. Wilson went from a 71.0% completion rate and 8.6 yards per attempt over the first 8 games to 66.3% and 6.4 over the final 8.
  • Lockett has now finished as a top 16 PPR WR and top 15 in non-PPR in 3 straight seasons.
  • He’s dropped from 13th to 27th to 45th in yards per route run in those years among WRs with 50+ targets.
  • He’s followed a similar path in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades: from 14th to 20th to 27th.
  • Lockett turns 29 in September.
  • The Seahawks signed him to a new 4-year, $69 million deal in March. It makes Lockett the league’s 10th-highest-paid WR in terms of average annual salary.
  • He should be in for similar volume in 2021. D.K. Metcalf, who Lockett edged 132 to 129 in targets last year, is back. WR David Moore and his 47 targets from a year ago figure to be replaced by 2nd-round rookie WR Dwayne Eskridge. Seattle added TE Gerald Everett in free agency, but don’t expect him to eat into Lockett’s targets.
  • The Seahawks canned OC Brian Schottenheimer this offseason and replaced him with Shane Waldron.
    • Waldron’s only OC experience came at Buckingham Browne & Nichols High School in 2011.
    • He spent the past 4 seasons as passing-game coordinator/QBs coach for the Rams under Sean McVay.
    • He also worked under Bill Belichick in New England in 2008 and 2009.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Lockett has finished as a top 16 WR across fantasy scoring formats in 3 straight seasons. That includes a WR8 PPR and WR11 non-PPR finish last year.

Lockett and QB Russell Wilson’s production dipped over the 2nd half of last season, which is a slight concern. But we’re betting on a bounce back for both guys considering their histories.

Be prepared for weekly volatility from Lockett. But he’s a great WR3 and can even work as your WR2.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett has been activated from the COVID list. He should be back for Sunday's game vs. the Bears. Lockett averaged 7 targets, 4.2 catches, 89 yards and .4 TDs in his last 5 outings before missing this past week's game vs. the Rams.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett did not make it back from the COVID list in time to face the Rams tonight. He, RB Alex Collins and CB D.J. Reed are the biggest names who failed to test out and will miss the game. Seattle has elevated RB Josh Johnson from the practice squad to fill a roster spot. D.K. Metcalf should see increased target share, with Freddie Swain and Dee Eskridge expected to join him as the top 3 wideouts.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

The Seahawks on Thursday placed WR Tyler Lockett and RB Alex Collins on the COVID list. That almost certainly knocks out both players for Sunday's game against the Rams. Rookie Dee Eskridge and Freddie Swain look like the next 2 WRs up, but each is obviously a giant step down from Lockett. His absence figures to boost D.K. Metcalf's target outlook. Collins' absence takes 1 challenger away from Rashaad Penny in a backfield that remains a little crowded (with Adrian Peterson potentially returning from injury).

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett (hip) is active for today’s game vs. the 49ers. He was limited in Wednesday's practice, sidelined on Thursday but a full participant on Friday. There have been no reports about a limited role for Lockett today.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett (hip) is expected to play vs. the 49ers today, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Lockett was limited in Wednesday's practice, sidelined on Thursday and then a full participant on Friday. He carries a bit more risk than usual but remains a high-upside fantasy play.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

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