Preseason Player Analysis
What You Need to Know:
- Lockett tallied 132 targets, 100 catches, 1,054 yards and 10 TDs last year. The targets and catches were career highs; the TDs matched a personal best.
- Lockett finished 8th among WRs in PPR points and 11th in non-PPR.
- He was extremely volatile from week to week …
- Lockett scored as a top-3 WR 3 times. That was tied for 2nd most behind only Davante Adams.
- But he scored as a top-24 WR in only 6 of 16 games. That tied for 22nd.
- And Lockett failed to crack the top 36 WRs in 9 of his 16 games.
- Most of Lockett’s duds came over the 2nd half of the season. He finished outside the top 36 WRs in 5 of his final 6 games. He also caught just 2 of 4 targets for 43 yards in Seattle’s playoff loss to the Rams.
- That coincided with a decline in QB Russell Wilson’s play. Wilson went from a 71.0% completion rate and 8.6 yards per attempt over the first 8 games to 66.3% and 6.4 over the final 8.
- Lockett has now finished as a top 16 PPR WR and top 15 in non-PPR in 3 straight seasons.
- He’s dropped from 13th to 27th to 45th in yards per route run in those years among WRs with 50+ targets.
- He’s followed a similar path in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades: from 14th to 20th to 27th.
- Lockett turns 29 in September.
- The Seahawks signed him to a new 4-year, $69 million deal in March. It makes Lockett the league’s 10th-highest-paid WR in terms of average annual salary.
- He should be in for similar volume in 2021. D.K. Metcalf, who Lockett edged 132 to 129 in targets last year, is back. WR David Moore and his 47 targets from a year ago figure to be replaced by 2nd-round rookie WR Dwayne Eskridge. Seattle added TE Gerald Everett in free agency, but don’t expect him to eat into Lockett’s targets.
- The Seahawks canned OC Brian Schottenheimer this offseason and replaced him with Shane Waldron.
- Waldron’s only OC experience came at Buckingham Browne & Nichols High School in 2011.
- He spent the past 4 seasons as passing-game coordinator/QBs coach for the Rams under Sean McVay.
- He also worked under Bill Belichick in New England in 2008 and 2009.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
Lockett has finished as a top 16 WR across fantasy scoring formats in 3 straight seasons. That includes a WR8 PPR and WR11 non-PPR finish last year.
Lockett and QB Russell Wilson’s production dipped over the 2nd half of last season, which is a slight concern. But we’re betting on a bounce back for both guys considering their histories.
Be prepared for weekly volatility from Lockett. But he’s a great WR3 and can even work as your WR2.