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Tyler Lockett - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Tyler Lockett
SEA

WR SEA

#19 Wide Receiver

162 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 9
Experience: 6 Yr(s)
Age: 29
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 182
40 Time: 4.31

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

4.2

DS Projection

8.4

Consensus

38 other sites
9

Low Ceiling

11.5

Rest of
Season

9.3

Week 6 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.4 60.1 0.4 8.4
Weekly Writeup
Lockett matched D.K. Metcalf's 4 targets among Geno Smith's 17 attempts in relief last Thursday night. This should remain a concentrated pass offense, even with the QB change. And it's tough to bet on Seattle carrying a lead at Pittsburgh, which would push pass volume.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.4 63 0.5 9.3
Week 5
The loss of Russell Wilson will probably be felt more by Lockett than D.K. Metcalf as Lockett and Wilson seem to just have a unique connection. It wasn’t like Lockett took a major backseat once Geno Smith entered the game as he did see 4 targets of his own in the 4th quarter. The issue is Lockett only caught 1 of those 4 targets for just 7 yards. Things should look better for Lockett as Smith will get a full week of practice with the 1st team offense. This should lead to more productive days for Lockett with Smith.
In Week 6, we should be cautiously optimistic for Lockett as he does draw a plus matchup vs. the Steelers. However, until we see the connection on the field it might be best to view Lockett as a WR3/flex.
Week 2
Lockett has started this season as one of the hottest receivers in the game. Through Week 2, Lockett leads the NFL in every deep receiving category, proving once again to be one of the best deep threats in the game. A ridiculous 44% of his targets are 20+ yards and he’s produced 81 more yards than the next highest player (Tyreek Hill) in deep receiving yards. As D.K. Metcalf continues to demand attention on the other side, there isn’t much a defense can do to stop both of these players on a weekly basis.
Heading into Week 3 Lockett should continue his hot streak as he gets a Vikings D that is hurting at outside CB opposite of Patrick Peterson. The Vikings have been beat by speed, giving up big games to Ja’Marr Chase and Rondale Moore so far in 2021. This makes Lockett a candidate for your DFS lineups again in Week 3.
Week 1
D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett remain the 1a and 1b in this offense and it is not close. The best part about this duo is they can each put up fantasy points in the same week as they are the clear focal points. On a day that Russell Wilson only threw the ball 23 times, both Lockett and Metcalf got it done. Both players finished with at least 14 fantasy points in half PPR and secured at least 60 yards and a score on the week. Lockett led the way, exploding for 100 yards and 2 TDs. Metcalf did lead the team in routes and ran a route on every Wilson drop back.
This week the Seahawks will play the Titans, who just allowed the second most points to WRs in Week 1 with the Cardinals WRs scoring 57 fantasy points. This matchup makes both D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett must-start players and DFS plays in Week 2.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Lockett tallied 132 targets, 100 catches, 1,054 yards and 10 TDs last year. The targets and catches were career highs; the TDs matched a personal best.
  • Lockett finished 8th among WRs in PPR points and 11th in non-PPR.
  • He was extremely volatile from week to week …
    • Lockett scored as a top-3 WR 3 times. That was tied for 2nd most behind only Davante Adams.
    • But he scored as a top-24 WR in only 6 of 16 games. That tied for 22nd.
    • And Lockett failed to crack the top 36 WRs in 9 of his 16 games.
  • Most of Lockett’s duds came over the 2nd half of the season. He finished outside the top 36 WRs in 5 of his final 6 games. He also caught just 2 of 4 targets for 43 yards in Seattle’s playoff loss to the Rams.
    • That coincided with a decline in QB Russell Wilson’s play. Wilson went from a 71.0% completion rate and 8.6 yards per attempt over the first 8 games to 66.3% and 6.4 over the final 8.
  • Lockett has now finished as a top 16 PPR WR and top 15 in non-PPR in 3 straight seasons.
  • He’s dropped from 13th to 27th to 45th in yards per route run in those years among WRs with 50+ targets.
  • He’s followed a similar path in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades: from 14th to 20th to 27th.
  • Lockett turns 29 in September.
  • The Seahawks signed him to a new 4-year, $69 million deal in March. It makes Lockett the league’s 10th-highest-paid WR in terms of average annual salary.
  • He should be in for similar volume in 2021. D.K. Metcalf, who Lockett edged 132 to 129 in targets last year, is back. WR David Moore and his 47 targets from a year ago figure to be replaced by 2nd-round rookie WR Dwayne Eskridge. Seattle added TE Gerald Everett in free agency, but don’t expect him to eat into Lockett’s targets.
  • The Seahawks canned OC Brian Schottenheimer this offseason and replaced him with Shane Waldron.
    • Waldron’s only OC experience came at Buckingham Browne & Nichols High School in 2011.
    • He spent the past 4 seasons as passing-game coordinator/QBs coach for the Rams under Sean McVay.
    • He also worked under Bill Belichick in New England in 2008 and 2009.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Lockett has finished as a top 16 WR across fantasy scoring formats in 3 straight seasons. That includes a WR8 PPR and WR11 non-PPR finish last year.

Lockett and QB Russell Wilson’s production dipped over the 2nd half of last season, which is a slight concern. But we’re betting on a bounce back for both guys considering their histories.

Be prepared for weekly volatility from Lockett. But he’s a great WR3 and can even work as your WR2.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett (hip) is active for today’s game vs. the 49ers. He was limited in Wednesday's practice, sidelined on Thursday but a full participant on Friday. There have been no reports about a limited role for Lockett today.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett (hip) is expected to play vs. the 49ers today, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Lockett was limited in Wednesday's practice, sidelined on Thursday and then a full participant on Friday. He carries a bit more risk than usual but remains a high-upside fantasy play.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett (hip) is listed as questionable for this weekend's game vs. the 49ers. He was limited in Wednesday's practice, sidelined on Thursday and then a full participant on Friday. That points to Lockett playing on Sunday, but you'll need to check back that morning to make sure that's the case.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett (hip) did not practice on Thursday. That followed a limited practice on Wednesday. So Lockett either suffered a setback or got Thursday off. We'll have a better idea of his Week 4 status when Seattle's final injury report comes out Friday afternoon.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett got in a limited practice on Wednesday. He's on the injury report with a hip, rather than the knee it looked like he injured late in last week's loss to the Vikings. Regardless, Lockett seems to be on track to play vs. the 49ers this weekend.

View all Tyler Lockett Shark Bites »

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