Show Navigation
Show Menu

Dynasty Prospect Scouting Report: AJ Dillon

By Matt Schauf | Updated on Sat, 13 Apr 2024 . 1:27 PM EDT


AJ Dillon, RB, Boston College

Height: 72
Weight: 247
Age: 21.9


Combine Results

(percentile rank among all RBs at Combine since 1999, courtesy of Mockdraftable.com):

40-yard dash: 4.53 seconds (61st percentile)
Vertical: 41 inches (96th)
Broad: 131 inches (97th)
3-cone: 7.19 seconds (23rd)
20-yard shuttle: n/a


College Career


Dillon rushed for just 600 yards as a high school senior … but that’s because a broken leg limited him to only 4 games. So Dillon merely averaged 150 yards and racked up 12 TDs in that limited action. Then he chose BC -- as a 3-star recruit -- over an offer from Michigan (among others).

Dillon jumped right into the action as a true freshman, ranking 3rd in FBS in rushing attempts (300) and 7th in yards (1,589). Three of the 4 RBs ahead of him on that list (plus 2 QBs) now reside on NFL rosters, and the other (Jonathan Taylor) soon will. Dillon earned ACC rookie of the year, 1st-team all-conference and freshman All-America honors.

He followed that with another 1st-team All-ACC nod in 2018 and cut his fumbles from 4 to 1. Dillon lost a couple of games while working through nagging injuries. He still handled 42% of the team’s rushing attempts but averaged just 3.4 yards per rush over the season’s final 4 contests.

Dillon ramped it back up for 2019, earning the best Pro Football Focus grade of his career (an elite 91.3). He again ranked 3rd in FBS in carries and 6th in yards. Dillon also led the nation in missed tackles forced, according to PFF. For his 3-year Boston College career, Dillon’s 198 broken tackles trailed only Jonathan Taylor and Zack Moss nationally.

He topped 150 rushing yards in 7 of 12 games in his final campaign, doubling his career total for such performances.


Film Study

(Courtesy of WhatsOnDraftNFL)

Games watched: Iowa 2017, Clemson 2017, Miami 2018, Wake Forest 2018, Syracuse 2019, Clemson 2019

If you’re old enough to have watched football in the 1980s or early 1990s (or the 2019 Titans), then you’ve seen RBs like AJ Dillon. Most of them didn’t match his size-speed combo, but you’ve seen his style.

His entire 2019 Syracuse tape -- 35 carries, 242 yards, 3 TDs -- could have been a Christian Okoye game. If you’re my age or older, then you probably look back fondly on the former Chief. But you might not remember that the “Nigerian Nightmare” only topped 805 rushing yards in a season twice and averaged a mere 3.9 yards per carry for his career. And that was in a more favorable time for hulking backs.

Dillon would have been a popular back among coaches in those days. His combo of weight (250 pounds) and speed (4.53-second 40) produce a 97th-percentile speed score. That trails only Jonathan Taylor in this year’s class and beats everyone from last year’s RB group.

Aside from being big, Dillon has the speed to get the edge on outside running plays.



And, of course, there’s the strength you’d expect from a 250-pound runner



Dillon also displays more agility at times than you’d expect to see from a big back. He can be fairly light on his feet at times.


But he certainly doesn’t win with agility. Dillon runs like the sluggish 3-cone time he posted at the Combine. He’s slow to adjust when trying to redirect away from interior traffic.



And he’s not going to dance around any defenders in the NFL. Dillon will often have no option but to lean into what’s there.


I’d talk about his lack of receiving here, but I don’t have much to say. Among the 6 games I watched from 3 seasons, I only saw 3 total targets -- just 1 of which was catchable. He did catch it, at least.


Fantasy Potential

The total lack of receiving is the biggest hurdle here. Dillon’s comps among draftniks have included Brandon Jacobs (PFF) and Eric Shelton. His PlayerProfiler comp is a more intriguing Steven Jackson, but that’s based mostly on the size and strong athletic testing. Jackson caught 66 passes in college, including 44 in his final (junior) season. Dillon caught 21 in 3 years as Boston College’s workhorse.

Dillon’s Mockdraftable profile presents similar results, listing Ricky Williams and Nick Chubb as his top comparables based on size and testing. His top comp there (Williams) presents only a 77.2% match. It’s rare on there for a player to not have at least 1 match of 85% or higher, and guys regularly find a 90+% match.

That points to the rareness of the package Dillon brings. But today’s NFL just doesn’t highly value what he does well. Look at Williams, again, who averaged 2.3 receptions per game for his career; 3.5 over his 3 seasons with the Saints.

Dillon will be someone’s power back, but that will only be attractive if he lands in a strong offense with lots of scoring chances and no other big RB.

It’s also not hard to envision Dillon going the way of BC predecessor Andre Williams. He delivered an 84th-percentile speed score at 230 pounds coming off a 2,000-yard final season for the Eagles. Then he landed with the Giants in Round 4, totaled 332 carries and 19 receptions over 4 seasons (most of that in his rookie campaign) and spent this spring as an XFL reserve.
Your Personal Dynasty Analytics Department... We dig deeper for you.

We have the tools to help you manage your team like a real NFL GM. Coaches like Belichick, McVay, and Reid all have an entire analytics team at their disposal -- from Draft Night and through the offseason. Now you do too!

With tools that:

  1. Customize and sync to your league scoring. Plug-and-Play functionality.
  2. Auto-adjust during your draft(s) based on positional scarcity, player availability, and individual team needs.
  3. Look to the future with 1-, 3-, 5-, and 10-yr projections.
  4. Contain detailed breakdowns for trade analysis, start-sit decisions, and waiver wire management.

We’ve built a whole suite of Dynasty Tools to help you draft, trade, and research like a champion. You're the manager. We're here to help.

Explore Your New Dynasty Tools »
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy
Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?
Check out thisleague-winning info
2024 Draft Package Now - Sept 15

$39

Get Instant Access
2024 In-Season Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$39

Get Access Sept. 5
2024 DFS Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$49

Get Access Sept. 5
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer
DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values
The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft
Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access Draft Sharks App All–Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept 5 Get Access Sept 5 Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play