Jalen Reagor, WR, TCU
(percentile rank among all WRs at the Combine since 1999, courtesy of mockdraftable.com):
40-yard dash: 4.47 seconds (64th)
Vertical: 42” (92nd)
Broad: 138” (98th)
3-cone: 7.31 seconds (5th)
20-yard shuttle: 4.46 seconds (8th)
A year ago at this time, Reagor looked like 1 of the top WRs in the 2020 class.
Arriving to TCU as a 4-star recruit, Reagor made an immediate impact. He led the 2017 Horned Frogs in receiving yards and TDs as an 18-year-old true freshman, accounting for 16.8% of the yards and 28.6% of the TDs. To put that in perspective, WR Henry Ruggs posted an 18.0% share of receiving yards and 15.6% share of receiving TDs in his final season at Alabama. Reagor was named Big 12 Co-Offensive Freshman of the Year.
2018 brought a breakout season. He ranked top 30 nationally in catches, receiving yards and receiving scores. And that was on a TCU team that finished just 85th in passing yards and 82nd in TDs. Reagor had more than twice as many catches and receiving yards than any other teammate — and 3 times as many receiving TDs. His market shares were massive: 30.1% of the catches, 38.6% of the yards and 50% of the scores.
So what happened to Reagor this past year, when his production was basically sliced in half from 2018? The biggest problem was QB play. Freshman Max Duggan completed just 53.4% of his passes and averaged 6.1 yards per attempt. TCU ranked 99th in the nation in passing yards and 96th in TDs. Per Pro Football Focus, Reagor saw the 4th-highest rate of off-target passes of any receiver in the country.
He still easily led the team in catches and receiving yards, while tying for the team lead with his 6 receiving scores. His market shares dipped from 2018, though: 20.4% of the catches, 25.0% of the yards and 33.3% of the TDs. Those marks rank 19th, 18th and 10th among 23 of this year’s top WR prospects. So it’s fair to call Reagor’s 2019 disappointing, even factoring in QB play.
His overall college resume remains impressive, though. Reagor also contributed on special teams and as a runner throughout his 3 seasons at TCU. He averaged 24.2 yards on 13 kick returns and 17.8 yards with a TD on 23 punt returns. Reagor also compiled 324 rushing yards with 2 scores on 35 career carries (9.3 YPC).
Courtesy of @WhatsOnDraftNFL
Games watched - Ohio State (2018), Texas (2018), Texas, Oklahoma State, West Virginia
Reagor’s open-field ability jumps off the tape. He’s explosive into and out of his cuts, accelerates quickly and plays even faster than his timed 4.47 speed.
We also see that speed on deep balls. If a CB is caught peeking into the backfield, Reagor will blow by him.
Reagor is no stranger to acrobatic grabs. His hands can be sublime at times, and his athleticism gives him a much bigger catch radius than you’d expect from a guy who stands 5’11.
He’s excellent at climbing the ladder with his big 42-inch vertical to high-point the football. Per Pro Football Focus, Reagor hauled in 23 of 50 contested-catch opportunities over the past 2 seasons.
He’s on the rawer side as a route runner, with most of his targets at TCU coming near the line of scrimmage or on ‘go’ routes. But Reagor certainly has the movement skills and shows the potential to develop in that area.
His biggest weaknesses appear to be dealing with physical coverage and inconsistent hands. Reagor dropped 7 of 50 catchable targets (14%) in 2019, according to Pro Football Focus.
Reagor’s lack of production last year is a concern, even factoring in TCU’s QB problems. But his 2018 sophomore campaign was as impressive as any WR in this class. And the high points on his tape are as exciting as any WR in this class.
Reagor isn’t nearly as refined as a guys like Jerry Jeudy, CeeDee Lamb or even Tee Higgins. He’s more athlete than WR at this point. But that high-end athleticism gives him an upside that rivals those top WRs in the class. He’s also capable of adding some fantasy value with rushing production (assuming his NFL team gives him that opportunity).
Consider Reagor a high-ceiling, low-floor pick in your dynasty rookie drafts.