Show Navigation
Show Menu

Draft Strategy

These Guys Should NOT be Going Undrafted on Underdog

By Matt Schauf 11:35am EDT 9/5/22


You’re almost out of time to get your entries into Underdog’s Best Ball Mania III and chase that $2 million top prize.

As I write this, that field of 451,200 teams is 94.5% full. And for the rest of this article, we’re going to focus on how to differentiate your lineup in such an enormous field.

Sure, entry volume is important, so that you can spread player exposures and lineup builds around some. And landing a few key sleepers who dramatically outperform their draft positions is always central to winning a fantasy football league.

But when we’re chasing the money at the top of a field that matches the population of Miami, there’s only so much differentiating you can do through the early rounds of your draft.

All those guys you take in rounds 1-16 are also getting picked in every other Best Ball Mania draft. That’s why you should take some time to scroll through the barely drafted names late in your large-field fantasy football draft.

Those players aren’t finding a home in every draft. So if they bust through for even a couple of big outings – especially come playoff time – your advantage will be supercharged.

With 216 selections in an 18-round Best Ball Mania draft, I’m only looking at players here with an ADP of 215+ in 1-QB Underdog drafts.


Start drafting on Underdog right now! Use promo code DRAFTSHARKS for a free deposit match up to $100.


Ty Montgomery, RB, Patriots

Montgomery sustained an ankle injury in the preseason finale. It’s not yet clear whether he’ll be ready for Week 1, but that uncertainty is actually a good sign.

It’s no big deal if Montgomery misses a game. Before the injury, he was working in a straight rotation with Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson – alternating starter series with a pair of backs going in rounds 9 and 7, respectively.

One thing we’ve learned is that we can bet on the Patriots backfield frustrating us with its week-to-week usage. Best-ball drafting obviously mitigates that some, but Montgomery has remained largely forgotten.

We want pieces of this backfield, which has ranked among the top 9 in collective PPR points every year since 2015. That included top-3 finishes 4 of the past 5 years.


Snoop Conner, RB, Jaguars

We’re all excited about the upside of Travis Etienne. James Robinson has rebounded more quickly than anticipated from his December Achilles’ tear. Those 2 make it easy to forget about the 3rd member of this backfield.

It’s great for Robinson that he’ll be able to play right away. But the guy is still less than a year beyond a very serious injury. He and Etienne land in just the “medium risk” category in our Injury Guide risk projections. Even that, though, gives each guy more than a 70% chance of missing some time this year.

If either Robinson or Etienne goes down at any point, then Conner’s in for a big role boost in an offense with some upside under new leadership.


Noah Brown, WR, Cowboys

Michael Gehlken of the Dallas Morning News came on our podcast back in the 1st half of August and called Brown the favorite to open the regular season as Dallas’ #2 wideout, with Michael Gallup still working back from his ACL tear.

The preseason aligned with that: Brown didn’t play a single snap, just like CeeDee Lamb, Dak Prescott, Dalton Schultz, Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard. (And Gallup, of course.) Rookie WR Jalen Tolbert played 102 snaps, 2nd most among Dallas wideouts.

Yet drafters still aren’t paying attention. Tolbert is going 63rd among WRs in Underdog drafting, at the 12-13 turn. Brown sits 107th.

Gallup’s anticipated absence to open the year obviously presents the most opportunity. But even when Gallup’s ready, there will be room for a 3rd fantasy-relevant WR – at least from a best-ball standpoint.

If you have a Dak Prescott roster going, make Brown an end-of-draft auto-pick.


Byron Pringle, WR, Bears

Pringle’s quad injury cost him the entire preseason, and it’s not yet clear how soon he’ll get onto the field and into the lineup. But that injury didn’t make the rest of the Chicago WR corps any better.

Behind Darnell Mooney, Equanimeous St. Brown and Dante Pettis closed out the preseason as the Bears’ 2nd and 3rd WRs. St. Brown and Pettis have each had multiple NFL seasons to carve out regular roles … and failed to do so. Rookie Velus Jones Jr. only got into 1 preseason contest and doesn’t look ready to open the year with the starters.

As recently as Aug. 25, HC Matt Eberflus said he was anxious to get Pringle back onto the field. He’d likely care a lot less if he weren’t hoping for the Chiefs import to play a significant role.

Even if Pringle starts the year slowly, there’s clearly room for him to emerge as Chicago’s #2 wideout over the course of the season. He’s an easy stash on Justin Fields rosters and correlation with players from the Lions, who the Bears play in Week 17.


Ryan Griffin, TE, Bears

If you’re generally taking 3 TEs on your BBM3 rosters, then there are lots of ways to build out. The best thing about an end-of-draft option is that he can fit any build.

Griffin closed out the preseason catching 1 of Fields’ 3 TD passes in the finale. He nearly matched Cole Kmet’s snaps (15-14) in that contest, though Kmet remained the clear leader in routes run (9-4).

The weakness of that Bears WR corps also helps the weekly outlook for Griffin, making 2-TE sets even more attractive for the offense. The fact that he’ll have any role to open the year is enough to put Griffin into view, and a Kmet injury would obviously vault his ceiling.

Griffin has been such a forgotten entity in best-ball drafts that he doesn’t even carry an Underdog ADP.


Will Dissly, TE, Seahawks

Dissly is similarly not getting drafted at all on Underdog, even though his path to mild relevance is even clearer than Griffin’s.

What do we hate most about Noah Fant’s outlook right now? It’s not the weakness at QB. The biggest problem is that Seattle insists on playing its other TEs too much. Fant ran a route on just 54% of Seahawks pass plays this preseason.

That should obviously make you wary of Fant, and his sinking ADP has matched that. But it should also put Dissly on your radar as a barely owned player capable of popping in a TD in any given week.

Seattle shockingly guaranteed Dissly about $16 million on a 3-year contract this offseason that averages $8 million per year. Sure, they like him primarily for his blocking. But Dissly still ran the 5th most pass routes among all Seahawks last season.

He tallied just 26 targets for the year and isn’t a good bet for production. But that, of course, is why no one’s drafting him at all. Stick Dissly behind 2 good TEs on a team or 2 and then cross your fingers for a Week 17 TD against the Jets.


Dan Arnold, TE, Jaguars

No one’s as excited about Evan Engram’s upside vs. draft cost this year as I am. But he does top our TE board for injury probability. Only 2 players at the position carry a higher projection in the games-missed category.

If that risk is keeping you from wanting any shares of Engram, then it should also be pushing you toward taking some late shots on Arnold.

Just like Engram, this veteran TE is much more wideout than traditional inline plugger. Arnold immediately mixed in as 1 of Jacksonville’s top target-earners after arriving via trade in Week 4.

Engram’s big 1-year pact in free agency blocks Arnold from repeating that. But only an Engram injury stands between Arnold and what could be an even more attractive role with Trevor Lawrence a year wiser and HC Doug Pederson bringing an actual NFL system (both on and off the field).


Get a 100% match on your 1st Underdog deposit.


Related Fantasy Football

Podcast: Week 16 DFS Top Picks

Podcast: Week 16 DFS Top Picks

3:11pm EST 12/23/22

It's difficult NOT to include Derrick Henry in Texans week, but should you fade him in GPP lineups on the NFL Week 16 DFS main slate?

Read More »
NFL Week 15 Recap Fantasy Football Podcast

NFL Week 15 Recap Fantasy Football Podcast

2:54pm EST 12/19/22

Many things stranger than Saquon Barkley's rebound have happened in NFL Week 15. Let's discuss which ones should alter your plans in the fantasy football playoffs ...

Read More »
Week 8 DraftKings -- Fantasy Football Podcast 10-28-22

Week 8 DraftKings -- Fantasy Football Podcast 10-28-22

1:40pm EDT 10/28/22

Welcome to Sam Ehlinger Week on the DFS main slate ...

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentDFS Showdon Tips: Cowboys-Eagles

DFS Showdon Tips: Cowboys-Eagles

4:05pm EDT 10/16/22

Jalen Hurts might be inevitable on this 1-game slate.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentDFS Showdown Tips: Cowboys-Giants

DFS Showdown Tips: Cowboys-Giants

4:40pm EDT 9/26/22

It's Daniel Jones! It's Cooper Rush! It's the 2nd-lowest over/under of the week! If you're having trouble getting excited about Week 3 Monday Night Football, then maybe these fantasy football values can at least give you a reason to watch ...

Read More »
Podcast: Quiet Camp Stories

Podcast: Quiet Camp Stories

11:25pm EDT 8/29/22

Even with the media blitz on NFL training camps and preseason, some stories still don't get enough coverage. Well we're talking about them and how they'll impact your fantasy football season.

Read More »
Podcast: Preseason Week 2 Reactions

Podcast: Preseason Week 2 Reactions

2:50pm EDT 8/22/22

Has there been TOO much movement on the Washington and New England backfields?

Read More »
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy

Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?

Check out thisleague-winning info

2022 Draft Package Now - Sept 15th

$39

Get Instant Access
2022 In-Season Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$39

Get Access Sept. 5th
2022 DFS Package Sept 5th - Mar 7th

$49

Get Access Sept. 5th
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual auto-renew
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Live-Draft Sync Included Live-Draft Sync
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Mock Draft Tool Included Mock Draft Tool
Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Round-by-Round Draft Strategies Included Round-by-Round Draft Strategies
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly GPP Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Included Weekly Cash Game Picks
(DraftKings & FanDuel)
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice Included Daily Fantasy Advice
Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice Included Personalized Email Advice
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access
Draft Sharks App
All–Access Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Included All-Access
Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept. 5th Get Access Sept. 5th Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play