Baltimore Ravens 2026 Overview

Schedule

Wins

Play Calling

Key Additions

• RB Adam Randall
• WR Ja'Kobi Lane
• WR Elijah Sarratt
• G Olaivavega Ioane

Key Departures

• RB Keaton Mitchell
• TE Isaiah Likely
• C Tyler Linderbaum

Notable Coaching Changes

• HC John Harbaugh and Todd Monken out
• HC Jesse Minter and OC Declan Doyle in

Lamar Jackson

2025 Role & Results

Injury Halts Fast Start

Jackson threw for 2,549 yards and 21 TDs across 13 games last season. He added 349 yards and 2 TDs on the ground to finish 15th among QBs in fantasy points per game.

Before getting knocked out of Week 4 with a hamstring injury, Jackson averaged:

• 240.7 passing yards
• 3.0 passing TDs
• 39.3 rushing yards
• 0.3 rushing TDs

Jackson led all QBs in fantasy points per game through Week 3. 

Over his final eight games (omitting Week 16 when he left early with a back injury), he ranked QB16.

Rushing Volume Muted

Jackson’s 24.7 pass attempts per game across his 11 full outings were right in line with his average over the previous six seasons (27.9).

But his 5.4 carries per game easily marked a career low. His previous averages:

• 2019: 11.7
• 2020: 10.6
• 2021: 11.1
• 2022: 9.3
• 2023: 9.3
• 2024: 8.2

Injuries likely factored into that decline. But Jackson also averaged just 5.0 carries across the first 3 games.

The Efficiency Sagged

Among 42 QBs with 150+ pass attempts last season, Jackson ranked:

• 24th in completion rate
• 24th in adjusted completion rate
• third in yards per attempt
• 24th in Pro Football Focus passing grade

Jackson’s 63.6% completion rate was his worst since 2022. His 74.3% adjusted completion rate was his worst across his seven seasons as a full-time starter, and his 65.9 PFF passing grade was his second-worst mark over that span.

Jackson’s rushing efficiency was also down, with his 5.2 yards per carry and 0.15 missed tackles forced per attempt both his worst marks across seven seasons as full-time starter. 

On the plus side, his 3.12 yards after contact per attempt was a little above his career average of 2.95.

Ravens Stay Run Heavy, Play Volume Collapses

The Ravens remained a run-heavy offense last season, ranking dead last in pass rate (48.0%), 31st in neutral pass rate (48.1%), and 31st in pass rate over expected (-6.3%).

Across Jackson’s 11 full outings, Baltimore climbed to a 53.6% pass rate, 56.6% neutral pass rate, and -3.9% pass rate over expected. That still ranked just 30th, 23rd, and 29th, respectively.

The Ravens also ranked 29th at 57.3 plays per game, and that number dipped to 56.3 in Jackson’s 11 full outings. Baltimore had averaged at least 61.8 plays per game in each of Jackson’s first six seasons as a full-time starter.

Jackson Capable Of Bouncing Back

Jackson’s 20.8 fantasy points per game in his 11 full outings were a career low, but his 28.2 in 2024 were the second-most of his career. That makes 2025 look more like a one-off than the start of a steady decline.

Jackson turned 29 in January. He’s likely past his prime, especially as a runner, but our positional aging curves still have rushing QBs producing at 87% of peak at age 29.

Injuries Piling Up

Jackson missed three games with a hamstring injury and one with a back contusion last year.

He didn’t miss any games with injuries in 2023 or 2024 but sat out 10 games across 2021 and 2022 -- five with a PCL sprain, four with a sprained ankle, and one with an illness.

2026 Opportunity & Projection

Contract Negotiations Shouldn't Impact 2026

Jackson has two years remaining on the five-year, $260 million deal he signed in April 2023. He and the team have been negotiating a new deal for more than a year now to no avail.

Jackson showed up for the start of the offseason program, though, and is of course locked in as Baltimore’s 2026 starter.

Key Changes To Supporting Cast

The Ravens return last year’s top two targets in WR Zay Flowers and TE Mark Andrews. That pair accounted for 54.7% of the team’s receiving yards and 43.5% of the receiving TDs last season.

Baltimore injected some youth into the WR corps with third-rounder Ja’Kobi Lane and fourth-rounder Elijah Sarratt, but neither rookie nor Rashod Bateman is likely to be a real difference-maker for Jackson this year.

Baltimore lost TE Isaiah Likely in free agency. He averaged just 21.9 yards per game last year and didn’t reach 30 per game in any of his four seasons with the Ravens. But he did total 11 TDs across the 2023 and 2024 seasons.

Baltimore’s offensive line returns OTs Ronnie Stanley and Roger Rosengarten. But the interior got overhauled. First-round rookie Olaivavega Ioane and free-agent addition John Simpson are expected to start at guard. Center is completely unsettled after Tyler Linderbaum departed in free agency. The list of replacement candidates looks worrisome: 

• Danny Pinter
• Corey Bullock
• and Jovaughn Gwyn.

That center spot looks like the biggest concern for Jackson heading into 2026.

New Coaching Staff Adds Uncertainty

For the first time as a pro, Jackson will play for a new HC after Baltimore fired John Harbaugh in January. He was replaced by Jesse Minter, who brought in Declan Doyle as OC.

Minter has a defensive background, so it’ll be Doyle running the offense. The 30-year-old has no experience calling plays at any level, so he’s a wildcard.

Doyle does come from a nice coaching tree, though. He spent five years working under Sean Payton (three in New Orleans as offensive assistant, two in Denver as TEs coach) and then served as Bears OC under Ben Johnson last season.

Here’s Doyle on Jackson shortly after being hired:

"What he can do with his legs and as a ballcarrier is really special. We will shape and build this offense around what he does best.”

Paths To Ceiling

Jackson has shown his upside climbs to the top of the position. If he stays healthy and the offense clicks under Doyle, Jackson could lead all QBs in fantasy points this season.

Risk Factors

Jackson’s rushing production was noticeably down last year. There’s a chance the 29-year-old is no longer an elite runner.

There are also supporting-cast concerns heading, including a new coaching staff, thin pass-catching corps, and remade interior offensive line.

Jackson is unlikely to fall out of QB1 territory as long as he stays healthy. He could wind up more of a mid-range QB1 than fantasy difference-maker, though, even without getting hurt.

Derrick Henry

2025 Role & Results

Another Monster Season

Henry carried 307 times for 1,595 yards and 16 TDs across 17 games. Those marks ranked fourth, second, and second league-wide.

Henry added just 150 scoreless yards on 15 catches but still ranked seventh among RBs in PPR and half-PPR points per game.

Henry led all RBs in PPR points twice (weeks 1 and 17) and had four other top-12 finishes. He ranked outside the top-30 RBs just two times.

One-Dimensional Role

Henry dominated rushing work for Baltimore, accounting for 60.6% of the team’s carries. That was the eighth-highest mark in the league.

He was also the go-to weapon near the goal line. Henry led the NFL in both carries inside the 10-yard line (40) and carries inside the 5 (27).

Henry was barely involved in the passing game, ranking:

• 51st in pass routes
• 52nd in route rate
• 54th in targets

Henry finished 14th among RBs in expected PPR points per game; 11th in half-PPR.

Did Henry's Play Slip?

Henry averaged 5.2 yards per carry last year, his second straight season and fourth overall above 5.0. Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries, only De’Von Achane averaged more.

Henry also ranked third among those 51 RBs in rush yards over expected per attempt and fourth in yards after contact per attempt.

He did, however, tumble to 44th in missed tackles forced per attempt. The 0.14 was his lowest mark since his 2016 rookie campaign.

Losing Lamar Hurts Ravens Offense, Not Henry's Production

The Ravens deployed a run-heavy offense last year, ranking last in pass rate (48.0%), 31st in neutral pass rate (48.1%), and 31st in pass rate over expected (-6.3%).

Baltimore finished just 16th in total yards and 11th in points, though, in large part because of a pair of injuries to QB Lamar Jackson that cost him four games and parts of two others.

Henry actually averaged more PPR points per game without Jackson (20.1) than with him (15.0). His carries jumped from 16.8 per game with Jackson to 20.3 without him, although his yards per carry dipped from 5.3 to 5.0.

Two Straight Top-7 Finishes

Henry has finished RB4 and RB7 in PPR points per game in two seasons with the Ravens. His efficiency declined from 2024 to 2025 … but it went from otherworldly to simply very good.

Henry is now 32, an age at which mere mortal RBs produce at just 60-70% of their peak, according to our aging-curve research. But Henry has proven for multiple seasons that he doesn’t abide by the normal rules.

Other than his missed tackles forced being down last year, he remained one of the most effective runners in the league. There’s theoretically a risk that he hits the wall this season, but we could have said that for the past few years.

The Workhorse Keeps Rolling

Despite big workloads, Henry has been impressively durable. He’s played all 17 games in each of the last three seasons and hasn’t missed a game with injury since a broken foot cost him nine games in 2021.

2026 Opportunity & Projection

Expect Another Huge Workload

Henry returns as Baltimore’s workhorse for 2026.

The Ravens lost RB Keaton Mitchell to the Chargers in free agency, but he averaged just 4.5 carries and 0.9 targets per game last year.

RB Justice Hill is back but figures to remain in a strict passing-down role. He led the backfield with 2.7 targets per game last year and averaged just 1.8 carries.

Third-year RB Rasheen Ali and rookie RB Adam Randall round out the depth chart.

Expect Henry to play a high-volume role similar to what he played the past two years.

Should We Worry About The O-Line?

The biggest change to Baltimore’s personnel is the interior offensive line. Stud C Tyler Linderbaum departed for Vegas in free agency after ranking top-6 among centers in Pro Football Focus run-blocking grade in each of the last four seasons. The Ravens don’t have a ready-made replacement, with Danny Pinter, Corey Bullock, and Jovaughn Gwyn the top candidates. Pinter has 10 career NFL starts, while Bullock and Gwyn have none.

Baltimore will also have new starters at both guard spots. John Simpson inked a three-year, $30 million deal in free agency after starting the last two seasons for the Jets and 2023 for the Ravens. But his PFF run-blocking grades have swung from 11th among guards in 2024 to outside the top 50 in 2023 and 2025.

The other guard spot is expected to be filled by first-round rookie Olaivavega Ioane. He made 32 starts at Penn State and ranked 13th among 452 qualifying guards in PFF’s 2025 run-blocking grades.

This offensive line will be worth monitoring throughout the summer, but it’s likely to decline from last year, when it ranked eighth in PFF run-blocking grade and 17th in ESPN run-block win rate.

New Coaching Staff Adds Uncertainty

John Harbaugh’s 18-year run as Ravens HC ended when he was fired in January. He’ll be replaced by HC Jesse Minter, who hired OC Declan Doyle.

Minter has a defensive background, so Doyle will run the offense. The 30-year-old has no experience calling plays at any level, so he’s a wildcard.

Doyle does come from a nice coaching tree, though. He spent five years working under Sean Payton (three in New Orleans as offensive assistant, two in Denver as TEs coach) and then served as Bears OC under Ben Johnson last season.

Both of those guys have strong histories of creating productive backfields. Henry’s a safe bet to retain a big role.

Paths To Ceiling

Big volume and elite efficiency on the ground have fueled Henry to two straight top-7 fantasy finishes with the Ravens. 

His minimal passing-game usage caps the ultimate upside. But he has a clear path to another top-10 season in 2026 as long as the rushing efficiency remains strong.

Risk Factors

A new play caller and remade interior offensive line add environmental risk, and there’s at least some chance a 32-year-old Henry sees a significant efficiency dip.

That’d be even more damaging for Henry, who isn’t insulated by receiving production.

The floor here sinks well into RB2 territory.

Justice Hill

2025 Role & Results

Hill Barely Mattered In Fantasy Football

Hill carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 TDs across 10 games last year. He was busier in the passing game, catching 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards and 1 TD.

Hill ranked 58th among RBs in PPR points per game; 61st in half-PPR.

He finished RB4 in PPR points in Week 4 (117 total yards and 2 TDs) but had just one other weekly finish better than RB32.

A Pure Passing-Down Back

Hill’s role was clearly defined last year: The Ravens passed on 79.5% of his snaps. 

He averaged just 1.8 carries per game but led Baltimore RBs with 2.7 targets per game. Hill ran a route on 39.0% of Ravens pass plays and drew a 10.4% target share across his 10 outings.

He ranked 70th among RBs in expected PPR points per game.

Receiving Metrics Good Enough

Among 48 RBs with 25+ targets last season, Hill ranked:

• 20th in yards per catch
• 13th in yards per route
• 17th in yards after catch per reception
• 30th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade

Hill averaged 5.2 yards on his 18 carries, but a 71-yarder did most of the work. He averaged just 1.3 yards on his other 17 totes.

Never Better Than RB44

Hill has been a passing-down back throughout his six NFL seasons. He’s averaged 4.7 carries and 1.8 targets per game for his career, and 3.6 carries and 2.9 targets over the last three years.

His three most productive seasons in PPR points per game have come over the last three years, and they still produced just RB51, RB44, and RB58 finishes.

Injuries Piling Up

Hill’s 2025 season ended with a neck injury suffered in practice in late November. He landed on IR a few days later, but we never got any details on the injury.

Hill also missed two games last year with a toe injury and was sidelined for the entire 2021 season with a torn Achilles.

2026 Opportunity & Projection

Hill's Role Has Survived The Offseason

The Athletic’s Jeff Zrebiec called Hill a “potential salary-cap cut” in March, but he remains on the roster as of now.

The Ravens return RB Derrick Henry, who will continue to dominate early-down work.

RB Keaton Mitchell departed for Los Angeles in free agency, but he averaged just 4.5 carries and 0.9 targets per game last year.

Third-year RB Rasheen Ali and rookie RB Adam Randall round out the depth chart.

Hill looks set to play a familiar passing-down role this season.

Will The New Coaching Staff Matter?

The Ravens fired HC John Harbaugh in January after 18 years. He’ll be replaced by HC Jesse Minter, who brought in OC Declan Doyle.

Minter has a defensive background, so Doyle will run the offense. The 30-year-old has no experience calling plays at any level, so he’s a wildcard.

It’s a safe bet, though, that Doyle’s offense will revolve around QB Lamar Jackson and RB Derrick Henry.

Paths To Ceiling

Hill’s only real path to a ceiling is a Derrick Henry injury, which hasn’t happened since 2021. Even then, it’s unclear how much Hill’s role would change, considering he’s hit double-digit carries in a game just four times as a pro.

Risk Factors

Unless he’s released, Hill’s passing-down role should be relatively safe. It just doesn’t carry any real fantasy value.

Zay Flowers

2025 Role & Results

Flowers Cracks WR1 Territory

Flowers racked up 86 catches for 1,211 yards and 5 TDs last year. The catches and yardage were career highs and ranked eighth and sixth, respectively, among all WRs.

Despite tying for just 32nd at the position in TDs, Flowers finished 11th in PPR and half-PPR points per game.

He was more inconsistent than similarly productive WRs, though. Flowers twice led his position in PPR points (Weeks 1 and 18) but cracked the top-20 just two other times.

On the plus side, Flowers finished worse than WR32 just twice.

Missing: TD Opportunities

Flowers ranked 16th among WRs with 118 targets and 23rd with 6.9 targets per game.

His 27.7% target share was good for eighth at the position. Flowers ranked 18th among 86 qualifying WRs in targets per route (0.25).

He wasn’t as involved near the end zone, though. Flowers ranked:

• 37th in red-zone targets
• 31st in red-zone target share
• 31st in targets inside the 10-yard line
• 34th in target share inside the 10

Flowers finished 24th among WRs in expected PPR points per game.

Fueled By Strong Efficiency

Flowers hauled in 72.9% of his targets and averaged 14.1 yards per catch. Among 76 WRs with 50+ targets, he ranked:

• ninth in yards per target
• fourth in yards per route
• 15th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade

That efficiency made Flowers the sixth biggest overachiever among WRs in terms of actual PPR points per game (14.7) vs. expected points per game (12.5).

Low Volume And Lamar Injury Were Challenges

The Ravens ran one of the league’s run-heaviest offenses last year, ranking 32nd in pass rate (48.0%) and 31st in neutral pass rate (48.1%). Baltimore also finished 29th in plays per game (57.3).

The result was a league-low 24.8 passes per game, 2.8 fewer than any other team and 3.3 fewer than Baltimore averaged in any of its previous four seasons.

The Ravens also played four games without Lamar Jackson, and Flowers’ production predictably suffered. The per-game averages:

13 games with Jackson

• 4.9 catches
• 76.9 yards
• 0.31 TDs
• 15.3 PPR points

4 games without Jackson

• 5.5 catches
• 52.8 yards
• 0.25
• 12.5 PPR points

Flowers’ scoring average with Jackson would have made him PPR WR10 on the season.

Still Trending Up?

Flowers has improved across the board over his first three NFL seasons.

Flowers went from 12.8 PPR points per game as a rookie to 12.3 in 2024 before hitting a career-high 14.7 last year.

Flowers turns 26 in September, which is right around peak age for WRs, according to our aging-curve research.

Yet To Miss A Regular-Season Game

Flowers has not missed a regular-season game due to injury through three NFL seasons. He did suffer a right LCL sprain in the 2024 finale that sidelined him for Baltimore’s two playoff games.

2026 Opportunity & Projection

Expect Strong Volume Again

Flowers returns as Baltimore’s top target in 2026.

The Ravens lost TE Isaiah Likely in free agency and did not retain WR DeAndre Hopkins, freeing up 75 targets, 17.8% of last year’s total.

Baltimore added WRs Ja’Kobi Lane and Elijah Sarratt in the third and fourth rounds of the draft. They’ll push WR Rashod Bateman for snaps, but none of those guys is likely to earn a lot of targets this season.

TE Mark Andrews figures to finish second in targets, but he turns 31 in September and registered career lows last year in yards per route and PFF receiving grade.

We like Flowers’ chances of drawing 25+% of Ravens targets again this season, with upside around 30%.

Will The New Staff Use Flowers Near The End Zone?

John Harbaugh’s 18-year run as HC ended when Baltimore fired him in January. He’ll be replaced by HC Jesse Minter, who brought in OC Declan Doyle.

Minter has a defensive background, so Doyle will run the offense. The 30-year-old has no experience calling plays at any level, so he’s a wildcard.

Doyle does come from a nice coaching tree, though. He spent five years working under Sean Payton (three in New Orleans as offensive assistant, two in Denver as TE coach) and then served as Bears OC under Ben Johnson last season.

The biggest change we hope to see for Flowers in Doyle’s offense is more usage near the end zone. He has just 14 TDs on a 5.9% TD rate over his three NFL seasons, well below the league-wide WR rate of 7.8%.

That looks more like a usage issue than poor performance or bad luck. Flowers’ expected TD rates over the last 3 years:

• 2023: 6.4%
• 2024: 5.7%
• 2025: 4.5%

Paths To Ceiling

Flowers is coming off a WR11 finish in PPR and half-PPR points per game, despite scoring just 5 TDs and playing without Jackson for four games.

A healthy season from Jackson, along with a boost in usage near the end zone, could propel Flowers into the top 10 among fantasy WRs.

Risk Factors

A new offense under first-time play-caller Declan Doyle looks like the biggest risk. 

Flowers also ranked just 24th among WRs in expected points per game last year. If his role doesn’t change and the efficiency slips, he could settle in more as a WR2-3.

Mark Andrews

2025 Role & Results

A Boom-Or-Bust Producer

Andrews caught 48 balls for 422 yards and 5 TDs in 17 games last season, finishing 25th among TEs in PPR points per game and 24th in half-PPR.

Andrews was volatile week to week, finishing as a top-5 PPR TE three times but falling outside the top-24 on 10 occasions.

Busiest Near The End Zone

Andrews played 62.2% of Baltimore’s offensive snaps and ran a route on 62.9% of pass plays. That latter mark ranked 22nd among TEs.

Andrews’ 67 targets ranked 19th at the position; his 15.9% target share 18th.

He was more involved near the end zone, ranking:

• 9th among TEs in red-zone targets
• 7th in red-zone target share
• 3rd in targets inside the 10-yard line
• 4th in target share inside the 10

Still, Andrews finished just 22nd among TEs in expected PPR and half-PPR points per game.

Worrisome Efficiency

Among 38 TEs with 40+ targets last year, Andrews ranked:

• 36th in yards per target
• 30th in yards per route
• 32nd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade

Low Volume And Lamar Injury Didn't Help

The Ravens ran one of the league’s run-heaviest offenses last year, ranking 32nd in pass rate (48.0%) and 31st in neutral pass rate (48.1%). Baltimore also finished 29th in plays per game (57.3).

The result was a league-low 24.8 passes per game, 2.8 fewer than any other team and 3.3 fewer than Baltimore averaged in any of its previous four seasons.

The Ravens also played four games without Lamar Jackson. Andrews was better in fantasy with Jackson, although that was entirely because of TDs.

13 games with Jackson

• 2.7 catches
• 24.2 yards
• 0.39 TDs
• 8.2 PPR points

4 games without Jackson

• 3.3 catches
• 27.0 yards
• 0.25
• 6.0 PPR points

Did We Just See Andrews Hit The Wall?

Andrews registered career lows in multiple metrics last season:

• Yards per game (24.8)
• Yards per catch (8.8)
• Yards per target (6.0)
• Yards per route (1.23)
• PFF receiving grade (61.6)

Andrews averaged 39.6 yards per game in 2024 after topping 50 in each of the previous five seasons.

His yards per route and PFF receiving grades had remained strong before last year. As recently as 2024, he ranked sixth in yards per route and fourth in PFF grade among 36 qualifying TEs.

Andrews will turn 31 a few days before the start of the season. According to our aging-curve research, we should expect 80-85% of peak production from a 31-year-old TE. That’s down from 85-90% at age-30.

Healthy Lately

Andrews has played all 17 games in two straight seasons. He missed seven games in 2023 with a fractured fibula and has also dealt with shoulder and ankle injuries over his eight NFL seasons.

2026 Opportunity & Projection

Chance For A Bigger Role This Year

The Ravens lost TE Isaiah Likely to the Giants in free agency this offseason. Likely ran a route on 53.3% of pass plays and averaged 2.6 targets on a 10.4% share across his 14 games last season.

Andrews’ route rate climbed from 61.6% to 68.8% in the three games without Likely, but his target share actually sank from 16.5% to 13.2%.

We’d chalk that up to small-sample noise, though, and consider Likely’s departure good news for Andrews’ 2026 outlook.

The Ravens also lost TE Charlie Kolar in free agency. He saw just 15 targets last year but played 39.6% of the offensive snaps. Baltimore only added Day 3 rookies Matthew Hibner and Josh Cuevas to the TE room.

The WR corps is also thin behind Zay Flowers. Rashod Bateman and rookies Ja’Kobi Lane and Elijah Sarratt don’t look like big target earners this season.

Andrews is the favorite to finish second among Ravens in targets this year, and Baltimore backed that up with a 3-year, $39 million extension last December (albeit under the previous coaching staff).

Andrews "A Major Focal Point" For New Staff?

John Harbaugh’s 18-year run as HC ended when Baltimore fired him in January. He’ll be replaced by HC Jesse Minter, who brought in OC Declan Doyle.

Minter has a defensive background, so Doyle will run the offense. The 30-year-old has no experience calling plays at any level, so he’s a wildcard.

Doyle does come from a nice coaching tree, though. He spent five years working under Sean Payton (three in New Orleans as offensive assistant, two in Denver as TEs coach) and then served as Bears OC under Ben Johnson last season.

“We think Mark is one of the best players in the league at that position,” HC Jesse Minter said in March. “It's a major focal point of our offense.”

Paths To Ceiling

Andrews is a good bet to finish second among Ravens in targets this year. If the offense bounces back with a healthy Lamar Jackson and new OC, Andrews could score as a top-8 fantasy TE.

Risk Factors

2025 was Andrews’ worst pro season by most metrics, and he’ll be 31 this fall. Even with a clear path to targets, he might not have enough left to deliver more than mid-range TE2 numbers.