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Cam Newton - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Cam Newton
NE

QB NE

#34 Quarterback

108 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 14
Experience: 10 Yr(s)
Age: 32
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 244
40 Time: 4.56

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#34 Quarterback

108 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 91/142 1037 6 3 180

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

86.4

DS Projection

108

Consensus

38 other sites
321.4

High Ceiling

237.6

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

-A weak supporting cast and questionable arm strength crushed Cam’s passing production in 2020. On 368 attempts, Newton tallied only 8 TDs to 10 INTs.

-His adjusted completion rate of 78.1% actually T-13th league-wide. But he was among the league’s most conservative QBs with a 7.3-yard average depth of target.

-Newton didn’t exceed 1 passing TD in a game until Week 17 (3, vs. Jets)

-The Patriots failed to support Newton with quality pass catchers. His top-3 targets: Jakobi Meyers, Damiere Byrd and James White.

-Newton’s rushing production is the only thing that saved his spot-start fantasy value. His 31 goal line attempts ranked 3rd most among all ball carriers. So did his 19 carries inside the 5 yard-line.

-Newton ranked 2nd among QBs in total rush attempts, 3rd in yards and 1st in TDs.

-After testing positive for COVID, Newton missed 1 game. It marked his only missed game of the 2020 season.

-After the season, Newton spoke on the difficulty of learning New England’s system. He signed with the team in late June, 2020. "It was all new terminology, Cam said. “I wasn’t just trying to learn a system for what it was, I was learning a 20-year system in two months.”

-In March, Newton re-signed with New England on a 1-year deal worth $6 million. He can earn up to $14 million total with incentives.

-HC Bill Belichick has said Newton is the Pats’ starter until someone beats him out. The team used a 1st round pick on Alabama QB Mac Jones, who fell to them at the 15th overall pick.

-First round QBs very rarely sit for an entire year. So look for Jones to hit the field at some point in 2021.

-New England significantly bolstered the offense in free agency, adding TEs Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith and WRs Nelson Agholor and Kendrick Bourne. Losing Julian Edelman to retirement won’t have much of a fantasy impact.

-If RT Trent Brown can remain healthy, the Pats’ O-line will profile as 1 of the league’s best units.

-High pass volume won’t be likely no matter who’s under center. The Pats had the league’s 2nd highest run rate last year and remain built to lean on their ground game/defense.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Newton looks like a strong bet to start Week 1. Whether or not he keeps the job all year will come down to his performance -- and the development of Mac Jones.

With total games played a mystery, Newton is a potential dud in best ball leagues. But he'll likely end up as a usable piece for standard redraft leagues early on.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Patriots QB Cam Newton is expected to handle a "full complement of reps" at minicamp this week, according the The Boston Globe's Jim McBride. Newton suffered a bone bruise to the right hand at OTAs a couple of weeks ago, but it's obviously not a concern. Early reports out of New England have Newton a strong favorite to open the season as the starter, ahead of 1st-round rookie QB Mac Jones.

View all Cam Newton Shark Bites »

Patriots QB Cam Newton suffered a "slight bone bruise" to his right hand when he banged it on a helmet at OTAs on Friday, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. "Not considered major at all," Rapoport adds. But Newton might not hit the practice field again until training camp. That'll give 1st-round rookie QB Mac Jones a chance to build some momentum.

View all Cam Newton Shark Bites »

The 1-year deal QB Cam Newton recently agreed to with the Patriots falls well short of being clear starter money. Newton starts out at $5.1 million for the coming season. That number rises to $6.6 million if he starts all year, according to ESPN's Mike Reiss, and $8.6 million if he starts and the Pats reach the playoffs. With all incentives, the contract could climb as high as $13.6 million. Rather than committing to Newton as the 2021 starter, though, the Patriots appear to be committing to him as QB insurance. We'll see whether competition comes via the draft. Newton's deal does suggest that New England likely won't sign another big-name QB in free agency (or trade) -- but certainly doesn't rule out that option. Treat Newton as the likeliest Patriots starter in best-ball drafts for now.

View all Cam Newton Shark Bites »

QB Cam Newton and the Patriots have agreed to a new 1-year deal, according to The Boston Globe's Jim McBride. Newton was a major disappointment with New England last season, averaging just 177 passing yards and less than half a passing score across 15 games. In his defense, he dealt with COVID in the middle of the season and had very little to work with as far as pass-catching weapons. We'll see what the Patriots do to address that 2nd issue over the next couple of months. Newton at least remained a threat with his legs last year, racking up 592 yards and 12 TDs on the ground. This move shouldn't preclude the Pats from taking a QB in the 1st round of next month's draft.

View all Cam Newton Shark Bites »

Patriots QB Cam Newton was benched in the 4th quarter of Thursday night's loss to the Rams, finishing with 119 scoreless yards and a pick-6 on 9-of-16 passing. HC Bill Belichick said afterwards, though, that Newton remains the starter going forward. Frankly, the Pats don't have a better option. While Newton's arm isn't what it used to be, New England's lack of weapons is the much bigger problem Cam has now fallen short of 120 passing yards in 3 straight games and 4 of his last 5. Only his rushing ability makes him a QB2 the rest of the way.

View all Cam Newton Shark Bites »

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