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Dalton Schultz - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDalton Schultz's Basic Stats

Dalton Schultz
ADP: 11.2
Bye: 7
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 27.2
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 244
40 Time: 4.75
Speed Score: 96.60
SPARQx (Rank): 96.00 (20%)
Burst Score (Rank): 116.00 (46%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.40 (72%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.98 (48%)

Dalton Schultz's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.8 27.5 0.2 4
Weekly Writeup
Schultz has turned 14 targets into only 7 grabs for 47 yards. He’s yet to see a target inside the 10 yard-line. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh's allowed just 8-69 to TEs on the season.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3 31.3 0.2 4.4

Dalton Schultz's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#24 Tight End

69.8 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
11.2 48.4 500.3 3.8 0.7 1.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDalton Schultz's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

There’s room for Schultz to grab a large share of Houston targets, but nothing about him suggests he’s a better bet to do so than the Texans’ top WRs.

Schultz’s fantasy production has lived off target volume and Dallas’ strong offensive efficiency. We’re not betting on Houston ranking near the top of the league in passing volume or efficiency this year.

That all makes Schultz a forgettable fantasy asset for 2023, especially with drafters still treating him as a top-12 TE.

What We Learned Last Year
  • The past three seasons have showed us that Schultz needs target volume to produce, more so than others at his position.
  • Over that span – his starting time in Dallas – Schultz accumulated the fifth-most PPR points among TEs. He also ranked:
    • Fourth in targets
    • Fourth in receptions
    • Seventh in yards
    • Fifth in TDs
    • Ninth in yards per game
    • Eighth in PPR points per game
    • 27th in yards per catch (among TEs with 50+ receptions over that span)
  • He benefited from playing in an offense that finished first and fourth in scoring the past two years. That helped Schultz tie for fourth among TEs in end-zone targets last year and rank top-7 among TEs in red-zone TDs each of the past two years. (Dak Prescott missed most of 2020.)
  • Schultz’s 2022 Pro Football Focus receiving grade fell from his 2021 career high. Last year’s mark ranked just 17th among 32 TEs who drew 40+ targets.
    • He ranked seventh among 35 in 2021 and 27th of 38 in 2020.
  • He tied for 13th (among 32) in yards per route last season, after tying for 12th in 2021 and ranking 30th in 2020.
  • After franchise-tagging Schultz for 2022, Dallas let him walk in free agency this offseason.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Schultz hit the open market ahead of his age-27 season. He landed only a one-year, $6.25 million deal. That ranks him just 21st at the position in average annual salary for 2023.
  • He joins a Houston offense coming off a terrible 2022 but with many new parts. Chief among those are the coaching staff – drawn largely from Kyle Shanahan’s 49ers staff – and rookie QB C.J. Stroud.
  • The Texans look like a good bet to throw on less than 60% of offensive snaps. Just one of the six years that new OC Bobby Slowik spent on the 49ers staff found that offense exceeding 58.2% pass. San Francisco’s average for that span was 43.8% run vs. 56.2% pass.
  • Dallas passed on just 52.3% of plays last year, but 59% and 61.4% the previous two seasons (with Schultz starting).
  • Schultz should face minimal competition among Houston TEs. Teagan Quitoriano, Brevin Jordan and Mason Schreck follow him on the depth chart.
  • No returning Texans player caught more than 37 passes for the team last season. Besides Schultz, the lead imports include:
    • 31-year-old Robert Woods, coming off his worst pro season
    • Round 3 rookie WR Tank Dell (5’8.5, 165 pounds)

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C.J. Stroud, QB HOU

8:08am EDT 9/17/23

C.J. Stroud expected to play Week 2

Texans QB C.J. Stroud (shoulder) is expected to play vs. the Colts today, per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Stroud was added to the injury report and limited in practice on Friday with a sore right shoulder. He's no better than a low-end QB2 in Week 2 fantasy lineups, but his availability is good news for Houston's offense.

View all C.J. Stroud Shark Bites »

Texans QB C.J. Stroud (shoulder) was added to the injury report and limited in Friday's practice. He's listed as questionable for this weekend's game vs. the Colts. Per insider Aaron Wilson, Stroud "didn't do much" on Friday to "rest sore right, throwing shoulder, but is expected to try to play against Colts." That doesn't sound great. Hopefully Stroud wasn't in your Week 2 fantasy plans. QB Davis Mills will start on Sunday if Stroud can't. The situation adds downside to Houston's pass-catchers.

View all C.J. Stroud Shark Bites »

Texans TE Dalton Schultz ranked third at the position in first-team snaps in Sunday night's preseason finale. He played just four of the nine snaps that QB C.J. Stroud played, running two routes and drawing one target. Schultz did lead Houston TEs in those latter two categories. But he trailed Teagan Quitoriano (six snaps) and Dalton Keene (five) in playing time. It's just one game, and Stroud attempted only four passes total. Schultz's three targets in the previous outing tied for second on the team. So Sunday night's usage shouldn't leave you panicking if you've already drafted Schultz. But it's enough to confirm that he belongs in TE2 territory of upcoming fantasy football drafts. And if you have already drafted Schultz, you might want to check our TE rankings for an early pickup off waivers as insurance.

View all Dalton Schultz Shark Bites »

Texans TE Dalton Schultz was back on the practice field on Friday, participating in full-team drills, per insider Aaron Wilson. Schultz missed a few days with an undisclosed injury, but consider his fantasy value unchanged.

View all Dalton Schultz Shark Bites »

Texans TE Dalton Schultz missed his second straight practice on Tuesday. HC DeMeco Ryans recently downplayed the injury, but we’ll see when Schultz returns to practice.

View all Dalton Schultz Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Dalton Schultz, TE HOU
Dynasty MVP 45.2
Position Rank #29 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
150
230
396
Dynasty Write-up
An early season knee sprain — and a subsequent aggravation — put a damper on Schultz’s 2022. Dallas decided against retaining him long-term, as the 27-year-old signed a 1-year deal with Houston. Targets are certainly up for grabs after Houston dealt WR Brandin Cooks. Meanwhile, QB C.J. Stroud arrived as a day-one starter.
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