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Deebo Samuel - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Deebo Samuel
SF

WR SF

#42 Wide Receiver

117 Projected Points

ADP: 8.6
Bye: 6
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 25
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 214
40 Time: 4.48

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#42 Wide Receiver

117 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
8.6 65 803 5 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

93.6

DS Projection

117

Consensus

38 other sites
122.5

High Ceiling

158

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Injuries have been a problem for Samuel throughout his football career.
    • He suffered multiple hamstring injuries and a broken leg in 4 years at South Carolina.
    • He missed 1 game with another hamstring injury as a rookie in 2019.
    • Samuel suffered a Jones fracture in his left foot last June and missed the first 3 games of the season. Then he injured his hamstring in Week 7, missed 3 games, returned to play 2 full games before suffering another hamstring injury and missing the final 3 games.
  • But he’s been productive when healthy.
  • Samuel posted a 57-802-3 receiving line in 15 games as a rookie, adding 159 yards and 3 scores on the ground.
    • He finished 31st among WRs in PPR points and 26th in non-PPR.
    • Among 79 WRs with 50+ targets, he ranked 15th in yards per route run and 37th in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades.
  • Samuel was limited or left early in 2 of his 7 games last year. In the other 5, he averaged 8.2 targets, 6 catches, 71.2 yards and .2 TDs.
    • His scoring averages in those games would have ranked 25th among WRs in PPR points per game and 36th in non-PPR.
    • Among 99 WRs with 40+ targets last year, Samuel ranked 9th in yards per route run and 19th in PFF receiving grade.
  • Samuel beat teammate Brandon Aiyuk in both yards per route run and PFF receiving grade.
  • In 4 healthy games together, Samuel out-targeted Aiyuk 28 to 25.
  • Here’s where the 49ers have ranked in pass rate and pass attempts in 4 seasons under HC Kyle Shanahan:
    • 2017 - 7th and 2nd
    • 2018 - 20th and 20th
    • 2019 - 31st and 29th
    • 2020 - 17th and 16th
  • Rookie QB Trey Lance -- the 3rd overall pick of the draft -- figures to take over as San Francisco’s starter at some point this season. Considering his inexperience and high-end rushing ability, the 49ers figure to lean even more toward the run with Lance under center.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Samuel’s injuries -- especially to his hamstring -- are a legitimate worry. Volume is also a concern in 2021 with TE George Kittle back, WR Brandon Aiyuk a candidate to take a step forward in his 2nd season and the ‘Niners likely to be a run-leaning offense.

But Samuel has been super efficient through 2 NFL seasons and scored as a WR3 in both. Generally available outside of WR3 territory in fantasy drafts, he should return solid value as long as he’s on the field.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Niners HC Kyle Shanahan announced Tuesday that WR Deebo Samuel will miss the rest of the season with his hamstring injury. That clears the way for Brandon Aiyuk to remain the #1 WR over the next 2 weeks, with Kendrick Bourne and Richie James as #2 and #3.

View all Deebo Samuel Shark Bites »

49ers WR Deebo Samuel (hamstring) is out for Sunday’s game against the Cowboys. That leaves Brandon Aiyuk as the #1 WR and a strong target bet. Kendrick Bourne figures to operate as the #2 WR but would be a desperation fantasy play.

View all Deebo Samuel Shark Bites »

49ers HC Kyle Shanahan said Monday that WR Deebo Samuel will be out "a while" with his latest hamstring injury. With just 2 weeks left in most fantasy seasons, he can be dropped from rosters. WR Brandon Aiyuk is set up to dominate targets the rest of the way. In 4 games without Samuel and TE George Kittle (including last week when Samuel played 1 snap), Aiyuk has caught 24 of 41 targets.

View all Deebo Samuel Shark Bites »

49ers HC Kyle Shanahan admitted after Sunday's loss to Washington that WR Deebo Samuel's hamstring injury "didn't look good." ESPN's Nick Wagoner tweeted that there's a "real chance" Samuel misses the rest of the season -- although that seems more like speculation than a report. We should get an update on Samuel's status tomorrow. WR Brandon Aiyuk dominated targets in his absence vs. Washington, turning 16 targets into 10 catches for 119 yards.

View all Deebo Samuel Shark Bites »

49ers WR Deebo Samuel injured his hamstring on the 1st drive of Sunday's game against Washington. He's officially questionable to return. Stay tuned for updates.

View all Deebo Samuel Shark Bites »

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