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DeVonta Smith - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDeVonta Smith's Basic Stats

DeVonta Smith
ADP: N/A
Bye: 7
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 24.2
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 170
40 Time: 4.44
Speed Score: 0.00

DeVonta Smith's Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.5 69.9 0.4 9.4
Weekly Writeup
The sophomore wideout logged a team-high 10 targets (41.7% target share) and turned that focus into a 61-yard effort with a TD last week against the Giants. Given the 49ers' penchant for shutting down the run game, it'll behoove QB Jalen Hurts to lean on his pass-catchers in this contest, and the 49ers' defense ranks as the 6th-best matchup in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs this season. Smith is a solid play in playoff fantasy contests this weekend.

Rest Of Way Outlook

DeVonta Smith's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#25 Wide Receiver

147.8 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 73.9 1009.7 8 2.5 0.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDeVonta Smith's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Smith checked in 25th among WRs in target share in his debut season. He ranked just 32nd at the position in total targets.
  • Philadelphia finished the season with the league’s most ground-heavy offense, running on 51.2% of offensive snaps.
  • The split changed drastically from Week 8 on, though. Through the first 7 weeks, Philadelphia ranked 8th most pass-heavy in the league in neutral game situations, according to RBSDM.com. Even the rest of the way, however, Philly ranked just 5th most run-heavy in neutral situations.
  • Combine those trends with the A.J. Brown trade (and contract extension), and it looks like the Eagles want to throw more going forward. How much more is a question we can’t really answer until the season begins.
  • Smith ranked 26th among 234 graded WRs in Pro Football Focus receiving grade as a rookie. Jalen Hurts had an 87.2 passer rating overall, but Eagles QBs posted a 94.4 when targeting Smith.
  • Smith’s 14.4-yard average target distance beat A.J. Brown by 3 yards and checked in deeper than any of the 3 rates Brown has posted so far in the NFL.
  • Smith also edged Brown in yards after catch per reception in 2021: 3.9 to 3.6. Brown has averaged 5.9 in that category across his 3 seasons, however.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

A.J. Brown arrives as the more accomplished NFL WR, and the Eagles spent quite a bit to get him (1st-round pick + $100 million extension). But we have 3 seasons of Brown (a former 2nd-round pick) vs. just 1 of Smith, whom Philly moved up to draft 10th overall just a year ago. So it’s a little early to judge which will be the better NFL player. The point: Although we’re projecting him to do so, none of us can say with certainty that Brown will beat Smith in targets this season. Their respective ADPs, on the other hand, say that drafters are absolutely sure of it. Brown is going 11th among WRs in FFPC best-ball drafting vs. Smith at WR34. Underdog ADP has Brown at WR10 (inside Round 2) vs. Smith at WR36 (at the Round 6-7 turn). Both are priced ahead of where we project them. Between the 2, though, Smith carries less risk at draft cost.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

A.J. Brown, WR PHI

12:02am EST 1/22/23

Brown disappoints in Divisional Round victory

Eagles WR A.J. Brown roped 3 of 6 targets for 22 yards in Saturday's Divisional Round win vs. the Giants. Teammate WR DeVonta Smith led the team in receiving in this contest, corraling 6 of 10 targets for 61 yards and 1 TD. TE Dallas Goedert also found the end zone in addition to 5 receptions and 58 yards of his own. QB Jalen Hurts was extremely efficient as a passer in this contest, but the game plan was considerably more focused on the rushing attack. Fantasy managers who roster Brown in playoff contests will hope for better luck next week.

View all A.J. Brown Shark Bites »

Eagles WR DeVonta Smith hauled in 9 of 13 targets for 115 yards in Week 17's loss vs. the Saints. Just behind Smith's team-leading output in the box score is teammate WR A.J. Brown, who managed to corral 4 of 9 targets for 97 yards and a TD. TE Dallas Goedert had a quiet effort with 3 catches and 45 yards of his own. Smith and Goedert are the lone fantasy bright spots from the Eagles in a rather disappointing game overall. Hopefully the Eagles will have QB Jalen Hurts back under center in Week 18 vs. the Giants.

View all DeVonta Smith Shark Bites »

Eagles QB Gardner Minshew racked up 355 yards and 2 TDs in Saturday's loss at Dallas. Both of his TDs went to WR DeVonta Smith, who led the team with 12 targets, 8 catches and 113 yards. WR A.J. Brown added 6-103 receiving on 8 targets. RB Kenneth Gainwell (4-41) and TE Dallas Goedert (3-67) were the other Eagles with multiple catches. Minshew will be worth a look for Week 17 fantasy football lineups in a neutral scoring matchup with the Saints, if QB Jalen Hurts (shoulder) remains out.

View all Gardner Minshew Shark Bites »

Eagles HC Nick Sirianni isn't ready to rule out QB Jalen Hurts (shoulder) for Saturday's game vs. the Cowboys. "There’s a chance he could play this week," Sirianni said. "He’s one of the toughest guys I know. His body is not like yours or mine. He heals fast. I will not rule him out. I will not put a timetable on him. We’ll see what happens." We're still not expecting Hurts to play this weekend. And neither are the oddsmakers, considering the Eagles are 5.5-point underdogs as of Tuesday afternoon. We'll continue to keep a close eye on the situation, but Hurts owners should be lining up an alternative for Week 16.

View all Jalen Hurts Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

DeVonta Smith, WR PHI
Dynasty MVP 155.0
Position Rank #11 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
473
808
1,461
Dynasty Write-up
The Slim Reaper made it through his rookie campaign unscathed and earned a solid 21% target share. Year 2 showed further growth alongside new WR A.J. Brown and a much-improved Jalen Hurts. Only 24, this ‘Bama product is positioned for long-term success.
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