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A.J. Brown arrives as the more accomplished NFL WR, and the Eagles spent quite a bit to get him (1st-round pick + $100 million extension). But we have 3 seasons of Brown (a former 2nd-round pick) vs. just 1 of Smith, whom Philly moved up to draft 10th overall just a year ago. So it’s a little early to judge which will be the better NFL player. The point: Although we’re projecting him to do so, none of us can say with certainty that Brown will beat Smith in targets this season. Their respective ADPs, on the other hand, say that drafters are absolutely sure of it. Brown is going 11th among WRs in FFPC best-ball drafting vs. Smith at WR34. Underdog ADP has Brown at WR10 (inside Round 2) vs. Smith at WR36 (at the Round 6-7 turn). Both are priced ahead of where we project them. Between the 2, though, Smith carries less risk at draft cost.
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