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DeVonta Smith - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDeVonta Smith's Basic Stats

DeVonta Smith
ADP: 3.4
Bye: 10
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24.8
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 170
40 Time: 4.44
Speed Score: 0.00

DeVonta Smith's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.4 74 0.5 10.4
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.5 73.7 0.5 10.4

DeVonta Smith's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#13 Wide Receiver

149.8 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
3.4 82.3 1091.2 6.6 2.7 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDeVonta Smith's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Remember all of the negative talk about Smith’s weight?

Well, through two seasons, he’s played all 34 games. And in 2022, he captured a 25.3% target share en route to the WR9 season (PPR).

Only 24, Smith will run it back with the key pieces of Philly’s offense intact. The former Alabama star belongs squarely in WR2 territory.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Smith missed a portion of training camp with a groin injury.
    • He was listed with groin, back, and knee injuries in season. None of them kept him out of a game.
  • Smith took a step forward alongside breakout star Jalen Hurts. And it translated into fantasy success.
    • The ‘Bama product finished as a top-15 PPR WR five times. However, he ranked WR50 or worse on five occasions.
    • Overall, he ranked as the PPR WR9 – four spots behind teammate A.J. Brown.
    • Smith acted as the 1B option to Brown, with the former seeing only nine fewer targets in the same number of games.
  • Among all WRs, Smith ranked 13th in targets, ninth in catches, and eighth in yards.
  • He came on down the stretch last year, hitting 100 yards in five of his final nine games.
  • Among 50 WRs with 80+ targets, Smith tied for 14th in catch rate, ranked 25th in yards per catch, tied for 7th in yards after catch per reception, and tied for 17th in yards per route run.
  • Hurts leaned on Brown’s physicality in the red zone. He saw a 34% red-zone target share, considerably higher than Smith’s 25% share.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Smith’s offseason began with rehabbing a toe injury from the Super Bowl. He’s now back to 100% for Year 3.
  • Despite a slender frame, Smith has now appeared in 38 of 38 games through two seasons, including the playoffs.
  • The nucleus of this offense – QB Jalen Hurts, WR A.J. Brown, TE Dallas Goedert, and a stout O-line – remains intact.
  • The backfield lost Miles Sanders but looks deeper with the arrivals of Rashaad Penny and receiving back D’Andre Swift.
    • Philly RBs combined for a 12% target share in ‘22. That’ll likely increase in 2023, but don’t expect Smith’s workload to suffer.
  • OC Shane Steichen left to take the Colts’ HC job. We largely expect the same offense under QB coach-turned-OC Brian Johnson.
  • Per The Athletic, the Eagles had halftime leads in 16 of 20 games last season.
    • Philly held double-digit halftime leads in 11 games.
    • They averaged 18.9 pass attempts in the first half of games; 12.3 pass attempts in the second half.
  • A tougher schedule should find more passing for Philly and Hurts, who’s entering only year three as the starter.
    • This defense likely takes a step back, too, after posting a whopping 70 sacks. It’s another reason to believe Hurts’ volume – only ~30 passes per game in 2022 – improves.

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DeVonta Smith, WR PHI

9:21pm EDT 9/21/23

DeVonta Smith limited Thursday

Eagles WR DeVonta Smith (hamstring, thigh) was limited in Thursday's practice. According to ESPN's Tim McManus, Smith was limping after last Thursday night's win over the Vikings and admitted that he had gotten banged up. Today's limited practice should have him on track to play vs. the Bucs on Monday night, but we'll keep an eye on Smith over the next few days.

View all DeVonta Smith Shark Bites »

Eagles WR A.J. Brown mustered just four catches for 29 scoreless yards in Thursday night's win over the Vikings. He was visibly frustrated on a night when Philly's passing game struggled to get anything done outside of two deep balls to WR DeVonta Smith. Brown had a 25-yard TD in the fourth quarter negated by a holding penalty on RB Rashaad Penny -- and then appeared to be interfered with on a potential TD on the very next play. The Eagles' passing game has looked disjointed through two weeks, but we expect it to get rolling soon. Brown remains a fantasy must-start with week-winning upside. Although there's very little separating him and Smith in terms of fantasy value at this point.

View all A.J. Brown Shark Bites »

Eagles TE Dallas Goedert drew just 1 target in Sunday's win over the Patriots and went catchless. Philly's limited receiving production (170 yards) primarily went to WRs A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. Brown caught 7 of 10 targets for 79 yards. Smith added a 7-47-1 line on 10 targets. RB Kenneth Gainwell was the only other Eagle to draw more than 2 looks. Goedert and the Eagles face a much softer Vikings defense in Week 2. Expect to see the Eagles TE still among our top 12 for Week 2.

View all Dallas Goedert Shark Bites »

Eagles WR DeVonta Smith spent part of the winter rehabbing a toe injury from Super Bowl 57. He’s back to 100% and looking to appear in all 17 games for the third straight season. (So much for those concerns about his slim frame.) In 2022, Smith nearly matched A.J. Brown in target share (27% vs. 28.6%). The ‘Bama product finished as the PPR WR9, up from a WR29 finish as a rookie. Top-12 fantasy upside remains in a condensed Eagles passing game. Smith turns just 25 in November.

View all DeVonta Smith Shark Bites »

The Eagles and QB Jalen Hurts have agreed to a five-year contract extension, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero. The deal reportedly includes $255 million in total money, with $179.304 million in guarantees -- plus an extra $15 million in incentives. The pact also comes with a no-trade clause, the first the team has ever given out, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. This obviously locks Hurts in as Philly's starter for the foreseeable future, which is good news for his spot in the dynasty rankings. This could also be a key move in the Lamar Jackson saga. Hurts' deal -- along with other recent second QB contracts -- seems to set the market.

View all Jalen Hurts Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

DeVonta Smith, WR PHI
Dynasty MVP 131.5
Position Rank #10 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
413
674
1,221
Dynasty Write-up
The Slim Reaper made it through his rookie campaign unscathed and earned a solid 21% target share. Year two showed further growth alongside new WR A.J. Brown and a much-improved Jalen Hurts. Only 24, this ‘Bama product is positioned for long-term success.
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