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George Kittle - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

George Kittle


#3 Tight End

146 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 6
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 247
40 Time: 4.52

Weekly Outlook

Week 7 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4 51 0.4 7.5
Week 4
Despite playing the game with a calf injury, Kittle played 92% of the snaps while seeing a season-high 11 targets. Unfortunately, he tied his season low with 4 receptions and his 2nd lowest yardage total of the season. It was mostly a number of missed connections between Kittle and both Jimmy Garoppolo and Trey Lance, but it also seemed as if the calf injury may have had a role in him not getting his typical separation from defenders.

Kittle is arguably the most talented TE in the league, but his elite blocking skills frequently keep him from being a massive factor in the passing game, especially since the team has capable WRs they can go to. Kittle should still have the occasional eruption game, but it’s also likely that he’ll have many middling performances, which may keep him from earning his lofty draft-day investment. Regardless, his weekly floor at least helps fantasy managers from avoiding the near-zero performances that many TEs produce.
Week 3
Kittle has been a safety net for his QBs since he entered the league, and Sunday night was no different. Kittle saw 9 targets against Green Bay for a 22.5% target share.

Garoppolo looked for Kittle throughout the game on screens, intermediate routes, deep balls and even a carry he took for 9 yards. Kittle finished the game with 7 catches for 92 yards, including a 39-yard catch-and-run.

Kittle gets a nice matchup against a Seattle secondary that just surrendered 70 yards and a TD to Tyler Conklin.

We have San Francisco TEs with the 3rd easiest strength of schedule for the rest of season.
Week 2
You already got the bad news on Kittle when you checked your Week 2 fantasy scores. So let’s start with something positive: A week after running routes on just 57.1% of San Francisco dropbacks, Kittle led the team at 88.2% vs. Philly.

Of course, he garnered just 4 targets among Jimmy Garoppolo’s 30 attempts, catching them all for a meager 17 yards. Blame an embarrassing average target depth of minus-2 yards.

That number stood at 5.6 in Week 1. And Kittle’s lowest full-season ADOT so far has been 5.9. So we’ll hope this was a blip. Jimmy Garoppolo’s overall ADOT was also down vs. Week 1, coming up shortest in the league for Week 2.

If you have Kittle, don’t quit on him just yet. Look for more routes to become more targets and for screen passes to make up a much lower percentage of his opportunities.

Next comes a matchup with Green Bay, which has allowed 3 TE scores through 2 games.
Week 1
With the 49ers rolling out to a big lead and controlling this game until the Lions made a wild 4th quarter comeback, Kittle was targeted just 5 times as Jimmy Garoppolo was only needed to throw the ball 25 times. Although his 20% target share was solid, and he was easily the 2nd most-targeted 49er, it was Deebo Samuel who was on fire, leading to the WR dominating with 12 targets at the expense of Kittle.

As always, it’s not a matter of talent with Kittle, it’s both a matter of opportunity and elite blocking ability that keep him from performing as well as Travis Kelce each week. In games like this week’s, he was having a blast blocking and annihilating Detroit defenders, and there will be other week’s where Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk are featured. Of course there will be huge weeks for Kittle, and he’ll be a top-end fantasy TE, but there’ll be peaks and valleys.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • We didn’t get to see much of Kittle last year. He sprained a knee in the opener and missed the next 2 games. Then he broke a bone in his foot in Week 8 and was sidelined for the next 6 games.
  • He remained as productive as ever when he was on the field.
    • Kittle averaged 7.9 targets, 6 catches, 79.3 yards and .3 TDs per game.
    • He ranked 3rd among TEs in both PPR points per game and non-PPR points per game, behind only Travis Kelce and Darren Waller.
    • Among 34 TEs with 40+ targets last year, Kittle ranked 1st in yards per route run and 3rd in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades.
  • Kittle finished 3rd among TEs in PPR points and 2nd in non-PPR in 2018. He ranked 3rd across scoring systems in 2019.
  • Over the past 3 seasons, Kittle sits 2nd behind only Kelce in PPR and non-PPR points per game.
  • He ranks 3rd in targets over that span -- 57 behind Zach Ertz and 125 behind Travis Kelce.
  • Kittle has produced via top-end efficiency.
    • His 10.01 yards per target over the past 3 seasons leads all 66 TEs with 50+ targets during that stretch.
    • His ranks in yards per route run those years: 1st, 1st and 1st
  • Kittle missed 3 games over his first 3 NFL seasons: 1 with a sprained ankle in 2017 and 2 with a knee injury in 2019.
  • Kittle might be facing the toughest target competition of his career this season in 2nd-year WR Brandon Aiyuk and 3rd-year WR Deebo Samuel.
  • Those 3 guys were only healthy together for 3 games last season. Targets in those 3 games:
    • Kittle - 25
    • Samuel - 19
    • Aiyuk - 16
  • The 49ers have ranked 20th, 31st and 17th in pass rate the past 3 seasons; 20th, 29th and 16th in pass attempts.
  • Rookie QB Trey Lance -- the 3rd overall pick of the draft -- figures to take over as San Francisco’s starter at some point this season. Considering his inexperience and high-end rushing ability, the 49ers figure to lean even more toward the run with Lance under center.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Kittle has been excellent for the past 3 seasons, leading all TEs in yards per route run and scoring as a top 3 fantasy TE each year. The durability concerns are a bit overblown. Prior to last year, he’d missed just 3 games over his first 3 NFL seasons.

Volume is a slight concern in 2021. Kittle will be vying for looks with WRs Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel in what figures to be a run-leaning offense, especially when rookie QB Trey Lance takes over. That’s enough to knock Kittle behind Travis Kelce and Darren Waller in our rankings. But he’s the clear #3 TE across scoring formats.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The 49ers have placed TE George Kittle on IR for the calf injury that already had him doubtful against the Cardinals. With a Week 6 bye mixed in, Kittle now can’t return until Week 9 at the earliest. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reports that Sam Francisco expects him to be ready then. We’ll see whether any Niners TE becomes fantasy viable in his absence. No Kittle should leave more target share for the WRs, though

View all George Kittle Shark Bites »

49ers TE George Kittle (calf) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game vs. the Cardinals. It’s a surprise after he played through the calf injury last week. The ‘Niners are holding out some hope that he’ll be able to play, but Kittle should be on fantasy benches for now. Ross Dwelley is San Francisco's backup TE.

View all George Kittle Shark Bites »

49ers TE George Kittle (calf) missed practice again on Thursday. He was in the same boat at this time last week before putting in a limited practice on Friday and then playing his usual role on Sunday. We're fully expecting him to play vs. the Cardinals this weekend.

View all George Kittle Shark Bites »

49ers TE George Kittle (calf) did not practice on Wednesday. Kittle, of course, got in just 1 limited practice last week before playing 92% of the snaps in the loss to Seattle. Kittle should be fine for Sunday's game vs. the Cardinals.

View all George Kittle Shark Bites »

49ers TE George Kittle (calf) is active for today’s game vs. the Seahawks. He only got in a limited practice on Friday and was reportedly a game-time decision. Kittle obviously carries elevated risk in Week 4 fantasy lineups -- but we’d still be using him if you waited on him.

View all George Kittle Shark Bites »

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