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George Kittle - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

George Kittle
SF

TE SF

#3 Tight End

146 Projected Points

ADP: 3.4
Bye: 6
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 27
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 247
40 Time: 4.52

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#3 Tight End

146 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
3.4 85 1101 6 3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

116.8

DS Projection

146

Consensus

38 other sites
143.7

High Ceiling

182.5

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • We didn’t get to see much of Kittle last year. He sprained a knee in the opener and missed the next 2 games. Then he broke a bone in his foot in Week 8 and was sidelined for the next 6 games.
  • He remained as productive as ever when he was on the field.
    • Kittle averaged 7.9 targets, 6 catches, 79.3 yards and .3 TDs per game.
    • He ranked 3rd among TEs in both PPR points per game and non-PPR points per game, behind only Travis Kelce and Darren Waller.
    • Among 34 TEs with 40+ targets last year, Kittle ranked 1st in yards per route run and 3rd in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades.
  • Kittle finished 3rd among TEs in PPR points and 2nd in non-PPR in 2018. He ranked 3rd across scoring systems in 2019.
  • Over the past 3 seasons, Kittle sits 2nd behind only Kelce in PPR and non-PPR points per game.
  • He ranks 3rd in targets over that span -- 57 behind Zach Ertz and 125 behind Travis Kelce.
  • Kittle has produced via top-end efficiency.
    • His 10.01 yards per target over the past 3 seasons leads all 66 TEs with 50+ targets during that stretch.
    • His ranks in yards per route run those years: 1st, 1st and 1st
  • Kittle missed 3 games over his first 3 NFL seasons: 1 with a sprained ankle in 2017 and 2 with a knee injury in 2019.
  • Kittle might be facing the toughest target competition of his career this season in 2nd-year WR Brandon Aiyuk and 3rd-year WR Deebo Samuel.
  • Those 3 guys were only healthy together for 3 games last season. Targets in those 3 games:
    • Kittle - 25
    • Samuel - 19
    • Aiyuk - 16
  • The 49ers have ranked 20th, 31st and 17th in pass rate the past 3 seasons; 20th, 29th and 16th in pass attempts.
  • Rookie QB Trey Lance -- the 3rd overall pick of the draft -- figures to take over as San Francisco’s starter at some point this season. Considering his inexperience and high-end rushing ability, the 49ers figure to lean even more toward the run with Lance under center.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Kittle has been excellent for the past 3 seasons, leading all TEs in yards per route run and scoring as a top 3 fantasy TE each year. The durability concerns are a bit overblown. Prior to last year, he’d missed just 3 games over his first 3 NFL seasons.

Volume is a slight concern in 2021. Kittle will be vying for looks with WRs Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel in what figures to be a run-leaning offense, especially when rookie QB Trey Lance takes over. That’s enough to knock Kittle behind Travis Kelce and Darren Waller in our rankings. But he’s the clear #3 TE across scoring formats.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Niners HC Kyle Shanahan confirmed Thursday that TE George Kittle will play against the Cardinals on Saturday. According to multiple reports, Shanahan said Kittle might be the healthiest player on the team and that he has looked good in practice. The TE might see some limitation to his playing time, but we wouldn't bet they'd return the star to action unless they expected him to help. Kittle jumps right back in among the top TE plays for Week 16.

View all George Kittle Shark Bites »

The San Jose Mercury News' Cam Inman believes TE George Kittle (foot) is on track to return for Saturday's game against the Cardinals. Both GM John Lynch and team doctors have given Kittle the green light. “Yes, you have to have discretion and all those things, but we’ve been very thoughtful about this, and if he plays, it’s only because he’s ready to play,” Lynch said. “He’s eager to play and we want him to play.” It sure sounds like Kittle would be returning to something close to his regular role. There might be some risk of re-injury, but Kittle would also boast as much upside as any TE outside of maybe Travis Kelce. It's worth noting that Kittle posted a 15-183-1 line in his 1st game back from injury -- albeit a different injury -- earlier this season.

View all George Kittle Shark Bites »

49ers HC Kyle Shanahan said there's a chance TE George Kittle (foot) returns for Saturday's game against the Cardinals. "f he’s good, I plan on him playing," Shanahan said. Kittle has been sidelined since Week 8 and would carry elevated risk in his 1st game back. But he'd certainly make sense for a lot of fantasy teams considering how ugly the TE position has been this season. We'll monitor Kittle's status throughout the week.

View all George Kittle Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports that 49ers TE George Kittle (foot fracture) "appears ready to play" in Week 16 after returning to practice this week. But that doesn't necessarily mean Kittle will return. "A lot will go into that decision," a source told Rapoport. At 5-8, San Francisco enters Sunday 2 full games behind Arizona for the final playoff spot in the NFC. A Niners loss and Cardinals win today would eliminate San Francisco from playoff contention, as far as we can tell. That might also keep Kittle from getting back onto the field. We'll see about the TE's status over the coming week. As for QB Jimmy Garoppolo (high-ankle sprain), Rapoport reports he won't play in Week 16 and isn't expected to return for Week 17.

View all George Kittle Shark Bites »

49ers TE George Kittle (foot) has been activated from IR. NBC Sports' Matt Maiocco reports that Kittle is not expected to play against the Cowboys this Sunday -- but a Week 16 return now looks plausible. We'll keep an eye on the situation, but Kittle is worth a stash if he was dropped in your league.

View all George Kittle Shark Bites »

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