Kittle’s situation will bear watching right up until your draft day. If he’s on track to play Week 1, then it’s easy to make the upside case for a guy who typically finishes top 5 among TEs and is now going ninth at the position in ADP. If Week 1 -- and potentially other early games -- is in doubt, however, it’s a tough position at which to carry two starter types for many fantasy formats. In short: This decision will depend heavily on both how Kittle’s summer progresses and the specifics of your situation. See what the Draft War Room says for your draft, and consider how interested you are in taking on this risk-reward equation.
Fantasy Rankings & Projections
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George Kittle's Preseason Player Analysis
Draft Sharks Verdict
2026 Role & Results
2025 Delivered Numbers … and Trouble
Kittle sandwiched a pretty good 2025 campaign between a pair of nasty injuries.
He left Week 1 with a hamstring tear that cost him five games. In true Kittle fashion, though, he jumped right back in at 81% playing time in his Week 7 return and climbed from there until a left ankle sprain cost him Week 17.
The other half of the injury sandwich, though, as a torn right Achilles’ tendon that knocked him out in the second quarter of the playoff win at Philly. We’ll get to the 2026 ramifications a little later.
Production & Fantasy Finishes
When he took the field last season, Kittle fared well. His 14.7 PPR points per game ranked second among TEs, and he got there even with a zero in his Week 7 return game.
Kittle endured just two single-digit fantasy scores among his other 10 outings. He finished outside the weekly top 18 just twice overall and landed inside the top 10 seven times. That included five top-6 finishes among his final seven appearances.
Kittle beat his own points per game by 1.1 the year before and finished four other seasons averaging 14.1 PPR points per game or more. His annual PPG ranks at the position have gone:
- 2017: 24th
- 2018: third
- 2019: second
- 2020: third
- 2021: fourth
- 2022: second
- 2023: sixth
- 2024: first
- 2025: second
It didn’t hurt last season that Kittle drew his highest target share across four seasons since QB Brock Purdy arrived, ranking fourth at the position. That marked only a modest climb vs. the previous three years, though.
- 2022: 17.8% (seventh)
- 2023: 19.1% (seventh)
- 2024: 19.4% (sixth)
- 2025: 20.0% (fourth)
Kittle did post a career-low 4.5 yards after catch per reception last season, according to Pro Football Focus, despite a career-short 7.1-yard average depth of target. But his 2.11 yards per route still ranked fourth among 51 TEs who drew 30+ targets, and Kittle showed no other meaningful signs of performance decline.
The dip in yards after catch also seems plenty understandable for a guy who lost five early-season games to a hamstring tear.
Injuries Aren’t New Here
Kittle has only played every game once among his nine pro seasons, back in 2018. Since then, he has missed 2+ games in six of seven campaigns with injuries including these body parts: hamstring, groin, knee, calf, foot (fracture), knee.
2026 Presents Challenging Questions
We should expect some time lost to injury with this guy. But the new factor this season will be figuring out how to treat the Achilles’ issue he’s bringing from January.
Recent history doesn’t give us much help in judging what performance level we can expect from Kittle coming off this injury. The most recent examples of fantasy-relevant pass catchers returning from Achilles’ tears appear to be:
- Demaryius Thomas in 2011
- Michael Crabtree in 2013
Thomas’ injury occurred in February of that year. He wound up missing the first five games of that season and then averaging just 2.9 catches per game across 11 appearances. But that was also just his second year in the league (and he averaged a mere 2.2 catches per game the year before).
Crabtree tore his right Achilles’ in May 2013. He would play just five games that season and then see his yards per catch dip to a career-low 10.3 the following year.
Given that we’re now 13+ years beyond both situations, it’s fair to assume surgery and treatment have advanced to the point that those cases might be totally irrelevant for projecting Kittle.
Focus on Kittle’s Activity First, But There are Other Factors
Kittle said in June that Dr. Neal ElAttrache told him at the time of the surgery, “Hey, I think if you do everything the right way, you have a chance [to play Week 1].”
Kittle has certainly been a “do everything the right way” type in terms of offseason prep throughout his career and has remained optimistic for his return timeline. We’ll obviously have to track reports on his practice participation and performance right up until he actually plays in a game, though.
And this is about more than just whether he plays. Here’s how ESPN film guy Ben Solak puts it: “Tight end isn’t a position that demands quick and explosive movements, but Kittle has been the preeminent big-play tight end since he entered the league. His 13.5 yards per reception leads all tight ends over the past four seasons.” And that even includes Kittle’s career-low 11.0 yards per catch last season.
Any loss of explosiveness -- and we should expect at least some coming off the Achilles’ tear -- will lower his fantasy ceiling.
Niners Add Target Challengers
Another potential risk factor is the altered depth chart of pass catchers. San Francisco gave WR Mike Evans $14 million per year on a three-year deal in free agency. The team will miss WR Ricky Pearsall (knee surgery) but quickly signed Deebo Samuel after losing Pearsall. And the Niners drafted WR De’Zhaun Stribling at the top of Round 2 and signed WR Christian Kirk to a small, one-year contract.
That crew won’t marginalize an active Kittle, but they could certainly cut into his target share. Fewer targets at decreased efficiency would challenge the high ceiling we’ve come to expect.
Kittle will, at least, remain in one of the league’s most consistently efficient offenses. San Francisco has finished five straight seasons among the league’s top 6 in net yards per pass attempt (which incorporates sacks). And the Niners should get more Brock Purdy than they had last year, when he missed eight games with turf toe.
Advanced Stats
- 40 Yard Dash
- 4.5
- 40 Yard Dash Rank
- 96
- Three Cone Drill
- 6.8
- Agility Score
- 10.8
- Agility Score Rank
- 99
- Burst Score
- 127.3
- Burst Score Rank
- 90
- SPARQ-x
- 124.1
- SPARQ-x Rank
- 91
- Speed Score
- 117.7
- Speed Score Rank
- 96
- Height Adjusted Speed Score
- 117.7
- Height Adjusted Speed Score Rank
- 95
- Catch Radius
- 10.4
- Catch Radius Rank
- 96
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