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Isaiah Spiller - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsIsaiah Spiller's Basic Stats

Isaiah Spiller
ADP: 12.5
Bye: 8
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 21.1
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.69
Burst Score (Rank): 113.10 (24%)

Isaiah Spiller's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
14.7 0.1 1 7.3 0 2.6

Isaiah Spiller's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#63 Running Back

56.8 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
12.5 70.2 301.7 2.7 0.7 1.1 13.2 102.1 0.4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsIsaiah Spiller's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Spiller was a 4-star recruit out of high school and led the Texas A&M backfield all 3 years on campus.
    • He ran for 946 yards and 10 scores on 5.4 yards per carry as a true freshman, adding 29 catches for 203 yards.
    • Spiller set new career highs as a sophomore with 188 carries and 1,036 yards (5.5 YPC). He added a 20-193-0 receiving line.
    • Spiller went for 179-1,011-6 rushing and 25-189-1 receiving this past year. It’s worth noting that his carry share dropped from 51.3% in 2020 to 43.7%, as 2nd-year, 4-star RB Devon Achane took on a bigger role.
  • Spiller bombed his pre-draft testing:
    • 4.64-second 40 time (32nd percentile among RBs)
    • 30-inch vertical (7th)
    • 114-inch broad (22nd)
  • The Chargers selected Spiller in the 4th round with the 123rd overall pick of this spring’s draft. He was the 9th RB off the board.
  • Austin Ekeler is locked in atop the Chargers’ RB depth chart. Spiller will compete with Joshua Kelley and Larry Rountree for the #2 spot.
    • Kelley has mustered just 3.2 yards per carry over his first 2 NFL seasons. He ranked 45th among 47 qualifying RBs in Pro Football Focus rushing grade as a rookie. He received just 33 attempts last year and finished with an even worse PFF grade.
    • Rountree, a 2021 6th-rounder, averaged 2.4 yards on 36 carries last year.
  • Consider Spiller the favorite to win that #2 RB job. We’ll see if he can cut into Ekeler’s volume, though. In Ekeler’s 16 games last season, other Chargers RBs averaged just 7.6 carries and 1.4 targets per game.
  • Speaking on the Move the Sticks Podcast, NFL Network’s Bucky Brooks said he believes rookie RB Isaiah Spiller is a “true #1” type of talent. “I would not be surprised to see him emerge as a star-quality player for the Chargers,” Brooks added.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Spiller sports a nice college production profile. But he tested as a well-below-average athlete and slipped to the 4th round of this spring’s draft.

Spiller shouldn’t face much resistance from Joshua Kelley and Larry Rountree for the #2 spot on the Chargers’ RB depth chart. But he’ll need to capture some of Austin Ekeler’s work if he’s going to be a standalone fantasy value this season. He’s more likely to just be an Ekeler handcuff.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Isaiah Spiller, RB LAC

3:07pm EDT 9/11/22

Spiller a healthy scratch

Chargers RB Isaiah Spiller is a healthy scratch for today's opener vs. the Raiders. It'll be RBs Sony Michel and Joshua Kelley behind Austin Ekeler.

View all Isaiah Spiller Shark Bites »

The Chargers list Sony Michel and Joshua Kelley as co-#2 RBs on their Week 1 depth chart. It feels notable that Michel has already climbed that high just a week after joining the Chargers. Rookie RB Isaiah Spiller remains 4th on the depth chart. We'll have a better feel for what this backfield looks like behind Austin Ekeler after Week 1, but Michel looks like the Chargers RB to target in remaining fantasy drafts behind Ekeler.

View all Sony Michel Shark Bites »

The Chargers announced Wednesday that they have signed RB Sony Michel. Cut this week by the Dolphins, Michel now has a chance to quickly work his way to the #2 role in a Chargers backfield that has looked bad behind Austin Ekeler. The Chargers released RB Larry Rountree in a corresponding move, leaving Michel, Joshua Kelley and Isaiah Spiller behind Ekeler.

View all Sony Michel Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports that free-agent RB Sony Michel is visiting the Chargers today. That points to L.A. being unsatisfied with the RB depth chart behind Austin Ekeler. Rookie Isaiah Spiller has so far failed to separate from Joshua Kelley and Larry Rountree, neither of whom made significant impacts in last year's backfield. We'll watch for what happens here, but take it as another signal to not bother with Spiller in current redraft.

View all Sony Michel Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Isaiah Spiller, RB LAC
Dynasty MVP 52.2
Position Rank #69 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
179
303
363
Dynasty Write-up
Spiller looked like a better prospect before he ran his 40-yard dash on the wrong side of 4.6. But rather than overlook that red flag, let's use it to help explain some others. Chiefly, Spiller's final season saw teammate Devon Achane trail him by just 49 carries (179-130) while beating Spiller in yards per rush (7.0 to 5.6), rushing TDs (9-6) and receiving (10.9 yards per catch on 24 receptions, vs. Spiller's 7.6 and 25). Spiller also trailed both Achane and fellow RB Ainias Smith in yards per carry and yards per reception in 2020. If a RB can't beat his college teammates in efficiency, he's unlikely to stand out as a pro in that area. Landing with the Chargers gives him immediate opportunity at becoming Austin Ekeler's primary handcuff. But it's tough to see much long-term upside here.

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