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Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJaxon Smith-Njigba's Basic Stats

Jaxon Smith-Njigba
ADP: 8.8
Bye: 5
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 21.6
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 196

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.7 38 0.3 5.6
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.1 52.3 0.3 6.8

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#48 Wide Receiver

110.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
8.8 61.1 800 5.1 2 0.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJaxon Smith-Njigba's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Smith-Njigba is an exciting prospect. He out-produced Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave as a true sophomore at Ohio State, possesses elite short-area quickness, and was the 20th overall pick of this year’s draft.

The issue for his 2023 fantasy production is that he joins a Seahawks WR corps led by D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.

Could Smith-Njigba carve out a big enough role alongside those guys to be a fantasy difference maker this season? Sure.

Is that the most likely scenario? Nope.

Smith-Njibga is best treated as a WR4 with upside.


What We Learned Last Year
  • A lingering hamstring injury limited Smith-Njigba to just 60 snaps last season.
  • But he turned in a massive true sophomore season in 2021: 95 catches, 1,606 yards, and 9 TDs.
  • That season is even more impressive when you consider that it came alongside a pair of 2022 first-round picks in Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave. Smith-Njigba easily beat both Wilson and Olave in catches and yards, as well as yards per route run and Pro Football Focus receiving grade.
  • In fact, Smith-Njigba led all 199 WRs in the country with 40+ targets in both yards per route and PFF grade in 2021.
  • Smith-Njigba was a five-star prospect in the 2020 recruiting class after totaling an insane 201 catches, 3,922 yards, and 55 TDs in his final TWO high school seasons.
  • He checked into the Combine at 6’1, 196 pounds and registered elite marks in the agility drills: a 96th percentile 3-cone time and 97th percentile short shuttle. Smith-Njigba didn’t run the 40-yard dash at the Combine but recorded a 4.48-second time at his Pro Day.
  • The Seahawks made him the 20th overall pick and the first WR off the board in the 2022 NFL Draft.

What to Expect in 2023
  • Smith-Njibga joins a Seahawks WR corps with a couple of high-end talents in D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Metcalf has finished as a top-25 WR in PPR points per game in three straight seasons. Lockett has done it in five straight.
  • But Smith-Njigba is a heavy favorite to win the No. 3 WR job right out of the gate. His competition: Dee Eskridge, Dareke Young, Cody Thompson, Cade Johnson.
  • OC Shane Waldron and QB Geno Smith both return for the 2023 season.
  • The 2022 Seahawks ranked:
    • 15th in pass attempts
    • 12th in pass rate
    • fifth in situation-neutral pass rate
    • eighth in Pass Rate Over Expected
  • Behind Lockett and Metcalf, Seattle’s other WRs combined for just 75 targets last year.
  • But the team’s top three TEs totaled 135 targets – a 23.6% share well above the league-wide average TE target share of around 20%.
  • Expect Smith-Njigba to siphon a bunch of those targets this season.
  • Prior to becoming Seahawks OC, Shane Waldron spent four seasons under Rams HC Sean McVay, whose offenses finished near the top of the league in deployment of 3-WR sets.
  • Expect more 3-WR sets in Seattle this year, getting Smith-Njigba on the field for most passing plays.

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR SEA

8:23pm EDT 9/8/23

"No limitations" for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Week 1

Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba (wrist) put in a full week of practice and isn’t listed on the final injury report. He’ll play vs. the Rams on Sunday, about 2-and-a-half weeks after wrist surgery. HC Pete Carroll said Friday that Smith-Njigba will have “no limitations,” but we’d still try to not use the rookie in fantasy lineups coming off that injury.

View all Jaxon Smith-Njigba Shark Bites »

Seahawks HC Pete Carroll said Wednesday that WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba (wrist) will play vs. the Rams this weekend. JSN is just over two weeks removed from wrist surgery but "hasn't said a peep" about the issue and has "no hesitation," Carroll said. We'd try not to use the rookie in Week 1 fantasy lineups, but he could quickly emerge as a viable starter. Smith-Njigba's availability is also a boost for QB Geno Smith.

View all Jaxon Smith-Njigba Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba was on the practice field on Tuesday for the first time since breaking a bone in his wrist on August 19. His left hand was heavily wrapped, but JSN was catching passes. It's encouraging news, although his availability for the start of the season is still uncertain. Stay tuned for updates.

View all Jaxon Smith-Njigba Shark Bites »

Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba (wrist surgery) is expected to open the season on the active roster, per insider Ian Rapoport. JSN remains highly questionable to play in the opener. But he’s clearly expected back within the first few games. Head to the WR rankings, and you’ll see the rookie projected for 15 games.

View all Jaxon Smith-Njigba Shark Bites »

Seahawks HC Pete Carroll said Tuesday that WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba has a "slight fracture" in his wrist and that the team is "optimistic on a 3-4 week timeline," per insider Corbin Smith. Carroll is about as unreliable as they come in terms of injury updates, so take this with a giant grain of salt. But we're a little less than three weeks away from Seattle's season opener, so it sounds like JSN is likely to at least miss Week 1. We'll continue to look for updates on his status.

View all Jaxon Smith-Njigba Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR SEA
Dynasty MVP 102.0
Position Rank #38 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
313
516
985
Dynasty Write-up
JSN barely played in 2022 (hamstring) — but did you see his 2021?! He easily led the Buckeyes in catches and yards, despite playing with Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave. JSN went on to showcase some elite agility at the Combine. At his peak, we're likely talking about an 80-catch WR here. Seattle just doesn't profile as an ideal landing spot near term.
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