Jerry Jeudy's 2022 Projections & Outlook
#33 Wide Receiver
137.6 Projected Points
DS 3D Projections
What You Need to Know:
- Jeudy went down with a right high-ankle sprain in the 3rd quarter of last year’s season opener. He missed the next 6 games.
- Jeudy was on his way to a big 2021 debut before that injury, racking up 6 catches on 7 targets for 72 yards before going down.
- In 9 games after returning from the high-ankle sprain (he missed Week 17 on the COVID list), Jeudy averaged 3.6 catches for 43.9 yards per game. He failed to find the end zone and ranked 63rd among WRs in PPR points.
- Jeudy averaged 5.4 targets on an 18.8% target share over those final 9 games. That led Tim Patrick (5.1 targets) and Courtland Sutton (3.9 targets).
- Jeudy ranked 51st among 89 qualifying WRs in Pro Football Focus’ 2021 receiving grades – just behind Patrick (47th) and Sutton (49th).
- But Jeudy easily led Denver’s top 3 WRs with 1.85 yards per route run (Patrick 1.48; Sutton 1.43). Jeudy’s mark was good for 25th among those 89 WRs.
- Jeudy dealt with subpar QB play from Teddy Bridgewater and Drew Lock last year. The Broncos ranked 19th in Pro Football Focus’ team passing grades.
- QB Russell Wilson will be a big upgrade in 2022. He struggled after suffering a right finger injury last October. But Wilson was excellent before that and had shown no signs of decline the previous few seasons.
- Jeudy will also play under a new coaching staff this offseason after the Broncos named Nathaniel Hackett their new HC.
- It’s Hackett’s first crack at a HC gig. He has 8 years of NFL OC experience: 2013-2014 with the Bills, 2016-2018 with the Jaguars and 2019-2021 with the Packers.
- Hackett’s Bills and Jaguars offenses – piloted by E.J. Manuel, Kyle Orton and Blake Bortles – were run leaning. But Hackett went pass heavier when he hooked up with Aaron Rodgers. The Packers ranked 7th, 9th and 11th in situation-neutral pass rate the last 3 seasons.
- With Wilson and Hackett in town, we’re projecting the Broncos to pass at a tangibly higher clip than they did last season.
- Jeudy will face similar target competition this season, with Sutton, Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon all back. The Broncos lost TE Noah Fant in the Russell Wilson trade but retain TE Albert Okwuegbunam and drafted TE Greg Dulcich in Round 3. They’ll also get WR K.J. Hamler back after last September’s torn ACL, but Jeudy does project for more reliable targets following Tim Patrick's season-ending ACL tear.
- Jeudy was a strong prospect coming out of Alabama and went 15th overall in the 2020 NFL Draft.
- He had a decent rookie season, posting a 52-856-3 line and PPR WR46 finish.
- Jeudy dealt with even crappier QB play in 2020, with the Drew Lock-led Broncos ranking 31st in Pro Football Focus’ passing grades.
- Jeudy’s 1.66 yards per route run ranked 46th among 84 qualifiers. It’s the 23rd best mark among 46 rookie WR seasons with 50+ targets over the last 5 years.
- Jeudy finished 67th among 84 qualifiers in PFF’s 2021 receiving grades.
- Nick Kosmider of The Athletic expects Broncos WR Jerry Jeudy to lead the team in receptions. Kosmider writes that Denver’s offense will “better utilize Jeudy in space and allow him to be the target of deep attempts from Russell Wilson.”
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
Jeudy had a tough go last year. He suffered a significant high-ankle sprain in the opener that sidelined him for about a month and a half. Then he dealt with shaky QB play after returning.
QB play shouldn’t be an issue in 2022 after the Broncos swung a big trade for Russell Wilson. And while the target battle between Jeudy and Courtland Sutton might be tight, Tim Patrick's ACL tear opens the door for both guys to out-perform ADP.
A big-time talent coming out of Alabama and still only 23 years old, Jeudy is a guy we want to bet on. Consider him a high-upside WR2 in fantasy drafts.