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K.J. Hamler - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

K.J. Hamler
DEN

WR DEN

#86 Wide Receiver

56 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 11
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 178
40 Time: 4.36

Weekly Outlook

Week 6 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 1
Hamler caught 3 of his 4 targets for 41 yards in the Week 1 victory over the Giants. He had a nice highlight reel catch with the game still in doubt that set up the team’s first score. Hamler added another critical reception a few drives later to set up another score to put the game out of reach. Unfortunately, he also dropped what would have been a long TD on a bomb from QB Teddy Bridgewater.
There are a lot of mouths to feed in the Denver offense, but the injury to WR Jerry Jeudy may bode well for Hamler in the short term. Jeudy ran 78% of his routes out of the slot, where Hamler spent much of his 2020 season working. Look for him to get a little boost in production in the meantime, especially with a soft matchup against the Jaguars this weekend.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Hamler caught 30 of 56 targets for 381 yards and 3 scores in 13 games as a rookie last year.
  • He ranked 92nd among WRs in PPR points per game and 86th in non-PPR.
  • Among 84 WRs with 50+ targets last season, Hamler ranked 76th in yards per route run and 83rd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade.
  • Hamler dropped 18.9% of his catchable targets -- dead last among those 84 WRs.
  • He missed 3 games last year: Week 1 with a hamstring injury, Week 6 with another hamstring and Week 17 with a concussion.
  • He also tore his ACL as a high school senior and missed last year’s Combine with a hamstring injury.
  • The injuries are an even bigger concern considering Hamler is just 5’11 and 178 pounds.
  • He had 2 productive seasons at Penn State, leading the team in catches (42) and receiving yards (754) as a redshirt freshman and leading in all major receiving categories with a 56-904-8 line the following year.
  • He averaged 16.9 yards per catch over those 2 seasons. And, while we never got a 40 time on him, Hamler has elite speed.
  • He faces stiff target competition in 2021. Courtland Sutton is on track to return by Week 1 after missing all but 31 snaps last season with a torn ACL and MCL. WR Jerry Jeudy figures to remain ahead of Hamler in the pecking order after garnering 113 targets as a rookie last year. And TE Noah Fant is still on the ascent heading into year 3.
  • Hamler figures to battle Tim Patrick for #3 WR duties
  • The Broncos traded for QB Teddy Bridgewater in April. He’ll compete with QB Drew Lock for the starting job.
  • Bridgewater sports a career 66.5% completion rate and 7.3 yards per attempt average -- much better than Lock’s 59.1% completion rate and 6.6 yards per attempt through 2 seasons.
  • Whether Lock takes a significant step forward in 2021 or Bridgewater beats him out, Denver should get better QB play this season than last.
  • OC Pat Shurmur returns for his 2nd season with the Broncos in 2021.
    • The 2020 Broncos ranked 19th in pass attempts and 20th in pass rate.
    • Shurmur has tended to be a pass-leaning play caller, with 9 of his previous 11 NFL offenses finishing top 16 in pass attempts.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Hamler disappointed as a rookie. He missed 3 games with 3 separate injuries, caught just 30 passes and was near the bottom of the league in most efficiency metrics.

He was a nice-looking prospect coming out of Penn State, so we’re not throwing in the towel. But Courtland Sutton, Jerry Judy, Tim Patrick and Noah Fant are serious target competition. And QB play is still a question in Denver.

Monitor Hamler’s progress this summer, but he’s probably not worth a pick in your fantasy draft.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Broncos WR K.J. Hamler suffered a torn ACL in Sunday's win over the Jets and will miss the rest of the season, insider Mike Klis reports. The timing of the injury gives Hamler a good chance to be ready for the start of the 2022 campaign, but durability is a significant concern here after Hamler struggled staying healthy at Penn State and as a rookie. With WR Jerry Jeudy still expected to miss a few more weeks, Denver is down to WRs Courtland Sutton, Tim Patrick, Diontae Spencer and Kendall Hinton for now.

View all K.J. Hamler Shark Bites »

Broncos WR K.J. Hamler injured his left knee in the 2nd quarter of Sunday's game vs. the Jets. He had to be helped off the field and back to the locker room. We'll update Hamler's status when we know more.

Update: Hamler has been ruled out

View all K.J. Hamler Shark Bites »

Broncos WR KJ Hamler missed practice today due to COVID-19 protocols, per team insider Mike Klis. Hamler told reporters last week that he was fully vaccinated — but not yet 14 days clear of his 2nd shot. Loaded with speed, the former Round 2 pick will likely need an injury to Courtland Sutton or Jerry Jeudy to emerge in fantasy. We'll let you know when he returns to practice.

Update: Hamler said Wednesday that he missed practice due to a false positive. He was back at practice on August 4.

View all K.J. Hamler Shark Bites »

Broncos WR K.J. Hamler sustained a concussion in the 1st half of Sunday's game vs. the Chargers. We'll see if the rookie can get cleared for next weekend's finale vs. the Raiders.

View all K.J. Hamler Shark Bites »

Broncos WR K.J. Hamler (hamstring) is out for Sunday's game against the Patriots. The early rule-out hints at a multi-week injury. Jerry Jeudy, Tim Patrick and DaeSean Hamilton will operate as Denver's top 3 WRs this weekend.

View all K.J. Hamler Shark Bites »

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