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Leonard Fournette - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsLeonard Fournette's Basic Stats

Leonard Fournette
ADP: 2.12
Bye: 11
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 27.7
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 228
40 Time: 4.51

Leonard Fournette's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
69.1 0.5 3.2 20.9 0.1 12.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
58.5 0.6 4.1 31.1 0.2 13.6

Leonard Fournette's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#12 Running Back

193.1 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
2.12 202.9 862.3 8.9 1.9 1.7 63.3 430.5 2.3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsLeonard Fournette's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Despite opening the season sharing work with Ronald Jones, Fournette finished 2021 ranked 11th in opportunity share (carries + targets).
  • Fournette’s usage climbed after the Week 9 bye. He went from 56.4% carry share and 11.1% target share before the bye to 62% and 17.8% in healthy outings after the bye.
  • For comparison’s sake, “Lombardi Lenny” got 53% of carries and 15.2% of targets over the 4-game playoff run at the end of the 2020 season.
  • Fournette improved on Pro Football Focus rushing and receiving grade last season over 2020, his 1st year with the Bucs. His yards after contact per attempt and elusive rating also climbed.
  • Tampa Bay’s offensive line climbed from 9th in Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards in 2020 to 5th last season. The Bucs lost G Ali Marpet to retirement, but they signed Shaq Mason in free agency to replace him. PFF graded Mason 6th-best among all guards as a run-blocker last season; 3rd-best the season before. He beat Marpet each time.
  • Fournette notoriously arrived for minicamp “a little heavy,” admitting that he weighed “240-something.” He also called 228-230 his target playing weight. Is that a concern? We’ll see.
  • The Buccaneers let Ronald Jones walk in free agency. They retained Giovani Bernard. The biggest addition was 3rd-round pick Rachaad White.
  • After allowing him to hit the open market, Tampa Bay re-signed Fournette for 3 years at $21 million, with $12 million of that guaranteed.
  • Bucs RB Leonard Fournette is down to 245 pounds and "back in shape," per insider Doug Kyed. Fournette's belly made headlines in June, but it sounds like he's back to playing weight.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Fournette took the backfield lead as last season wore on, and then the Buccaneers committed a surprising amount of money to bring him back in free agency. Tampa let Ronald Jones walk and added 3rd-round pick Rachaad White. We’ll see what that means for touch distribution. We’ll also see about Fournette’s waist line at the start of training camp. Assuming he’s in better shape at that point and stays healthy through camp, Fournette looks well set up to rank among the league leaders in opportunity share. He’ll belong in Round 2 of drafts across formats.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Leonard Fournette, RB TB

10:25am EDT 9/26/22

Fournette dominates backfield

Bucs RB Leonard Fournette dominated the backfield work in a Week 3 loss to Green Bay. He saw all 12 RB carries and all 6 RB targets, as rookie backup Rachaad White played only 6 snaps. Fournette managed only 70 total yards and fell just shy of popping in a goal line score. But the takeaway should be positive here because of the workload — especially after Fournette was limited in practice with a hamstring. He’ll remain a no-doubt starter for Sunday’s marquee matchup with Kansas City.

View all Leonard Fournette Shark Bites »

Bucs RB Leonard Fournette (hamstring) is active for today’s game vs. the Packers. He played through this hamstring issue last week, racking up 24 carries and 4 targets on an 87% snap share.

View all Leonard Fournette Shark Bites »

ESPN's Adam Schefter confirms that Bucs RB Leonard Fournette (hamstring) is expected to play vs. the Packers today. Fournette was limited in practice all week and is listed as questionable. But he was in the same spot last week before playing 87% of the snaps and handling 24 carries and 4 targets. He's safe to get into Week 3 fantasy lineups.

View all Leonard Fournette Shark Bites »

Bucs RB Leonard Fournette (hamstring) was limited in practice all week and is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game vs. the Packers. It’s the same boat Fournette was in last week, before he played 87% of the snaps and handled 24 carries and 4 targets.

View all Leonard Fournette Shark Bites »

The Bucs placed RB Gio Bernard (ankle) on IR, knocking him out for at least 4 games. He's been active the first 2 weeks but hasn't played a snap on offense. RB Ke'Shawn Vaughn figures to take over that role while Bernard is out. Leonard Fournette and Rachaad White are locked in as Tampa's top 2 RBs.

View all Giovani Bernard Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Leonard Fournette, RB TB
Dynasty MVP 113.7
Position Rank #36 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
539
539
539
Dynasty Write-up
Fournette was a league-winner in 2021, and the offseason brought only 3rd-round rookie Rachaad White to the backfield. Fournette should be locked in with the Bucs at least through 2023 -- with the possibility of staying through 2024. It's anyone's guess how many of those seasons find Tom Brady still at the helm, but we certainly can't assume Brady's done after 2022 (or that Tampa won't find a solid heir). If someone in your league wants to buy Fournette at an RB1-level price, then the 27-year-old could be a sensible sell. But it's also OK to hold him if the market is colder -- or even if you just want to play for now.
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