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Leonard Fournette - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Leonard Fournette


#28 Running Back

143 Projected Points

ADP: 7.8
Bye: 9
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 228
40 Time: 4.51

Weekly Outlook

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Week 3 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
49 0.3 3 20 0.1 9.3
Weekly Writeup
Fournette has operated as Tampa's clear lead back in both games so far, compiling 20 carries and 11 targets. Some solid fantasy outings are coming with that type of usage in this explosive Bucs offense.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
50 0.4 1.9 13.9 0.1 9.4
Week 2
Fournette rushed 11 times for 52 yards in the Bucs' Week 2 win over the Falcons, adding 4 receptions for 24 additional yards.
Fournette is the most trusted Bucs RB, which is huge for a team QBed by Tom Brady. He has now out-touched backup RB Ronald Jones 29-11 through 2 games. Fournette can have some big games going forward as this looks to be among the most dynamic, high-scoring offenses in the league.
Fournette should be used as an RB2/flex option and has a decent Week 3 matchup against the Rams, who allowed David Montgomery to run all over them in Week 1.
Week 1
Fournette opened the season with the starting role over RB Ronald Jones II. Neither of them was especially effective in a rushing attack that totaled just 14 carries. Fournette totaled 9 rushes for 32 yards. More importantly, he was targeted 7 times and caught 5 passes for 27 yards.

Despite the Week 1 usage, Jones will be the starting RB Sunday against the Falcons. Expect Fournette to share the rushing load. Last season, he had 6 TDs on the ground. His pace from Week 1 would get him close to Fournette’s best receiving year: 2019 with 76 catches for 52 yards. However, he hasn’t caught a TD pass since 2018.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Fournette joined the Bucs just prior to Week 1 of last season.
  • After a big Week 2 (12-103-2) against Carolina, Fournette sustained an ankle injury. He missed Weeks 4-6.
  • After the season, HC Bruce Arians revealed that the team nearly cut Fournette for his attitude late in the season. He was deactivated for Week 14.
  • Ronald Jones handled the lead back role for most of the year. He missed 2 games (broken finger/COVID-19 list, Weeks 15/16).
  • With Fournette and Jones active from Week 7-Week 12, Jones out-carried the former Jag 65-45.
  • Tampa Bay went pass heavy in year 1 with Tom Brady. The team called a run just 36.3% of the time during the regular season (3rd-lowest mark league-wide).
  • “Playoff Lenny” really took off for the Bucs in January/February — with help from a RoJo quad injury that kept him out of the Wild Card Round. In the postseason, Fournette out-touched Jones 82-35. He out-targeted Jones 21-2.
  • Overall, Fournette ranked a subpar 35th out of 48 RBs in Pro Football Focus’ Elusive Rating (min. 100 attempts).
  • As a receiver, he ranked 19th out of 28 RBs with 40+ targets in yards per route run. With 5 drops, Fournette’s volume (47 targets) was his saving grace.
  • Ronald Jones’ pass catching performance flopped. He ranked last among RB qualifiers in PFF’s receiving grades; bottom-8 in YPC and yards per route run.
  • In March, the cash-strapped Bucs re-signed Fournette to a 1-year deal worth $3.25 million.
  • In April, Gio Bernard joined the team on a 1-year pact. The sure-handed Bernard joins a Bucs backfield that just “led” the league in RB drop rate (~15%).
  • In May, HC Bruce Arians said Fournette would be “splitting time” with Ronald Jones. Look for this backfield to remain fluid.
  • The Bucs retain the same 11 on offense after re-signing Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

The Bucs ranked 3rd in scoring last year; 7th in total yards. They’ll run back the entire starting unit this fall.

So the macro environment looks good for Fournette. Pair that with his strong postseason run, and we’ll consider the former Jag the favorite for backfield touches.

It’s just unwise to believe he’ll earn the lead back role and never relinquish it. The Bucs remain high on Ronald Jones. And adding Gio Bernard to the mix further clouds Fournette’s receiving upside.

Ultimately, Fournette looks like no more than a low-end RB2, albeit one that makes sense as a mid-round target for “Zero RB” drafters.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

RB Leonard Fournette has re-signed a 1-year deal with the Bucs. He gets $3.25 million with a chance to make up to $4 million via incentives, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Fournette had a rocky regular season in Tampa last year but was awesome in 4 postseason contests, carrying 64 times for 300 yards (4.7 YPC) and 3 TDs and hauling in 18 of 21 targets for 148 yards (8.2 YPC) and another score. He figures to operate in a committee alongside RB Ronald Jones in 2021, but Fournette's pass-catching ability makes him the more attractive fantasy target. Check out our updated projections for the Bucs backfield.

View all Leonard Fournette Shark Bites »

Bucs RB Leonard Fournette is a healthy scratch for today's game vs. the Vikings. That leaves RBs LeSean McCoy and Ke'Shawn Vaughn behind Ronald Jones on the depth chart. HC Bruce Arians said during the bye week that he wanted to get Jones the ball more -- and it looks like he's ready to do it.

View all Leonard Fournette Shark Bites »

Bucs HC Bruce Arians said Monday that Leonard Fournette is now the team's "nickel" RB, playing in "hurry-up and obvious passing situations." Fournette racked up 6 catches on 7 targets in last weekend's win over the Raiders, while RB Ronald Jones caught just 1 of 2 targets, dropping the other. Fournette also trailed Jones by just 2 carries (13 to 11), so it seems to us that he was more than just the "nickel" RB. We'll see how the situation evolves over the next few weeks. Jones has run well this season and might hang on to lead ball-carrying duties. But Fournette already appears locked in as the primary pass-catching back.

View all Leonard Fournette Shark Bites »

Bucs RB Leonard Fournette (ankle) put in a full week of practice and isn’t listed on the final injury report. HC Bruce Arians said Friday that Fournette will "reassume his role” in this weekend’s game against the Raiders. We’ll see exactly what that means. Fournette would be a flier in Week 7 fantasy lineups. His return does add some risk to RB Ronald Jones’ profile.

View all Leonard Fournette Shark Bites »

Bucs RB Leonard Fournette (ankle) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice. That presumably puts him on track to return for Sunday night's game against the Raiders. Ronald Jones has taken control of Tampa's backfield with Fournette out over the past 3 weeks, so Fournette can't be trusted in Week 7 fantasy lineups. But his return does add a bit of risk to Jones' profile.

View all Leonard Fournette Shark Bites »

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