Marquise Brown - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats

WR BAL

#54 Wide Receiver

111 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available

Bye: 8

Experience: 2 Yr(s)

Age: 24

Height: 5'9"

Weight: 166

40 Time: 4.34

Weekly Outlook

Low Floor

5.5

DS Projection

9.3

Consensus

38 other sites
10

Med Ceiling

13.5

Rest of
Season

Week 7 Projections

Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TDs	Fantasy Pts
4.4	62.8	0.5	9.3

Weekly Writeup

Brown dudded last week largely because Lamar Jackson threw it just 27 times. He still saw 18.5% of Baltimore's targets, though, and the playing time remained strong. Stick with Brown for Sunday's game vs. the Bengals' 21st-ranked WR defense.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TDs	Fantasy Pts
4.2	66	0.4	9

Week 6
Facing the Chargers was going to be a problem for Brown, as their defense has been excellent at limiting big plays by keeping their safeties deep and forcing offenses to beat them underneath. For a big-play threat like Brown, that took away his greatest attribute. Although he had a respectable 5 targets, he finished the day with less than 9 yards per catch. And with the Ravens winning in blowout fashion, there never was a need to push the issue by sending him on deep routes.

Aside from some big drops in Week 3 that cost him a pair of TDs, he’s been a borderline WR1 this season. Of course, he’ll have the occasional game in which he’s slowed due to opponent and/or game script. He looks like his role in the offense is real and will remain that way most weeks. That said, if Rashod Bateman begins to command significant targets, and if Lamar Jackson goes back to throwing just 30 passes per game, like he did in Weeks 1-3, Brown could see a reduction in the 7.5 targets per game he had before Bateman returned from IR. However, it’s still reasonable to expect WR2 production the rest of the way.

Week 5
We are finally seeing the explosive abilities of Hollywood Brown on a regular basis. The guy seems to get behind coverage every single week, even though teams know they have to defend the deep ball when Brown is on the field. Brown received 10 targets in this game, which was a 23.2% target share on the game. Hollywood was on the field for 66/73 snaps. Brown was a huge part in this come-from-behind win for the Ravens, scoring a 43-yard TD late in the 3rd quarter and then scoring the game winning TD on a 5-yard scramble drill play. Jackson really trusts Brown and the results are exciting to watch. Brown finished with 9 catches for 125 yards and 2 TDs. Next up on the schedule for Brown and the Ravens WR group is a dominant Chargers secondary that has held opponent WR groups to less than 130 receiving yards in all 5 of their games. Hollywood is our WR27 this week against Los Angeles. Brown has now scored 5 TDs in 5 games this season and is a threat to get open down the field and take it to the house on every snap. The next three weeks on the Ravens’ schedule include LAC, CIN, and their bye week.

Week 4
It turns out Brown can catch the deep targets. He caught 4 of the 5 he saw in this game for 91 yards and a TD. Despite the production, he trailed both James Proche and Devin Duvernay, who both saw 6 targets.

Going forward, optimism should be high on Brown, who has 5 or more targets in every game, finding the end zone in 3 of the 4. An he should have scored in all 4. He might finally be having the season many thought he could coming out of Oklahoma.

Week 3
It was a game of ‘what ifs’ for Brown, who could’ve had a massive fantasy day. With the Lions defense unable to defend the middle of the field, Brown had a pair of long passes thrown on target to him by Lamar Jackson, but Brown dropped them both, including at least 1 for an easy TD. He also had a shorter TD opportunity, but a defender got a finger on the ball, but it still should’ve been an easy reception.

This should have been Brown’s 3rd straight strong fantasy performance, but the drops ruined that. The good news is that he’s been targeted an average of 8 times per game, and his explosiveness can turn a catch into a big play at any time. That said, it’s possible that his snap share takes a hit from the 70% range when Rashod Bateman is activated from the IR, and if Brown sees fewer targets, his floor could become problematic for fantasy managers. For now, keep riding him, and if he keeps producing, he may be able to sustain WR3 production the rest of the way.

Week 2
Are we finally seeing the breakout year for Brown after a somewhat unimpressive first 2 seasons in the NFL? Brown and Jackson seem to have found the connection this season, and it paid off in a big way on Sunday night against the Chiefs. Brown has breakaway, game-changing speed and we were able to see it on full display in this game. Brown was able to get behind the defense in the 3rd quarter and took a jump pass from Lamar Jackson for a 42-yard TD. Brown led the Ravens with 10 targets on 26 total pass attempts. He finished his night with 6 receptions for 113 yards and the one score.

It’s time to get this dynamic player into your fantasy lineups. He has had 6 catches and a TD in back-to-back games to open the season. Hollywood was dealing with an ankle injury during the week leading up to the Chiefs game, but he showed no signs of any impairment. The guy is a threat to take a touch to the end zone on every possession and that is what you want in your lineup. We have him ranked at WR23 this week against a Detroit defense that just lost one of its top corners. We will want to see continued success in this run-first offense, but we have him ranked at WR40 the rest of the season at this point.

Week 1
Brown was productive in Week 1. He caught all 6 of his targets for 69 yards and a TD. He trailed only the newly acquired Sammy Watkins in terms of targets. Going forward, Hollywood Brown remains the player he has always been -- a big play waiting to happen. The addition of Watkins should make it easier for Brown to operate. If this new found real estate leads to a higher catch rate, we might have a big season on our hands. But at this point, it's wait and see with Hollywood, especially with Rashod Bateman due back within a few weeks.

Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

Brown didn’t show much of a ceiling in 2020. Across 16 games, he never finished higher than WR15.
He fell shy of just 10 PPR points in 7 games.
Brown finished the season strong with 6 TDs over the final 6 weeks. Adding averages of 6.8 targets, 4.3 catches and 56.3 yards, he was a top-18 WR across formats over that stretch.
On the year, Brown — just 5’9, 166 — saw a stunning 13 end zone targets. There simply wasn’t a go-to target on this roster outside of Mark Andrews.
His overall numbers should have been better, as Brown posted a poor 9.2% drop rate. That was close to double his 2019 tally.
Look for Brown’s 110 targets to drop in ’21. Baltimore retained run-heavy OC Greg Roman and added WR upgrades in veteran Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace. Mark Andrews enters a contract year.
Watkins runs hot and cold, with suspect durability and game to game effectiveness. But he turns just 28 in June and has a 2-year history with Roman from their time in Buffalo.
Bateman is the real issue for Brown. Pro-ready, Bateman is an excellent separator in the short to intermediate ranges.
Brown will remain the primary deep threat a year after posting a nearly 15-yard average depth of target.
Lamar Jackson’s 2020 completion rate (64.4), YPA (7.3) and QBR (73.7) each took a step back following a breakout 2019. Improvement will be extra critical for Brown, who’ll play with the team’s best pass catchers in years.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Brown’s raw numbers from 2020 look solid. But a lot was volume driven (110 targets) for an offense that had little beyond Brown and Mark Andrews.

That same setup won’t repeat in 2021. Round 1 pick Rashod Bateman brings the polish to contribute right away. If he delivers, Brown’s fantasy stock will certainly take a hit. Another season of run-heavy football in Baltimore only further takes Brown out of the WR3 mix.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Ravens WR Marquise Brown (ankle) is active for today’s game vs. the Lions. He only got in a limited practice on Friday and was listed as questionable. He was in the same boat last week, though, before playing 72% of Baltimore’s offensive snaps and posting a 6-113-1 line vs. the Chiefs. Brown remains an upside fantasy play vs. a bad Detroit defense.

View all Marquise Brown Shark Bites »

Ravens WR Marquise Brown (ankle) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Lions after getting in only a limited practice on Friday. He was in the same boat last week before playing 72% of Baltimore’s offensive snaps and posting a 6-113-1 line vs. the Chiefs. Unless we hear otherwise, Brown is safe to get into Week 3 fantasy lineups.

View all Marquise Brown Shark Bites »

Ravens WR Marquise Brown (ankle) did not practice on Thursday. That comes after a limited practice on Wednesday. Brown played through the ankle injury last week, but it's possible that he suffered a setback. Or he just got Thursday off. We'll get another update on Brown's status tomorrow.

View all Marquise Brown Shark Bites »

Ravens WR Marquise Brown (ankle) is active for tonight’s game against the Chiefs. He only got in 1 limited practice this week, leaving him as a risky fantasy play. WR Devin Duvernay (groin) is also active for Baltimore.

View all Marquise Brown Shark Bites »

Ravens WR Marquise Brown (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday night's game vs. the Chiefs. He only got in a limited practice on Friday, so he figures to be operating at far less than 100% if he suits up this weekend. We'd avoid Brown in fantasy lineups. WR Devin Duvernay (groin) is also questionable. Sammy Watkins is the best bet among Baltimore WRs.

View all Marquise Brown Shark Bites »

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