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Najee Harris - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsNajee Harris's Basic Stats

Najee Harris
ADP: N/A
Bye: 9
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 24.8
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 230
40 Time: 4.53

Najee Harris's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Najee Harris's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#8 Running Back

203 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 296.1 1100 7.6 2.4 2.9 59 417.6 1.9

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsNajee Harris's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Harris is reportedly up to 244 pounds. That’s a significant bump vs. the 232 he weighed at the 2021 Scouting Combine.
  • It doesn’t look like he got fat. FWIW, he also says he weighed 240 last year.
  • Harris ranked 2nd in the league in carries as a rookie; 7th in carries per game.
  • He tied Austin Ekeler for the target lead among RBs. Overall, Harris trailed only Derrick Henry and Alvin Kamara in opportunities (carries + targets) per game.
  • The Steelers added no RBs in free agency or the NFL Draft. Their only new players at the position vs. last year: undrafted free agents Jaylen Warren and Mataeo Durant.
  • RB Anthony McFarland should get a healthier start to this year after tearing an MCL in practice leading up to Week 1 of 2021. He only wound up being active for 2 games. Perhaps a healthier McFarland factored into Pittsburgh’s lack of action in this offseason’s RB market.
  • Harris’ 74.7% share of Steelers carries led the league by a significant margin. Joe Mixon ranked 2nd at 67%. His 14.2% target share led all RBs.
  • Pittsburgh ran the league’s 3rd most pass-heavy offense, throwing on 63.1% of snaps (including sacks). That was actually down slightly vs. 2020, when Pittsburgh passed on 64.2% of snaps.
  • The Steelers ranked just 24th in the league in RB target share last season. Their 16.4% rate climbed vs. 2020 (12.2%) but came in lower than 2019 (21.6%) and fell right in line with other recent seasons.
  • In Mitchell Trubisky’s 4 years with Chicago, the Bears targeted RBs at the following rates:
    • 28.1%
    • 25.8%
    • 25.3%
    • 14.3%
  • Those numbers might be totally irrelevant. But combine them with the rates in Pittsburgh over the same time frame, and there’s no clear reason to expect the mobile Trubisky to be worse for RB target rates than Stationary Ben was.
  • Trubisky will battle 1st-round selection Kenny Pickett for the starting job, with Mason Rudolph as a supporting actor.
  • Steelers RB Najee Harris expects to play less this season than he did as a rookie. “I will be on the field a lot — but on certain downs, I will not be on the field," Harris said.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Harris adding more than 10 pounds to what was already a large frame is at least slightly alarming. He wasn’t a speed player to begin with, but Harris does play a position where losing any quickness and/or agility hurts. We’re not downgrading the 2nd-year for that aspect until we get reason to. The biggest factor working in Harris’ favor last year was touch volume, and he seems to be in just as good a position on that front this season. His high carry totals certainly open him up to potential injury, but the young back doesn’t look any riskier on that front than other early-round, high-volume runners.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Najee Harris, RB PIT

12:21am EST 1/2/23

Harris and Warren combine for nearly 200 yards vs. Ravens

Steelers RB Najee Harris totaled 111 rushing yards on 22 carries in Sunday's win vs. the Ravens. Harris also contributed a pair of catches for 12 yards and 1 TD as a receiver in Week 17. Rookie RB Jaylen Warren was effective in spelling Harris, logging an additional 76 yards on 12 carries on the ground and 3 receptions for 22 yards through the air. Fantasy managers playing into Week 18 will be thrilled to start Harris in a plus matchup vs. the Browns next Sunday. The Browns' defense ranked 30th in Football Outsiders' run defense DVOA entering Week 17 and didn't do much to stop Commanders RB Brian Robinson on Sunday.

View all Najee Harris Shark Bites »

Steelers RB Najee Harris totaled 95 yards in Saturday night's win over the Raiders. He managed just 53 yards on 16 carries (3.3 per rush) but added 6 receptions for 42 yards on a team-high 9 targets. The targets also marked a season high for Harris, with his receptions tying a season high and his yardage a new personal best. RB Jaylen Warren chimed in just 6-23 rushing and 2-7 receiving on 2 targets. Harris gets a difficult rushing matchup with the Ravens in Week 17. He managed only 33 yards on 12 carries in a Week 14 loss to the division rival.

View all Najee Harris Shark Bites »

Steelers RB Najee Harris (hip) practiced fully on Thursday. The second-year back does not carry an injury designation for Week 16's game vs. the Raiders on Saturday. The Raiders' defense ranks as the 3rd-best matchup in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs this season. This certainly bodes well for Harris. The issue is the Steelers' o-line, and their deficiencies relegate Harris to RB2-level status for fantasy purposes.

View all Najee Harris Shark Bites »

Steelers RB Najee Harris (hip) did not practice on Wednesday. The second-year back was a limited participant yesterday, however. This development should give fantasy managers some pause. That said, we do have tomorrow's report to give us better clarity. Jaylen Warren and Benny Snell Jr. would potentially stand to benefit from a Harris absence on Saturday. Keep an eye out on the waiver wire just in case.

View all Najee Harris Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Najee Harris, RB PIT
Dynasty MVP 153.9
Position Rank #13 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
630
838
838
Dynasty Write-up
Harris’ receiving production predictably declined with Ben Roethlisberger in retirement. The ‘Bama product remained inefficient as a rusher, too, while his volume proved unsustainable. Only 25 (in March), Harris remains the favorite to assume lead back duties for the foreseeable future. He’ll likely play under a new OC in 2023.

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