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Nick Chubb - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsNick Chubb's Basic Stats

Nick Chubb
ADP: N/A
Bye: 9
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26.8
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 227
40 Time: 4.52
SPARQx (Rank): 140.10 (98%)
Burst Score (Rank): 129.50 (92%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.34 (58%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.09

Nick Chubb's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
95.2 0.7 1.4 10.3 0 14.7
Weekly Writeup
Chubb has hit 100 total yards in 4 of 4 games this season. He’s also out-carried Kareem Hunt 5 to 2 inside the opponent’s 5-yard line, which has helped produce 5 TDs for Chubb.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
81.9 0.7 1.6 14.2 0 13.6

Nick Chubb's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#9 Running Back

210 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 258.7 1293.6 10.3 2.9 1.5 21.5 176.5 0.7

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsNick Chubb's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Chubb ranked just 14th in the league in opportunities per game last season (18.1 carries + targets). He also ranks 14th in that category over the 2 seasons with HC Kevin Stefanski.
  • Chubb also ranked 14th at the position in opportunity share in 2021.
  • He ranked 27th in red-zone snap share despite tying for 15th at the position in total run-play snaps. That was right in line with his 2020 ranking for red-zone work.
  • Chubb’s work shares have been even smaller when he shares the field with Kareem Hunt. He drew 51.0% of Browns carries and 4.4% of targets in 6 healthy games with Hunt last season; 58.8% and 6.6%, respectively, when Hunt was out. (Chubb played no games without Hunt in 2020.)
  • Chubb remains a highly efficient runner. He ranked 2nd in the league in yards after contact per attempt last season, among 61 RBs with 70+ carries. He also ranked 2nd in Pro Football Focus’ elusive rating. Chubb led the league in each of those categories in 2020, crushing the field in elusive rating.
  • The Browns have run at the 4th and 7th highest rates in the league in 2 seasons under Stefanski.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

There’s not much more depth needed to analyzing Chubb. He’s a terrific player. He’s been in a good system for rushing volume. But he cedes a lot of work to Kareem Hunt. There’s a chance this year’s Browns lean further toward the pass after trading for both Deshaun Watson and Amari Cooper. There’s also a chance – increasing by the week, it seems – that these Browns watch Watson get suspended for the year and suddenly need to rely on Jacoby Brissett at QB. That would undoubtedly motivate 1 of the league’s highest run rates.

Chubb sports a high weekly ceiling across formats because he’s an efficient runner. But he also falls short on ultimate ceiling and floor by getting light usage in the passing game. Ultimately, he’s just OK at 2nd-round cost in best-ball drafts and a weaker value at market price in lineup-setting formats.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Nick Chubb, RB CLE

6:10pm EDT 10/2/22

Chubb tops 100 again

Browns RB Nick Chubb ran for 118 yards and a TD on 19 carries in Sunday's narrow loss to the Falcons. It marked Chubb's 3rd game of more than 100 yards already this season. He added 9 yards on 2 catches among 3 targets. RB Kareem Hunt tallied just 2 catches (for 19 yards) on 3 targets as well, adding 49 yards on 10 rushes. Home dates with the Chargers and Patriots lie ahead the next 2 weeks.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

Browns RB Nick Chubb matched a career high with 3 rushing scores in a Week 2 loss to the Jets. He out-carried Kareem Hunt 17-13 in a game that saw Cleveland play most of its snaps with a lead. Chubb even had a 33-yarder called back by holding. As the cherry on top, the veteran added 3 catches, a total he never exceeded last season. Cleveland now has a quick turnaround with a Thursday night game vs. Pittsburgh.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

Browns RB Nick Chubb racked up 141 yards on 22 carries in Sunday's win at Carolina, but RB Kareem Hunt got both of the team's TDs. Hunt scored from 24 yards out on the ground, among 11 rushes for 46 yards. He added a 1-yard TD reception amid 4 catches for 24 yards. Hunt checked in 2nd on the team in receptions and yards. WR Donovan Peoples-Jones was the only other Brown to crack 20 receiving yards.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

Following a settlement between the Browns and the league, QB Deshaun Watson will be suspended 11 games. He’ll pay a $5 million fine and be required to enter a treatment program. Watson’s now scheduled to make his Browns debut in Week 13… at Houston. The 11-game suspension makes Watson undraftable outside of deep 2-QB leagues and maybe as a last-round pick in best-ball tournaments. The fantasy values of guys like Nick Chubb, Amari Cooper and David Njoku also take a hit with the news. We'll see if Cleveland makes a move for QB Jimmy Garoppolo.

View all Deshaun Watson Shark Bites »

Browns RB Kareem Hunt has requested a trade, according to insider Mary Kay Cabot, but the team has already told him it won't happen. That could change, of course, especially if Hunt threatens to sit out regular-season games. We'll see where this goes. A move out of Cleveland would almost certainly help Hunt's fantasy value. It'd also be a boost for RB Nick Chubb and turn RB D'Ernest Johnson into a nice pick in the double-digit rounds of fantasy drafts.

View all Kareem Hunt Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Nick Chubb, RB CLE
Dynasty MVP 161.7
Position Rank #10 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
610
940
940
Dynasty Write-up
Chubb has averaged 93, 89 and 90 rushing yards per game over the past 3 seasons. And he's the only player in NFL history with 4 consecutive seasons of 5.0+ yards per carry on 150+ rush attempts. Still only 26, Chubb should have at least a couple more seasons of elite rushing production.
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