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Nick Chubb - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Nick Chubb
CLE

RB CLE

#8 Running Back

238 Projected Points

ADP: 1.6
Bye: 13
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 25
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 228
40 Time: 4.52

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#8 Running Back

238 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
1.6 276 1382 12 7 1 27 219 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Low Floor

214.2

DS Projection

238

Consensus

38 other sites
217.2

High Ceiling

304.6

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

-Chubb posted another impressive season in 2020 (190-1,067-12). He finished as the RB7 in PPR points per game.

-Chubb missed his first career games due to injury, though. He went down in Week 4 with an MCL sprain. He returned for Week 10.

-He ranked as a top-5 RB across formats from Week 10 on. Clearly, he overcame the injury.

-Chubb ran behind Pro Football Focus’ #1 ranked run-blocking O-line. But he was a beast with 4.0 yards after contact per attempt and easily the league’s best PFF Elusive Rating (130.0). He broke 66 tackles on only 206 touches.

-The Georgia product remained explosive with 40.2% of his carries gaining 15+ yards. Only J.K. Dobbins posted a higher rate among 47 RBs with 100+ attempts.

-Kareem Hunt stayed healthy for 16 games. In Chubb’s 11 full regular season games with Hunt, he out-touched the former Chief 200-150.

-The issue was in the passing game, where Chubb caught only 16 balls all season. That followed a 36-catch 2019. Hunt totaled 38 receptions and out-targeted Chubb 51-18.

-Hunt returns for 2021, a contract-year for Chubb. The Browns also return the same QB (Baker Mayfield), O-line, HC (Kevin Stefanski) and OC (Alex Van Pelt).

-The Browns will get back Odell Beckham, who missed Week 8 on with an ACL tear. Chubb posted 5.7 YPC in three 2020 games (BAL, CIN, WAS) with Beckham.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Chubb overcame his first noteworthy injury as a pro to finish as a top-10 RB (PPG) for the 2nd straight season. Whether you’re considering advanced metrics, raw stats or the eye test, Chubb’s more than proven as a top-tier NFL back.

He’s simply not the complete one we look for in fantasy, as Kareem Hunt’s return all but ensures another underwhelming season for Chubb as a receiver. Given that, the 25-year-old isn’t a top-15 priority.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Browns RB Nick Chubb (knee) is officially active for today’s game against the Texans. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport said that morning that Chubb will handle the bulk of the backfield work today. Get him back into fantasy lineups.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

Browns RB Nick Chubb (knee) has been activated from IR and will return for Sunday's game vs. the Texans. Over the first 3 games of the season, Chubb averaged 17 carries and 1 target to Kareem Hunt's 13 carries and 3.7 targets. We're expecting a similar touch distribution tomorrow.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

Browns RB Nick Chubb (knee) got on the practice field this week but hasn’t yet been activated from IR. HC Kevin Stefanski said Friday that he’ll meet with the team’s medical staff before deciding whether Chubb will return for this weekend’s game against the Texans. We should know his status by Saturday afternoon. Chubb will be worth getting back into fantasy lineups if he suits up. If not, Kareem Hunt will get another game as feature back.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

The Browns have designated RB Nick Chubb (knee) to return from IR. That doesn't necessarily mean he'll be ready to play against Houston on Sunday, but it allows Chubb to practice and opens a 3-week window for reactivating him. We'll watch the news on Chubb this week and hope to get the star runner back for Week 10 fantasy football lineups. Chubb's return will leave fewer touches available for other Browns backs, but it should also help the offense on whole. Kareem Hunt ranked top 12 across fantasy formats through 3 weeks with Chubb around before the lead back sprained his right knee in Week 4.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport hears that the Browns are "hopeful" RB Nick Chubb (knee) is able to return for next Sunday's game vs. the Texans. Chubb is expected to practice this week for the 1st time since suffering an MCL injury in Week 4. We'll monitor his progress.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

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