Nick Chubb - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats

RB CLE

#6 Running Back

238 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available

Bye: 13

Experience: 3 Yr(s)

Age: 25

Height: 5'11"

Weight: 228

40 Time: 4.52

Weekly Outlook

Med Floor

8.6

DS Projection

13.2

Consensus

38 other sites
13

Low Ceiling

16.6

Rest of
Season

13.9

Week 14 Projections

Rush Yds	Rush TDs	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TDs	Fantasy Pts
79.2	0.7	1.3	10.7	0	13.2

Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds	Rush TDs	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TDs	Fantasy Pts
80	0.7	1.4	11.2	0.1	13.9

Week 12
Chubb rushed 8 times for 16 yards and caught 2 of 4 targets for 23 yards in Week 12 against the Ravens.
The Browns struggled throughout the entire game and couldn’t sustain drives, which led to Chubb having his worst game of the season.
Chubb also lost some snaps to Kareem Hunt, who was activated off IR. Chubb has destroyed soft matchups but has struggled in games where the Browns offense plays to their floor.
The Browns go on bye for Week 13 and return in Week 14 to play the Ravens again. Chubb should be used as a low-end RB1 the rest of the way.

Week 11
Welcome back, big guy. After losing Week 10 to COVID, Chubb once again shoved D’Ernest Johnson aside to claim 22 of the team’s 30 RB carries in the win over Detroit. Chubb averaged 5.9 yards per rush to reach 130 on the ground for the 2nd week in a row, even while having no run longer than 15 yards.

Overall offensive struggles helped keep him from a bigger stat line. Jarvis Landry claimed Cleveland’s only rushing score, from 16 yards out. Chubb did catch the team’s only TD, from 5 yards out. Those were the only 2 drives that found the Browns reach the red zone.

Cleveland designated RB Kareem Hunt to return from IR this week, so Chubb will see more backfield competition soon. But Hunt was around for the first 5 games, a span that found Chubb averaging 18 carries and 104.6 rushing yards per week -- with 4 ground scores.

Week 9
Chubb rushed 14 times for 137 yards and 2 TDs, while adding 2 catches for 26 receiving yards, in Cleveland's Week 9 win over Cincinnati.
Chubb had a huge game as the offensive line dominated and he shed tacklers throughout the game. Chubb had both of his receptions on the Browns first drive and finished the drive off with a short TD run.
Chubb added a 70-yard TD in the 2nd half as the line created a huge hole and Chubb exploded through it to finish as the overall RB2 of the week. Chubb would have had a bigger game, but the Browns had the ball for just 24 minutes compared to 36 for the Bengals.
Chubb, unfortunately, landed on the COVID list on Tuesday, putting his availability for Sunday’s game vs. the Patriots in doubt. Check Shark Bites for updates.

Week 8
Back from a 1-game absence, Chubb lost receiving work to backup D’Earnest Johnson. Johnson played on 3rd downs and in the 2-minute drill, leading to 3 targets to just 1 for Chubb. Chubb at least out-carried Johnson 16-4, but the latter cashed in on a swift 10-yard run. Tough luck for Chubb owners for sure. Kareem Hunt will remain out for Week 9, and we’ll see if Chubb’s workload increases as he gets further away from his calf injury. Go right back to the 25-year-old for a divisional matchup with the Bengals.

Week 5
It was just another day at the office for Chubb as he ran for 21-161-1. The 161 yards was a season high for Chubb and the 2nd 100-yard performance in a row. The only issue for Chubb is his lack of pass game usage. Chubb only saw 1 target that went for 9 yards on a day where Baker Mayfield went for 300 yards passing. Of course, the Browns have a top 3 rushing attack, which should continue to offer an extremely nice floor for him. However, with Kareem Hunt playing at a high level, Chubb can have a 100-yard rushing performance and finish outside the top 24 RBs on the week.
Heading into Week 6 the Browns will face a much tougher test on the ground vs. Arizona. The Cardinals held their own this season vs. Derrick Henry (17-58), but did allow big days to Dalvin Cook (22-131), James Robinson (15-88-1) and Darrell Henderson (14-89). Start Chubb with confidence in Week 6.

Week 4
It was just another day in the office for Chubb as the rushed for 100 yards on 4.8 YPC. The issue for Chubb’s fantasy owners was despite his big rushing day, he didn’t have a big day for fantasy. He finished as the RB27 on the week. This has everything to do with Chubb’s lack of pass game involvement as he finished 7th on the team in routes and only saw 1 target on the week. Chubb will have better days, but unless he finds the end zone it will be tough for him to be a consistent RB1 with his lack of pass game usage.
This week we should expect the Browns to lean on the run once again vs. a true run funnel defense in the Chargers. The Chargers this season have allowed 3 RBs to get over 90 yards, including a 100-yard performance for Clyde Edwards-Helaire for just the 3rd time in his career. Start Chubb with confidence in Week 5.

Week 2
Death by a thousand cuts is the best way to describe the Browns run game as it is only a matter of time until Chubb finds the end zone or breaks off a huge run. This was the case once again in week 2 as Chubb broke off a huge 26-yard TD run in the 4th quarter to seal the victory for the Browns. An encouraging sign for Chubb’s fantasy value was his usage in the pass game. This week Chubb ran 18 routes — only 4 behind the team lead and 9 more than Kareem Hunt.
Heading into week 3 Chubb is an auto start but he will see his toughest test of the season vs. Chicago. The Bears rank 11th according to Football Outsiders DVOA vs. the run while his first two opponents (Texans and Chiefs) are bottom two in that metric.

Week 1
Chubb carried the ball 15 times for 83 yards and 2 TDs in Week 1’s loss to the Chiefs, while adding 2 catches on 2 targets for an additional 18 yards.
Chubb looked excellent rushing the football as he averaged 5.5 yards per rush and had 9 more carries than Kareem Hunt. Chubb had a great game besides his costly fumble in the 2nd half, which allowed the Chiefs to go down and cut the deficit to 22-20.
Chubb is an every week RB1 and has a dreamy matchup in Week 2 as 12.5-point home favorites against the Texans.

Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

Chubb posted another impressive season in 2020 (190-1,067-12). He finished as the RB7 in PPR points per game.
Chubb missed his first career games due to injury, though. He went down in Week 4 with an MCL sprain. He returned for Week 10.
He ranked as a top-5 RB across formats from Week 10 on. Clearly, he overcame the injury.
Chubb ran behind Pro Football Focus’ #1 ranked run-blocking O-line. But he was a beast with 4.0 yards after contact per attempt and easily the league’s best PFF Elusive Rating (130.0). He broke 66 tackles on only 206 touches.
The Georgia product remained explosive with 40.2% of his carries gaining 15+ yards. Only J.K. Dobbins posted a higher rate among 47 RBs with 100+ attempts.
Kareem Hunt stayed healthy for 16 games. In Chubb’s 11 full regular season games with Hunt, he out-touched the former Chief 200-150.
The issue was in the passing game, where Chubb caught only 16 balls all season. That followed a 36-catch 2019. Hunt totaled 38 receptions and out-targeted Chubb 51-18.
Hunt returns for 2021, a contract-year for Chubb. The Browns also return the same QB (Baker Mayfield), O-line, HC (Kevin Stefanski) and OC (Alex Van Pelt).
The Browns will get back Odell Beckham, who missed Week 8 on with an ACL tear. Chubb posted 5.7 YPC in three 2020 games (BAL, CIN, WAS) with Beckham.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Chubb overcame his first noteworthy injury as a pro to finish as a top-10 RB (PPG) for the 2nd straight season. Whether you’re considering advanced metrics, raw stats or the eye test, Chubb’s more than proven as a top-tier NFL back.

He’s simply not the complete one we look for in fantasy, as Kareem Hunt’s return all but ensures another underwhelming season for Chubb as a receiver. Given that, the 25-year-old isn’t a top-15 priority.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Browns RB Nick Chubb has been activated from the COVID list, putting him on track to return for Sunday's game vs. the Lions. Chubb racked up 30 carries to D'Ernest Johnson's 12 across Weeks 8 and 9. We'd expect a similar split this weekend. The matchup vs. Detroit's 30th-ranked RB defense makes Chubb a RB1 and Johnson a RB3 or flex play.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

Browns HC Kevin Stefanski said Thursday that RB Nick Chubb (COVID) is "trending in the right direction." Perhaps that means Chubb has returned his 1st negative COVID test and just needs the 2nd. We're still assuming he'll be cleared for Sunday's game vs. the Lions, but stay tuned to Shark Bites for updates on the situation.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

Browns RB Nick Chubb remains on the COVID list. RB John Kelly was removed from the list on Thursday morning, but Chubb and RB Demetric Felton were not. Chubb still has a few days to be cleared for Sunday's game vs. the Lions, but he's not a lock to be available for that one. D'Ernest Johnson would be a RB1 if Chubb remains out.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

Browns RBs Nick Chubb, Demetric Felton and John Kelly will miss this weekend's game vs. the Patriots on the COVID list, HC Kevin Stefanski said Friday. We'd expect Chubb back for Week 11 but will continue to keep tabs on his status. It'll be D'Ernest Johnson and Brian Hill, who was signed earlier this week, in Cleveland's backfield on Sunday. Johnson should handle the vast majority of the RB touches against New England's middling run defense. Johnson, of course, ran for 146 yards and a score on 22 carries vs. the Broncos back in Week 7.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

Browns RBs Nick Chubb and Demetric Felton tested positive for COVID, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Both guys are vaccinated, per Schefter, giving them a chance to be cleared in time for Sunday's game against the Patriots. We'll monitor the situation, but RB D'Ernest Johnson needs to be rostered in all fantasy leagues. He'd be a borderline RB1 if Chubb is out on Sunday.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

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