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Nick Chubb - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Nick Chubb


#6 Running Back

238 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 13
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 25
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 228
40 Time: 4.52

Weekly Outlook

Week 6 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
83 0.7 1.3 11 0.1 14.2
Week 5
It was just another day at the office for Chubb as he ran for 21-161-1. The 161 yards was a season high for Chubb and the 2nd 100-yard performance in a row. The only issue for Chubb is his lack of pass game usage. Chubb only saw 1 target that went for 9 yards on a day where Baker Mayfield went for 300 yards passing. Of course, the Browns have a top 3 rushing attack, which should continue to offer an extremely nice floor for him. However, with Kareem Hunt playing at a high level, Chubb can have a 100-yard rushing performance and finish outside the top 24 RBs on the week.
Heading into Week 6 the Browns will face a much tougher test on the ground vs. Arizona. The Cardinals held their own this season vs. Derrick Henry (17-58), but did allow big days to Dalvin Cook (22-131), James Robinson (15-88-1) and Darrell Henderson (14-89). Start Chubb with confidence in Week 6.
Week 4
It was just another day in the office for Chubb as the rushed for 100 yards on 4.8 YPC. The issue for Chubb’s fantasy owners was despite his big rushing day, he didn’t have a big day for fantasy. He finished as the RB27 on the week. This has everything to do with Chubb’s lack of pass game involvement as he finished 7th on the team in routes and only saw 1 target on the week. Chubb will have better days, but unless he finds the end zone it will be tough for him to be a consistent RB1 with his lack of pass game usage.
This week we should expect the Browns to lean on the run once again vs. a true run funnel defense in the Chargers. The Chargers this season have allowed 3 RBs to get over 90 yards, including a 100-yard performance for Clyde Edwards-Helaire for just the 3rd time in his career. Start Chubb with confidence in Week 5.
Week 2
Death by a thousand cuts is the best way to describe the Browns run game as it is only a matter of time until Chubb finds the end zone or breaks off a huge run. This was the case once again in week 2 as Chubb broke off a huge 26-yard TD run in the 4th quarter to seal the victory for the Browns. An encouraging sign for Chubb’s fantasy value was his usage in the pass game. This week Chubb ran 18 routes — only 4 behind the team lead and 9 more than Kareem Hunt.
Heading into week 3 Chubb is an auto start but he will see his toughest test of the season vs. Chicago. The Bears rank 11th according to Football Outsiders DVOA vs. the run while his first two opponents (Texans and Chiefs) are bottom two in that metric.
Week 1
Chubb carried the ball 15 times for 83 yards and 2 TDs in Week 1’s loss to the Chiefs, while adding 2 catches on 2 targets for an additional 18 yards.
Chubb looked excellent rushing the football as he averaged 5.5 yards per rush and had 9 more carries than Kareem Hunt. Chubb had a great game besides his costly fumble in the 2nd half, which allowed the Chiefs to go down and cut the deficit to 22-20.
Chubb is an every week RB1 and has a dreamy matchup in Week 2 as 12.5-point home favorites against the Texans.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Chubb posted another impressive season in 2020 (190-1,067-12). He finished as the RB7 in PPR points per game.
  • Chubb missed his first career games due to injury, though. He went down in Week 4 with an MCL sprain. He returned for Week 10.
  • He ranked as a top-5 RB across formats from Week 10 on. Clearly, he overcame the injury.
  • Chubb ran behind Pro Football Focus’ #1 ranked run-blocking O-line. But he was a beast with 4.0 yards after contact per attempt and easily the league’s best PFF Elusive Rating (130.0). He broke 66 tackles on only 206 touches.
  • The Georgia product remained explosive with 40.2% of his carries gaining 15+ yards. Only J.K. Dobbins posted a higher rate among 47 RBs with 100+ attempts.
  • Kareem Hunt stayed healthy for 16 games. In Chubb’s 11 full regular season games with Hunt, he out-touched the former Chief 200-150.
  • The issue was in the passing game, where Chubb caught only 16 balls all season. That followed a 36-catch 2019. Hunt totaled 38 receptions and out-targeted Chubb 51-18.
  • Hunt returns for 2021, a contract-year for Chubb. The Browns also return the same QB (Baker Mayfield), O-line, HC (Kevin Stefanski) and OC (Alex Van Pelt).
  • The Browns will get back Odell Beckham, who missed Week 8 on with an ACL tear. Chubb posted 5.7 YPC in three 2020 games (BAL, CIN, WAS) with Beckham.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Chubb overcame his first noteworthy injury as a pro to finish as a top-10 RB (PPG) for the 2nd straight season. Whether you’re considering advanced metrics, raw stats or the eye test, Chubb’s more than proven as a top-tier NFL back.

He’s simply not the complete one we look for in fantasy, as Kareem Hunt’s return all but ensures another underwhelming season for Chubb as a receiver. Given that, the 25-year-old isn’t a top-15 priority.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Browns have ruled RB Nick Chubb out for Sunday's game against the Cardinals because of a calf injury. His absence obviously leaves room for Kareem Hunt to lead the backfield and hit the week as a RB1 across fantasy football formats. Demetric Felton will be involved as well, but he has been more receiver than RB so far, tallying 7 targets vs. 0 rushing attempts over the first 5 games. RB D'Ernest Johnson has logged 0 offensive snaps the past 2 weeks and in 3 of 5 games this year, but he'll likely be involved as well.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

Browns RBs Nick Chubb (calf) and Kareem Hunt (knee, wrist) missed their 2nd straight practices on Thursday. This looks like a case of the Browns getting their 2 RBs some mid-week rest, but check back tomorrow for another update on the situation.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

The Browns and RB Nick Chubb have agreed “in principle” to a 3-year extension worth $36.6 million, with $20 million guaranteed, according to ESPN’s Adam Schefter. The average money falls right in line with other recent RB extensions and shows we can expect Chubb to remain at the center of Cleveland’s offense for at least the next couple of seasons.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

Browns RB Nick Chubb (knee) is officially active for today’s game against the Texans. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport said that morning that Chubb will handle the bulk of the backfield work today. Get him back into fantasy lineups.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

Browns RB Nick Chubb (knee) has been activated from IR and will return for Sunday's game vs. the Texans. Over the first 3 games of the season, Chubb averaged 17 carries and 1 target to Kareem Hunt's 13 carries and 3.7 targets. We're expecting a similar touch distribution tomorrow.

View all Nick Chubb Shark Bites »

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