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Quentin Johnston - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsQuentin Johnston's Basic Stats

Quentin Johnston
ADP: N/A
Bye: 5
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 22.2
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 215

Quentin Johnston's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2 21.3 0.2 3.3
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.5 29.7 0.2 4

Quentin Johnston's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#78 Wide Receiver

64.5 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 40 475 3.5 1.2 2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsQuentin Johnston's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

The 21st overall pick of this year’s draft, Johnston brings an impressive combination of size, downfield ability, and after-the-catch skills to the Chargers.

He joins a WR corps topped by Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. But Johnston has a good shot to claim the #3 WR job right out of the gate.

And, in what should remain a pass-heavy offense under new OC Kellen Moore, that could be enough to make the rookie a 2023 fantasy asset.

Consider him an upside bench stash in redraft leagues and a spike-week WR5 in best ball.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Johnston is coming off a 60-1,069-6 line in his junior season at TCU. He accounted for 31% of the Horned Frogs’ receiving yards and 22% of the receiving scores.
  • Johnston led his team in receiving yards (487) as a true freshman in 2020 and then led in receiving yards (634) and TDs (6) in 2021, despite missing three of 12 games.
  • He left school with a huge 19.0 career yards-per-catch average.
  • Johnston is a weapon on deep balls, totaling 23 catches 20+ yards downfield for 959 yards and 11 TDs over the past three seasons. He ranked 37th among 284 qualifiers in Pro Football Focus’ deep receiving grades last year.
  • Johnston is at his best after the catch, with an impressive combination of power, agility and speed. He averaged 8.3 yards after the catch for his college career.
  • At 6’3 and 208 pounds, Johnston recorded a 93rd percentile vertical jump (40.5”) and 97th percentile broad jump (134”) at the Combine. He clocked a 40 time in the 4.5 to 4.55-second range at his Pro Day. Johnston registered an 87th percentile Relative Athletic Score.
  • The main knock against Johnston is that he plays small at the catch point, converting just 42.7% of his contested opportunities over three college seasons, according to PFF.
  • The Chargers selected Johnston with the 21st overall pick of this spring’s draft. He was the second WR off the board – one spot behind Jaxon Smith-Njgba and just ahead of Zay Flowers and Jordan Addison.

What to Expect in 2023
  • Johnston faces stiff target competition in Los Angeles. Keenan Allen is coming off his sixth straight season of 6+ catches and 70+ yards per game. Mike Williams has averaged 5.0 catches, 74.9 yards and 0.5 TDs across 27 healthy games over the past two seasons. And Josh Palmer caught 72 balls for 769 yards last year.
  • Don’t expect Johnston to out-target Allen or Williams this year. But he’s certainly capable of passing up Palmer, a 2021 third-rounder who ranked just 57th among 80 qualifying WRs in Pro Football Focus’ 2022 receiving grades.
  • The Chargers have finished top 6 in pass attempts and yards in all 3 seasons with QB Justin Herbert.
  • They made an OC change this offseason, replacing Joe Lombardi with Kellen Moore. But this should remain a pass-heavy offense. Three of Moore’s four Cowboys offenses ranked top 10 in both pass attempts and yards.
  • Ten WRs were selected between pick 16 and 26 over the previous five drafts. Here’s where they ranked in PPR points per game as rookies:
    • Calvin Ridley: 27th
    • D.J. Moore: 56th
    • Marquise Brown: 55th
    • Justin Jefferson: 10th
    • Brandon Aiyuk: 19th
    • CeeDee Lamb: 35th
    • Jalen Reagor: 100th
    • Kadarius Toney: 65th
    • Jahan Dotson: 44th
    • Treylon Burks: 70th

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Jalen Guyton, WR LAC

7:56am EST 11/26/23

Jalen Guyton expected to play Week 12

Chargers WR Jalen Guyton (groin) is "likely" to play vs. the Ravens tonight, "barring any pre-game setbacks," according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Guyton was limited in practice all week after the Packers loss. The last time we saw Guyton in Week 10, he played 79% of the Chargers' offensive snaps and ranked third on the team with six targets. Guyton figures to step back into a prominent role as long as that groin isn't an issue, but he'd be a desperation season-long fantasy play. Guyton's return is a ding to WR Quentin Johnston's fantasy value.

View all Jalen Guyton Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Jalen Guyton (groin) got in a limited practice on Wednesday. He hurt his groin last Friday and then missed the Packers game. But Guyton seemingly has a shot to return for Sunday night's game vs. the Ravens. His return would be a knock against WR Quentin Johnston -- but hopefully you weren't considering the struggling rookie anyway.

View all Jalen Guyton Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Quentin Johnston drew 6 targets in Sunday's loss to the Packers, tying for second on the team. But he caught just two passes for 21 yards against a Green Bay defense missing multiple secondary starters. The rookie could have turned the whole thing around late but dropped what would have been a 70-yard catch-and-run TD, after he had gotten behind ceoverage. Johnston still has just one game all year in which he has reached 50 yards and no game with more. Sunday's performance came with WR Jalen Guyton and TE Gerald Everett out. He's not worth starting in most fantasy formats, regardless of matchup. We're not giving up on Johnston in dynasty yet, but he's enduring a worrisome debut on that front as well.

View all Quentin Johnston Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Jalen Guyton (groin) will not play vs. the Packers today, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero. Guyton hurt his groin in Friday's practice and might be out beyond Week 11. He had emerged as a full-time player with WRs Mike Williams and Josh Palmer out, playing 79% of the Chargers' offensive snaps and drawing six targets last week. Guyton's absence today leaves WRs Derius Davis and Simi Fehoko behind top two WRs Keenan Allen and Quentin Johnston. Neither Davis nor Fehoko is a realistic fantasy play. It's another big opportunity for Johnston today.

View all Jalen Guyton Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Quentin Johnston scored his first career TD in the Week 10 win over the Lions, breaking wide open on a well-designed play-action fake from one yard out. That was the only real highlight of his outing, though. Johnston finished with four catches for 34 yards in a game when QB Justin Herbert chucked for 323 yards. Johnston's four targets tied for fourth on the team and were just 10% of the total. He also drew a 15-yard pass interference penalty but dropped what could have been an 86-yard TD on the play. Johnston continues to run a lot of low-percentage routes and simply isn't creating much separation. He's at least a full-time player right now with WR Josh Palmer out. That keeps Johnston in play as a WR4. But he does not look like a player on the cusp of a breakout.

View all Quentin Johnston Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Quentin Johnston, WR LAC
Dynasty MVP 57.3
Position Rank #143 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
171
291
566
Dynasty Write-up
Johnston projects as a big-play guy in the NFL, both after the catch but also on deep balls. There are shades of the late Demaryius Thomas to his game. Johnston landed in a perfect long-term spot with QB Justin Herbert.
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