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Robert Tonyan - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Robert Tonyan
GB

TE GB

#13 Tight End

98 Projected Points

ADP: 11.11
Bye: 13
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 27
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 237
40 Time: 4.58

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#13 Tight End

98 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
11.11 56 620 6 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

81.3

DS Projection

98

Consensus

38 other sites
0

Med Ceiling

119.6

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Tonyan tied Travis Kelce for the league lead in TD catches among TEs last season.
  • He also ranked just 24th at the position in targets and caught an absurd 88.1% of them. And Tonyan scored on 21.2% of his receptions. Regardless of who plays QB in Green Bay, each of those rates will almost definitely come down.
  • Among 55 TEs who saw 20+ targets, Tonyan ranked 20th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade. He checked in 12th among that group in yards per route run.
  • He ranked 18th among TEs in average depth of target (8.45) and 12th in end-zone targets -- a particularly surprising number given Tonyan’s TD bubble.
  • Tonyan finished 3rd among PPR TEs in 2020 but 102 points behind #2 Darren Waller. If we count another 102 down from Tonyan, we land between TE33 Zach Ertz and TE34 Jordan Reed.
  • His 11.8 PPR points per game ranked 5th at the position. That number would have ranked:
    • 11th in 2019
    • 7th in 2018
    • 4th in 2017
    • 12th in 2016
    • 9th in 2015
  • So although he finished just behind historically good fantasy TE numbers, even Tonyan’s otherworldly TD rate couldn’t get him to even the average level for TE3 finishers.
  • Green Bay retained Tonyan on a restricted free-agent tender and added no significant competition to the position. The NFL has suspended third-year TE Jace Sternberger for the 1st 2 games of 2021 for violating the substance-abuse policy.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Tonyan got very lucky in the TD department last year and also isn’t likely to repeat his astronomical catch rate (88.1%). Even if Aaron Rodgers returns, this guy is due for a dip in fantasy production.


The good news if you’re hoping to draft Tonyan: Everyone knows it. He’s going just 13th among TEs in current FFPC drafting. Even that sits him a couple of spots higher than our PPR ranking, but it’s an acceptable range for considering Tonyan. He’ll be heading into just his 2nd year as a starter (albeit at age 27).

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Packers have tendered TE Robert Tonyan at the 2nd-round level, according to Tom Silverstein of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. That means if another team signs the restricted free agent to an offer sheet, Green Bay could match the offer or get a 2nd-round pick from the new team as compensation. We'll see whether any team likes Tonyan enough to go after him.

View all Robert Tonyan Shark Bites »

Packers TE Robert Tonyan (ankle) is active for today’s game against the Jaguars. He was added to the injury report and limited on Thursday — then didn’t practice at all on Friday. Tonyan has both the ankle and the weather to worry about today. He’s a TD-or-bust fantasy play.

View all Robert Tonyan Shark Bites »

Packers TE Robert Tonyan (ankle) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Jaguars. He was added to the injury report and limited on Thursday — then didn’t practice at all on Friday. So it looks like Tonyan is in real danger of missing this one. His absence would make TE Jace Sternberger an intriguing flier.

View all Robert Tonyan Shark Bites »

Packers TE Robert Tonyan was added to Thursday's injury report as limited with an ankle. Tomorrow's practice report and final injury designation will tell us if we need to worry about Tonyan's status. He's turned into a TD-or-bust fantasy play with WR Davante Adams back and dominating targets.

View all Robert Tonyan Shark Bites »

Packers TE Robert Tonyan (ankle) is active for today’s game against the Texans. He only got in a limited practice on Friday, so don’t expect him to be at 100% today. That leaves Tonyan as a risk/reward TE1 in today’s plus matchup.

View all Robert Tonyan Shark Bites »

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