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Russell Wilson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsRussell Wilson's Basic Stats

Russell Wilson
Bye: 9
Experience: 10 Yr(s)
Age: 34.2
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.55
SPARQx (Rank): 109.90 (93%)
Burst Score (Rank): 118.50 (82%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.06 (88%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 56.00 (61%)

Russell Wilson's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Russell Wilson's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#7 Quarterback

334.3 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 374/571 4510.9 30.1 10.3 68 306 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsRussell Wilson's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:
  • After spending the first 10 years of his career in Seattle, Wilson was traded to Denver in March along with a 4th-round pick in exchange for QB Drew Lock, TE Noah Fant, DL Shelby Harris, 2 first-round picks, 2 second-round picks and a 5th-round pick.
  • Wilson’s 2021 campaign was interrupted by a right middle finger injury suffered in October that required surgery and forced him to miss 3 games.
  • Those were the first games Wilson missed as a pro.
  • Wilson struggled in the 9 games after returning from that throwing-finger injury:
    • 61.5% completion rate
    • 7.0 yards per attempt
    • A 56.8 Pro Football Focus passing grade that ranked 26th among 35 qualifiers
  • He was much better in 4.5 games before the injury:
    • 72.0% completion rate
    • 9.6 yards per attempt
    • An 89.5 PFF passing grade – 2nd among 34 qualifiers
  • Wilson topped an 86.0 PFF passing grade in each of the 3 seasons prior to last year, finishing 8th, 2nd and 6th league-wide.
  • Wilson ranked 13th among QBs in fantasy points per game last season.
  • He’s finished as a top-13 fantasy QB in 9 of his 10 seasons, including 5 top-8 finishes and 3 top-5s.
  • Wilson set career lows with 3.1 carries and 13.1 rushing yards per game last year.
    • The finger injury didn’t impact those numbers much. He averaged 3.4 carries and 13.6 yards pre-injury; 2.9 carries and 12.8 yards post-injury.
  • Wilson turns 34 in November.
  • His weaponry in Denver might not be as strong at the top as he had in Seattle, but it’s deeper. WRs Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick are a strong trio; WR K.J. Hamler is a big-play threat once recovered from last September's knee and hip injuries; TEs Albert Okwuegbunam and Greg Dulcich boast pass-catching upside; and RBs Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon are weapons in the passing game.
  • Wilson also gets an offensive line upgrade in Denver. The Broncos ranked 9th in Pro Football Focus’ 2021 pass-blocking grades. (Seattle was down at 26th.)
  • The Broncos re-made their coaching staff this offseason, hiring HC Nathaniel Hackett and OC Justin Outten from Green Bay.
    • It’s Hackett’s first crack at a HC gig. He has 8 years of NFL OC experience: 2013-2014 with the Bills, 2016-2018 with the Jaguars and 2019-2021 with the Packers.
      • Hackett’s Bills and Jaguars offenses – piloted by E.J. Manuel, Kyle Orton and Blake Bortles – were run leaning. But Hackett went pass heavier when he hooked up with Aaron Rodgers. The Packers ranked 7th, 9th and 11th in situation-neutral pass rate the last 3 seasons.
    • Outten worked as Green Bay’s TEs coach the past 3 years. Prior to that, he spent 3 seasons in Atlanta, working under OCs Kyle Shanahan and Steve Sarkisian.
  • We’re projecting the Broncos to be a balanced to pass-leaning offense this year. That’d be a significant shift for Wilson, who played in mostly run-first attacks in Seattle. He topped 32.3 pass attempts per game in only 3 of his 10 seasons with the Seahawks. For perspective, 20 QBs averaged more than 32.3 attempts per game last year.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We’re chalking up Wilson’s relatively disappointing 2021 season to the right finger injury he suffered midway through the year. He was good both statistically and in Pro Football Focus grades before that injury and had shown no signs of decline the few years prior.

Wilson has a new offense to learn and new receivers to build chemistry with after the big trade to Denver. But he has a deep group of weapons and might find himself in the pass-heaviest offense of his career.

Wilson, now 33, doesn’t boast the rushing upside he once did. That caps his fantasy upside a bit. But we still like him as a rock-solid QB1 with a chance to finish among the top 8 at his position.

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Denver Broncos, TQB DEN

4:17pm EST 1/31/23

Broncos getting Payton

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that the Broncos and Saints are "finalizing compensation" that would allow Sean Payton to become Denver's HC. The big potential winner here, fantasy wise, is QB Russell Wilson. He'll come off easily the worst performance of his career to work with the HC that helped Drew Brees become Drew Brees in New Orleans. Of course, Brees was just 27 in his 1st season with New Orleans, after the Chargers allowed his rookie contract to expire and Brees to hit the open market. Russell Wilson just completed his age-34 season. Plenty of surrounding talent should remain, with WRs Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy still under contract, TE Greg Dulcich entering Year 2, and WR Tim Patrick and RB Javonte returning from knee injuries. Among his 15 years as Saints HC, Payton had 13 consecutive offenses rank among the top 10 in total yards. His teams also finished top-10 in points 12 times.

Update: Schefter reports that Denver is sending its 2023 first-rounder and 2024 second-rounder to the Saints for the rights to Payton and New Orleans' 2024 third-rounder.

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Broncos QB Russell Wilson scored twice on the ground in Sunday's 3-point loss to the Chiefs. He totaled 27 rushing yards on 4 carries, including the TDs from 16 and 4 yards out. Wilson added 222 yards and a TD (plus an INT) passing, finding TE Albert Okwuegbunam for a 25-yard score. WR Jerry Jeudy led the team in targets (8) and catches (7) but collected just 38 yards. WR Courtland Sutton followed with a 4-44 receiving line on 6 looks. Denver closes out vs. the Chargers at home in Week 18.

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The Broncos have fired HC Nathaniel Hackett, NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports. So Hackett doesn't even make it a full season in Denver. His tenure was a disaster from the start and ends with an embarrassing 51-14 loss to the Rams on Christmas. We'll see who the Broncos tab as their interim HC, but we doubt the move has much of a fantasy impact over the final 2 weeks of the season.

Update: Senior assistant coach Jerry Rosburg has been named Denver's interim HC, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. The 67-year-old has spent much of the last 2 decades as a special teams coordinator and has no head-coaching experience at any level.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Russell Wilson, QB DEN
Dynasty MVP 209.6
Position Rank #31 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
Wilson signed a contract with $161 million in total guarantees…then put together the worst season of his career. By far. Firing HC Nathaniel Hackett (in December) was the right move. Now, it’s up to Denver’s braintrust to find the best possible match for Wilson, who’s now 34. WRs Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy at least remain under contract for 2023. And Greg Dulcich looks like a hit at TE.

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