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Ryan Tannehill - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Ryan Tannehill
TEN

QB TEN

#12 Quarterback

370 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 13
Experience: 9 Yr(s)
Age: 33
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 222
40 Time: 4.65

Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 14
It was an underwhelming performance for Tannehill on Sunday. He completed 20 of 31 passes for 191 yards. The good news is Tannehill avoided throwing an INT after throwing 5 in the 2 games prior. He had thrown an INT in 6 of the last 7 games prior to Sunday. He added to day, however, gaining 29 yards and a TD on his 4 carries. This was the 3rd time in 5 games where he added a rushing TD.

It's been a rough season for Tannehill, who has been without key weapons in one form or another for the vast majority of the season. Without Derrick Henry, AJ Brown and/or Julio Jones, it's hard for Tannehill to be productive. In fact, outside of 2 games this season Tannehill has thrown for 1 or fewer TDs. This all points to a QB who is not worth your time the rest of the way.
Week 12
Down both starting WRs and Derick Henry vs. one of the top defenses in football, Tannehill played as poorly as you could image. Tannehill threw for under 100 yards while only completing 52% of his passes with 1 TD on the day. Even with the injuries to his skill position players it was a disappointing outing for someone we thought was going to be able to elevate the talent around him.
After the Week 12 bye, the Titans take on the Jaguars. That matchup should be much easier for Tannehill, but he still won’t be a viable option for fantasy as neither Julio Jones nor A.J. Brown will be able to return. This means Tannehill can be dropped in any single QB leagues if you need to add a handcuff or depth to your roster.
Week 11
Tannehill had his worst game of the season on Sunday, despite throwing the ball a season-high 52 times. He produced 323 yards and 1 TD. Tannehill had issues with turnovers against Houston, throwing 4 INTs and fumbling the ball twice. The fumbles ultimately didn’t cost him as the Titans recovered both.

After coming into the season with optimism, especially with the addition of Julio Jones, things have gone poorly for the Titans QB. He has more games with multiple INTs than TDs. He has 3 multiple INT games to just 2 games with 2 or more TD throws. The 5 rushing TDs have helped salvage a season that could have been much worse.

Going forward, it's hard to trust Tannehill in almost any format. A.J. Brown continues to get banged up, leaving this game multiple times due to injuries to his hand and chest. With injuries to his top 2 WRs and stud RB Derrick Henry, there is little room for optimism for the Titans QB.
Week 10
It was a fine Sunday for Tannehill, who completed 19 of 27 passes for 213 yards and a TD passing. With Tennessee up for the majority of this game, there was little reason to push the ball. Thankfully his rushing floor helped to boost his production, rushing for 1 yard and more importantly a TD on his 5 carries. This was his 2nd straight game and 4th in his last 5 games where he scored a rushing TD.

With Derrick Henry's absence, Tannehill hasn’t seen the passing boost some thought could be coming. A lack of pass catchers opposite AJ Brown certainly isn't doing Tannehill any favors.

While Tannehill certainly won’t carry any fantasy team, he can be a reliable option that provides a safe enough floor with his rushing potential. Stream him if you are in a pinch but keep expectations measured.
Week 9
It wasn’t an awfully pretty night for Tannehill or his fantasy managers. Luckily the Titans’ defense dominated and gave the offense great field position several times.

Tannehill was picked off by Jalen Ramsey attempting to find A.J. Brown in the 1st quarter. He did complete a 2-yard TD to Geoff Swaim off a Rams turnover early in the 2nd quarter.

Tannehill added a goal-line TD run off the right end on 4th down late in the 2nd quarter. The rushing TD salvaged a decent night for fantasy managers as Tannehill finished 19-of-27 passing for 143 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT.

Tannehill has now thrown at least 1 INT in 4 straight games. We have him ranked 15th this week against a Saints secondary that has given up over 700 yards passing and 6 passing TDs over their last two games.
Week 8
Tannehill completed 23 of 33 passes for 265 yards, 3 TDs and 2 INTs in the Titans' Week 8 overtime win over the Colts, adding 2 rushes for 26 additional yards.
Tannehill and the Titans got off to a horrible start as they fell behind 14-0 after an opening drive INT. Tannehill threw a 2nd INT when the score was 14-7, but the Colts player who picked him off injured his knee on a non-contact play and the Titans were able to jump on the fumble.
The next play after that, Tannehill threw an out to A.J. Brown, who broke 1 tackle from Xavier Rhodes and sprinted down the sideline for a 57-yard TD to tie the game at 14.
Tannehill will be asked to do more down the stretch as Derrick Henry is expected to miss the rest of the season with a foot injury.
Tannehill is a solid QB2 with QB1 upside but has a difficult matchup in Week 9 on the road against the Rams.
Week 7
Tannehill completed 21 of 27 passes for 270 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT in the Titans' Week 7 win over the Chiefs, adding a 2-yard rushing TD.
Tannehill and the Titans got off to a hot start as they led the Chiefs 27-0 at the half and didn’t need to score at all in the 2nd half.
Tannehill threw his TD pass to A.J. Brown on a 3rd and 7 play that gave the Titans a 14-0 lead in the first quarter. He then added a rushing TD later in the half as the Chiefs defense was clearly selling out to stop Derrick Henry.
Tannehill could have had a much bigger game, but the Chiefs could not keep up as they were held to a measly 3 points.
Tannehill will be a borderline QB1 in Week 8’s matchup against the Colts.
Week 6
It wasn’t the most impressive game for Tannehill, but the Titans were able to pull off an impressive win over the Bills. He was intercepted looking for Julio Jones on a deep ball late in the 1st quarter. However, he bounced back with a 4-yard rushing TD in the 2nd quarter. The offense had another massive performance from Derrick Henry and Tannehill wasn’t needed much in the 1st half. The passing game was instrumental in the 2nd-half comeback, Tannehill found A.J. Brown 7 times in the second half for over 90 yards. He finished the game 18 of 29 for 216 yards, 0 passing TDs and 1 INT. He added 2 carries for 3 yards and 1 rushing TD.
The Titans offense has been able to rely on Derrick Henry and the run game so far this season and this has had an impact on Tannehill’s numbers. He has been held to fewer than 220 passing yards in 3 of the last 4 games. He is our QB8 this week against a Chiefs defense that has given up 11 passing TDs on the season and have given up 280 passing yards in 4 of 6 games thus far. The next three games on the schedule for the Titans are KC, @IND, and @LAR. It could be tough sledding for the Titans passing game dealing with tough matchups and a nagging hamstring issue for Julio Jones. We have Tannehill ranked at QB15 the rest of the way.
Week 5
Tannehill completed 14 of 22 passes for 197 yards and 1 TD in the Titans' Week 5 win over the Jaguars. He added 21 yards rushing on 3 carries on the ground.
The Titans didn’t ask much from Tannehill as they rode Derrick Henry for 29 carries and 2 of their TDs, with the other TD going to the defense on the first drive of the game.
In Week 6 the Titans are 5.5-point home underdogs to the Bills, who have given up the fewest points per game in the NFL. Tannehill will certainly be asked to do more in this game, but it remains to be seen if Julio Jones will return from his hamstring injury.
Week 4
When evaluating Tannehill’s Week 4, we have to take into context that he was down his two best playmakers in Julio Jones and A.J. Brown. Then we need to factor in how well the Jets D has played vs. QBs this season. Believe it or not, the Jets have allowed the 4th fewest points to the position so far in 2021. Now factoring all that in Tannehill’s 298 passing yards were extremely impressive. Even though the effort was in a loss, Tannehill found his grove in the 4th quarter, including a passing TD to Cameron Batson.
This week Tannehill looks to build on the 4th quarter success as he gets his best matchup yet vs. the Jaguars. The Jaguars have allowed the 3rd most passing yards this season, including allowing at least 291 pass yards in all four games. It will be important to track the progress of Julio Jones and A.J. Brown this week, but if they are available Tannehill would be back on the QB1 map.
Week 3
Tannehill’s 18-of-27 passing for 197 yards fell in line with other meh passing lines in recent meetings with the Colts. A pair of INTs didn’t help either ( though at least 1 was not his fault). But Tannehill checked in at QB10 for the week by virtue of his 3 passing scores and 56 yards rushing.

Despite losing A.J. Brown early in this one, Tannehill spread TDs around to WR Chester Rogers, WR Nick Westbrook-Ikhine and RB Jeremy McNichols. The scores for the Rogers and McNichols marked their only catches of the game, whereas Westbrook-Ikhine tied Julio Jones and TE Geoff Swaim for the team target lead. The QB spread the ball around in general, completing passes to 9 guys and sending 2+ targets to 8 teammates.

Tannehill gobbled up half of his rushing yardage on a 28-yard, 3rd-quarter scramble.

The Week 4 matchup with the Jets might be a little tricky. The Jets have allowed the 3rd-fewest QB fantasy points through 3 games, including a league-low 1 TD pass. But Football Outsiders also rates them just 16th in overall defensive DVOA and 18th against the pass.

Ultimately, the Jets are probably at least a little better on defense than most anticipated heading into the season, but it’s certainly not a matchup to be wary of with your fantasy QB.
Week 2
Tannehill found his stride in Week 2 after a slow opener, lighting up the Seahawks defense for 347 yards. However, it was a tough break for Tannehill fantasy owners as he only scored 1 TD on the ground. Tannehill did have a passing TD called back after the refs said WR Julio Jones stepped out of bounds. This led to Tannehill finishing outside the top 20 for QBs in Week 2. The silver lining for fantasy owners is Tannehill should have had a much bigger day as his receivers dropped a league-high 5 passes on the week.
Tannehill’s Week 3 matchup calls for a blow-up game vs. a Colts secondary that has allowed the 8th most points to the QB position through 2 weeks. The issue comes with whether Wentz will play to take advantage of the weak Titans defense. If Wentz is out, Tannehill might not need to do much, making him a risky start in Week 3.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Tannehill finished 8th or 9th among QBs in most fantasy scoring systems last season.
  • He scored at a QB1 level in 6 games -- tied with Matt Ryan for 12th most. His 5 outings of top-5 scoring were tied for 5th most.
  • Tannehill ranked just 18th in pass attempts (481) and 15th in yards (3,817). But his 33 passing scores were tied for 7th most.
  • He added 43 carries for 266 yards and 7 TDs. Those marks ranked 17th, 13th and 5th at the position.
  • Tannehill took over as Tennessee’s starter in Week 7 of 2019. He scored the 3rd most total fantasy points and the 4th most per game among QBs the rest of the way.
  • He ranks 10th among QBs in fantasy points per game over the past 2 seasons.
  • Pro Football Focus ranked Tannehill 1st and 7th in passing grade those years.
  • The Titans lost WR Corey Davis, WR Adam Humphries and TE Jonnu Smith this offseason. Those guys accounted for 40% of the team’s targets, 41% of the catches, 43% of the receiving yards and 45% of the TDs last year.
  • They upgraded on Davis, swinging a trade for Julio Jones in June. Jones is 32 now and had his fair share of injury problems. But he’s remained dominant when on the field, ranking 4th and 5th, respectively, in yards per route run among WRs with 50+ targets over the past 2 seasons.
  • Tennessee also added some WR depth in free-agent Josh Reynolds and 4th-round rookie Dez Fitzpatrick.
  • Anthony Firkser, who caught 39 of 53 targets for 387 yards and 1 TD last year, is expected to replace Smith as the lead TE.
  • The Titans lost OC and play-caller Arthur Smith, who took Atlanta’s HC job. He’ll be replaced by Todd Downing. He spent the past 2 seasons as Tennessee’s TE coach, so the team is looking for continuity in scheme. But Downing has just 1 season of NFL OC experience. That came back in 2017 with the Raiders, who finished 17th in total yards and 23rd in points.
  • TD regression -- both passing and rushing -- is also a concern for Tannehill.
    • His 6.9% passing TD rate last year ranked 4th among 30 qualifying QBs. The league-wide passing TD rate over the past 3 seasons is 4.7%.
    • Tannehill scored on 7 of 43 carries last year -- a ridiculous 16.3% TD rate that’s a near lock to decrease. He scored on 3.4% of his carries over his first 7 NFL seasons.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Tannehill has scored as a low-end QB1 in Tennessee the past 2 seasons.

He’s gotten lucky in the TD department over that span and lost play-caller Arthur Smith, WR Corey Davis and TE Jonnu Smith this offseason.

But Tannehill has simply played very well since joining the Titans. And the weaponry looks just as strong this year with the arrival of Julio Jones to join stud WR A.J. Brown and underrated TE Anthony Firkser.

Add it all up and Tannehill again looks like a good bet for borderline QB1 numbers in 2021.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Titans HC Mike Vrabel commented on QB Ryan Tannehill during a Monday press conference. “We have to be great around him, but he’s shown signs of accuracy, of decision-making, to the ability to extend plays and scramble, and leadership,” Vrabel said via USA Today. “So, those are all things you look for in a quarterback, and Ryan showed us that. Unfortunately, we turned the ball over on Saturday.” The 33-year-old was put in a tough position this year, losing Derrick Henry around midseason and getting little from Julio Jones. Tannehill, however, tossed 14 INTs — his most since 2013. He carries a dead-cap hit of nearly $58 million for 2022, making him a lock to return for year 4 in Tennessee. He profiles as a mid-level QB2 in early 2022 fantasy football drafts.

View all Ryan Tannehill Shark Bites »

Titans LT Taylor Lewan suffered a leg injury in pregame warmups-ups and is inactive vs. Seattle

View all Ryan Tannehill Shark Bites »

Titans QB Ryan Tannehill has been activated from the COVID list. He should be good to go for next Sunday's opener vs. the Cardinals. RB Jeremy McNichols was also activated from the COVID list and will join Mekhi Sargent behind Derrick Henry on the depth chart.

View all Ryan Tannehill Shark Bites »

The Titans announced Thursday that QB Ryan Tannehill has landed on the COVID list. It's not yet clear whether he tested positive or was merely a close contact, so he'll miss anywhere from 5-10 days. Either timeframe should still have him back on the field ahead of the regular-season opener. We'll pass along any further updates on the situation.

View all Ryan Tannehill Shark Bites »

The Titans have promoted Todd Downing to OC. He replaces Arthur Smith, who took the HC job in Atlanta. Downing spent the past 2 seasons as Tennessee's TEs coach. His only NFL OC experience came back in 2017 with the Raiders, who finished that year 17th in total yards and 23rd in points. The more of Smith's offense Downing can keep in place, the better.

View all Ryan Tannehill Shark Bites »

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