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Ryan Tannehill - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsRyan Tannehill's Basic Stats

Ryan Tannehill
ADP: 13.10
Bye: 6
Experience: 10 Yr(s)
Age: 33.9
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 207
40 Time: 4.70

Ryan Tannehill's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#21 Quarterback

288.2 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
13.10 341.8/514 3829.3 25.7 11.3 51 255 3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsRyan Tannehill's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Tannehill finished as the QB13 last year. He posted only 5 QB1 weeks, though, with 1 coming in the finale at Houston.
  • Tannehill ranked 13th in pass attempts. His 31.2 passes per game marked an increase from 2020 (30.0).
  • His TD rate of 4% marked a low in Tennessee, while hs 2.6% INT rate marked his highest figure since 2018.
  • Julio Jones never panned out — he topped 70 yards only once. Jones missed 7 full games due to injury.
  • Derrick Henry missed ~half of the season with a foot injury.
  • Tennessee also lost former OC Arthur Smith to the Falcons last offseason. Todd Downing — back for another season as play-caller — always projected as a downgrade.
  • The Titans moved on from A.J. Brown over the spring. Clearly an elite talent, AJB saw ~8 targets per game across 13 appearances in ‘21.
  • Tennessee moved on from Jones and added Robert Woods in free agency. Treylon Burks arrived in Round 1 of the draft.
  • Woods is coming off a November ACL tear but should be fine for Week 1. He’ll supply a reliable target when healthy.
  • Burks brings plus size and actually drew some AJ Brown comps pre-draft. We don’t see him at that level, but his post-catch ability was clear on tape.
  • Henry’s on track to be 100% for Week 1. Any further durability issues could push this offense more toward the pass in ’22.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Tannehill dealt with a declining Julio Jones and absences from A.J. Brown and Derrick Henry last season.

Consequently, the veteran tossed his fewest TDs since 2018 and never became a reliable spot-starter. A second-straight season with 7 rushing TDs propped up a QB13 finish.

With Brown now in Philly, we’re not expecting a major rebound from Tannehill.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Malik Willis, QB TEN

11 hours ago

Willis unlikely to start games in '22?

ESPN’s Turron Davenport believes there’s a 75% chance that QB Malik Willis remains on the bench all season. Ryan Tannehill has started every game since taking over for Marcus Mariota in Week 6 of 2019. And despite some positive words on Willis this offseason, he’s still considered a project. Davenport actually guesses that the rookie’s first start won’t come until late in the 2023 season -- and that's only if Tennessee's been eliminated from the postseason. Of course, a lot can change between now and then. But for 2022, unless you’re playing in a deep superflex format, Willis should go undrafted in fantasy.

View all Malik Willis Shark Bites »

Titans QB Malik Willis "passed his first test" in rookie minicamp, Jim Wyatt of the team's official website writes. "I left the two-day camp impressed by Willis, from how he carries himself to his arm," Wyatt added. "For the second day in a row Willis was on the practice field way early. Before and during practices, I like the way he slaps hands with his teammates, encouraging them. He looks like a leader. And, he threw the ball well over the past two days despite throwing an interception on Saturday." Willis won't be a threat to take over as the starter this season unless QB Ryan Tannehill and the Titans really struggle. But Willis could be under center in 2023 and remains a nice dynasty stash.

View all Malik Willis Shark Bites »

The Titans stopped Liberty QB Malik Willis’ slide, taking him with the 86th pick of the 2022 NFL Draft. Willis began his college career at Auburn before transferring to Liberty and starting the past 2 years. Willis threw for 47 TDs vs. just 18 INTs over that span, but it’s the rushing that drives his fantasy outlook. Willis racked up 1,822 rushing yards over his 2 starting campaigns and profiles similar to Jalen Hurts. Willis will sit behind QB Ryan Tannehill this year, but Tannehill turns 34 in July and has a $36.6 million cap hit in 2023. Willis has a good chance to be Tennessee’s 2023 starter.

View all Malik Willis Shark Bites »

Titans HC Mike Vrabel commented on QB Ryan Tannehill during a Monday press conference. “We have to be great around him, but he’s shown signs of accuracy, of decision-making, to the ability to extend plays and scramble, and leadership,” Vrabel said via USA Today. “So, those are all things you look for in a quarterback, and Ryan showed us that. Unfortunately, we turned the ball over on Saturday.” The 33-year-old was put in a tough position this year, losing Derrick Henry around midseason and getting little from Julio Jones. Tannehill, however, tossed 14 INTs — his most since 2013. He carries a dead-cap hit of nearly $58 million for 2022, making him a lock to return for year 4 in Tennessee. He profiles as a mid-level QB2 in early 2022 fantasy football drafts.

View all Ryan Tannehill Shark Bites »

Titans RB Derrick Henry suffered a "potentially" season-ending foot injury in yesterday's win over the Colts, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. "Henry is undergoing an MRI today to determine the full extent of the damage," Schefter adds. We'll update Henry's status as soon as we know more, but this injury obviously has major fantasy implications. Tennessee only has RBs Jeremy McNichols and Dontrell Hilliard behind Henry on the depth chart right now. RB Mekhi Sargent is on the practice squad. None of those guys are fit to handle anywhere close to Henry's volume. The Titans could add a RB before Tuesday's trade deadline. But we'll likely see them shift significantly toward the pass for as long as Henry is sidelined. It's good news for QB Ryan Tannehill and WR A.J. Brown.

View all Derrick Henry Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Ryan Tannehill, QB TEN
Dynasty MVP 208.1
Position Rank #31 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
857
1,129
1,129
Dynasty Write-up
Tannehill’s finished as a top-13 fantasy QB in 2 straight seasons, but 14 rushing TDs have been the driving force. Due to his contract, Tannehill, 34 in July, is unlikely to remain in Tennessee beyond the 2023 season. Robert Woods' arrival at least supplies a small boost for this coming season.
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