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Cole Kmet - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsCole Kmet's Basic Stats

Cole Kmet
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23.8
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 262
40 Time: 4.70
Speed Score: 106.80
Burst Score (Rank): 126.30 (89%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.85 (19%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.07 (66%)

Cole Kmet's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Cole Kmet's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#30 Tight End

64.4 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 48.2 500.1 2.7 0.7 0.9

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsCole Kmet's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Kmet played all 17 games in 2021 after making 16 appearances as a rookie.
  • The Notre Dame standout finished as a top-12 TE in only 3 games, despite ranking 10th in routes run among TEs.
  • He was held back by 0 TDs, despite 93 targets and 612 yards. Bears WRs/TEs combined for only 15 TDs in a shaky passing game.
  • Kmet was fed 12 red zone targets, or 21.1% of Chicago’s team total. That ranked 1st on the team; T-6th among all TEs.
  • In 9 full games alongside Justin Fields, Kmet averaged just 5.5 targets, 3.4 catches and 36.6 yards (0 TDs) per game.
  • The 2022 Bears are setup to feature Kmet in a similar fashion. Darnell Mooney returns, but Allen Robinson departed over the offseason.
  • The replacement(s)? Byron Pringle, Equanimeous St. Brown and Round 3 rookie speedster Velus Jones.
  • Chicago lost 23 targets with the departure of Jimmy Graham. 8 of his looks came in the red zone, so positive TD regression is just about a lock for Kmet.
  • Only 23, Kmet will learn a new offense under HC Matt Eberflus and 1st-time play-caller Luke Getsy, formerly Green Bay’s QB coach.
  • There’s been plenty of buzz this offseason on Kmet’s ’22 role/opportunity. With only Ryan Griffin and James O’Shaughnessy added to the position, Kmet should play a full-time role.
  • Kmet will need a step forward from Justin Fields to safely finish inside TE1 range. Fields was inconsistent last year, ranking 21st in YPA, 27th in PFF passing grade and 33rd in adjusted completion rate among 33 QBs with 250+ dropbacks.
  • Bryan Perez of Bears Talk writes that "no Chicago Bears player is having a better start to training camp" than TE Cole Kmet.
  • OC Luke Getsy says they're moving the 3rd-year TE around the formation and that he's doing everything well, including running some routes from out wide.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

The case for Kmet is clear:

He’s a full-time starter in an offense lacking WR talent. QB Justin Fields supplies a high upside, and a new coaching staff looks like an upgrade on Matt Nagy.

The jury’s still out on whether or not Kmet is good enough to post a true breakout season. But with a June ADP at TE19, he’s a logical late-round target for the opportunity alone.

Adjust Cole Kmet's Projections

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Justin Fields, QB CHI

4:31pm EST 1/1/23

Fields runs for 132 but has stinky passing day

Bears QB Justin Fields ran for 132 yards on 10 carries in Sunday's lopsided loss at Detroit. It was his 3rd game of more than 100 rushing yards this season. Fields stunk as a passer, though, completing just 7 of his 21 attempts for 75 yards, 1 TD and an INT. His lone score went to TE Cole Kmet, 1 of just 4 Bears to catch any passes. Kmet led the team with 27 yards on 2 catches. Fields also took 7 sacks for the game and lost a fumble. He'll get another upside matchup in Week 18 against the Vikings but will be tougher to trust after 2 straight poor outings -- in real and fantasy football terms.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

Bears WR Chase Claypool (knee) is listed as doubtful for Week 16 vs. the Bills on Saturday. Teammate Equanimeous St. Brown (concussion) did not practice all week and has been ruled out for the contest. The only Bears pass-catcher worthy of fantasy consideration this week is TE Cole Kmet. That said, the weather conditions in Chicago likely will not be great, and the Bills' defense is the single-worst matchup for opposing TEs in adjusted fantasy points allowed. Keep all of this in mind as you set your lineups.

View all Chase Claypool Shark Bites »

Bears WR Chase Claypool (knee) is out for Sunday's game vs. the Eagles. We don't have any details on his injury, but Claypool didn't practice all week. With WR Darnell Mooney also out, Chicago is down to WRs Equanimeous St. Brown, Dante Pettis, Byron Pringle, N'Keal Harry and Velus Jones. TE Cole Kmet is the clear favorite to lead the Bears in targets this weekend.

View all Chase Claypool Shark Bites »

Bears TE Cole Kmet led the team in targets (7) and receptions (6), tallying 72 yards in Sunday's loss to the Packers, the 1st game since WR Darnell Mooney's season-ending injury. WR Chase Claypool caught 5 of 6 targets for 28 yards. WR Equanimeous St. Brown compiled a team-leading 85 receiving yards, thanks primarily to a 56-yard play among his 3 receptions (4 targets).

View all Cole Kmet Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Cole Kmet, TE CHI
Dynasty MVP 60.2
Position Rank #26 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
196
324
507
Dynasty Write-up
2022 turned up career highs in TDs and YPC for Kmet. Still, he remained volatile in a thin, low-volume pass offense led by QB Justin Fields. Turning 24 in March, Kmet is set to enter the final year of his rookie deal.
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