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Cole Kmet - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsCole Kmet's Basic Stats

Cole Kmet
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23.5
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 262
40 Time: 4.70
Speed Score: 106.80
Burst Score (Rank): 126.30 (89%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.85 (19%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.07 (66%)

Cole Kmet's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.2 23.2 0.2 3.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.4 26.2 0.3 4.4

Cole Kmet's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#23 Tight End

89.8 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 65.3 632.4 4.5 0.9 0.2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsCole Kmet's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Kmet played all 17 games in 2021 after making 16 appearances as a rookie.
  • The Notre Dame standout finished as a top-12 TE in only 3 games, despite ranking 10th in routes run among TEs.
  • He was held back by 0 TDs, despite 93 targets and 612 yards. Bears WRs/TEs combined for only 15 TDs in a shaky passing game.
  • Kmet was fed 12 red zone targets, or 21.1% of Chicago’s team total. That ranked 1st on the team; T-6th among all TEs.
  • In 9 full games alongside Justin Fields, Kmet averaged just 5.5 targets, 3.4 catches and 36.6 yards (0 TDs) per game.
  • The 2022 Bears are setup to feature Kmet in a similar fashion. Darnell Mooney returns, but Allen Robinson departed over the offseason.
  • The replacement(s)? Byron Pringle, Equanimeous St. Brown and Round 3 rookie speedster Velus Jones.
  • Chicago lost 23 targets with the departure of Jimmy Graham. 8 of his looks came in the red zone, so positive TD regression is just about a lock for Kmet.
  • Only 23, Kmet will learn a new offense under HC Matt Eberflus and 1st-time play-caller Luke Getsy, formerly Green Bay’s QB coach.
  • There’s been plenty of buzz this offseason on Kmet’s ’22 role/opportunity. With only Ryan Griffin and James O’Shaughnessy added to the position, Kmet should play a full-time role.
  • Kmet will need a step forward from Justin Fields to safely finish inside TE1 range. Fields was inconsistent last year, ranking 21st in YPA, 27th in PFF passing grade and 33rd in adjusted completion rate among 33 QBs with 250+ dropbacks.
  • Bryan Perez of Bears Talk writes that "no Chicago Bears player is having a better start to training camp" than TE Cole Kmet.
  • OC Luke Getsy says they're moving the 3rd-year TE around the formation and that he's doing everything well, including running some routes from out wide.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

The case for Kmet is clear:

He’s a full-time starter in an offense lacking WR talent. QB Justin Fields supplies a high upside, and a new coaching staff looks like an upgrade on Matt Nagy.

The jury’s still out on whether or not Kmet is good enough to post a true breakout season. But with a June ADP at TE19, he’s a logical late-round target for the opportunity alone.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Justin Fields, QB CHI

6:25am EDT 9/26/22

Bears passing game remains nearly nonexistent

Bears QB Justin Fields logged just 17 pass attempts in Sunday's 23-20 win over the Texans, completing 8 for 106 yards, 0 INTs and 2 INTs. Through 3 weeks, Chicago has 10 fewer pass attempts than any other team in the league, with the next lowest being a Giants offense that has yet to play in Week 3. WR Darnell Mooney (6 targets) and TE Cole Kmet (3) assumed their expected positions as Chicago's target leaders, but the shares won't matter until the Bears begrudgingly throw the ball more. Each guy caught just 2 balls vs. Houston.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

Bears TE Cole Kmet failed to record a catch in a Week 2 loss at Green Bay. His lone target was dropped. That means that through 2 weeks, the young TE has a grand total of 2 targets…for 0 yards. He’s also outside the top-30 TEs in routes run (31). In theory, opportunities should come in a thin Bears passing game that'll likely continue playing from behind. But we’d have to see some signs of life from Kmet before considering him anything close to a TE streamer. He gets Houston at home in Week 3.

View all Cole Kmet Shark Bites »

The rain was no joke in Chicago on Sunday, helping produce sub-50% completion rates for both the Bears and 49ers. QB Justin Fields attempted just 17 passes for the game, completing 8 for 121 yards and 2 TDs. Unfortunately for anyone who started WR Darnell Mooney or TE Cole Kmet, those scores went to WRs Dante Pettis and Equanimous St. Brown. RB David Montgomery led the team with 4 targets. Mooney tied for 2nd with just 3 looks, catching 1 for 8 yards. Kmet garnered just 1 target, which fell incomplete. Each guy did, at least, easily lead his position in Week 1 playing time. We're not altering our fantasy football outlooks for Mooney or Kmet based on the opener.

View all Darnell Mooney Shark Bites »

Chicago has been hit with heavy rains this morning. It looks like the worst of it will be gone by kickoff of 49ers-Bears, but there will be lingering showers -- and a wet field. The forecast also calls for 15-20 mph winds. Less than ideal scoring conditions, although this looked like a low-scoring game anyways. Expect lots of running from both teams.

View all Trey Lance Shark Bites »

The Athletic’s Adam Jahns considers Bears TE Cole Kmet the team’s #2 option in the passing game. No surprise there, but per Jahns, Kmet has earned the “trust” of Justin Fields and OC Luke Getsy. The young TE snagged 2 of 3 targets from Fields for 31 yards in Thursday night’s preseason game, carrying over what's been a strong training camp showing. There’s clear TE1 potential here.

View all Cole Kmet Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Cole Kmet, TE CHI
Dynasty MVP 76.1
Position Rank #15 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
276
454
454
Dynasty Write-up
2022 is a pivotal year for Kmet, who’s yet to post anything close to a breakout. A new coaching staff and a full year alongside Justin Fields supply some hope. Kmet is only 23.

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