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Cole Kmet - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsCole Kmet's Basic Stats

Cole Kmet
ADP: 13.1
Bye: 14
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23.3
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 262
40 Time: 4.70
Speed Score: 106.80
Burst Score (Rank): 126.30 (89%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.85 (19%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.07 (66%)

Cole Kmet's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#24 Tight End

89.8 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
13.1 65.3 632.4 4.5 0.9 0.2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsCole Kmet's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Kmet played all 17 games in 2021 after making 16 appearances as a rookie.
  • The Notre Dame standout finished as a top-12 TE in only 3 games, despite ranking 10th in routes run among TEs.
  • He was held back by 0 TDs, despite 93 targets and 612 yards. Bears WRs/TEs combined for only 15 TDs in a shaky passing game.
  • Kmet was fed 12 red zone targets, or 21.1% of Chicago’s team total. That ranked 1st on the team; T-6th among all TEs.
  • In 9 full games alongside Justin Fields, Kmet averaged just 5.5 targets, 3.4 catches and 36.6 yards (0 TDs) per game.
  • The 2022 Bears are setup to feature Kmet in a similar fashion. Darnell Mooney returns, but Allen Robinson departed over the offseason.
  • The replacement(s)? Byron Pringle, Equanimeous St. Brown and Round 3 rookie speedster Velus Jones.
  • Chicago lost 23 targets with the departure of Jimmy Graham. 8 of his looks came in the red zone, so positive TD regression is just about a lock for Kmet.
  • Only 23, Kmet will learn a new offense under HC Matt Eberflus and 1st-time play-caller Luke Getsy, formerly Green Bay’s QB coach.
  • There’s been plenty of buzz this offseason on Kmet’s ’22 role/opportunity. With only Ryan Griffin and James O’Shaughnessy added to the position, Kmet should play a full-time role.
  • Kmet will need a step forward from Justin Fields to safely finish inside TE1 range. Fields was inconsistent last year, ranking 21st in YPA, 27th in PFF passing grade and 33rd in adjusted completion rate among 33 QBs with 250+ dropbacks.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

The case for Kmet is clear:

He’s a full-time starter in an offense lacking WR talent. QB Justin Fields supplies a high upside, and a new coaching staff looks like an upgrade on Matt Nagy.

The jury’s still out on whether or not Kmet is good enough to post a true breakout season. But with a June ADP at TE19, he’s a logical late-round target for the opportunity alone.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cole Kmet, TE CHI

10:50am EDT 5/9/22

OC impressed with Kmet

Bears OC Luke Getsy spoke about his first impressions of TE Cole Kmet. “I’ve been very impressed with Cole,” Getsy said. “Again that mindset that we’re trying to set, he’s been a great example of that as well. And you go back to that thing we talked about before, just the ability, the flexibility as a player, I think he has all that stuff. So I’m excited to see him have a bunch of different roles in our offense. Some players that are out there they’re kind of like this is what they do well. But I think the more guys that you can get in a system that can do a bunch of different things, the more success you’re going to have and I think Cole is one of those guys.” Kmet played all 17 games last year, notching 60-612-0 on 93 targets. A favorable target outlook remains in year 3, and a TE1 finish is certainly within his range of outcomes.

View all Cole Kmet Shark Bites »

Jason Lieser of the Chicago Sun Times writes that TE Cole Kmet “simply hasn’t been a game-changer, so unless there’s clear evidence that suggests he’ll get there next season, that position goes on the [offseason] shopping list.” Indeed, 2022 is probably a make-or-break year for Kmet. Last season, he failed to find the end zone and ranked mid-pack in yards per catch and yards per target. We’ll see if Chicago adds a veteran or mid-round rookie. For now, consider Kmet no more than a TE2 in early best ball drafts.

View all Cole Kmet Shark Bites »

Bears WR Allen Robinson has been activated from the COVID list. He figures to siphon a few targets from WR Darnell Mooney and TE Cole Kmet this weekend, but A-Rob isn't a fantasy option vs. the Giants.

View all Allen Robinson Shark Bites »

Bears HC Matt Nagy said Friday that QB Nick Foles will start Sunday's game vs. the Seahawks. QB Andy Dalton (left hand, groin) is out for Week 16, while QB Justin Fields (ankle) was unable to practice on Thursday or Friday. Nagy said that Fields might be active on Sunday, but it'd be as Foles' backup. Foles made 7 starts for the Bears last season, averaging 238 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT on a 66% completion rate and 5.9 yards per attempt.

View all Nick Foles Shark Bites »

Bears WR Allen Robinson has been placed on the COVID list. He'll likely miss Monday night's game vs. the Vikings. Robinson, of course, has been a major disappointment this season and shouldn't have been in your Week 15 fantasy plans. His absence is a slight upgrade for WR Darnell Mooney and TE Cole Kmet.

View all Allen Robinson Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Cole Kmet, TE CHI
Dynasty MVP 84.1
Position Rank #14 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
2022 is a pivotal year for Kmet, who’s yet to post anything close to a breakout. A new coaching staff and a full year alongside Justin Fields supply some hope. Kmet is only 23.

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