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Cole Kmet - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Cole Kmet


#21 Tight End

77 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 10
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 262
40 Time: 4.70

Weekly Outlook

Week 19 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 14
Kmet tied for 3rd on the Bears with 5 targets but was unable to do much with his opportunities on Sunday Night Football against the Packers. Outside of Byrd and Grant, none of the Bears receiving playmakers were able to do much against a solid Pack defense. Kmet was contained all night and finished the game with 3 catches for 17 yards. Kmet is seeing opportunities lately, having received 23 targets over the Bears last 3 games. We have Kmet ranked as our TE14 this week against the Vikings. The Vikings defense has surrendered 3 TDs to opposing TE groups over their last 2 games. The next three games on the Bears schedule to wrap up the fantasy football playoffs include MIN, @SEA, and NYG.
Week 12
Kmet set career highs on Thanksgiving with 11 targets and 8 catches. He finished with 65 scoreless yards. Kmet didn’t do anything spectacular but was a reliable option for QB Andy Dalton.

Kmet saw just 2 targets in Week 11. Otherwise, he’s tallied 6+ targets in each of his other 4 most recent games. He’s caught 5+ balls in 3 of his last 5. He’s averaging just 9.8 yards per catch and is still looking for his 1st TD of the season, so he’s not an exciting fantasy play. But you could do worse as a floor option.
Week 8
Kmet was second on the team in targets this week for the Bears. He caught 3 of his 6 targets for 24 yards. Unfortunately, it was Jesse James who caught the TD in this game. Kmet did see 3 of his targets in red zone, which is hopefully an indication of things to come.

While the production has not come as of yet, the volume is there. Kmet has 5 or more targets in each of the last 3 games.

Kmet is an athletic move TE that can produce. If the Bears keep the volume heading his way, the potential for a strong finish is absolutely in the cards.
Week 7
Kmet was relatively busy as a short-range target on Sunday, with the Bucs defense getting immense pressure on QB Justin Fields. Kmet led Chicago with 6 targets, catching 5 for 43 scoreless yards.

The 6 targets were Kmet’s most since Week 1 -- although he saw 4 and 5, respectively, the previous 2 weeks. That’s enough to at least keep him on the fantasy radar. But Kmet is a low-ceiling fantasy play in this struggling Bears offense.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Kmet drew just 2.2% target share through the first 9 games as a rookie. That jumped to 15.2% over the final 8 contests, including the playoff loss at New Orleans.
  • The rookie beat Jimmy Graham by 17 targets over that latter span, after trailing him by 47 through the first 9 contests.
  • Kmet’s playing time stayed under 40% through 7 games. Then it reached 43% and 47% in consecutive outings and 70% just before the Week 11 bye. Kmet played 78%+ every game beyond the bye; 84% or more in each of his final 5 games.
  • He ranked just 49th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade, though, among 55 TEs who saw 20+ targets. Graham checked in 28th.
  • The Bears could have saved $7 million in cap space this offseason by releasing Graham, who heads into the final year of his contract and will turn 35 in November. As of this writing, at least, they have elected to keep him.
  • Graham’s presence likely hurts Kmet most in TD upside. According to PFF numbers, Kmet tied for 31st among TEs in total targets and 30th in red-zone targets. But he garnered just 1 end-zone target, which tied for 54th at the position. Graham, on the other hand, tied for 4th (11 targets).
  • Chicago went 6th most pass-heavy in the league last year, after finishing 2019 as the 11th most pass-heavy offense.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Kmet has some upside, which could increase if Jimmy Graham’s playing time dips further. His ceiling remains limited as long as Graham is around, though, because the veteran will always look most attractive near the end zone.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Bears TE Cole Kmet (groin) is not listed on the final injury report after putting in a full practice on Friday. So that groin shouldn’t be an issue against the Cardinals on Sunday. Kmet is a solid target bet with WRs Allen Robinson and Marquise Goodwin out.

View all Cole Kmet Shark Bites »

Bears TE Cole Kmet (groin) returned to a limited practice on Thursday. We're expecting Kmet to play vs. the Cardinals this weekend, but we'll get another update on his status tomorrow.

View all Cole Kmet Shark Bites »

Bears TE Cole Kmet (groin) did not practice on Wednesday. He don't have any other info on this groin issue. We'll see if Kmet gets back on the practice field tomorrow.

View all Cole Kmet Shark Bites »

Bears HC Matt Nagy said Wednesday that he anticipates TE Cole Kmet's role growing in 2021. His playing time spiked late in his rookie year, with Kmet registering a 70+% snap rate in each of final 8 games (including playoffs). But the production didn't follow. Kmet averaged just 5 targets, 3.1 catches and 22.5 yards per game over that stretch. There's plenty of room for those numbers to grow this year, especially in Chicago gets better QB play from Justin Fields and/or Andy Dalton.

View all Cole Kmet Shark Bites »

Bears TE Cole Kmet (shoulder) is active for today’s game against the Packers. The rookie was limited in the final 2 practices of the week, adding some risk to his Week 17 outlook.

View all Cole Kmet Shark Bites »

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