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Cooper Kupp - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsCooper Kupp's Basic Stats

Cooper Kupp
ADP: 4.7
Bye: 6
Experience: 7
Age: 31.0
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 208
40 Time: 4.62
Speed Score: 90.80

Burst Score (Rank): 110.70 (6%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.83 (91%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.99 (47%)

Cooper Kupp's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.6 68.4 0.46 9.9
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.6 78.9 0.6 11.8

Cooper Kupp's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#15 Wide Receiver

245.4 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
4.7 89.6 1094.4 7.36 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsCooper Kupp's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Kupp is a tricky evaluation heading into 2024. His volume and production remained solid when healthy last year, despite Puka Nacua’s breakout. Kupp drew a 26.4% target share and scored as WR20 in his healthy games.

But he missed four games and most of a fifth with injury and posted career lows in both yards per route run and Pro Football Focus receiving grade. Now 31, it’s certainly possible that Kupp’s decline continues in 2024.

He carries a wide range of outcomes, with a ceiling well into WR1 territory but a floor outside the top-25 WRs.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Kupp missed the first four games of last season after dealing with a lingering hamstring injury throughout August.
  • He was also knocked out early in Week 11 with an ankle injury and sat out a meaningless regular-season finale.
  • Kupp averaged 14.6 PPR points in his 11 healthy games. That would have ranked 20th among WRs for the season.
  • Kupp was a volatile weekly producer. He finished as a top-12 PPR WR in four of those 11 healthy games but ranked outside the top 30 six times.
  • If we include the playoff loss to the Lions, Kupp totaled 103 targets on a 25.9% share in 12 healthy games.
    • That just barely trailed Puka Nacua, who totaled 105 targets on a 26.4% share.
  • Kupp registered career lows last year in both yards per route run and Pro Football Focus receiving grade.
    • He ranked 32nd in yards per route and 41st in Pro Football Focus receiving grade among 80 qualifying WRs.
  • After catching 76.1% of his targets and averaging 9.5 yards per target across 2021 and 2022, Kupp sunk to a 62.1% catch rate and 7.8 yards per target last year.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Kupp returns to almost an identical situation this season.
    • HC Sean McVay and OC Mike LaFleur are back.
    • QB Matt Stafford is back.
    • The Rams return their top four WRs in Kupp, Nacua, Demarcus Robinson, and Tutu Atwell.
    • TE Tyler Higbee figures to miss the start of the season after tearing his right ACL and MCL in the Wild Card loss to the Lions. The Rams added TE Colby Parkinson on a three-year, $22.5 million free-agent deal.
  • The Rams have consistently ranked near the top of the league in total WR PPR points under McVay.
    • 2017 - 4th
    • 2018 - 4th
    • 2019 - 4th
    • 2020 - 12th
    • 2021 - 1st
    • 2022 - 16th
    • 2023 - 3rd
  • Kupp turned 31 in June. Our aging-curve data projects between 85-90% of peak production from a 31-year-old WR of Kupp’s caliber – down from 88-93% at age-30. Kupp’s decline risk feels elevated after those career lows in yards per route run and Pro Football Focus receiving grade last year.
  • Kupp has missed 23 games over his seven NFL seasons, including 13 over the last two. His injury history includes a torn ACL, three ankle injuries, and one concussion.
  • Our Injury Predictor gives Kupp a 53.8% chance of injury and projects him for 1.4 missed games this year.
  • Stafford is one of the biggest injury risks at his position. Our Injury Predictor gives him the second-highest chance of injury at QB (80.3%) and the third-most projected games missed (2.7).
  • The Rams at least added solid insurance this offseason in QB Jimmy Garoppolo.

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Demarcus Robinson, WR LAR

7:15am EST 2/24/24

Demarcus Robinson returns to L.A.

The Rams re-signed WR Demarcus Robinson to a one-dear, $5 million deal. He flashed in 2023 with 26-371-4 across only 8 games. He'll likely stick in the Rams' WR3 role behind Puka Nacua Cooper Kupp, supplying some late-round fantasy appeal.

View all Demarcus Robinson Shark Bites »

Per ESPN's Adam Schefter, Rams HC Sean McVay has ruled out RB Kyren Williams, WR Cooper Kupp, and DT Aaron Donald for Week 18's contest vs. the 49ers. Once the decision was made that backup QB Carson Wentz would be the Rams' starter on Sunday, it was reasonable to expect we'd see more of these big-name players sit out. Los Angeles gains nothing from playing all their starters in a game that doesn't alter their playoff hopes. This news leaves rookie WR Puka Nacua as the active playmaker of note for season-long managers who play into Week 18 -- although we are not expecting Nacua to play a full slate of snaps. Veteran Demarcus Robinson sits highest among Rams in the Week 18 WR Rankings.

View all Kyren Williams Shark Bites »

The Rams will start QB Carson Wentz in Sunday's game against the 49ers, according to NFL Network's Mike Garafolo. They'll be resting Matthew Stafford in a game they don't need for playoff positioning. That revelation likely confirms that WRs Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua and RB Kyren Williams will also sit. Beyond that, we'll see. We'd be surprised if Demarcus Robinson has elevated to the point of being rested in this game, but we'll be watching for specific reports ahead of Sunday's kick.

View all Carson Wentz Shark Bites »

Rams WR Cooper Kupp posted a throwback game in Week 14. Handling 10 targets, he racked up 8 catches, 115 yards, and 1 score. Kupp’s performance came on the road against a tough Ravens secondary – and in wet and windy conditions. Matt Stafford’s recent form suggests Kupp can continue rolling, assuming his health cooperates. He couldn't ask for a better Week 15 matchup with the Commanders coming to town.

View all Cooper Kupp Shark Bites »

The forecast for today's Rams-Ravens game calls for a 97% chance of rain with winds of 10-15 mph and gusts up to 30. Expect lots of running from both offenses in this one. The over/under has dropped from 45.0 to 42.0 -- although the Ravens are still implied for a solid 24.75 points. See the updated projections for this game.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Cooper Kupp, WR LAR
Dynasty MVP 93.5
Position Rank #73 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
320
483
772
Dynasty Write-up
Kupp's injury woes remained a factor in 2023. His production fell off a cliff in December/January, while Puka Nacua completed one of the best seasons from a rookie WR in league history. Entering his age 31 season, Kupp is no longer a WR1.
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