Bottom Line

A Week 10 ankle injury ended Kupp’s 2022 season. But he was awesome before going down, ranking second among WRs in PPR points and third in non-PPR.

That, of course, followed a massive 2021 season that saw Kupp lead his position in fantasy points. He has now scored 16+ PPR points in 28 of 29 healthy games over the past 2 seasons.

With QB Matt Stafford back – and the Rams failing to upgrade the pass-catching corps this offseason – Kupp should be in for another busy and highly productive season.

What We Learned Last Year

• Kupp’s 2022 season ended in Week 10 with a significant high-ankle sprain that required surgery.
• He was a fantasy monster in eight healthy games, racking up:
  • 93 targets
  • 72 catches
  • 813 yards
  • 6 TDs
• Here’s where those marks ranked among WRs through Week 9:
  • second in targets
  • second in catches
  • fourth in Yards
  • third in TDs
• Kupp ranked second among WRs in PPR points and third in non-PPR through Week 9.
• He finished as a top-15 PPR WR in seven of those eight games, including five top-5 finishes.
• That followed a massive 2021 season that saw Kupp register a 145-1,947-16 line and lead WRs in both PPR and non-PPR points.
• Kupp was actually better in most metrics last year than he was in 2021:

• Kupp has scored 16+ PPR points in 28 of 29 healthy games over the past two seasons.

What to Expect in 2023

• Although he hadn’t been fully cleared from last year’s ankle injury, Kupp participated in June minicamp. He should be back to 100% well before the start of the 2023 season.
• QB Matt Stafford is also back with the Rams after missing the final seven games of last year with a spinal cord contusion. He was able to take part in offseason workouts.
• Durability is a concern with the 35-year-old Stafford. On top of that spinal cord injury, he also sustained two concussions last season and dealt with elbow tendonitis. Stafford’s career injury history is lengthy.
• The Rams drafted QB Stetson Bennett in Round 4 of this year’s draft and signed QB Brett Rypien. They’ll compete for the No. 2 QB job – but either guy would be a significant downgrade from Stafford.
• The Rams traded WR Allen Robinson, who saw 52 targets in 10 games last year, to the Steelers. Additions to the pass-catching corps: Fifth-round rookie WR Puka Nacua, WR Demarcus Robinson, fifth-round rookie TE Davis Allen, and TE Hunter Long. WRs Van Jefferson, Tutu Atwell, and Ben Skowronek, and TEs Tyler Higbee and Brycen Hopkins return.
• Kupp should again see a huge share of Rams targets this season.
• Kupp turned 30 in June. Our aging-curve research shows that WRs of Kupp’s quality produce, on average, at 88-93% of their peak at age-30.
• 88% of Kupp’s peak production would be 385 PPR points, which would have led all WRs last season.
• Kupp has played a full NFL season in just two of six tries. His injury history includes three knee injuries, including a 2018 torn ACL, and one concussion.