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Cooper Kupp - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsCooper Kupp's Basic Stats

Cooper Kupp
ADP: 1.7
Bye: 7
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 29.3
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 208
40 Time: 4.62
Speed Score: 90.80
Burst Score (Rank): 110.70 (6%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.83 (91%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.02 (47%)

Cooper Kupp's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
7.8 98.1 0.8 14.6
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
7.7 97.4 0.7 14.3

Cooper Kupp's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#1 Wide Receiver

235.9 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
1.7 124.1 1604.2 12.6 4 1.1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsCooper Kupp's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Kupp racked up 191 targets, 145 catches, 1,947 yards and 16 TDs last season.
  • All 4 marks were career highs. And all 4 marks led the league.
  • Kupp scored 93.2 more PPR points and 31.5 more non-PPR points than any other WR.
  • His 25.85 PPR points per game were the 5th most by a WR in NFL history.
  • In addition to leading all WRs with 191 targets, Kupp also led with 56 red-zone targets. His 13 end-zone targets ranked 7th.
  • Not surprisingly, Kupp led all WRs with 21.4 expected PPR points per game.
  • But he was also efficient, scoring 4.3 more PPR points per game than expected. That was 3rd best behind only Deebo Samuel (+6.1) and Ja’Marr Chase (+4.4).
  • Kupp’s 92.6 Pro Football Focus receiving grade was easily a career high and ranked 2nd among 89 WRs with 50+ targets.
  • Kupp led those 89 WRs with 3.12 yards per route run – .14 more than anyone else.
  • He’ll be back in HC Sean McVay’s offense in 2022.
  • QB Matt Stafford returns for his 2nd season with Kupp and the Rams.
    • Stafford got an injection in his right elbow after the Super Bowl to address an issue that bothered him during last season. He didn’t throw during the offseason program but is expected to be throwing by training camp.
  • WR Robert Woods was traded to the Titans in March. WR Odell Beckham remains unsigned as of mid-June after tearing his ACL in the Super Bowl.
    • Those 2 combined for 19.3% of the Rams’ targets, 17.7% of the catches, 17.6% of the receiving yards and 22.0% of the receiving TDs last year.
  • The Rams signed WR Allen Robinson to a 3-year, $46.5 million deal in free agency. He figures to be the #2 WR, with Van Jefferson returning as the #3.
  • Kupp will obviously have trouble matching last year’s stat line. But we’re not expecting major regression.
    • His 10.2 yards per target last season wasn’t even a career high. He averaged 10.3 yards per target back in 2018 (albeit in 8 games).
    • His 11.0% TD rate last year was high but not outlandishly so. He scored on 8.3% of his catches over his first 4 seasons.
  • Despite ranking 11th in offensive pace and 4th in situation-neutral pace, the Rams finished just 18th with 62.2 offensive snaps per game last year.
    • That was down from 68.0, 65.9 and 66.3 plays per game the previous 3 seasons.
    • The Rams are a good bet to run more plays – and, therefore, throw more passes – this year.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Kupp turned in a historic 2021 season, scoring the 5th most PPR points per game by a WR in NFL history.

He might be in an even better spot heading into 2022. HC Sean McVay and QB Matt Stafford return. But WRs Robert Woods and Odell Beckham are gone. The Rams added WR Allen Robinson in free agency, but Kupp should again be in for a boatload of targets.

It’d be absurd to expect Kupp to match last year’s production. But we’re also not projecting a significant step back. He’s 1 of the safest picks in fantasy football.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Allen Robinson, WR LAR

8:30am EDT 9/19/22

Robinson scores; Kupp dominates again

Rams WR Allen Robinson enjoyed a much better Week 2 than opener, posting a 4-53-1 receiving line on 5 targets in the win over the Falcons. He checked in 3rd among Rams in targets but drew just 13.9% of QB Matthew Stafford's total attempts. WR Cooper Kupp again dominated the work, garnering 38.9% target share. He racked up 11-108-2 on 14 targets. TE Tyler Higbee ranked 2nd with 9 targets, catching 7 balls for 71 yards. Higbee has claimed a strong 26% target share through 2 weeks. No other Rams drew more than 3 looks vs. Atlanta.

View all Allen Robinson Shark Bites »

Rams WR Van Jefferson (knee) did not practice on Monday. He's looking like a long shot for Thursday night's opener vs. the Bills after undergoing knee surgery at the beginning of August. Jefferson's absence will leave Tutu Atwell and Ben Skowronek at the Rams' #3 and #4 WRs -- and leave extra targets for WR Cooper Kupp, WR Allen Robinson and TE Tyler Higbee.

View all Van Jefferson Shark Bites »

Rams HC Sean McVay spoke about QB Matthew Stafford's right elbow issue on Thursday. McVay called it "a tricky deal," "abnormal for a QB” and "things that MLB pitchers deal with," per The Athletic's Jourdan Rodrigue. McVay added that the team explored different treatment options to alleviate the pain this offseason and that the team wasn't caught off guard by the situation when camp opened. “Could he (push through)? Yes. Is that the best thing? We didn’t think so," McVay said. Here's Rodrigue's take after listening to McVay: "While arm pain is never NOT a concern my sense is after some treatment early spring they decided to go with this onload/deload plan which has been on schedule per McVay." Until we hear that the pain in Stafford's elbow is gone -- or at least know exactly what he's dealing with -- he'll carry some elevated risk in fantasy drafts. His situation, of course, also impacts Cooper Kupp, Allen Robinson and the rest of the Rams' skill-position guys.

View all Matthew Stafford Shark Bites »

NFL insider Jordan Schultz believes Rams WR Allen Robinson will have his best season to date in 2022. A-Rob once posted 80-1400-14, but that was back in 2015. So we’ll forgive Schultz for that one. Still, there’s a ton of hype behind Robinson’s bounce-back candidacy. And he’s certainly off to a strong start alongside Cooper Kupp. “We’ve been able to feed off each other off the get go,” Robinson said. “Being able to just sit down, talk football as we’re watching and going over different routes, seeing different angles. I think that’s the biggest thing is the two of us are guys that are very versatile across the board. We both can do a lot of different things and I think that gives us a tremendous advantage because it’s not predictable at all to what either of us will be doing when it comes to a particular concept.” The almost 29-year-old remains an upside WR2.

View all Allen Robinson Shark Bites »

The Rams and WR Cooper Kupp have agreed to a 3-year, $78.5 million contract extension with $75 million of that guaranteed. Tacked on to his previous deal, he's now signed for the next 5 seasons at $110 million, per ESPN's Adam Schefter. It makes Kupp the league's 4th-highest-paid WR in terms of average annual salary, behind Tyreek Hill, Davante Adams and DeAndre Hopkins. Kupp, of course, is coming off a massive 2021 season that saw him score 93 more PPR points than any other WR. He'll remain the focal point of the Rams' passing game in 2022 -- and likely beyond. This extension solidifies Kupp's spot in the Dynasty WR Rankings.

View all Cooper Kupp Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Cooper Kupp, WR LAR
Dynasty MVP 199.3
Position Rank #3 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
686
1,107
1,480
Dynasty Write-up
If this seems low for Kupp, it's only because of how monstrous a 2021 he just had. Kupp -- and basically everyone else -- isn't likely to stay in that stratosphere. But he should remain in his prime heading into his age-29 season. Currently set to hit free agency in March 2024 at age 31, there's some question about his longer-term future. If you're working on a dynasty rebuild, this veteran is almost certainly at his own peak value and near the top of the market right now.
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