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Cooper Kupp - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Cooper Kupp
LAR

WR LAR

#16 Wide Receiver

163 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 11
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 198
40 Time: 4.62

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#16 Wide Receiver

163 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 94 1186 7 4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Med Floor

145.1

DS Projection

163

Consensus

38 other sites
156.9

Low Ceiling

182.6

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Kupp compiled a 92-974-3 line in 15 games last year. He missed the regular-season finale on the COVID list.
  • Through Week 16, Kupp ranked 18th among WRs in PPR points and 27th in non-PPR.
  • He was a volatile fantasy option, finishing as a top-24 PPR WR in just 4 of 15 games. That 26.7% rate ranked just 40th. He scored as a top-12 WR 3 times -- tied for 24th most.
  • Kupp posted a 94-1,1161-10 line back in 2019, finishing 4th among WRs across fantasy scoring formats.
  • The only major difference between his past 2 seasons has been TD production.
    • After overachieving in that department with a 10.6% TD rate in 2019, Kupp sunk to a well-below-average 3.3% TD rate last year.
    • The Rams went from 70 passes inside the red zone in 2019 to 56 last year; and from 37 passes inside the 10 to 25.
    • Kupp’s share of targets in those areas also declined: from 26% to 21% in the red zone and from 27% to 20% inside the 10.
    • Kupp scored 7 red-zone TDs in 2019, including 6 inside the 10. He dropped to just 2 red-zone TDs and 1 inside the 10 last year.
  • Expect more red-zone opportunities for the Rams offense in 2021.
    • HC Sean McVay is back for his 5th season with the team.
    • QB Matt Stafford likely presents an upgrade from Jared Goff. Stafford has earned a higher Pro Football Focus passing grade than Goff in 2 straight seasons and 3 of the last 4.
  • Stafford should also help unlock more of Kupp’s downfield ability after Goff struggled mightily in that department last year.
    • Goff’s Pro Football Focus grade on deep passes over the last 4 seasons: 90.6, 93.2, 85.2, 58.
    • Stafford’s deep-passing grades over the same span: 89.7, 92.7, 85.3, 93.0.
  • Kupp averaged 14.0 and 14.2 yards per catch on 9.7 and 8.8-yard average depths of targets in 2017 and 2018. He sunk to 12.4 yards per catch on a 7.3-yard aDot in 2019. And last year, Kupp averaged a career-low 10.6 yards per catch on a 6.3-yard aDot. That latter mark ranked 74th among 77 qualifying WRs.
  • The Rams lost WR Josh Reynolds and TE Gerald Everett in free agency. They ranked 3rd and 4th, respectively, on last year’s team with 81 and 62 targets.
  • L.A. added free-agent WR DeSean Jackson and rookie WR Tutu Atwell. WR Robert Woods and 2020 2nd-round WR Van Jefferson return.
  • Kupp has averaged 8.4 and 8.3 targets per game over the past 2 seasons. He projects for similar volume in 2021.
  • He injured his right knee in last year’s Wild Card Round win over the Seahawks and missed the Divisional Round loss to the Packers. Kupp revealed in June that it was a Morel-Lavallee lesion, which is caused by the separation of the skin and tissue. “My knee is doing really well,” he added.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Kupp got a bit unlucky to score just 3 times last year, despite ranking 9th among WRs in catches. He still finished WR18 in PPR points and WR27 in non-PPR. And that followed WR4 finishes in 2019 on 10 TDs -- so it’s not like the guy hasn’t proved capable of finding the end zone.

Kupp returns to the same offense in 2021, projects for similar volume and gets a likely QB upgrade in Matt Stafford. He’s a rock-solid WR2 with upside into WR1 territory.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Rams WR Cooper Kupp (knee) is inactive for today's Divisional Round game vs. the Packers. It's a significant loss. WRs Josh Reynolds and Van Jefferson will take on bigger roles with Kupp out, but WR Robert Woods is a good bet to lead the way in targets.

View all Cooper Kupp Shark Bites »

Rams QB Cooper Kupp (knee) is listed as questionable for Saturday's Divisional Round game vs. the Packers. He missed all 3 practices, but HC Sean McVay said Kupp could still play without getting any work in during the week. We'll get his game status around 3 pm ET on Saturday. Kupp's absence would leave Robert Woods, Josh Reynolds and Van Jefferson as the Rams' top 3 WRs.

View all Cooper Kupp Shark Bites »

Rams WR Cooper Kupp (knee) remained sidelined for Wednesday's practice. HC Sean McVay did say that Kupp is "progressing" and could play vs. the Packers on Saturday without practicing. We'll continue to monitor his status.

View all Cooper Kupp Shark Bites »

Rams WR Cooper Kupp (knee) did not practice on Tuesday. The Rams have been non-committal on his availability for Saturday's game vs. the Packers, but we're guessing that he'll gut it out. We'll get another update Wednesday night.

View all Cooper Kupp Shark Bites »

Rams WR Cooper Kupp has been diagnosed with knee bursitis, HC Sean McVay said Monday. That's inflammation of a small, fluid-filled sack near the knee joint. McVay said the "hope" is that Kupp will be able to play through the issue in Green Bay on Saturday. We'll keep an eye on him this week.

View all Cooper Kupp Shark Bites »

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