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Jalen Hurts - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJalen Hurts's Basic Stats

Jalen Hurts
ADP: 2.10
Bye: 10
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 25.1
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 223
40 Time: 4.59
Burst Score (Rank): 123.80 (91%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 53.00 (25%)

Jalen Hurts's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
233.3 1.5 0.6 50.1 22.7
Weekly Writeup
Hurts' mere QB6 fantasy production so far feels a little disappointing. But it offers no reason for actual concern. He accounted for three total TDs in each meeting with Washington last year.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
238.7 1.4 0.6 46.2 22.8

Jalen Hurts's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#3 Quarterback

364.7 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
2.10 321.6/477 3819 23.1 9 152 739.8 4.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJalen Hurts's Preseason Player Analysis

View QB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Hurts displayed a high weekly ceiling in 2022. A shoulder injury slowed him late in the year and into the postseason, but he’s back healthy for Year 4, fresh off signing a massive extension.

The return of A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert supply Hurts with perhaps the league’s best trio of pass-catchers.

With an ADP around the turn from Round 2 to Round 3, Hurts isn’t a bargain. But he’ll be worth considering in plenty of formats.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Hurts’ breakout season included the QB3 finish in total fantasy points and points per game.
  • He finished worse than QB14 only once
  • He finished as a top-5 QB in 11 of 15 games.
  • Hurts’ worst game (by far) was QB23 vs. the Giants – his return from a Week 15 S/C joint separation (right shoulder).
  • Hurts played through the injury in the postseason, but he’s back to 100% for the offseason. He avoided surgery.
  • Hurts led the league with 13 QB rushing scores. Nine(!) of them came inside the 5-yard line.
  • Among 31 QBs with 300+ dropbacks, Hurts ranked:
    • tied for fourth in yards per attempt
    • seventh in adjusted completion rate
    • ninth in average depth of target
    • fourth in Pro Football Focus passing grade.
  • Good health from WRs DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown provided a lift. Both guys played all 17 games.
  • TE Dallas Goedert missed five games with a shoulder injury.
  • The Eagles’ O-line ranked fifth in Pro Football Focus pass blocking grade; 12th in pass block win rate.

What to Expect in 2023
  • Hurts signed a five-year extension in April with nearly $180 million guaranteed.
  • Of note, the Eagles lost RB Miles Sanders, G Isaac Seumalo, and OC Shane Steichen this offseason.
  • This backfield looks deeper with the arrivals of early-down back Rashaad Penny and receiving back D’Andre Swift. Hurts will remain a prominent figure near the goal line.
  • Philly's O-line remains strong with LT Jordan Mailata, LG Landon Dickerson, C Jason Kelce, and RT Lane Johnson. We'll see if rookie Tyler Steen -- or second-year man Cam Jurgens -- wins the RG job.
  • Brian Johnson takes over as Philly’s OC and likely play caller. Johnson hasn’t called plays at the NFL level, but we’re expecting this unit to mirror its 2022 version.
  • Johnson, who Hurts has known since childhood, was Philly’s QBs coach the past two years.
  • Hurts had February surgery to remove hardware from his ankle. The injury originally occurred in 2018 at Alabama.
    • The procedure was considered minor and won’t impact Hurts’ status this summer.
  • ESPN's Jeremy Fowler reported in June that the Eagles believe Hurts "can make another major jump" as an "elite precision-type pocket passer." They backed up that belief by handing him a mega-extension.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Jalen Hurts, QB PHI

21 hours ago

Jalen Hurts throws for 319

Eagles QB Jalen Hurts racked up 319 yards and 2 TDs passing in Sunday's OT win over the Commanders. He found WR A.J. Brown for both scores, from 28 and 59 yards out. Brown and DeVonta Smith combined to draw targets on 59.5% of Hurts' pass attempts. They also accounted for 79.3% of the team's receiving yards. TE Dallas Goedert managed just 2 receptions for 25 yards among 4 targets. RB D'Andre Swift ranked third on the team with 4 receptions on 4 targets.

View all Jalen Hurts Shark Bites »

Outside of two deep balls to WR DeVonta Smith, Eagles QB Jalen Hurts struggled to get much going through the air in Thursday night’s win over the Vikings. He finished with 193 yards, one TD, and one INT on 18-of-23 passing. But Hurts added 35 yards and two TDs on the ground to turn in a big fantasy day. Both of those scores came on the evidently unstoppable tush-push play from the Minnesota one-yard line. Philly’s passing game has yet to click through two weeks. But there’s too much talent for it not to get going soon. In the meantime, Hurts’ rushing production will buoy his fantasy value. There’s nothing scary on Hurts’ schedule until a Week 6 matchup vs. the Jets.

View all Jalen Hurts Shark Bites »

Eagles QB Jalen Hurts threw for just 170 yards and ran for 37 in Sunday's win over the Patriots. His lone TD came on a 5-yard, first-quarter pass to WR DeVonta Smith. Hurts lost a fumble on a run and took 3 sacks. It was a meek fantasy performance for a top QB, but there's nothing to worry about here. We'd bet on New England's defense ranking among the best in the league this year. Hurts gets a much more favorable matchup at home against the Vikings in Week 2.

View all Jalen Hurts Shark Bites »

In case you were wondering about how Eagles QB Jalen Hurts has fared in training camp so far, here's an update from The Athletic's Bo Wulf: "Hurts seems to have picked up where he left off, which just so happened to be playing the best game of his life on the biggest stage. ... There’s no doubt he’s been more consistent than ever over the first week-plus of camp." Hurts finished eighth among QBs in fantasy points in his first full season as starter in 2021 and then climbed to third last year. He's a safe bet for top-five production in 2023, with the upside to lead all QBs in fantasy points.

View all Jalen Hurts Shark Bites »

Eagles TE Dallas Goedert enters year six looking to play a full season for the first time since 2018. Goedert missed five games with a small fracture in his shoulder last year. Still, he remained a big part of Philly’s passing game. Including the playoffs, he posted a 19.9% target share that only five TEs beat. He finished TE5 in fantasy points per game. While he remains the No. 3 target in a low-volume pass offense, Goedert’s proven highly efficient throughout his career. In fact, he paces all pass catchers in yards per target (10.6) over the past two seasons. The Eagles lost OC Shane Steichen to the Colts, but this unit shouldn’t change much following the promotion of QB coach Brian Johnson. Goedert, 28, profiles as a mid-level fantasy starter in our TE rankings.

View all Dallas Goedert Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Jalen Hurts, QB PHI
Dynasty MVP 327.1
Position Rank #3 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
1,040
1,666
3,016
Dynasty Write-up
Hurts has proved that he belongs as Philly's QB of the future. Only 24, he's currently tied to A.J. Brown through the 2026 season and DeVonta Smith through the 2025 season. The Eagles signed Hurts to a five-year extension in April.
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