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Jalen Hurts - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJalen Hurts's Basic Stats

Jalen Hurts
ADP: N/A
Bye: 5
Experience: 4
Age: 25.9
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 223
40 Time: 4.59

Burst Score (Rank): 123.80 (92%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 53.00 (24%)

Jalen Hurts's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
252.8 1.44 0.7 41.7 22.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
254.6 1.5 0.5 49.3 24.4

Jalen Hurts's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#1 Quarterback

359.4 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 347.2/524.8 4044.8 23.04 11.2 148.8 667.2 4.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJalen Hurts's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Hurts has finished as a top-three fantasy QB in back-to-back seasons.

He remains squarely in his prime at 26. And there’s optimism he can post a bounce-back passing performance with better health.

Returning A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, the fourth-year QB remains an elite fantasy play.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Hurts battled through an early-season knee issue.
    • He also suffered a Week 18 finger injury – it “popped out,” per Hurts.
  • Watching Hurts, he wasn’t near 100%.
    • While his scramble rate stayed roughly the same compared to 2022, he averaged 35.5 rushing yards per game – down from 51.
    • Fantasy production was buoyed by 15 rushing TDs, including 13 from inside the five yard-line.
  • Overall, Hurts finished as the fantasy QB2 behind Josh Allen.
    • The Eagle finished as a top-six QB 11 times. He finished worse than QB12 on only three occasions.
  • The A.J. Brown-DeVonta Smith duo combined to miss only one game – Week 18. Yet Hurts’ passing numbers dipped.
    • His 7.2 yards per attempt, 75.8% adjusted completion rate, 4.3% TD rate, and 2.8% INT rate all marked declines from 2022.
    • He hit 300 yards four times…and was held under 200 in seven weeks.
    • This unit really hit a wall over the second half, leading to the firing of first-year OC Brian Johnson.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Philadelphia made a splash at OC, hiring former Chargers and Cowboys OC Kellen Moore.
    • Moore garnered HC interviews this cycle.
    • The '23 Chargers ranked 18th in total yards and 21st in points. But note the Chargers’ awful injury situation (Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Austin Ekeler each missed multiple games).
    • Moore’s expected to bring more pre-snap motion and formation diversity. Last year, Philly ranked last in pre-snap motion usage (10.9%).
    • Overall, we’re not expecting a drastic shift in run/pass split.
  • A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith return as one of the NFL’s top WR duos.
    • Philly returns TE Dallas Goedert but remains without a difference-making WR3. Candidates include Parris Campbell and rookie Ainias Smith.
  • Long-time C Jason Kelce retired.
    • The Eagles enter the season prepared, sliding G Cam Jurgens into the vacant spot.
    • With RT Lane Johnson, LT Jordan Mailata, and LG Landon Dickerson, the line remains in fine shape.
    • The ‘23 Eagles ranked seventh in pass block win rate.
  • The “tush push” play that Hurts mastered was not banned by the NFL.
  • As of this writing, projections have him at nearly 10 rushing TDs – enough to lead the position.

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A.J. Brown, WR PHI

7:56pm EDT 4/25/24

A.J. Brown gets big extension

The Eagles and WR A.J. Brown agreed to a three-year extension worth $96 million, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. It makes Brown the league's highest-paid WR, taking that title from Amon-Ra St. Brown, who held the crown for one day. Brown is now under contract with Philadelphia through the 2029 campaign. WR DeVonta Smith is signed through 2028. The Brown extension solidifies his dynasty value, as well as QB Jalen Hurts'.

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The Eagles and WR DeVonta Smith agreed to a three-year $75 million contract extension with $51 million guaranteed, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Smith had two years remaining on his rookie deal but is now signed with Philadelphia through the 2028 campaign. The 2021 first-round pick has opened his NFL career with WR29, WR9, and WR16 PPR finishes. The presence of WR A.J. Brown (signed through 2026) caps Smith's upside a tad. But he's a rock-solid fantasy WR2 in the short and long term. The contract extension is also excellent news for QB Jalen Hurts' dynasty value.

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The Steelers traded QB Kenny Pickett and the 120th overall pick of this spring's draft to the Eagles in exchange for pick No. 98 and a pair of 2025 seventh-rounders, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Pickett wanted out of Pittsburgh after the arrival of QB Russell Wilson, according to Schefter. So Pickett goes from Wilson's backup ... to Jalen Hurts' backup. He still has two years left on his current contract, so it'll be at least 2026 before Pickett has a chance to sniff a starting job. Considering his lackluster play in Pittsburgh, it's more likely that Pickett settles in as a career backup.

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The Eagles are set to hire Kellen Moore as their new OC, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Moore is coming off a disappointing season in Los Angeles, where his Chargers finished an underwhelming 18th in total yards and 21st in points. He had a much more productive stint in Dallas the four years prior, with three of those Cowboys teams ranking top-6 in points, including first- and fourth-place finishes in his final two seasons. Moore deployed a slightly run-leaning offense (in terms of Pass Rate Over Expected) in Dallas and went slightly pass-leaning in Los Angeles last year. But his offenses have consistently played fast. In fact, all five of them ranked top-4 in both pace and situation-neutral pace. That should mean a significant shift in Philadelphia after the Eagles finished 18th in pace and neutral pace last year. We'll see exactly how much say Moore has in the offense under HC Shane Steichen.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Jalen Hurts, QB PHI
Dynasty MVP 310.5
Position Rank #1 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
1,002
1,594
2,789
Dynasty Write-up
Rushing carried Hurts to a huge 2023. Entering his age 26 season, he's currently tied to A.J. Brown through the 2029 season and DeVonta Smith through the 2028 season. The Eagles signed Hurts to a five-year extension in April, 2023.
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