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Jalen Hurts - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJalen Hurts's Basic Stats

Jalen Hurts
ADP: 6.6
Bye: 7
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23.8
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 222
40 Time: 4.59
Burst Score (Rank): 123.80 (91%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 53.00 (25%)

Jalen Hurts's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#9 Quarterback

350.1 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
6.6 329.5/523 3922.5 24.6 11.5 135 742.5 3.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJalen Hurts's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Hurts finished 10th among QBs in fantasy points in his 1st full season as starter (likely a little lower if you play with 6-point passing TDs).
  • He led all QBs in carries, rushing yards and rushing TDs, scoring 10 times on the ground.
  • There’s some room for regression in that TD number, but that doesn’t mean in was fluky. Hurts led QBs in red-zone attempts. He tied for 20th across positions in RZ rushes, tied for 11th most carries inside the 10 and collected the 6th most attempts inside the 5.
  • Hurts’ 7 TDs among 13 carries inside the 5 tracked right in line with the scoring rates of those around him in that category. And he accounted for only 36.1% of Philly’s total attempts in that range. The only other player who garnered 9+ carries inside the 5 and accounted for less than 45% of his team’s total was teammate Boston Scott.
  • Hurts ranked 20th in Pro Football Focus passing grade, improving over his mark from a more limited rookie season.
  • He ranked 4th in the league in average depth of target (9.5), trailing only Russell Wilson, Justin Fields and Lamar Jackson.
  • That’s right in line with Hurts’ career 9.5-yard ADOT in college, according to PFF.
  • The Eagles traded for WR A.J. Brown on the 1st night of the draft and immediately extended his contract. Brown and Hurts boast a friendship that dates back years and includes Hurts being the godfather to Brown’s daughter. Brown said it all started with Hurts trying to recruit the WR to Alabama.
  • Brown joins a pass-catching corps that returns 2nd-year WR DeVonta Smith and TE Dallas Goedert.
  • Last year’s Eagles passed on just 48.8% of regular-season snaps (including sacks), easily the lowest rate in the league. That changed drastically from Week 8 on, though. Through the first 7 weeks, Philadelphia ranked 8th most pass-heavy in the league in neutral game situations, according to RBSDM.com.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Hurts delivered QB1 fantasy numbers in his 1st full turn as Eagles starter. Now he adds 1 of the league’s best young wideouts, a player he has been close friends with for years. Add A.J. Brown to DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert, and Hurts finds nice surrounding talent. The Brown trade points to the Eagles likely leaning further toward the pass – which likely already would have been the case to some degree after they sported the league’s most run-heavy scheme in 2021. Combine all that with Hurts’ top-shelf rushing production, and it’s hard not to like him in inside QB1 range. Unfortunately, drafters agree and have bumped him up to QB6 in ADP on both FFPC and Underdog as of this writing. That lines up with where we rank Hurts. Be ready to pounce when he slides beyond that.

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Jalen Hurts, QB PHI

11:50am EDT 6/4/22

Eagles OC talks Hurts

Eagles OC Shane Steichen discussed QB Jalen Hurts at OTAs. “He just has a relentless effort to be great,” Steichen said. “Every approach he takes — he doesn’t have an offseason. He’s always on it. He’s always thinking about football. We’re always talking football, day in and day out, and he’s continuing to grow as a player, as a leader, every single day.” Steichen added that footwork has been an offseason focus as the club looks to add polish to Hurts' game. Ultimately, this offseason couldn’t have gone much better for the 24-year-old (in August). He’s a top-8 fantasy passer with clear upside into the top-3.

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Eagles QB Jalen Hurts said Wednesday, "I'm good now" after undergoing left ankle surgery on February 2. We'll keep an eye on it this spring and summer, but it shouldn't be an issue by the time Week 1 rolls around. With WR A.J. Brown added to his arsenal, Hurts has easy top-5 QB upside this year.

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The Eagles traded the 16th, 19th and 194th overall picks of this month's draft to the Saints in exchange for the 18th, 101st and 237th overall picks, plus a 2023 1st-rounder and a 2024 2nd-rounder. The big takeaway here is that New Orleans is evidently higher on the top of this year's class than Philadelphia. The Saints now have 3 of the first 49 picks of this year's draft. The Eagles still hold the 15th and 18th overall picks -- plus a pair of 1st-rounders next year. That's notable because next year's QB class looks much stronger than this year's. "The Eagles' actions this offseason continue to suggest that while they like quarterback Jalen Hurts, they're not married to him as the long-term starter," ESPN's Tim McManus writes.

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Eagles QB Jalen Hurts will have surgery today on the left ankle he injured in Week 12 against the Giants, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero. The injury was reported to be a high-ankle sprain, though Hurts missed just 1 game (with the bye week mixed in). Hurts suffered a similar injury to his right ankle in 2018 at Alabama, requiring "tightrope" surgery to address it, according to Jeff McLane of the Philadelphia Inquirer. It's not yet clear whether he'll have the same procedure this time. Pelissero reports that Hurts is expected to be ready for OTAs, and he returned to play Philly's final 5 game. So it appears the ankle should not be an issue going forward.

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Eagles GM Howie Roseman threw his support behind QB Jalen Hurts as the team's starter in Wednesday's end-of-season press conference. "We talk about Jalen and the growth he had, really as a first-year starter and second-year player and leading this team to the playoffs," Roseman said. "I’m tremendously impressed by his work ethic and his leadership. The last time we talked was during camp and we said we wanted to see him take the bull by the horn, and he certainly did that." Hurts completed 61.3% of his passes and averaged 7.3 yards per attempt with 16 TDs vs. 9 INTs in 2021, ranking 22nd among 31 qualifiers in QB Rating. He also led all QBs with 782 rushing yards and 10 TDs to finish 10th in fantasy points. We'll see if Philly's actions this offseason match Roseman's comments. If Hurts enters 2022 as the starter, he'll be a lower-end QB1 in fantasy drafts.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Jalen Hurts, QB PHI
Dynasty MVP 317.9
Position Rank #13 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
1,088
1,845
2,218
Dynasty Write-up
Hurts would rank higher if we knew he had long-term stability. However, he simply didn’t show enough as a passer in 2021 to lock up the Philly job. And with the Eagles holding a pair of 2023 first-round picks, competition could be on the way.

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