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What You Need to Know:
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
We obviously can’t just take the 4-game extrapolation mentioned above and call it a 2021 projection. That would be lazy and absurd. That stretch did show us the per-game ceiling we’re working with here, though. Hurts was a top-scoring fantasy QB in an offense that spent most of last season struggling, with a crappy crew of pass-catchers and despite performing poorly as a passer. His college days showed us that he has at least some passing upside beyond what he showed last year -- perhaps much more. The rushing is the big selling point here, though. Before his limited run last year, Hurts spent 2019 as the leading rusher in an Oklahoma backfield that sported Trey Sermon, Rhamondre Stevenson and Kennedy Brooks (who ran ahead of both those NFL-drafted RBs.) HC Nick Sirianni says Hurts will need to compete for the starting job, but Philly imported only Joe Flacco to compete. If they didn’t believe in Hurts, then the Eagles could have drafted Justin Fields -- and/or competed for a stronger veteran QB in an abnormally strong free-agent market. Hurts doesn’t need to be terrific as a real-life QB to present big fantasy upside this season.
Even with an ADP just inside the top 10, Hurts can still outscore his draft position. He’s not quite a strong draft value at QB8-9, but he should be in play for you on draft day.