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James Cook - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJames Cook's Basic Stats

James Cook
ADP: 3.12
Bye: 12
Experience: 3
Age: 24.8
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 190
40 Time: 4.42

Burst Score (Rank): 118.10 (48%)

James Cook's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
59.5 0.28 3.1 26.1 0.17 11.4
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
53.2 0.3 2.8 22.8 0.1 9.9

James Cook's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#14 Running Back

226.6 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
3.12 211.2 952 4.48 1.6 1.6 49.6 417.6 2.72

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJames Cook's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Cook made a sizable jump from year one to year two. His rushing yards increased by 615; his catches rose by 23.

The lead back role remains his for 2024. But a lack of TD upside leaves him best viewed as a fantasy RB2.

What We Learned Last Year

  • After a quiet rookie year, Cook morphed into a fantasy asset in 2023.
  • His 1,567 total yards ranked third among RBs. His 44 catches ranked just outside the top 15.
  • Cook never appeared on the final injury report en route to playing all 17 games.
  • Cook ranked as the PPR RB11; RB19 in points per game.
    • He finished RB12 or better six times. He recorded two games between RB13 and RB24.
  • He ranked fifth among all ball carriers in rushing success rate at 55.7%.
  • Cook sat tied for eighth in rush yards over expected per attempt.
  • He largely ran into favorable fronts, with only 10.1% of his carries coming against 8+ man boxes.
    • That ranked fourth-lowest among 49 qualifiers.
  • Buffalo cut ties with OC Ken Dorsey ahead of Week 11. Here are Cook’s splits with Dorsey and fill-in OC Joe Brady:
    • From Week 1 to Week 10 with Dorsey, Cook averaged 12 carries and 2.8 targets per game. His opportunity share: 14.8%
    • From Week 11 on with Brady, Cook averaged 7 carries and 3.9 targets per game. His opportunity share: 20.4%
  • Cook’s main issue was a lack of goal line touches.
    • Josh Allen handled 14 carries inside the five-yard line, limiting Cook to 4.
    • Allen also topped his teammate in carries inside the ten (21 to 18).
  • The Florida State product has now totaled only four rushing scores on 326 career carries.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Expect Cook to remain the clear lead back in 2024.
  • Buffalo moved on from ‘23 backups Latavius Murray, Leonard Fournette, and Damien Harris.
  • Offseason additions include rookies Ray Davis and Frank Gore Jr.
    • Ray Davis arrived in late Round 4. He brings a needed power element to the backfield.
    • Gore signed as a UDFA. Despite a productive college career, he’s an unlikely fantasy factor.
  • Buffalo’s O-line lost only C Mitch Morse. We might see competition in camp, but no significant offseason additions were made.
  • Josh Allen returns for year seven. His red zone rushing will likely remain a roadblock to Cook approaching double-digit TDs.
  • Only 25 (in September), Cook is squarely in his prime.
    • He enters year three with only 326 career carries.

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Ray Davis, RB BUF

1:40pm EDT 4/27/24

Bills get big back in Ray Davis

The Bills selected Kentucky RB Ray Davis in Round 4 of the NFL Draft. A three-star recruit out of San Francisco, Davis opted to play at Temple over Navy and Kent State. He made a true-freshman impact for the Owls with 193-936-8. Then, after a pandemic-shortened 2020, Davis transferred to Vanderbilt. A toe injury that required surgery sapped nine games in 2021, but we’d finally see that freshman-year form come 2022. Davis delivered 1,042 yards on a carry share of nearly 68%. Instead of declaring for the draft last winter, Davis transferred once more to Kentucky. His decision clearly paid off. The 5’8, 208-pounder ran for 1,129 yards and 14 TDs on 5.7 yards per carry. He added 33 catches, 323 yards, and seven more scores. Among 33 RBs with 190+ carries, Davis ranked sixth in yards after contact per attempt and tied for seventh in PFF rushing grade. A bowling ball of a back, Davis’ power and contact balance should translate to the pro game. He also brings a notable pass-catching resume with 94 career catches. The drawback here is Davis’ age; he’ll turn 25 in November. His size should play well in Buffalo, which leaned on James Cook as its 2023 lead back. Bet on Cook maintaining the clear receiving lead while ceding some rushing work to the rookie. QB Josh Allen, of course, cuts into the available short-yardage TDs. This is ultimately a solid landing for Davis vs. pre-draft expectations. He was the eighth RB off the board and finds opportunity with an offense that ran more after switching OCs in 2023. See where Davis settles in our dynasty rookie rankings.

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According to multiple reports, the Bills are sending WR Stefon Diggs to the Texans. Buffalo is also sending a 2024 sixth-round pick and 2025 fifth-rounder to Houston, while getting back only a second-round pick in 2025. Diggs' production fell off late last season after the Bills switched offensive coordinators. Now 30 and in a new offense, Diggs will have to show he's not in decline. He'll add the challenge of splitting targets with Houston's emergent young wideouts. Nico Collins (seventh) and Tank Dell (12th) both ranked among the top 12 WRs in PPR points per game last season, with rookie QB C.J. Stroud. The Diggs addition obviously lowers the target-share ceiling for all three wideouts. We'll also have to see exactly how Houston plans to deploy them. Diggs spent 35.7% of his pass snaps in the slot last year; 34.2% the year before. He topped 30% in that category for three of his four Buffalo seasons, surpassed only by his 2016 sophomore season (62.9%). Collins spent 20.1% of his time in the slot last year; Dell 28.7%. We'd bet on all three moving around the formation some. But Diggs could wind up primarily replacing Robert Woods (55.5% slot) and Noah Brown (39.3%). The trio gives Stroud one of the league's best WR groups and boosts his fantasy upside. The QB already sat sixth at the position in Underdog Fantasy ADP, though. That adds risk to Stroud as a draft target and gives him little room to move up. QB Josh Allen, meanwhile, has lost his top two wideouts (Gabe Davis the other) while adding only WR Curtis Samuel this offseason. The dearth of remaining talent adds risk to his fantasy outlook, though you shouldn't expect the high-level rusher to move significantly down our rankings. As for other affected players: Diggs' departure leaves target share available for TE Dalton Kincaid and Khalil Shakir. His arrival in Houston makes life tougher for TE Dalton Schultz. He already sat just 13th among TEs in best ball ADP, though, and will likely fall further following this trade. Be sure to check our rankings for your format to see all the effects of this high-impact deal.

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The Bills released RB Leonard Fournette from the practice squad. He was not elevated for the Wild Card win over the Steelers, so the news isn't a big surprise. Buffalo will continue to roll with RBs James Cook, Ty Johnson, and Latavius Murray. The 29-year-old Fournette's NFL career is on the ropes.

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The Steelers-Bills game originally scheduled for 1 pm ET on Sunday has been moved to 4:30 pm ET on Monday. Buffalo is expecting heavy snow and wind gusts up to 60 mph on Sunday. The forecast for Monday calls for light snow, sustained winds around 15 mph, and gusts up to 30 mph. That's still tough weather for the passing and kicking games -- but significantly better than it would have been on Sunday. We're adjusting our projections for this game.

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Bills RB James Cook totaled 13 carries for 36 rushing yards with 3 catches for 16 receiving yards in Week 18 vs. the Dolphins. Sunday night's showing wasn't the most robust performance we've seen from the second-year back and marked the third straight game in which he'd finished a contest with fewer than 10 PPR points. Still, Cook made several improvements in his sophomore campaign. His overall opportunity share in Buffalo lept from 7.4% as a rookie in 2022 to 17.1% this year en route to finishing with the third-most total scrimmage yards (1,567) among RBs. Cook turns 25 in September and seems poised to hold onto the Bills' leading job moving forward. That should help him maintain firm RB2-level value in dynasty formats into 2024.

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Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

James Cook, RB BUF
Dynasty MVP 115.9
Position Rank #25 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
405
604
923
Dynasty Write-up
Cook was a fantasy non-factor for most of his rookie season. When given chances, though, he showcased the burst that made him the RB2 in the 2022 draft. That trait truly surfaced in 2023, especially late as Buffalo fired OC Ken Dorsey and elevated QB coach Joe Brady. Only 25 (in September), Cook remains Buffalo's featured back, despite the selection of Ray Davis.
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