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Josh Allen - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJosh Allen's Basic Stats

Josh Allen
ADP: N/A
Bye: 7
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26.3
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 237
40 Time: 4.75
SPARQx (Rank): 96.70 (74%)
Burst Score (Rank): 118.10 (80%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.30 (71%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 62.00 (100%)

Josh Allen's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
292.2 2.3 0.8 37.1 25.3
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
283.3 2.1 0.8 35.8 24.5

Josh Allen's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#1 Quarterback

406.1 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 414/632 4645.8 35.2 13.4 117 608.3 3.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJosh Allen's Preseason Player Analysis

View QB Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need To Know:

  • Allen posted a second consecutive overall QB1 finish in 2021 (28 FPPG).
  • He ranked as a top-5 QB 8 times. He finished outside the top-15 only 4 times.
  • Allen’s adjusted completion rate dropped from an insane 79.1% to a more-human 73.8%. But he delivered on 646 pass attempts — 4th most league-wide and 74 more than his previous career high.
  • Allen posted a career-low 6 rushing scores, however, despite a personal-best 122 attempts.
  • Allen played a full slate of games for the 3rd straight season.
  • Buffalo enjoyed some good injury luck, as Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, Dawson Knox and Gabriel Davis combined to miss only 4 games.
  • Buffalo returns 3 of those key pieces, with Beasley as the exception. Khalil Shakir arrived as a Round 5 pick, but he’s likely more of a year 2/3 contributor. Jamison Crowder arrived to help fill the slot void.
  • Buffalo added some O-line competition over the offseason most notably in G Rodger Saffold. While past his prime, he’s adding a unit that won’t limit Allen’s production.
  • Bills beat writer Jay Skurski has “concern” over the team’s O-line situation. “I hate to say it, but [Josh] Allen’s ability to be healthy and play 17 games might be at stake here,” Skurski admits.
  • The biggest storyline here revolves around the departure of OC Brian Daboll. Former QB coach/pass game coordinator Ken Dorsey will take over.
  • The continuity is nice, and we don’t expect much change from this unit.
  • Adding pass-catching RB James Cook in the draft gives Buffalo another catch-and-run weapon.
  • They ranked top-3 league-wide in 4 and 5-WR sets last year, and we fully expect another pass-happy approach.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Only 26, Allen’s just entering his prime in year 5 as the starter.

We have no concerns about this offense on the field; the key is simply smoothing out the transition from OC Brian Daboll to first-time play-caller Ken Dorsey. And we don’t foresee a rocky road there. (Allen, in fact, requested that Dorsey earn the promotion.)

Allen’s the superflex 1.01 and easily our top projected QB going into the season.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Josh Allen, QB BUF

8:35pm EDT 10/2/22

Allen disappoints passing, gets some back on ground

Bills QB Josh Allen threw for just 213 yards and 1 TD on Sunday against the Ravens defense that allowed more QB fantasy points than any other through 3 weeks. He made up for that to some degree with 70 yards and a TD rushing. The constant rain certainly didn't help the passing game, and might have contributed to drops by multiple Buffalo receivers. Allen and the Bills get Pittsburgh and Kansas City next, ahead of a Week 7 bye.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Bills QB Josh Allen posted 400 yards and 2 scores in a Week 3 loss at Miami. Going back to last year, he’s now hit 32+ fantasy points in 5 straight. Sunday’s 400-yard outing also marked his most since Week 9 of 2020. Miami defenders dropped several would-be INTs, but Allen also left at least one TD on the field due to an off-target pass. Facing a blitz-happy Miami defense, Allen did plenty of damage in the short range, leading to big games from Devin Singletary (9-78-1) and Isaiah McKenzie (7-76-1). Allen did get a post-game X-ray on his right hand, which he banged against a helmet late in the 4th quarter. But he confirmed that he’ll be fine going forward. Allen should continue to roll in Week 4 against a struggling Baltimore secondary.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Bills QB Josh Allen tossed 4 TDs in Monday night's demolition of the Titans, finding WR Stefon Diggs for 3 of them. Allen targeted Diggs on 14 of his 38 pass attempts (36.8%), with TE Dawson Knox (5) and RB Devin Singletary (4) the only other Bills to top 3 looks. Allen finished with 317 yards, while adding 10 rushing yards on just 1 attempt. He didn't turn the ball over and took just 1 sack.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Bills WR Gabriel Davis (ankle) is not expected to play vs. the Titans tonight, "barring a surprise," according to ESPN's Jeremy Fowler. "Team has held out hope but playing was considered an uphill battle since Saturday's injury," Fowler tweets. We'll see if Davis can make it back for this coming Sunday's game vs. the Dolphins. His absence figures to mean WR Khalil Shakir's debut, although the rookie is really only an option in DFS. Stefon Diggs, Isaiah McKenzie, Jamison and Dawson Knox are candidates for extra targets with Davis out.

View all Gabriel Davis Shark Bites »

Bills beat writer Jay Skurski has “concern” over the team’s O-line situation. “I hate to say it, but [Josh] Allen’s ability to be healthy and play 17 games might be at stake here,” Skurski admits. Buffalo’s projected starters along the O-line have yet to practice together due to injuries (Rodger Saffold, Mitch Morse, Ryan Bates and Spencer Brown) and an absence for personal reasons (Dion Dawkins). We’re not adjusting projections, as this unit should all be together come Week 1. But that matchup — on the road against Aaron Donald and the Rams — might lead to a rocky start.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Josh Allen, QB BUF
Dynasty MVP 393.5
Position Rank #2 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
1,239
2,060
3,559
Dynasty Write-up
Allen’s finished as the overall QB1 for 2 straight seasons. Turning 26 in May, Allen’s under contract through the 2028 season.
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