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Josh Allen - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJosh Allen's Basic Stats

Josh Allen
Bye: 7
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26.7
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 237
40 Time: 4.75
SPARQx (Rank): 96.70 (74%)
Burst Score (Rank): 118.10 (80%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.30 (71%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 62.00 (100%)

Josh Allen's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Josh Allen's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#5 Quarterback

344.6 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 414/632 4005.8 29.1 15.9 117 608.3 3.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJosh Allen's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need To Know:

  • Allen posted a second consecutive overall QB1 finish in 2021 (28 FPPG).
  • He ranked as a top-5 QB 8 times. He finished outside the top-15 only 4 times.
  • Allen’s adjusted completion rate dropped from an insane 79.1% to a more-human 73.8%. But he delivered on 646 pass attempts — 4th most league-wide and 74 more than his previous career high.
  • Allen posted a career-low 6 rushing scores, however, despite a personal-best 122 attempts.
  • Allen played a full slate of games for the 3rd straight season.
  • Buffalo enjoyed some good injury luck, as Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, Dawson Knox and Gabriel Davis combined to miss only 4 games.
  • Buffalo returns 3 of those key pieces, with Beasley as the exception. Khalil Shakir arrived as a Round 5 pick, but he’s likely more of a year 2/3 contributor. Jamison Crowder arrived to help fill the slot void.
  • Buffalo added some O-line competition over the offseason most notably in G Rodger Saffold. While past his prime, he’s adding a unit that won’t limit Allen’s production.
  • Bills beat writer Jay Skurski has “concern” over the team’s O-line situation. “I hate to say it, but [Josh] Allen’s ability to be healthy and play 17 games might be at stake here,” Skurski admits.
  • The biggest storyline here revolves around the departure of OC Brian Daboll. Former QB coach/pass game coordinator Ken Dorsey will take over.
  • The continuity is nice, and we don’t expect much change from this unit.
  • Adding pass-catching RB James Cook in the draft gives Buffalo another catch-and-run weapon.
  • They ranked top-3 league-wide in 4 and 5-WR sets last year, and we fully expect another pass-happy approach.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Only 26, Allen’s just entering his prime in year 5 as the starter.

We have no concerns about this offense on the field; the key is simply smoothing out the transition from OC Brian Daboll to first-time play-caller Ken Dorsey. And we don’t foresee a rocky road there. (Allen, in fact, requested that Dorsey earn the promotion.)

Allen’s the superflex 1.01 and easily our top projected QB going into the season.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Josh Allen, QB BUF

2:56pm EST 1/23/23

Allen not expected to have elbow surgery

Bills QB Josh Allen said Monday that he's not expected to have surgery on the UCL injury he suffered in his right elbow on November 6. He also told reporters that he didn't feel like he had his usual throwing mechanics until 2 weeks ago. Allen's numbers certainly suggest that the elbow was an issue. In his first 8 games, including the 1 in which he hurt the elbow late, he posted a 64.1% completion rate, 8.1 yards per attempt and 19 TDs vs. 8 INTs. Over his final 10 games, including the playoffs, he registered a 61.7% completion rate, 7.1 yards per attempt and 19 TDs vs. 9 INTs. We'll keep an eye on Allen's status throughout the offseason, but he should tentatively expected to be 100% for the 2023 campaign.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Bills QB Josh Allen completed 25 of 42 passes for 265 yards and 1 INT in Sunday’s loss vs. Cincinnati. His pick came late in the 4th with the game already wrapped up. The Bengals mustered only 1 sack, but steady pressure — and snowy conditions — made life tough for Allen. Allen did pop in a rushing score, his 8th of the season. Buffalo should now shift its focus to upgrading the pass catchers and the OL.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Bills QB Josh Allen put up a monster 352-3-2 passing line in a Wild Card win over Miami. We wouldn’t put either INT on Allen, although he was to blame for a lost fumble in the pocket. Credit Miami for only allowing 20 rushing yards on 4 Allen runs. As a passer, though, Allen’s rare arm talent showed up in several key spots. His scores went to Gabe Davis, Cole Beasley and Dawson Knox. Allen will likely face the Bengals — at home — next weekend.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

The NFL announced that a neutral-site Bills vs. Chiefs AFC Championship game would be held at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Yes ... that'd be Josh Allen vs. Patrick Mahomes in a dome to go to the Super Bowl. Bills-Chiefs produced 62 points in the playoffs 2 years ago and 78 points last year -- with both games coming outside at Arrowhead Stadium.

View all Patrick Mahomes Shark Bites »

Bills QB Josh Allen (ankle, right elbow) upgraded to full practice again on Friday and doesn't carry an injury designation ahead of Week 18 vs. the Patriots. With AFC playoff seeding still being a factor in this game, it stands to reason that Allen and all other key starters will play the full compliment of snaps. Fire up Allen as a no-doubt QB1, per usual.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Josh Allen, QB BUF
Dynasty MVP 343.9
Position Rank #6 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
Allen continued to perform as an elite QB in 2022. 2023 turns up his 6th pro season and questions only surrounding the quality of his supporting cast (beyond WR Stefon Diggs, of course). The 26-year-old is under contract through the 2028 season.

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