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Josh Allen - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJosh Allen's Basic Stats

Josh Allen
ADP: 2.10
Bye: 7
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26.1
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 237
40 Time: 4.75
SPARQx (Rank): 96.70 (74%)
Burst Score (Rank): 118.10 (80%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.30 (71%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 62.00 (100%)

Josh Allen's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#1 Quarterback

406.1 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
2.10 414/632 4645.8 35.2 13.4 117 608.3 3.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJosh Allen's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need To Know:

  • Allen posted a second consecutive overall QB1 finish in 2021 (28 FPPG).
  • He ranked as a top-5 QB 8 times. He finished outside the top-15 only 4 times.
  • Allen’s adjusted completion rate dropped from an insane 79.1% to a more-human 73.8%. But he delivered on 646 pass attempts — 4th most league-wide and 74 more than his previous career high.
  • Allen posted a career-low 6 rushing scores, however, despite a personal-best 122 attempts.
  • Allen played a full slate of games for the 3rd straight season.
  • Buffalo enjoyed some good injury luck, as Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, Dawson Knox and Gabriel Davis combined to miss only 4 games.
  • Buffalo returns 3 of those key pieces, with Beasley as the exception. Khalil Shakir arrived as a Round 5 pick, but he’s likely more of a year 2/3 contributor. Jamison Crowder arrived to help fill the slot void.
  • Buffalo added some O-line competition over the offseason most notably in G Rodger Saffold. While past his prime, he’s adding a unit that won’t limit Allen’s production.
  • The biggest storyline here revolves around the departure of OC Brian Daboll. Former QB coach/pass game coordinator Ken Dorsey will take over.
  • The continuity is nice, and we don’t expect much change from this unit.
  • Adding pass-catching RB James Cook in the draft gives Buffalo another catch-and-run weapon.
  • They ranked top-3 league-wide in 4 and 5-WR sets last year, and we fully expect another pass-happy approach.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Only 26, Allen’s just entering his prime in year 5 as the starter.

We have no concerns about this offense on the field; the key is simply smoothing out the transition from OC Brian Daboll to first-time play-caller Ken Dorsey. And we don’t foresee a rocky road there. (Allen, in fact, requested that Dorsey earn the promotion.)

Allen’s the superflex 1.01 and easily our top projected QB going into the season.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Josh Allen, QB BUF

7:05am EDT 6/16/22

Bills on track with new OC

Bills QB Josh Allen gave an update on the offense under new OC Ken Dorsey. “It doesn’t feel like we’ve missed a step,” Allen said. “Obviously, it’s a different voice in the headset, a different mind, calling the plays. The verbiage is still the same. The protections are still the same. We’ve switched up a couple things here and there with concepts and thought processes, but we’re able to call the same play and understand our players know this play like the back of their hand and it’s just our job to go out there and execute.” Continuity was always the biggest benefit of promoting Dorsey, and it sounds like that’s bearing out. Allen is rightfully coming off the board 1st among QBs in early fantasy drafts.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Bills beat writer Jay Skurski believes there should be “minimal growing pains” in year 1 with OC Ken Dorsey. The former college football star just served as Buffalo’s QB coach/pass game coordinator, so there’s desirable continuity. Dorsey, who’s never called plays at any level, is taking over for new Giants HC Brian Daboll. Skurski mentions the possibility of using more 2-TE sets and throwing to RBs more frequently — obvious dot-connecting following the arrivals of O.J. Howard and rookie James Cook. Allen remains an elite QB1.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

The Bills have promoted QBs coach Ken Dorsey to OC. The Giants reportedly made a run to reunite Dorsey with new HC Brian Daboll, but Dorsey will instead stay with QB Josh Allen in Buffalo. Dorsey has been with the Bills since 2019. He has no OC experience at any level -- but at least there will be some continuity with the Bills offense.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Bills WR Gabriel Davis has been placed on the COVID list. So both Davis and WR Cole Beasley will miss Sunday's pivotal game vs. the Patriots. That leaves Stefon Diggs and Emmanuel Sanders as Buffalo's top 2 WRs, with Isaiah McKenzie likely handling #3 duties. TE Dawson Knox should also play an even bigger role than usual. It's a tough spot for QB Josh Allen against a strong New England defense.

View all Gabriel Davis Shark Bites »

Bills QB Josh Allen (foot) was limited in practice all week but isn’t listed on the final injury report. He’ll play vs. the Panthers on Sunday. That’s a negative matchup, and Allen won’t be at 100%. But he still sits comfortably inside our top 10 QBs for Week 15.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Josh Allen, QB BUF
Dynasty MVP 393.5
Position Rank #1 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
1,239
2,060
3,559
Dynasty Write-up
Allen’s finished as the overall QB1 for 2 straight seasons. Turning 26 in May, Allen’s under contract through the 2028 season.
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