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Josh Allen - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJosh Allen's Basic Stats

Josh Allen
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 6
Age: 28.4
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 237
40 Time: 4.75

SPARQx (Rank): 96.70 (72%)
Burst Score (Rank): 118.10 (78%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.30 (71%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 62.00 (100%)

Josh Allen's Weekly Outlook

Week 7 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
222.7 1.63 0.7 30.2 19.4
Weekly Writeup
Allen has either been a top-5 QB or a QB2 in his performances this year. With Amari Cooper now in tow and Allen still rushing, the QB1 overall potential is always there. The Titans haven’t faced a great QB yet this season, so Allen could surprise them and have a huge day.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
234.2 1.6 0.8 35.7 20.6

Josh Allen's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#2 Quarterback

354.4 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 354.8/557.6 4005.7 27.31 13 123.5 621.7 5.1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJosh Allen's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Allen has finished as a top-3 fantasy QB in four straight seasons.

The Stefon Diggs trade removes his biggest producer in each of those standout campaigns. But in our eyes, the Bills will be OK with new arrivals Keon Coleman and Curtis Samuel. Plus, Allen’s rushing remains a key fantasy driver.

We’d be surprised if he falls outside of the top-3 fantasy QBs.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Allen finished as the QB1 in total fantasy points (473.7) and points per game (27.9).
    • He tied for the league-league in top-5 fantasy finishes (nine).
    • He finished worse than QB14 only twice.
  • He didn’t miss a game due to injury for the fifth straight season.
  • Allen’s, completion rate, yards per attempt, TD rate, and passing success rate all fell in line with career norms.
    • His 3.1% INT rate marked his highest figure since 2018. That turned into a career-high 18 picks.
  • Allen played behind a cohesive O-line that ranked sixth in ESPN’s pass-block win rate; ninth in Pro Football Focus' pass-blocking grades.
  • Buffalo swapped out OC/playcaller Ken Dorsey for Joe Brady in Week 11.
    • Allen averaged 4.8 rushes per game with Dorsey; 9.2 under Brady.
  • In total, Allen set a career-high with 15 rushing TDs. Allen’s 21 rushes inside the ten yard-line were topped by only 14 ball carriers.
  • Overall, Buffalo’s approach tilted towards the run game under Brady. The Bills ranked near the bottom of the league in pass rate over expected in Brady’s nine-game sample.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Buffalo traded Stefon Diggs in April.
    • The 30-year-old has hit 154 targets and 8+ TDs in all four seasons with the Bills.
  • The Bills spent an early Round 2 pick on FSU WR Keon Coleman.
    • Only 21, Coleman brings much-needed size to the WR corps – especially after the departure of Gabe Davis.
    • He's a ball-winner at 6'3, 213 pounds. While his timed speed underwhelmed (4.61), his play speed suggests he can eventually thrive in a starting role.
  • A mostly returning O-line remains solid heading into September.
    • Allen's bookended by a massive tackle duo of Dion Dawkins and Spencer Brown.
  • Joe Brady enters his first full season as Bills’ OC.
    • Brady drew a HC interview with Atlanta but returns for his third season with Buffalo. He adds an element of continuity for Allen.

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Amari Cooper, WR BUF

2:22pm EDT 10/15/24

Amari Cooper Traded to the Bills

WR Amari Cooper was traded from the Cleveland Browns to the Buffalo Bills. The Browns received third- and seventh-round picks while giving up Cooper and a sixth rounder. Cooper, the top WR for the Browns, will slot in as the Bills' No. 1 WR once he settles into the offense.

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Bills WR Khalil Shakir (ankle) did not practice on Thursday. He still has a few days to get ready for Monday night's game vs. the Jets, but consider him no better than 50/50 for that one. QB Josh Allen missed Shakir last week, completing just nine of 30 passes in the loss to the Texans. We'll see if Shakir gets back on the field tomorrow.

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Bills QB Josh Allen completed just nine of 30 passes for 131 yards and one TD in the Week 5 loss to the Texans. The majority of that production came on a 49-yard score to WR Keon Coleman. Otherwise, Allen mustered just 82 scoreless passing yards. The nine completions were his fewest in a full game since his 2018 rookie campaign. It was just his fifth career game with fewer than 140 passing yards. Allen at least added 54 rushing yards on four carries. He went for a concussion check after his head slammed against the turf in the fourth quarter, but Allen was evidently cleared and did not miss an offensive snap.

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Bills QB Josh Allen completed 16 of 29 passes for 180 yards. He also ran five times for 21 yards. The Ravens defense blitzed Allen often and got pressure on him throughout the game.

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Bills QB Josh Allen has been cleared to play in Thursday night's game vs. the Dolphins, HC Sean McDermott said. Allen injured his left hand in the Week 1 win over the Cardinals but was able to play through it. He was listed as a full participant on Monday's estimated practice report. Unless we hear otherwise, there's no reason to expect this to be an issue in Week 2 or beyond. Allen opened his season with a four-TD outing and leads all QBs in Week 1 fantasy points (with the Monday nighter still to go).

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Josh Allen, QB BUF
Dynasty MVP 52.0
Position Rank #1 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
1,020
1,649
3,155
Dynasty Write-up
2023 turned up a career-high in rushing TDs...and declines in passing yards per game and passing TDs per game. Allen is under contract through the 2028 season but lost Stefon Diggs to an April trade to Houston. Keon Coleman arrived as a big-bodied target with red zone chops.
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