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Latavius Murray - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Latavius Murray
BAL

RB BAL

#79 Running Back

31 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 8
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 31
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 224
40 Time: 4.38

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

1.7

DS Projection

3.4

Consensus

38 other sites
5

High Ceiling

6.3

Rest of
Season

6.7

Week 14 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
15.4 0.2 1 6.8 0 3.4
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
37 0.4 0.7 6 0 6.7
Week 5
A week after carrying the load for the Raven’s backfield, Murray’s usage plummeted. The RB group only saw 18 touches total. However, Murray was only responsible for 6 carries and 2 receptions on the night. The Ravens were trailing most of the game, so this impacted Murray’s ability to get anything going on the ground. Murray was on the field less than 50% of the snaps (36 snaps out of 73 total). He finished with 6 carries for 17 yards, adding 2 catches (on 3 targets) for 13 yards. He dropped an easy short-range pass, too. Still, there will be opportunities for the Ravens backfield to get going this week against the Chargers. The Chargers are giving up over 125 rushing yards per game to opponent RBs and have allowed opposing RBs to score 5 rushing TDs on the season. The question is... will those opportunities go to Murray? This backfield is a complete mess with different guys being healthy scratches and Lamar Jackson being the primary running threat. He is our RB37 this week against the Chargers. Next three weeks on the Ravens schedule include LAC, CIN, and their bye week.
Week 4
Murray was handed the keys to this backfield in Week 4. He took 18 carries for 59 yards and a TD. All other Baltimore RBs saw 6 total opportunities.

If Murray is going to see this kind of volume disparity, the rest of the season could be bright. The schedule is nice over the next month, highlighted by Minnesota and the Chargers, who are allowing the 4th and 5th most rushing yards per game.

While Murray may not produce on the team we all expected this season, he can still have the season many thought was possible when we drafted him this summer.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Murray’s 2020 looked a lot like his 1st season in New Orleans. He went from averaging 9.1 carries per game (in a season that Alvin Kamara missed 2 games) to posting 9.7 last fall.
  • Kamara and Murray both played 15 games in 2020. They each sat out Week 17 on the COVID-19 list.
  • Murray averaged 4.5 YPC after posting 4.4 YPC in ’19.
  • He saw 24% of the team’s red zone rush attempts, putting him behind Kamara (40.4%) and Taysom Hill (26.9%).
  • Murray’s 2.5 yards after contact mark was a dip from ’19 (3.16). He forced 13 fewer missed tackles on the same number of attempts.
  • Murray did see loaded boxes frequently. His rate of 36.3% 8+ man boxes ranked 5th highest among 55 qualifiers — but that nearly matched his ’19 tally (35.6%).
  • The 31-year-old is signed for 2 more seasons. For 2021, he projects as Kamara’s clear backup/early down compliment.
  • The Saints will return the same 5 O-line starters. They project as a top-10 run blocking unit, especially if 2nd-year Round 1 pick Cesar Ruiz takes a step forward.
  • Taysom Hill and Jameis Winston will battle for the starting QB job in training camp. Hill started 4 games in places of Drew Brees last year, but we expect Winston to get the Week 1 nod.
  • Expect both guys to start games this fall. Hill’s presence — either as the starter or a goal line replacement — will likely cap Murray’s TD ceiling.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

After some early-career injury issues, Murray’s experienced 4 straight healthy seasons. Credit the now 31-year-old for that.

2021 sees him return to a familiar role as the “1B’ rusher alongside Alvin Kamara. That role has produced 4 RB1 lines over the past 2 seasons — albeit at unpredictable times. He’s been the RB34/RB29 dating back to 2019.

He’s a usable fantasy back in the right matchup. But a lack of pass volume will continue to make him a low-ceiling weekly option.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Ravens RB Latavius Murray (ankle) is active for today’s game vs. the Bears. We’ll see exactly how much work he garners alongside RB Devonta Freeman, but Murray can’t be trusted in Week 11 fantasy lineups. Freeman remains a borderline RB2.

View all Latavius Murray Shark Bites »

Ravens RB Latavius Murray (ankle) is expected to play vs. the Bears today, per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Out since Week 6, Murray figures to slot in behind RB Devonta Freeman in his return.

View all Latavius Murray Shark Bites »

Ravens RB Latavius Murray (ankle) was limited in practice all week and is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game vs. the Bears. If he plays, we expect him to slot in behind RB Devonta Freeman. Murray shouldn’t be in Week 11 fantasy lineups.

View all Latavius Murray Shark Bites »

Ravens RB Latavius Murray (ankle) put in a limited practice on Wednesday. RB Le'Veon Bell's release might have been a sign that Murray is ready for return for this weekend's game vs. the Bears. It's unclear what kind of role he'll have alongside RB Devonta Freeman

View all Latavius Murray Shark Bites »

Ravens RB Latavius Murray (ankle) is listed as doubtful for Thursday night's game vs. the Dolphins. He didn't practice all week and won't play tomorrow. RB Devonta Freeman separated himself a bit in Baltimore's backfield last week and is a solid RB3 or flex play for Week 10.

View all Latavius Murray Shark Bites »

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