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Noah Fant - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Noah Fant
DEN

TE DEN

#7 Tight End

104 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 11
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 249
40 Time: 4.50

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

4.4

DS Projection

7.4

Consensus

38 other sites
6

Med Ceiling

10.5

Rest of
Season

7.6

Week 7 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.8 49.7 0.4 7.4
Weekly Writeup
With TE Albert Okwuegbunam out for the majority of the past 3 weeks, Fant has averaged 8.3 targets, 6 catches, 54.3 yards and .7 TDs per game. He's a high-floor fantasy play, although the ceiling is capped in what figures to be a low-scoring game vs. the Browns on Thursday night.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4 52 0.4 7.6
Week 6
Fant caught 9 of 11 targets for 97 yards and 1 TD in Denver's Week 6 blowout loss to Las Vegas.
Fant ended up having a fantastic fantasy game mostly as a result of the Broncos falling behind big and benefiting from nearly 50 Teddy Bridgewater pass attempts.
Fant scored his TD late in the 4th quarter and was 2nd on the team in targets, only behind Courtland Sutton.
Fant should be used as a TE1 going forward. The Broncos play the Browns on Thursday Night Football in Week 7.
Week 5
What happened with Fant in Pittsburgh? Nothing crazy. He just didn’t get the ball much.

Denver went 70.7% pass in a game they trailed throughout. Teddy Bridgewater attempted 38 passes. But Fant saw a target on just 4 of them.

He played a season-high 97% of offensive snaps and spent just 3 of his 41 pass-play snaps as a blocker. We can probably chalk his quiet fantasy day primarily up to bad luck. It’s worth noting, though, that Pittsburgh’s best DVOA rating in coverage vs. any position so far comes against TE. Football Outsiders ranks the Steelers 13th in that category.

Keep Fant in your starting plans for Week 6 against a Raiders defense that ranks 25th in TE-coverage DVOA.
Week 4
Fant led the team in targets in Week 4 with 10, catching 6 for 46 yards and a TD. While the TD came from Teddy Bridgewater, it was Drew Lock who leaned on the TE, targeting him 6 times after taking over.

In this game, Fant saw the most targets and receptions of the entire season. He also separated himself from Albert Okwuegbunam, who has continued to see his targets drop off. Drew Lock should continue to lean on Fant for as long as he starts.

Going forward, Fant is a solid fantasy TE but has yet to flash the elite upside many thought he could have this season. Maybe Drew Lock unlocks that with the volume, but we will have to wait and see.
Week 3
Fant caught 2 of his 3 targets on Sunday for 15 yards. Like most of the Denver offense, the production was simply not there in this matchup. Fant had seen 14 targets through the first two weeks. But with passing not being a priority in this contest, the targets simply were not there.

Going forward, Fant should be just fine. He has vaulted to the 2nd most important target in this offense behind Courtland Sutton with the injuries out wide. TE Albert Okwuegbunam continues to see enough work to be annoying, but nothing that should cause Fant issue long term.

There is little reason to doubt Fant the rest of the way. He should be one of the safest and most reliable TE options after the big names the rest of the season.
Week 2
Even though the Broncos led for most of this contest, the team still had Teddy Bridgewater throw the ball 34 times. Unfortunately for Fant, Courtland Sutton saw 12 of those passes. 10 passes were thrown to the TE position, but Albert Ogwuebunam saw 4 of those looks. As a result, Fant caught just 4 passes, none of which resulted in him finding the space to generate big yardage after the catch. Despite the moderate yardage total, he was able to haul in a TD to salvage his fantasy day.
For Fant to reach the ceiling that his elite talent should allow, he’ll need the team to throw a bit more than they have through 2 games. The good news is that they won’t likely play all of their games with a lead, which will likely force them to have a decent number of games where Fant can have games like Week 1 when he was targeted 8 times with some of those passes being downfield. He’ll also likely see a target squeeze when Jerry Jeudy returns from his ankle injury.
Week 1
Fant led the Broncos in targets with 8 and finished the day with 6 receptions for 62 yards. It seemed every time QB Teddy Bridgewater needed to make a play he was looking for big #87 or WR Jerry Jeudy. With Jeudy now hurt, expect Fant’s volume to grow.
Fant did a nice job as Teddy’s release valve, but he wasn’t able to showcase much of his athleticism in the open field. He also was sniped by TE Albert Okwuegbunam for a red zone score that crippled the Giants’ chances. Fant should be able to build on the productive week with another plus matchup in Jacksonville.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Fant posted a 62-673-3 line in 15 games last year, ranking 12th among TEs in PPR points per game and 18th in non-PPR.
  • That’s misleading, though, because …
    • Fant left Week 4 early with an ankle injury.
    • The Broncos were missing all of their QBs in Week 12, limiting Fant to 1 catch.
    • He played just 5 snaps in Week 14 due to an illness.
  • If we remove those 3 games, Fant climbs to 5th in PPR points per game and 10th in non-PPR.
  • Among 35 TEs with 40+ targets last year, Fant ranked 15th in yards per target, 6th in yards per route run and 5th in Pro Football Focus receiving grades.
  • Even with the injury, illness and QB issues, Fant scored the 12th most PPR points by a 2nd-year TE over the past 10 seasons.
  • That followed an impressive 40-562-3 line as a rookie -- the 7th most PPR points scored by a rookie TE over the past 10 seasons.
  • Fant’s 102 catches through his first 2 seasons rank 3rd by a TE over the last 10 years. His 1,235 yards rank 6th on that list, and his 158.3 PPR points 8th just behind Evan Engram, Hunter Henry and O.J. Howard and right ahead of Zach Ertz and T.J. Hockenson.
  • OC Pat Shurmur returns for his 2nd season with the Broncos in 2021.
  • The Broncos traded for QB Teddy Bridgewater in April. He’ll compete with QB Drew Lock for the starting job.
  • Bridgewater sports a career 66.5% completion rate and 7.3 yards per attempt average -- much better than Lock’s 59.1% completion rate and 6.6 yards per attempt through 2 seasons.
  • Whether Lock takes a significant step forward in 2021 or Bridgewater beats him out, Fant should get better QB play this season than last.
  • He’ll face more target competition, though. Courtland Sutton is back after playing just 31 snaps before tearing his ACL last year. And Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler are candidates for bigger roles in their 2nd seasons.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Fant was better last year than his final fantasy ranking suggests. An injury, illness and game without a legitimate QB tripped him up. But outside of those outings, he finished TE5 in PPR points and TE10 in non-PPR. That followed a strong rookie season.

Fant faces tough target competition, most notably from WRs Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy. And QB play remains a question mark. But the 23-year-old Fant is an ascending player with an exciting ceiling.

If you miss out on the top tier of TEs, he’s a nice target in the middle rounds of your fantasy draft.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Broncos TE Noah Fant (leg) isn’t listed on the final Week 1 injury report after putting in full practices on Thursday and Friday. He should be full-go for this weekend’s opener vs. the Giants.

View all Noah Fant Shark Bites »

Broncos TE Noah Fant (leg) progressed to a full practice on Thursday. He's ready to go for this weekend's opener vs. the Giants.

View all Noah Fant Shark Bites »

Broncos TE Noah Fant (knee) was limited in Wednesday's practice. He's expected to be available for this weekend's game vs. the Giants, but his status is worth monitoring over the next few days.

View all Noah Fant Shark Bites »

Broncos TE Noah Fant returned to practice on Monday. He missed a couple of weeks with a lower-leg injury but was always expected to be ready for Week 1. He can be penciled into fantasy lineups for now.

View all Noah Fant Shark Bites »

The Broncos don't expect TE Noah Fant to miss any regular-season time with his lower left leg injury, according to NFL Network's James Palmer. Fant has missed the past few days of practice and won't play in the preseason finale. But this doesn't sound like a serious issue. We'll keep you updated.

View all Noah Fant Shark Bites »

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