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Terry McLaurin - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTerry McLaurin's Basic Stats

Terry McLaurin
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 27.3
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 210
40 Time: 4.35
Speed Score: 114.60
SPARQx (Rank): 126.20 (95%)
Burst Score (Rank): 126.30 (77%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.16 (59%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.19 (77%)

Terry McLaurin's Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
0 0 0 0
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Terry McLaurin's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#19 Wide Receiver

152.3 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 83.9 1141.1 6.6 2.9 0.7

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTerry McLaurin's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • McLaurin saw his yards per catch dip by 2.9 from his rookie season to 2020, but that rate rebounded some (by 0.8) last season.
  • His yards per target fell for the 2nd straight year, thanks to McLaurin’s worst catch rate among his 3 seasons (59.2%, down from 64.9% and 62.4%). But his average target depth made a nice recovery. That number went from 14.0 in 2019 down to 9.7 in 2020, then back to 13.1 last year.
  • Carson Wentz should help keep that area strong. He finished 3 of the past 5 seasons among the league’s top 10 in average depth of target, including 2 year among the top 5.
  • Washington clearly believes Wentz to be an upgrade over Taylor Heinicke. But it’s worth noting that Heinicke edged Wentz by 1 percentage point in Pro Football Focus’ adjusted completion rate last year and matched him at 6.9 yards per pass attempt. His career completion rate of 64.6% also leads Wentz’s 62.6%.
  • McLaurin has tallied the 9th most targets among WRs over the past 2 seasons, since HC Ron Rivera and OC Scott Turner arrived. His target share landed almost exactly on 23.6% (for games he played) each of the past 2 years.
  • Washington drafted WR Jahan Dotson 16th overall and gets WR Curtis Samuel back from a groin injury that cost him nearly all of his 1st season with the team. The Commanders also re-signed RB J.D. McKissic.
  • TE Logan Thomas is working back from a Dec. 5 ACL tear.
  • McLaurin is due for some positive TD regression. After scoring on 12.1% of his receptions as a rookie, he did so on just 4.6% in 2020 and 6.5% last year. In 2021, he tied for 18th among WRs in end-zone targets but just 30th in TD receptions.
  • These QBs have started games for Washington since McLaurin arrived: Taylor Heinicke (15), Dwayne Haskins (13), Case Keenum (8), Alex Smith (6), Kyle Allen (4), Ryan Fitzpatrick (1), Colt McCoy (1) and Garrett Gilbert (1).


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

McLaurin’s QB play through 3 seasons has been so mediocre-to-poor that even this version of Carson Wentz might truly be an upgrade. McLaurin is at his best when able to work downfield, which is an area Wentz handles well. The wideout has fallen short of elite target share and doesn’t look likely to add to that area with added competition from Jahan Dotson and a healthy Curtis Samuel. But McLaurin is probably just a little good TD luck away from being a solid WR2.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Carson Wentz, QB WAS

7:49pm EST 1/10/23

Commanders fire Turner

The Commanders fired OC Scott Turner. Washington never ranked better than 20th in total yards or 23rd in points across Turner's 3 seasons, although QB play was seemingly a bigger problem than Turner's play calling. We'll see who the Commanders tab as their next OC -- and what they do at QB. Carson Wentz is set to count $26 million against the 2023 cap but can be cut with no dead-cap penalty.

View all Carson Wentz Shark Bites »

According to Michael Phillips of the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Commanders HC Ron Rivera said this week that he'll play WRs Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel for "at least a portion of the game" Sunday. The notion here is that the coach will give rookie QB Sam Howell some time to work with the team's top options in his NFL debut. Of course, the fantasy read is that Rivera likely doesn't plan to play McLaurin or Samuel the entire game. That could change if Howell delivers and the team stays tight with the Cowboys. But the uncertainty -- including that brought by a 5th-round rookie QB in his 1st pro action -- should make you wary of starting McLaurin in Week 18 fantasy football lineups. We'll keep updating our Week 18 fantasy football rankings for anything else we learn on this and other situations.

View all Terry McLaurin Shark Bites »

ESPN's Jeremy Fowler reports that the Commanders are expected to start QB Taylor Heinicke against Dallas in the season finale. But he adds that rookie QB Sam Howell "is also slated to play." Take this news as an admission from HC Ron Rivera that he was wrong to start Carson Wentz in the Week 17 loss to Cleveland. With Washington now eliminated from playoff contention, though, it would seem to make more sense to just play the rookie the whole way. The reported plan, of course, makes both QBs unusable in fantasy football lineups. And the whole situation adds risk to Washington pass-catchers. We're not changing our outlook for RB Brian Robinson Jr., though. Check out the adjusted Week 18 fantasy football rankings.

View all Taylor Heinicke Shark Bites »

Commanders TE Logan Thomas hauled in 6 of 7 targets for 56 yards on Sunday vs. the Browns. This effort led all Commanders' pass-catchers in what was a rather poor offensive showing in the Week 17 loss. WR Jahan Dotson only managed to rope in 3 of 7 targets for 37 yards. WRs Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel combined for 3 catches between them and did not provide much fantasy value on Sunday. It'll be interesting to see if Commanders HC Ron Rivera hands the reigns back over to QB Taylor Heinicke for Week 18 vs. the Cowboys. That might be the only hope fantasy managers playing beyond this week have for this bunch.

View all Logan Thomas Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Terry McLaurin, WR WAS
Dynasty MVP 127.9
Position Rank #35 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
458
729
851
Dynasty Write-up
McLaurin’s 2022 production increased once QB Taylor Heinicke took over around mid-season. Of course, Heinicke isn’t Washington’s long-term answer. We’ll see if they find one this offseason (Sam Howell?). McLaurin, 27, profiles as a multi-year WR2, regardless.

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