Projected Role & Competition
Washington didn’t add a single challenger for McLaurin’s No. 1 role.
Instead, this unit lost last year’s top two targets, Zach Ertz and Deebo Samuel, vacating 171 targets.
At WR, they’ll look to fill in the gaps with some combination of:
- Antonio Williams
- Treylon Burks
- Dyami Brown
- Van Jefferson
- Jaylin Lane
- Luke McCaffrey
Williams bears watching as a Round 3 rookie. He broke out as a freshman, leading Clemson in reception share (18.7%) and receiving yards share (18.5%). The Commanders praised his versatility after the draft, and a thin veteran group gives him a reasonable chance at a significant role. But that doesn’t make him a threat to McLaurin’s workload.
TE Chig Okonkwo landed a three-year deal with $16.7 million guaranteed, but his Tennessee appeal was driven more by athleticism than production. He has played every game across four seasons and still hasn’t reached 60 catches or 600 yards, so he almost certainly won’t impact McLaurin’s role.
Washington could still make a move with more potential to affect McLaurin, such as signing Brandon Aiyuk or Stefon Diggs. For now, though, the Commanders are built for McLaurin to challenge his career-high in targets (134 in 2020).
Supporting Cast
McLaurin’s rebound case depends heavily on Daniels returning to form.
Daniels’ passing efficiency dipped in a smaller 2025 sample, falling to 6.7 yards per attempt and a 60.6% completion rate. As a rookie, he posted 7.4 YPA with a 68.4% completion rate.
That decline doesn’t worry us much. Daniels played through injuries, and drops hurt his efficiency. His adjusted completion rate, which accounts for drops, throwaways, and spikes, dipped only from 78.1% to 76.2%.
Missing McLaurin for four of seven games only added to the struggles.
Coaching & Offensive Scheme
In February, new OC David Blough committed to building the passing attack around McLaurin.
“This thing's going to be built around how do we get Terry 10 targets a game and get him explosive receptions after explosive receptions to kind of flip the field."
Blough spent the past two seasons as Washington’s assistant QBs coach and has yet to call plays at any level, so there’s no track record to lean on when projecting his offense. The 31-year-old is only three seasons removed from playing backup QB in Detroit.
The understanding, though, is that Washington will implement an offense with more play-action passing and fewer shotgun looks. McLaurin is also expected to move around the formation much more than he did in former OC Kliff Kingsbury’s system.
“I think the multitude of formations and route combinations is going to give all of us flexibility to move around the formation, keep the defense on their toes and have a lot of routes that may look similar at the stem but different at the top,” McLaurin said via The Athletic.
“I love that because that allows me to present the same stem to these DBs, but they have to respect (that) I can go left, right, I can go vertical because I can still run by you, I could stop or I could go in. Just having those types of variations in your route tree is just an unbelievable weapon to have as a receiver.”
We’re still expecting Washington to be one of the league’s run-heaviest teams because of Daniels’ rushing ability and the thin receiving corps. But that was already the case in 2024 (sixth-highest rushing rate), when McLaurin delivered top-10 fantasy scoring.
Paths to Ceiling
McLaurin’s history includes a WR7 fantasy finish just two seasons ago. He probably won’t repeat the 13 TDs of that season but looks like a good bet to exceed his 117 targets of 2024.
A rebound season from Jayden Daniels would only add to McLaurin’s appeal as a potential low-end WR1.
Risk Factors
A quad injury derailed McLaurin’s 2025, and he’ll turn 31 on Sept. 15. That gives him some decline risk. He’ll also need Daniels to stay on the field after an injury-marred Year 2.
Further injury trouble for either player could limit McLaurin’s impact to WR3 range.