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Terry McLaurin - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTerry McLaurin's Basic Stats

Terry McLaurin
ADP: 6.7
Bye: 14
Experience: 5
Age: 28.8
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 210
40 Time: 4.35
Speed Score: 114.60

SPARQx (Rank): 126.20 (95%)
Burst Score (Rank): 126.30 (75%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.16 (61%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.15 (77%)

Terry McLaurin's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.6 62.9 0.31 8.3
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.7 65.4 0.4 8.9

Terry McLaurin's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#29 Wide Receiver

207.5 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
6.7 73.6 1006.4 4.96 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTerry McLaurin's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Since scoring 7 times as a rookie, McLaurin's TD counts have gone 4, 5, 5, 4.

It’s a lack of scoring that’s kept him from a fantasy WR1 breakout.

We’re not counting on a scoring surge this fall. But we’re intrigued by the arrival of Jayden Daniels, while Washington’s current pass-catching corps should afford another 120ish targets.

At bottom, McLaurin fits best as a mid-tier WR3.

What We Learned Last Year

  • McLaurin battled through a case of turf toe in August.
  • He returned for Week 1 and played alongside QB Sam Howell, who led the NFL in attempts.
  • The former Ohio State star saw 128 targets – good for a 22.2% target share.
    • An inefficient season followed. McLaurin tied or set career lows in TDs (4), yards per catch (12.7), and yards per route run (1.56).
  • The underwhelming season certainly trickled down to fantasy.
    • He finished as a top-15 WR only twice.
    • He ranked outside the top-36 WRs eight times.
  • On the positive side, McLaurin remained durable. He didn’t miss a game for the third straight season.

What to Expect in 2024

  • McLaurin returns for year six. He’s under contract for two more seasons.
  • Washington lost Curtis Samuel to free agency and replaced him with late-Round 3 rookie Luke McCaffrey.
    • McCaffrey is a convered QB who’s on the raw side. Most analysts expected him to be a Round 5-6 pick.
    • Samuel’s absence removes 91 targets from the ‘23 offense.
    • Washington added TEs Zach Ertz and rookie Ben Sinnott. Their presence doesn’t impact McLaurin’s role.
  • QB Jayden Daniels arrives as the second overall pick.
    • He’ll turn 24 in December and brings plenty of experience (55 starts).
    • He’s a top-tier athlete with the ability to extend plays – a theoretical benefit for McLaurin’s downfield upside.
    • Note: a healthy 22.7% of McLaurin’s 2023 targets came on deep balls (20+ air yards).
  • OC Kliff Kingsburry enters year one in Washington.
    • His Arizona offenses ranked 18th, 15th, 18th, and 4th in pass attempts.
    • Kingsburry’s units ranked 1st, 6th, 8th, and 6th in total WR target share. Volume shouldn’t be an issue for McLaurin.

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Terry McLaurin, WR WAS

8:49am EST 2/5/24

Kliff Kingsbury accepts Washington OC job

The Commanders are hiring Kliff Kingsbury as their OC under HC Dan Quinn, according to multiple reports. Kingsbury had an underwhelming tenure as Cardinals HC from 2019 to 2022, going 28-37-1 over those four seasons. He landed two of those teams inside the top 8 in total yards, but none cracked the top 10 in points. Kingsbury at least deployed fast-paced attacks, with three of his four offenses finishing top 3 in pace and offensive plays. He joins a Washington squad with plenty of skill-position talent and the No. 2 overall pick in this spring's draft, which will presumably be used to take a QB.

View all Terry McLaurin Shark Bites »

Commanders WR Terry McLaurin managed no receptions on just 3 targets in Sunday's blowout loss to the Dolphins. And he wasn't happy about it. "I ran a lot of cardio today," he told reporters after the game. It's been a disappointing season for Washington's top wideout. Despite his offense leading the league in pass attempts entering Sunday and ranking ninth in passing yards, McLaurin was working on a career-low 57.8 yards per game. That's obviously coming down even further after Sunday's 0. WR Curtis Samuel tied with RB Antonio Gibson, and WR Jahan Dotson for the team lead with 5 targets. Samuel and Gibson caught four passes apiece, while Samuel led the team with 65 receiving yards. Washington's WRs don't look likely to help you a whole lot the rest of the way. After a Week 14 bye, the Commanders get the league's third-toughest schedule for WR scoring over the final three fantasy weeks. That includes matchups with the Jets and 49ers in the final two rounds of most fantasy playoffs.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Terry McLaurin, WR WAS
Dynasty MVP 94.8
Position Rank #63 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
312
489
826
Dynasty Write-up
Despite high volume from Sam Howell in 2023, McLaurin's fantasy production never followed suit (79-1,002-4). He signed an extension in July of 2022, keeping him under contract through the 2025 season.
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