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David Montgomery - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

David Montgomery
CHI

RB CHI

#17 Running Back

193 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 10
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 219
40 Time: 4.60

Weekly Outlook

Week 6 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
42 0.4 1.8 14 0.1 8.6
Week 4
Montgomery rushed 23 times for 106 yards and 2 TDs in the Bears' Week 4 win over the Lions.
Montgomery was beasting from the beginning of the game with TDs in both the 1st and 2nd quarters.
Unfortunately, Montgomery was knocked out of the game with a knee injury in the 4th quarter and was quickly ruled out for the rest of the game. He’s expected to miss 4-5 weeks.
Damien Williams should now be the featured back in Chicago and should be viewed as a RB2 option in Week 5 against the Raiders.
Week 3
Why didn’t the Bears run more to help their rookie QB in his 1st start? That’s an easy question to ask after Montgomery finished with the team’s only 10 RB carries of the game. But the answer might be another question: How much would it really have helped?

Pro Football Focus grades the Bears 2nd-worst in the league in run-blocking, ahead of only the Raiders. Football Outsiders rates them 28th in adjusted line yards.

Montgomery ran for 16 yards on Chicago’s 1st play of the game. His remaining 9 attempts netted just 18 more yards.

If Chicago can come up with a better game plan for leveraging the downfield ability and speed of WRs Allen Robinson, Darnell Mooney, Marquise Goodwin and Damiere Byrd -- as well as protecting its talented rookie QB -- Justin Fields has the potential to help Montgomery find running room.

For now, though, Chicago’s offense is a tough one to trust in any particular area. That doesn’t mean you need to get rid of Montgomery for whatever you can get. But be willing to consider moving him in the right trade opportunity.
Week 2
Montgomery tallied just 61 yards on his 20 carries against the Bengals. Additionally, he caught 3 of his 4 targets for 18 yards. This volume was a great sign even with his fantasy day leaving something to be desired.

A week ago Montgomery saw 17 opportunities to 10 for Damien Williams, leading some to wonder if there was more of a timeshare than we had thought. That was seemingly put to bed this week as Montgomery saw 24 opportunities to Williams' 5.

Going forward, having Justin Fields under center should only help to open things up for Montgomery. The increased use in the passing game was also a plus that would be fantastic to see stick. Work on all 3 downs with a mobile QB may help Montgomery return the value for where he was taken in drafts heading into the season.
Week 1
It was nice to see Montgomery have a big day in the season opener. The third-year pro broke off a 41-yard run on the second play of the game. Montgomery ran hard and looked quick hitting holes in this one. He was able to go over the 100 -yard mark in the third quarter in a game where the Bears trailed from start to finish. Montgomery finished the day with 16 carries for 108 yards and a TD. He added a 10-yard catch on his only target in the passing game. Montgomery looked like the best player on the field for the Bears in this game.
Montgomery was only on the field for 59% of the plays opening week, which is a bit concerning. However, he did a lot with his touches against a tough Rams front 7. We have him ranked at RB18 this week against Cincinnati. Cincinnati just held Dalvin Cook and the Vikings to 67 total rush yards, so it may be tough sledding. Once Justin Fields takes over as the starting QB, rushing lanes should open up for Montgomery and the numbers should reflect that. The third-year pro is ranked at RB17 the rest of the season.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Montgomery leaped from RB33 in PPR points per game as a 2019 rookie to 7th last season.
  • He got a boost from a soft late-season schedule. Chicago’s final 6 opponents and their ranking in Football Outsiders’ run-defense DVOA:
    • Packers, 18th
    • Lions, 27th
    • Texans, 29th
    • Vikings, 30th
    • Jaguars, 24th
    • Packers, 18th
  • Montgomery scored 8 TDs over those 6 games and led all RBs in PPR points.
  • For weeks 1-9, Montgomery ranked 14th among PPR RBs, scoring 2 total TDs. (He missed Week 10.)
  • Montgomery showed signs of overall improvement vs. his rookie year, though.
    • He ranked 6th in Pro Football Focus’ elusive rating, among 63 RBs with 75+ carries. Montgomery checked in 33rd among 50 such backs in 2019.
    • He ranked 10th among all RBs in PFF rushing grade, after slotting an ugly 73rd as a rookie.
    • He climbed from 42nd in FO’s rushing DYAR and 40th in DVOA in 2019 to 30th in each last season.
  • Montgomery remained mediocre in receiving grade, earning the exact same grade. (That ranked him 37th in 2019; 41st in 2020.)
  • His touch volume benefited from Tarik Cohen suffering an ACL tear in Week 3. Montgomery garnered 61.3% of Bears carries in 2019, then just 50.6% over the first 3 games of 2020. He collected 70% over 12 games with Cohen out. Montgomery’s target share also jumped to 12.1% in 12 games without Cohen. That followed shares of 6.0% in 2019 and 7.8% over the first 3 games of 2020.
  • Montgomery was 1 of just 6 RBs to score at a top-13 level in more than 50% of his appearances last season. He also tied for 10th in producing top-24 weeks.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Even if you’re skeptical of Montgomery’s fantasy numbers from 2020 (for good reason), the advanced metrics point to improved performance for the Chicago RB in his 2nd season.

The problem is the return of Cohen, which will almost certainly sap targets. The Bears also signed Damien Williams (to a small 1-year deal) and drafted Khalil Herbert (in Round 6), but neither of those players looks like a significant challenge to Montgomery’s outlook. The good news here is that fantasy drafters overall remain skeptical of the 3rd-year Bear. He’s going as RB20 early in Round 4 of FFPC best-ball drafts. He can fall well off his 2020 pace and still be fine at that level.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Bears placed RB David Montgomery (knee) on IR, knocking him out for at least the next 3 weeks. NFL Network's Ian Rapoport says "3-5 weeks" is Montgomery's timetable for return. We'll see if he can make it back before Chicago's Week 10 bye.

View all David Montgomery Shark Bites »

Bears RB David Montgomery (knee) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Raiders. He’s expected to miss 4-5 weeks but hasn’t yet been placed on IR. Damien Williams should operate as Chicago’s clear lead back this weekend, with rookie Khalil Herbert as the #2 RB.

View all David Montgomery Shark Bites »

Bears RB David Montgomery is expected to miss 4-5 weeks with a sprained knee, ESPN's Dan Graziano reports. Chicago has a Week 10 bye, so it's possible that we don't see Montgomery again until Week 11. He was looking like a high-end RB2 before going down, so we'd try to keep him stashed on fantasy benches. Damien Williams is set to take over as Chicago's lead back, assuming his quad injury doesn't keep him out. Rookie Khalil Herbert is now #2 on the depth chart. Remember, too, that RB Tarik Cohen (ACL) is eligible to come off the PUP list in Week 7.

View all David Montgomery Shark Bites »

The "initial belief based on early tests" is that Bears RB David Montgomery's knee injury is not major, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Montgomery hyperextended the knee and is set for an MRI on Monday. We should get a more concrete diagnosis then. Damien Williams will step in as Chicago's lead back if Montgomery misses time.

View all David Montgomery Shark Bites »

Bears RB David Montgomery appeared to injure his left knee in the 4th quarter of Sunday's game vs. the Lions. He was in obvious pain and limped slowly off the field. Stay tuned for an update. RB Damien Williams is Chicago's backup.

View all David Montgomery Shark Bites »

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