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David Montgomery - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDavid Montgomery's Basic Stats

David Montgomery
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 25.4
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 222
40 Time: 4.63
SPARQx (Rank): 98.10 (16%)
Burst Score (Rank): 109.00 (10%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.35 (56%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.12

David Montgomery's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
75.8 0.4 2.2 17.4 0 11.3
Weekly Writeup
Montgomery surprisingly out-carried Darrynton Evans just 14 to 9 last week. That adds some risk to his Week 13 profile. But the matchup is excellent against the Packers, who rank 27th in Football Outsiders' run defense DVOA and have allowed 4.9 yards per carry to RBs over the past 5 weeks. Montgomery ripped Green Bay for 122 yards on 15 carries back in Week 2.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
54.6 0.3 2.7 19.8 0.1 9.6

David Montgomery's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#23 Running Back

167.2 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 216.6 836.6 6.5 1.9 1.4 49.1 365.7 1.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDavid Montgomery's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Montgomery took a step back in 2021, his 3rd pro season.
  • Across a career-low 13 games, he posted 225-849-7. That’s just 3.8 YPC.
  • Among 19 RBs with 200+ carries, Montgomery ranked 16th in Elusive Rating, 17th in YPC, 17th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade and 19th in YAC per attempt.
  • He finished as an RB2 or better in 8 games.
  • He added 42 catches and was on a full-season pace of 55 catches. That would have ranked 5th at the position.
  • A Week 4 knee injury knocked Montgomery out until Week 9.
  • His pre/post injury splits were clear. Prior to the injury, Montgomery averaged 4.5 YPC; 3.4 YPC after. His yards per catch dipped by a full yard post-injury, and his long run went for just 24 yards.
  • It wasn’t all on the RB, though — Chicago’s O-line was a letdown. They ranked 22nd in PFF’s run-blocking grades. Montgomery ranked 45th among 53 RBs in yards before contact per attempt (1.9).
  • HC Matt Nagy’s stagnant offense gave little chance for liftoff under rookie QB Justin Fields, who made only 10 starts.
  • Nagy was canned in January. HC Matt Eberflus — and more importantly, OC Luke Getsy — were hired.
  • Getsy has never been an NFL play-caller. The Athletic’s Adam Jahns wrote in May that the team is “transitioning to a run-heavy team with outside-zone.” Chicago’s likely to roster a FB (Khari Blasingame).
  • Chicago’s O-line didn’t get noticeably better over the offseason. We’d be surprised if they’re any better than league-average.
  • 2nd-year RB Khalil Herbert has the skill set to potentially carve out a sizable role. At a minimum, he looks to be Montgomery’s clear-cut handcuff.
  • Montgomery is set to enter a contract year. No extension is expected to be reached prior to Week 1.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Montgomery’s finished 15th and 6th in PPR PPG over the past 2 seasons. An injury hampered his 2021 upside, but he still saw the volume to remain a valuable fantasy back.

2022 turns up a coaching change, and with that, some uncertainty over Montgomery’s workhorse role. Khalil Herbert flashed in limited time as a rookie. Montgomery, though, remains the heavy favorite to see ~15-18 touches per game — at least early in the season.

This offense simply doesn’t profile as high-scoring, making Montgomery an RB2 with a questionable ceiling.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Justin Fields, QB CHI

11:29am EST 11/27/22

Fields INACTIVE

Bears QB Justin Fields (shoulder) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Jets. He got in 3 limited practices this week, so we’ll see if he can get cleared for Week 13. QB Trevor Siemian makes his 30th career start today. He owns a 59% completion rate and 6.6 yards-per-attempt average. Chicago figures to throw it at least a bit more with Siemian under center, but we wouldn’t consider this an upgrade for anyone on the offense.

View all Justin Fields Shark Bites »

Bears RB David Montgomery matched a season-high with 17 carries in a Week 11 loss at Atlanta. He notched 3.9 YPC and 1 TD, which was setup by a defensive holding call. Montgomery added 3 catches for 54 yards through the air, with a big chunk coming on a beautiful downfield pass by Justin Fields. Rookie Trestan Ebner mixed in for 6 carries (0 targets), but he managed just 1.3 YPC. With Khalil Herbert set to miss at least 3 more games, Montgomery will remain a solid RB2 going forward. Next up is a road date with the Jets.

View all David Montgomery Shark Bites »

The Bears have placed RB Khalil Herbert on IR for the hip injury that knocked him out of Sunday's loss to the Lions. With rookie Tristan Ebner now the only other healthy RB on the roster, David Montgomery should be set up for plenty of work over at least the next 4 weeks, starting with a terrific matchup against the Falcons this week. We'll see about the expected return timeline for Herbert.

View all Khalil Herbert Shark Bites »

Bears RB Khalil Herbert beat David Montgomery by 1 carry and 20 yards in Sunday's 31-30 loss to the Lions. Herbert rushed 10 times for 57 yards, while Montgomery went for 37 yards on 9 attempts. Montgomery drew the only target between them, catching it for 7 yards. A Week 11 trip to Atlanta presents positive conditions for both players, though QB Justin Fields' rushing rebirth has lowered the ceiling for the RBs.

View all Khalil Herbert Shark Bites »

Bears RB Khalil Herbert played less than half of David Montgomery's snaps in Sunday's loss to the Cowboys. But he beat the starter by 1 carry and crushed him in rushing production. Herbert took 16 carries for 99 yards and a TD (6.2 yards per rush). Montgomery carried 15 times for 53 yards (3.5). Montgomery did dominate the backfield receiving work, catching all 3 targets for 22 yards. Herbert went without a target. That's 2 straight weeks for Herbert running close to Montgomery in touches, both productive weeks for the offense. It appears we should bet on the elevated role continuing for Herbert, who looks like at least a RB3 even with Montgomery in the lineup.

View all Khalil Herbert Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

David Montgomery, RB CHI
Dynasty MVP 117.7
Position Rank #34 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
486
637
637
Dynasty Write-up
Montgomery has gone from 15.1 to 16.5 to 17.3 carries per game over his first 3 NFL seasons. The concern for us is that he was out-played by rookie Khalil Herbert by basically any metric last year. And a new coaching staff in Chicago adds risk to Montgomery's workload.
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