Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

David Montgomery - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDavid Montgomery's Basic Stats

David Montgomery
ADP: 7.2
Bye: 9
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26.3
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 224
40 Time: 4.63
SPARQx (Rank): 98.10 (16%)
Burst Score (Rank): 109.00 (10%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.35 (56%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.12

David Montgomery's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
66 0.5 1.1 8.2 0 10.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
56.4 0.5 1.6 12.2 0.1 10.3

David Montgomery's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#15 Running Back

165 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
7.2 223.1 902.3 8.7 2 2.1 25.3 195.3 1.2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDavid Montgomery's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

The former Bears RB finds himself with an opportunity to lead a committee backfield with the Lions behind an offensive line that’s much better than any he played behind in Chicago.

The tricky part of Montgomery’s fantasy outlook is Jahmyr Gibbs. The rookie will almost certainly take the backfield’s lead receiving role. We’ll see about the rushing split.

Ultimately, Montgomery makes sense in the range where RB2 crosses over to RB3. His ceiling case includes capturing the goal-line work that propelled Jamaal Williams into the top 15 across formats last year.

Montgomery gets more attractive in non-PPR formats.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Montgomery has recorded mixed levels of success since turning pro in 2019. He finished last season as the RB24 in PPR.
  • He finished 2022 with just four top-12 weekly finishes and four more inside the top 24, among his 16 games.
  • It’s a little disappointing to see that Mongtomery didn’t contribute more in an extremely run-heavy Bears offense:
    • 31st in pass rate
    • The lowest Pass Rate Over Expectation among any NFL team since 2016 (-14.1%)
  • In fairness, Justin Fields skewed the numbers a bit. He accounted for 30% of the Bears’ team rushing attempts, including 70 scrambles.
    • Despite ranking second in the league in team rushing attempts, the Bears ranked just 14th in RB carries.
  • It’s also worth noting that the Bears’ offensive line hasn’t done Montgomery many favors throughout his career. Here’s how the team finished in Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards since he entered the league:
    • 29th (3.86)
    • 25th (4.16)
    • 23rd (4.06)
    • 11th (4.50)
  • Montgomery finished last season behind teammate RB Khalil Herbert in Football Outsiders’ defense-adjusted yards above replacement in both 2021 and 2022:
    • Montgomery: 25th among RBs in 2022 (66), 43rd in 2021 (-16)
    • Herbert: 11th among RBs in 2022 (128), 27th in 2021 (78)
  • Among 41 RBs who recorded 100+ carries, Montgomery ranked 37th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade, tied for 22nd in yards after contact per attempt (2.90), and 13th in elusive rating.
  • Montgomery ranked fourth on the team in targets, catching 34 passes for 314 yards and 1 TD.

What to Expect in 2023
  • The Lions’ front office believed enough in Montgomery to give him a three-year, $18 million contract.
  • The team subsequently selected Alabama RB Jahmyr Gibbs 12th overall. This Lions’ backfield will certainly be split.
  • Montgomery will find himself behind the best offensive line of his career to date. The Lions ranked seventh in Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards last year.
  • With RB Jamaal Williams no longer on the roster, there’s a rather significant void to fill in the red-zone offense. Williams leaves behind:
    • 45 carries inside the 10-yard line (16 more than any other RB)
    • 28 carries inside the 5 (12 more than any other RB)
    • 16.4 expected rushing TDs (6.3 more than any other RB)
      • Should Montgomery seize even a decent chunk of this vacated opportunity, he’ll hold a great deal of weekly fantasy appeal.

Adjust David Montgomery's Projections

We'll recalculate this player's Projections (DS Proj/ only) and DMVP based on your opinion of the player. This adjustments will be made for ALL of your leagues on Draft Sharks

Go to My Account to see a full list of your adjustments.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

David Montgomery, RB DET

1 hour ago

Correction: David Montgomery IS expected to play

NFL Network's Tom Pelissero now reports that (via miscommunication) he was incorrect this morning on the status of RB David Montgomery. The Lions RB is expected to return from his thigh injury for Thursday night's game against the Packers. Assuming this proves true, Montgomery should be back in the low-RB2 mix for fantasy football lineups. Rookie RB Jahmyr Gibbs, meanwhile, should see a big decrease in his rushing share vs. Sunday's game. Craig Reynolds and Zonovan Knight can go back to being guys we forget are there. Detroit is also expected to get LT Taylor Decker back, which can only help both the run and pass offense.

View all David Montgomery Shark Bites »

Lions RB David Montgomery (thigh) was a limited participant in practice again on Wednesday and is listed as questionable for Thursday night's game vs. the Packers. HC Dan Campbell expressed optimism about Montgomery's status for that one on Tuesday, so we're tentatively expecting him to play. We'll get Detroit's inactives around 7 pm ET tomorrow.

View all David Montgomery Shark Bites »

Lions RB David Montgomery (thigh) was listed as a limited participant on Tuesday's injury report. It was just a walkthrough on the short week, but Montgomery said he's hoping to make it back for Thursday night's game vs. the Packers. "We've been doing everything right as far as preparing myself in the training room, mentally being there," Montgomery said. "We are just taking it day by day, but I'm ready for whatever." We'll see how Montgomery is listed on the final injury report tomorrow.

View all David Montgomery Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

David Montgomery, RB DET
Dynasty MVP 102.1
Position Rank #29 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
361
535
787
Dynasty Write-up
Montgomery inked a 3-year deal in March with $11 million guaranteed. He projects as Detroit’s lead ball carrier and preferred goal line option over the short-term. The 26-year-old has missed six games over the past three seasons.
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy
Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?

Check out thisleague-winning info

2023 Draft Package Now - Sept 15

$39

Get Instant Access
2023 In-Season Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$39

Get Access Sept. 5
2023 DFS Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$49

Get Access Sept. 5
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer
DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values
The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft
Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access Draft Sharks App All–Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept 5 Get Access Sept 5 Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play