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Hunter Renfrow - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsHunter Renfrow's Basic Stats

Hunter Renfrow
ADP: 18.2
Bye: 13
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 27.8
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 185
40 Time: 4.59
Speed Score: 79.50
SPARQx (Rank): 92.40 (17%)
Burst Score (Rank): 117.50 (31%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.99 (77%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.89 (24%)

Hunter Renfrow's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
1.3 13.5 0.1 2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
1.5 17.2 0.1 1.9

Hunter Renfrow's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#123 Wide Receiver

30.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
18.2 23.7 275 1.2 0.7 2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsHunter Renfrow's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

After a WR10 PPR finish in 2021, Renfrow bombed last year in new HC Josh McDaniels’ offense alongside target hog Davante Adams. He missed seven games and ranked outside the top 60 WRs across fantasy formats in the other 10.

McDaniels and Adams are back this season. And the Raiders added Jakobi Meyers, who figures to serve as the #2 WR.

There’s no reason to get excited about Renfrow in 2023 fantasy drafts.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Renfrow totaled just 36 catches for 330 yards and two TDs in 10 games last year.
  • He missed two games with a concussion and another five with an oblique injury.
  • His scoring averages in his 10 games ranked 69th among WRs in PPR points and 84th in non-PPR.
  • Renfrow scored as a top-36 PPR WR in just one of his 10 games and cracked the top-24 just once.
  • The production was way down from his 103-1,038-9 line and WR10 PPR finish in 2021.
  • Renfrow’s efficiency sunk:.
    • Catch rate - 80.5% to 72.0%
    • Yards per catch - 10.1 to 9.2
    • Yards per target - 8.1 to 6.6
    • Yards per route - 1.87 to 1.13
  • But the bigger problem was his volume plummeting. Renfrow went from 7.5 targets per game on a 20.4% share in 2021 to 5.0 targets per game on a 14.5% share last year.

What to Expect in 2023
  • Don’t bank on the volume bouncing back much, if at all, this season.
  • The Raiders lost 191 total targets (32.6%) from last year with the departures of WR Mack Hollins, TE Darren Waller, and TE Foster Moreau.
  • But WR Davante Adams, who hogged 30.7% of last year’s targets, is back. And Vegas added TEs Michael Mayer and Austin Hooper and WR Jakobi Meyers.
  • Meyers looks like Renfrow’s biggest roadblock. The former Patriot spent his first three NFL seasons with current Vegas HC Josh McDaniels in New England. He got a three-year, $33 million deal from the Raiders, which means they expect him to play a big role. And, like Renfrow, Meyers spends a lot of time in the slot. He ran 65% of his routes with the Patriots from the slot. Renfrow's career slot rate sits at 70%. That spiked to 86% last year.
  • The Raiders swapped out QB Derek Carr for QB Jimmy Garoppolo this offseason. That looks like a lateral move at best. Garoppolo beats Carr in career completion rate and yards per attempt, but he’s spent most of his time in Kyle Shanahan’s QB-friendly offense. Carr beat Garoppolo in Pro Football Focus passing grade in four straight seasons from 2018-2021 – although Garoppolo edged Carr last year.

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Jakobi Meyers, WR LVR

11:06am EDT 9/15/23

Jakobi Meyers out for Week 2

Raiders WR Jakobi Meyers has been ruled out for Sunday's game in Buffalo. We'll see if he can make it back for Week 3 after his big opener. Meyers' absence would seem to present opportunity for WR Hunter Renfrow, but Renfrow played exactly as little (13 snaps, nine routes) as WR Kristian Wilkerson in Week 1. So we're not looking to get the veteran slot man into fantasy lineups this week. Here's hoping you don't need any Raiders WR beyond Davante Adams, who could be in for a huge target share this week.

View all Jakobi Meyers Shark Bites »

Raiders QB Jimmy Garoppolo "was up-and-down early in camp but has been impressive of late," ESPN's Paul Gutierrez writes. Garoppolo also looked good in his 2023 preseason debut on Saturday night, completing all four of his passes for 39 yards on a 68-yard TD drive. He's still not an exciting fantasy option, but the improved play is good news for Vegas pass-catchers.

View all Jimmy Garoppolo Shark Bites »

The Raiders will be signing WR Jakobi Meyers to a three-year, $33 million deal, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. The pact will reportedly include $21 million in guaranteed money. This fit seems somewhat odd. Meyers does reunite with HC Josh McDaniels, who served as New England's OC for three of Meyers' four seasons there. But the 26-year-old (until Nov. 9) wideout joins an offense that already sports WR Davante Adams, TE Darren Waller, and WR Hunter Renfrow with annual average salaries over $10 million. Meyers also ran 64.5% of his routes with the Patriots from the slot, according to Pro Football Focus. That's also Renfrow's primary position (69.7% of career routes; 86% in 2022). We're assuming Meyers will be the second wideout (with Adams) in two-WR alignments, which will keep Renfrow's ceiling down. Meyers likely could have found more target share available elsewhere. It is, at least, a solid corps of receivers for new Raiders QB Jimmy Garoppolo. That said, we're not excited for the fantasy outlook on the QB, Meyers, or Renfrow.

View all Jakobi Meyers Shark Bites »

Raiders QB Derek Carr went just 16 of 30 passing for 174 yards in Saturday night's loss to the Steelers. He threw just 1 TD pass -- to WR Hunter Renfrow -- and 3 INTs while taking 3 sacks. WR Davante Adams managed only 2 receptions for 15 yards on a team-high 9 targets. TE Darren Waller led Vegas with 58 receiving yards on 4 catches. Renfrow matched him with 4 receptions for 42 yards. The Raiders head back home to face a difficult 49ers defense in Week 17.

View all Derek Carr Shark Bites »

Raiders WR Hunter Renfrow (oblique) is active for today’s game vs. the Patriots. He came off IR and returned to practice this week. Renfrow has averaged just 4.8 targets, 3.5 catches and 32 yards across 6 games this season and isn’t a recommended Week 15 fantasy play.

View all Hunter Renfrow Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Hunter Renfrow, WR LVR
Dynasty MVP 22.3
Position Rank #138 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
73
114
196
Dynasty Write-up
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