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Hunter Renfrow - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsHunter Renfrow's Basic Stats

Hunter Renfrow
ADP: 6.12
Bye: 6
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 26.5
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 185
40 Time: 4.59
Speed Score: 79.50
SPARQx (Rank): 92.40 (17%)
Burst Score (Rank): 117.50 (31%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.99 (77%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.89 (24%)

Hunter Renfrow's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#45 Wide Receiver

126.9 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
6.12 82.6 900.6 6.4 2.3 0.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsHunter Renfrow's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Renfrow finished WR10 in PPR points, WR10 in half-PPR and WR14 in non-PPR last year.
  • He set personal bests in 2021 with 103 catches, 1,038 yards and 9 TDs.
  • Those marks ranked 8th, 19th and 9th among WRs.
  • Renfrow tied for 17th at the position with 128 targets. His 21.4% target share ranked 30th.
  • His 13 targets inside the 10-yard line were good for 4th league-wide.
  • He worked mostly short stuff, with a 6.8-yard average depth of target that ranked 80th among 84 qualifying WRs.
    • Largely as a result of that aDOT, Renfrow caught 80.5% of his targets but averaged just 10.1 yards per catch.
  • Renfrow ranked 22nd in yards per route run and 16th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade among 90 qualifiers.
  • He benefited from TE Darren Waller missing 6 games and most of a 7th last year.
    • Renfrow averaged 8.3 targets, 7.1 catches, 80 yards and .4 TDs in those 7 games.
    • In 11 games alongside a healthy Waller, Renfrow averaged 7.4 targets, 5.5 catches, 49 yards and .5 TDs.
  • Vegas’ trade for Davante Adams presents an obvious threat to Renfrow’s volume – both in general and near the end zone.
    • Adams leads the NFL in catches, receiving yards and receiving TDs over the past 4 seasons.
    • He’s commanded 10.8 targets per game during that stretch.
    • The Raiders traded 1st- and 2nd-round picks to the Packers for Adams and then made him the league’s 2nd-highest-paid WR with a 5-year, $140 million contract.
    • Adams spent 2 seasons with QB Derek Carr at Fresno State, racking up 3,031 yards and 38 TDs.
  • The Raiders have a new coaching staff led by HC Josh McDaniels.
    • McDaniels has 14 seasons of OC experience, 13 under HC Bill Belichick in New England and 1 with the Rams. He also spent close to 2 seasons as Broncos HC, getting fired 12 games into his 2nd campaign.
      • McDaniels’ offense has produced some big seasons from slot receivers, most notably Julian Edelman and Wes Welker. Even in Denver, Eddie Royal averaged 6.1 targets per game under McDaniels.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Renfrow set career highs across the board and finished as a top 14 fantasy WR across scoring formats last year.

His 128 targets played a big part in that, though. And that’s a number he’ll have trouble matching in 2022 with Davante Adams in town and Darren Waller likely healthier.

Still, Renfrow has obvious rapport with QB Derek Carr and will be playing in a Josh McDaniels offense that’s been friendly to slot receivers. Consider him a WR3 in full PPR drafts and a WR4 in half and non-PPR.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Hunter Renfrow, WR LVR

10:05am EDT 6/10/22

Renfrow gets extension

Raiders WR Hunter Renfrow has agreed to a 2-year, $32 million extension, including $21 million guaranteed. That locks Renfrow in with the team through 2024. The commitment confirms that we should expect Renfrow to remain central to the passing offense under new HC Josh McDaniels. Of course, there's still the matter of Davante Adams arriving to a group that also continues to feature TE Darren Waller. So the specific target distribution remains to be seen. But there's room for Renfrow to produce at a WR3 level in PPR formats.

View all Hunter Renfrow Shark Bites »

The Raiders at Browns game originally scheduled to kick off at 4:30 pm ET on Saturday is being moved to Monday due to the rash of COVID positives on the Browns, according to insider Josina Anderson. Even that is probably still subject to change based on more positive COVID tests in Cleveland. We'll see if any of the Browns currently on the COVID list -- namely Baker Mayfield, Case Keenum, Jarvis Landry and Austin Hooper -- are activated before Monday. But, as of now, we'd still plan on not having those guys in Week 15 fantasy lineups.

Update: Raiders-Browns will kick off at 5 pm ET on Monday, per Fox Sports' Jay Glazer.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports that Raiders WR Henry Ruggs is "a long shot" to play Sunday against the Bills. He's dealing with the hamstring injury that knocked him out of Week 3. That would leave Vegas without both rookie wideouts, as Bryan Edwards is also expected to sit. Those injuries certainly boost the upside for the Bills' defense in fantasy, while lowering the ceiling for Raiders QB Derek Carr. WR Hunter Renfrow should be in for nice target volume in a matchup that has proved favorable to slot WRs.

View all Henry Ruggs Shark Bites »

Raiders WR Henry Ruggs (knee, hamstring) is out for Sunday’s game against the Patriots. He’s been battling the knee since Week 1; the hamstring issue is new. Ruggs’ absence will free up some extra targets for Darren Waller, Bryan Edwards, Hunter Renfrow and Nelson Agholor.

View all Henry Ruggs Shark Bites »

Raiders OC Greg Olson revealed that the team plans to use WR Henry Ruggs in the slot this season. Olson added that Ruggs can be "very multiple" and move around to "different spots." Very few guys are strictly slot receivers in today's NFL, so expect to see Ruggs kicked outside the numbers on occasion. But we do like his fit in the slot, where he'll avoid press coverage and work shorter routes to take advantage of his after-catch ability. This news also means that WR Hunter Renfrow might find it tough to find the field after playing 71% of his snaps in the slot last season. It also means that rookie WR Bryan Edwards has a good shot to win a top-3 WR job on the outside opposite Tyrell Williams.

View all Henry Ruggs Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Hunter Renfrow, WR LVR
Dynasty MVP 103.2
Position Rank #49 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
382
607
607
Dynasty Write-up
Did Renfrow just have a breakout 3rd season or benefit tremendously from Darren Waller's knee injury and lackluster performances by the team's other pass-catchers? He turned in career lows in yards per reception and average depth of target while ballooning his TD total and catching an unsustainable 80.5% of targets. We'll go ahead and bet Renfrow comes well down from his top-11 finish across fantasy formats, especially now that Davante Adams has arrived to dramatically alter target distribution.

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