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Melvin Gordon - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Melvin Gordon
DEN

RB DEN

#33 Running Back

123 Projected Points

ADP: 5.12
Bye: 11
Experience: 6 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.33

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#33 Running Back

123 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
5.12 150 642 5 1 1 30 229 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

98.4

DS Projection

123

Consensus

38 other sites
169.6

High Ceiling

190.7

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Gordon carried 215 times for 986 yards and 9 TDs in 15 games last year. He added a 32-158-1 receiving line on 44 targets.
  • Gordon finished 13th among RBs in PPR points and 12th in non-PPR.
  • His 4.6 yards per carry was the 2nd best mark of his 6-year career and ranked 19th among 47 RBs with 100+ carries last season.
  • Gordon ranked 10th among those 47 RBs in Elusive Rating and Pro Football Focus rushing grade.
  • He wasn’t good in the passing game, ranking dead last in yards per target and yards per route run among 41 RBs with 30+ targets last year. He finished 39th in PFF receiving grade.
  • Gordon missed Week 6 with a non-COVID illness. He’s missed 14 games across 6 NFL seasons.
  • October DUI charges against Gordon were dismissed in March. There’s still a chance he receives a suspension from the NFL (although we’re not expecting it at this point).
  • The Broncos parted ways with RB Phillip Lindsay this offseason but added free-agent RB Mike Boone and, most notably, rookie RB Javonte Williams.
  • Denver traded up 5 spots to grab Williams with the 35th overall pick of this spring’s draft. The 5’10, 212-pounder busted out for 1,140 yards and 19 TDs on 7.3 yards per carry at UNC last year. He registered the best broken tackle rate since PFF started charting college players in 2014.
  • Williams also caught 50 balls and averaged a strong 10.8 yards per catch across 3 college seasons.
  • GM George Paton on Williams: "We just think he is a special back. A three-down back, really good on first and second down. He can pass protect, and he can catch the ball in the backfield.”
  • Ten RBs were picked in the 1st half of Round 2 over the previous 10 drafts …
    • 6 carried 170+ times as rookies
    • 3 topped 190 carries
    • The median was 174 carries
  • OC Pat Shurmur returns for his 2nd season with the Broncos in 2021.
    • The 2020 Broncos ranked 14th in pass attempts and 13th in run rate.
  • The Broncos traded for QB Teddy Bridgewater, who will battle with QB Drew Lock for the starting job this summer. Whether Lock takes a significant step forward in 2021 or Bridgewater beats him out, Denver should get better QB play this season than last.
  • Denver returns 4 of 5 starters from an offensive line that ranked 28th in PFF run-blocking grades and Football Outsiders adjusted line yards last year.
    • Free-agent addition Bobby Massie is expected to take over at RT. The 31-year-old missed the final 8 games of last season with a knee injury and ranked 40th among 89 qualifying OTs in PFF run-blocking grade.
    • The Broncos added Wisconsin-Whitewater C Quinn Meinerz in the 3rd round of this year’s draft. He’ll push C Lloyd Cushenberry for a starting spot.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Gordon remained effective on the ground last season and finished as a top-13 RB across fantasy scoring formats. But he struggled in the passing game, is entering the final year of his contract and will face competition from 2nd-round rookie RB Javonte Williams this season.

Expect this to be a committee backfield, with Williams a real threat to lead the team in carries. That leaves Gordon as just a RB3 in fantasy drafts.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Mike Klis of 9News reports that DUI charges against Broncos RB Melvin Gordon have been dismissed. Gordon has reportedly pleaded guilty to reckless driving for excessive speeding. There's still a chance the NFL disciplines him under the personal-conduct policy. But the dismissal of DUI charges can only help Gordon's shot of avoiding a suspension for the upcoming season. The veteran looks likely to lead the Denver backfield in 2021, though the rest of the group needs to settle out. The Broncos are tendering restricted free agent Phillip Lindsay. Royce Freeman also has 1 year left on his contract.

View all Melvin Gordon Shark Bites »

Broncos RBs Melvin Gordon (shoulder) and Phillip Lindsay (hip) are active for today's game against the Bills. They were limited in practice all week, but we never heard any concern about their availability for this one. Both guys should be ready for their regular roles.

View all Melvin Gordon Shark Bites »

Broncos RBs Melvin Gordon (shoulder) and Phillip Lindsay (hip) were limited in practice this week and are listed as questionable for Saturday's game vs. the Bills. We've heard no concern about their availability, but check back around 3 pm ET on Saturday to make sure they're active.

View all Melvin Gordon Shark Bites »

Broncos RB Melvin Gordon (illness) isn’t listed on the final Week 7 injury report. He’ll play against the Chiefs on Sunday. We’re expecting Gordon to lead a committee backfield alongside Phillip Lindsay.

View all Melvin Gordon Shark Bites »

The Broncos won't discipline RB Melvin Gordon for his DUI, NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports. Gordon still figures to receive a 2-3 game suspension from the NFL, although the league usually waits until the legal process plays out before handing down the ban. We'll keep an eye on the situation, but Gordon figures to be back out there come Week 7.

View all Melvin Gordon Shark Bites »

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