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Melvin Gordon - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Melvin Gordon
DEN

RB DEN

#32 Running Back

123 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 11
Experience: 6 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.33

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

5.3

DS Projection

8.1

Consensus

38 other sites
8

Med Ceiling

11.7

Rest of
Season

8.5

Week 7 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
46.6 0.3 2.1 16.4 0 8.1
Weekly Writeup
Gordon has remained the slight leader ahead of Javonte Williams in Denver's committee backfield, averaging 11.5 carries and 2.8 targets over the last 4 weeks. He gets a tough Browns run defense on Thursday night that's allowing just 3.7 yards per carry to RBs.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
45 0.3 2.3 16 0.1 8.5
Week 6
Gordon rushed 10 times for 50 yards, catching all 3 of his targets for 23 yards in Denver's Week 6 loss to the Raiders.
Gordon and rookie Javonte Williams have been splitting carries nearly 50/50 every game this season and that continued once again with Williams getting 11.
Both Gordon and Williams should continue to be used as RB3 or flex options as they are cannibalizing each other’s upside.
Week 4
Gordon produced 62 yards on his 9 carries. He also caught 2 of his 4 targets for 11 yards. It was the first time all season that Gordon did not see double-digit carries, despite an impressive 6.2 YPC.

The Broncos took an early 7-0 lead at the beginning of the 2nd quarter. From that point on they failed to score, trailing by double-digits from the end of the first half on. Not exactly the positive game script needed to feed Gordon

Going forward, Gordon is not someone you are going to want to rely on as an every-week starter. He will likely be in a Drew Lock led offense for the short term, which is not conducive to a positive game script.

Long term, he will share work with rookie Javonte Williams in a far from explosive offense.. Expect around the 11 carries he has averaged in all games not against the New York Jets for 50 something yards and hope he falls into the end zone.
Week 3
Gordon tallied just 61 yards but found the end zone on his 18 carries. He also caught 1 of his 2 targets for 21 yards. His 19 opportunities were the most Gordon has seen thus far this season. It was the first time where he saw a sizable opportunity share over teammate Javonte Williams.

Going forward, Denver likely won’t have many game scripts like the one against the Jets. Gordon can be a viable fantasy option, but will probably need a TD to really help you.
Week 1
Gordon racked up 101 yards and a score in the drubbing of the Giants on opening day. He toted the ball 11 times, but it was the 70-scamper for a score in the 4th quarter that padded his stats and saved the day for his fantasy owners. He added 17 more yards on 3 receptions to round out his day.
Gordon was the clear starter at the beginning of the game, and he saw a good chunk of the snaps, but he was ultimately out-touched by rookie RB Javonte Williams’ 14 carries. Previous to the long run, Gordon fared fine, but there wasn’t much to write home about until he cracked off the big one. He is going to need to keep ripping off big plays to keep the eager Williams at bay. A date Jacksonville awaits Gordon this week, and you should consider him a low-end RB2.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Gordon carried 215 times for 986 yards and 9 TDs in 15 games last year. He added a 32-158-1 receiving line on 44 targets.
  • Gordon finished 13th among RBs in PPR points and 12th in non-PPR.
  • His 4.6 yards per carry was the 2nd best mark of his 6-year career and ranked 19th among 47 RBs with 100+ carries last season.
  • Gordon ranked 10th among those 47 RBs in Elusive Rating and Pro Football Focus rushing grade.
  • He wasn’t good in the passing game, ranking dead last in yards per target and yards per route run among 41 RBs with 30+ targets last year. He finished 39th in PFF receiving grade.
  • Gordon missed Week 6 with a non-COVID illness. He’s missed 14 games across 6 NFL seasons.
  • October DUI charges against Gordon were dismissed in March. There’s still a chance he receives a suspension from the NFL (although we’re not expecting it at this point).
  • The Broncos parted ways with RB Phillip Lindsay this offseason but added free-agent RB Mike Boone and, most notably, rookie RB Javonte Williams.
  • Denver traded up 5 spots to grab Williams with the 35th overall pick of this spring’s draft. The 5’10, 212-pounder busted out for 1,140 yards and 19 TDs on 7.3 yards per carry at UNC last year. He registered the best broken tackle rate since PFF started charting college players in 2014.
  • Williams also caught 50 balls and averaged a strong 10.8 yards per catch across 3 college seasons.
  • GM George Paton on Williams: "We just think he is a special back. A three-down back, really good on first and second down. He can pass protect, and he can catch the ball in the backfield.”
  • Ten RBs were picked in the 1st half of Round 2 over the previous 10 drafts …
    • 6 carried 170+ times as rookies
    • 3 topped 190 carries
    • The median was 174 carries
  • OC Pat Shurmur returns for his 2nd season with the Broncos in 2021.
    • The 2020 Broncos ranked 14th in pass attempts and 13th in run rate.
  • The Broncos traded for QB Teddy Bridgewater, who will battle with QB Drew Lock for the starting job this summer. Whether Lock takes a significant step forward in 2021 or Bridgewater beats him out, Denver should get better QB play this season than last.
  • Denver returns 4 of 5 starters from an offensive line that ranked 28th in PFF run-blocking grades and Football Outsiders adjusted line yards last year.
    • Free-agent addition Bobby Massie is expected to take over at RT. The 31-year-old missed the final 8 games of last season with a knee injury and ranked 40th among 89 qualifying OTs in PFF run-blocking grade.
    • The Broncos added Wisconsin-Whitewater C Quinn Meinerz in the 3rd round of this year’s draft. He’ll push C Lloyd Cushenberry for a starting spot.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Gordon remained effective on the ground last season and finished as a top-13 RB across fantasy scoring formats. But he struggled in the passing game, is entering the final year of his contract and will face competition from 2nd-round rookie RB Javonte Williams this season.

Expect this to be a committee backfield, with Williams a real threat to lead the team in carries. That leaves Gordon as just a RB3 in fantasy drafts.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Broncos RB Melvin Gordon (hip) is active for today’s game against the Raiders. He was listed as questionable after getting in limited practices on Thursday and Friday. But we never heard any concern about his status. Gordon should continue to work in a timeshare with RB Javonte Williams today.

View all Melvin Gordon Shark Bites »

Broncos RB Melvin Gordon (hip) is expected to play vs. the Raiders today, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Gordon is listed as questionable, but we never heard any concern about his status. Expect him to continue splitting work with rookie RB Javonte Williams today.

View all Melvin Gordon Shark Bites »

Broncos RB Melvin Gordon (hip) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game against the Raiders after getting in limited practices on Thursday and Friday. We haven’t heard anything to suggest that he’s in danger of missing this one, but his status is worth checking on Sunday morning.

View all Melvin Gordon Shark Bites »

Broncos RB Melvin Gordon (hip) returned to a limited practice on Thursday. That puts him on track to play vs. the Raiders this weekend.

View all Melvin Gordon Shark Bites »

Broncos RB Melvin Gordon missed Wednesday's practice with a hip injury. He'd been dealing with a lower-leg issue, but this is a new injury. We'll see if Gordon gets back on the practice field tomorrow.

View all Melvin Gordon Shark Bites »

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