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Trevor Lawrence - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Trevor Lawrence
JAC

QB JAC

#17 Quarterback

354 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 7
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 22
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.76

Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 12
Lawrence completed 23 of 42 passes for 228 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT in the Jaguars' Week 12 loss to the Falcons. He added 39 yards on 5 carries.
Lawrence couldn’t do much of anything as he got most of his stats from dumping it off to Laviska Shenault, Marvin Jones and James Robinson.
Lawrence hasn’t shown much upside all season, is lacking down the field playmakers and suffers from poor play-calling. Lawrence is only usable in 2-QB leagues.
The Jaguars have a tough matchup in Week 13 on the road against a Rams team desperate for a win.
Week 11
Lawrence has yet to master the art of garbage time. The Jaguars were down big late, and he was still unable to fill the stat sheet. In a game where the Jaguars trailed by double digits pretty much from the start, Lawrence only completed 16 passes for 158 yards and no scores. We should point out that the 49ers opening drive of the game lasted 13 minutes. This did play a part to limiting the Jaguars offense to just 25 attempts on the game. The pass offense seems to be stuck in mud as this marks the 3rd straight game where Lawrence has failed to crack 200 yards and throw a passing TD.
This week the Jaguars take on the Atlanta Falcons who have been a top 10 matchup for QBs pretty much all season. Even in this plus matchup it will be hard to trust Trevor Lawrence as anything more than a low-end QB2 in Superflex and 2 QB leagues.
Week 8
Playing on the road in a hostile environment like Seattle is tough for veteran QBs, and it certainly was going to present challenges for Lawrence. The Seahawks made it a point to bring heavy pressure throughout the game, and Lawrence was never able to get any rhythm going on offense. He mostly was forced to throw the ball, and as a result, Dan Arnold and Carlos Hyde accounted for more than half of his passing yardage. He actually would’ve been shut out, but with the game out of hand late in the 4th quarter and Seattle no longer playing aggressively, he added a late TD to Jamal Agnew.

Although Lawrence is showing flashes that easily justify him being the #1 overall pick in this year’s draft, this will likely continue to be a year of growth. As a result, he’ll have plenty of valleys with the occasional peak performance. After tossing 3 TD passes against Houston in Week 1, he hasn’t surpassed 1 TD pass in any game since. However, he did post at least 21 rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games heading into this week with a pair of rushing scores. It’s difficult to see him as anything better than a fantasy option in 2-QB leagues this year.
Week 5
Lawrence completed 23 of 33 passes for 273 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT in the Jaguars' Week 5 loss to the Titans. Lawrence added 7 carries for 28 yards and a TD on the ground.
Lawrence has 21 carries over his last 3 games, which adds to his floor/ceiling combo. But he has continued to struggle with accuracy as he missed multiple open Jaguars once again on Sunday.
Lawrence nearly had a much bigger game but was tackled inside the 1-yard line. James Robinson also ran in 2 TDs, which hurt the box score for Lawrence.
Lawrence and the Jaguars have a good matchup and their best chance at their first win in Week 6 against the Dolphins.
Week 4
Week 4 gave us arguably the most encouraging outing so far for Lawrence.

His rushing TD was obviously nice and key to his fantasy total in a still low-scoring week (QB21). But more important was that we saw Lawrence’s rushing worked in more than in any previous contest. Six of his 8 carries were designed runs, including his 7-yard TD. None of the previous 3 games saw more than 3 designed rushes for the rookie QB.

Lawrence also fared solidly as a passer, earning by far his best Pro Football Focus passing grade of the season to date. The highlight might have been finding Laviska Shenault for a 52-yard, 2nd-quarter hookup that got the Jags into the red zone.

If Lawrence can deliver more games at that level, he’ll steady out as a fantasy scorer. That said, he’s tough to like much in common 1-QB formats -- especially after losing big-play WR D.J. Chark to an ankle fracture.
Week 2
Lawrence looked poised for a solid fantasy performance after leading the Jaguars on a TD drive to start the game, capping it off on a TD pass to Marvin Jones. However, facing a Vic Fangio defense that’s loaded with talent, Lawrence looked like a confused rookie the rest of the way. Aside from completing 6 passes to Jones, he was largely unable to connect with his other top 2 WRs, D.J. Chark and Laviska Shenault, with the duo grabbing just 3 passes for 16 yards.
Going forward, it’s reasonable to expect an up-and-down season from Lawrence. For fantasy, he’ll likely have his best success against the defenses that have issues at CB and inconsistent pass rushes. He’ll be difficult to trust in fantasy lineups when facing the better defenses, though it’s possible that later in the season, he may figure some things out and improve. It also doesn’t help that the Jaguars have a below-average defense, which will often force the team into being one dimensional with the pass.
Week 1
Lawrence completed 28 of 51 passes for 332 yards with 3 TDs and 3 INTs in the Jaguars' Week 1 loss to the Texans.
The Jaguars fell behind big early against a Texans team with an NFL-low 4 projected wins this year, which forced Lawrence and the Jags into a pass-heavy approach.
Lawrence made several mistakes with 3 INTs but also threw for 3 TDs. The Jags pass catchers didn’t do him any favors with 5 bad drops.
It was an up and down start for Lawrence, who, for now, is probably only an option in 2-QB leagues.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • A 3-year starter at Clemson, Lawrence left school with a career 66.6% completion rate, 8.9 yards per attempt and 90 TDs vs. 17 INTs.
  • He was the 1st freshman QB to earn a 90+ grade from Pro Football Focus and improved on that each of the next 2 years.
  • Lawrence netted an elite 97.7 PFF grade on deep passes in 2020.
  • He also brings plus rushing ability, tallying 943 yards and 18 scores on the ground over the past 3 seasons. The 6’6, 213-pounder has sneaky speed and isn’t afraid to take on contact.
  • The Jaguars made Lawrence the #1 overall pick of this spring’s draft. He’ll be under center come Week 1.
  • Lawrence will be working under a remade coaching staff, featuring HC Urban Meyer and OC Darrell Bevell.
  • This will be Meyer’s 1st NFL stint after over 30 years in the college ranks. He most recently served as Ohio State's HC from 2012-2018, leading the Buckeyes to an 83-9 record and 1 national championship. He also won 2 titles among 6 seasons as Florida's HC and spent 2 years before that as HC at Utah.
  • Meyer is an offensive-minded coach. He deployed a spread offense for much of his time in college and prioritizes speed.
  • Bevell has 14 seasons of experience as an NFL OC. He spent the past 2 years in Detroit, where the Lions ranked near the middle of the pack in total yards and points. Bevell's units were better during his Seattle tenure from 2011 to 2017, with 5 of those 7 squads finishing top 11 in points. His offenses have generally leaned toward the run, with 10 of the 14 ranking among the top half of the league in rush attempts. Only 4 of them have finished top-16 in pass attempts.
  • Meyer said at his introductory press conference that Bevell will call plays but “adapt” to Meyer’s vision.
  • Lawrence will have a nice WR trio at his disposal in D.J. Chark, Laviska Shenault and Marvin Jones. Chark and Jones, in particular, should mesh well with Lawrence’s deep-ball prowess.
  • Jacksonville added Travis Etienne with the 25th overall pick of this year’s draft. It’s unclear exactly how he’ll be deployed, but he’ll definitely help the passing game after totaling 85 catches, 1,020 yards and 6 TDs with Lawrence at Clemson over the past 2 seasons.
  • The Jaguars return all 5 starters from an offensive line that last year ranked 19th in Pro Football Focus’ pass-blocking grades and 25th in adjusted sack rate. OTs Cam Robinson and Jawaan Taylor are 25 and 23 years old, respectively, and capable of taking step forwards in 2021.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Lawrence looks like 1 of the most NFL-ready QB prospects to enter the league in recent memory after 3 impressive seasons at Clemson. He has plenty of weapons to work with in Jacksonville and should add fantasy value with his legs.

The Jaguars’ new coaching staff is a question mark. And the offensive line is a concern. But Lawrence certainly has the potential to score as a QB1 as a rookie.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Jaguars fired HC Urban Meyer. He didn't even last a year in Jacksonville. Meyer's performance was embarrassing both on and off the field. Darrell Bevell -- who has 15 years of experience as an OC -- will take over as interim HC. Meyer's departure can only be good news for Jacksonville's offense, although we still wouldn't go too crazy investing in Jaguars down the stretch.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence suffered a low-ankle sprain in Sunday's win over the Bills, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. "X-Rays were negative, little structural issues, and he’ll continue to receive treatment as he did after the game," Rapoport adds. Lawrence was able to play through the injury in Week 9 and should be available for Week 10's game vs. the Colts.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence hurt his right ankle in the 2nd quarter of Sunday's game vs. the Bills. We'll update his status when we know more. QB C.J. Beathard is Jacksonville's backup.

Update: Lawrence is officially questionable to return. He's trying to get loose on the sidelines.

Update: Lawrence returned.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

The Jaguars started rookie QB Trevor Lawrence in the preseason opener and plan to do so again Monday against the Saints, but OC Darrell Bevell says that doesn't mean they've decided on their regular-season starter. “We’re still going to handle it that way until we end up making the final decision,” Bevell said, via the Florida Times-Union. “Right now, they are still status quo. We’re trying to make everybody better. We want competition at each and every position. Both guys are getting better because of it.” It's still hard to imagine Jacksonville actually going with Minshew in the regular-season opener. But we have to consider it a possibility. We'll all be watching this situation over the next few weeks.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

Jags rookie QB Trevor Lawrence (shoulder) will be a “full-go” for training camp, per NFL Network’s Judy Battista. "Remember they were holding him back a little bit in OTAs and minicamp because he was recovering from the offseason shoulder surgery," Battista said. "It was his non-throwing shoulder, so that's the good news, but they were still restricting him. No restrictions anymore when he gets to training camp. It is going to be full-go." The Jags open up training camp on the 27th.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

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