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Trevor Lawrence - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTrevor Lawrence's Basic Stats

Trevor Lawrence
ADP: N/A
Bye: 11
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23.1
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.66

Trevor Lawrence's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
284.2 1.8 0.7 17.4 19.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
259.9 1.6 0.8 17.7 18.6

Trevor Lawrence's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#14 Quarterback

313.8 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 394.1/611 4399.2 26.9 14.1 78 335.4 3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTrevor Lawrence's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Playing under failed HC Urban Meyer, Lawrence posted just 3,641-12-17 as a rookie.
  • He finished as a top-10 fantasy QB only once (QB10, Week 5).
  • Lawrence was a factor with his legs, posting 73-334-2 on the ground. He hit 20+ yards in 9 separate games.
  • His rag-tag supporting cast saw Marvin Jones, Laviska Shenault and Laquon Treadwell lead the way in targets.
  • Travis Etienne missed the entire season with a foot injury. D.J. Chark lasted only 4 games.
  • Lawrence faced pressure on an unhealthy 33% of his dropbacks. He posted an ugly 4.4 YPA under pressure.
  • Per Pro Football Reference, only 71.3% of Lawrence’s throws were charted as on-target (2nd worst among 33 qualifiers).
  • The Jags hired HC Doug Pederson this offseason. His background as a QB developer bodes well for Lawrence.
  • Christian Kirk, Zay Jones and Evan Engram were the main free agent adds. While underwhelming individually, collectively, they provide a clear upgrade on the ’21 cast.
  • Etienne is on track to be a full go for the season, giving Lawrence a dynamic mismatch weapon out of the backfield. Of course, the duo played together at Clemson.
  • Up front, Jacksonville landed the premier guard in free agency, Brandon Scherff. LT Cam Robinson was retained on the franchise tag.
  • Lawrence spoke this spring about how smooth the transition has been alongside Doug Pederson. Lawrence indicated that he’ll have greater influence on the direction of the passing game.
  • "I was in shape, but as far as my arm, I would've liked to be a little sharper. I feel like my arm got a lot stronger this offseason." Lawrence stated.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

The top pick in the ’21 draft, Lawrence stunk as a rookie and completely fell off the fantasy map.

We still saw some flashes from the former Clemson star, whose arm talent certainly hasn’t disappeared. Simply swapping out Urban Meyer for Doug Pederson supplies a ton of optimism. But Jacksonville also upgraded the pass catching corps with Christian Kirk, Zay Jones and Evan Engram.

While the overall talent on offense isn’t great, we see it as enough to get Lawrence much closer -- and possibly into -- QB1 range. He’s a breakout candidate we're targeting at cost (QB19).

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Trevor Lawrence, QB JAC

7:01pm EST 11/27/22

Lawrence goes for season-high passing

Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence racked up a season-high 321 yards and 3 TDs in Sunday's win over the Ravens. He found RB JaMycal Hasty, WR Jamal Agnew and WR Marvin Jones Jr. for TDs, with WR Zay Jones as his dominant lead target (11-145). Lawrence completed 78.4% of his passes, adding a 2-point conversion throw to Jones for the game-winning points. That makes 3 straight games with better than 70% completions for Lawrence, who gets upside matchups with the Lions and Titans the next 2 weeks.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence ran for a season-high 53 yards in Sunday's win over the Raiders. He matched his season high of 6 rushing attempts from Week 6. Lawrence has increased his rushes over the past 5 contests (4.6 per game) vs. the first 4 (2.5). He also went 25-of-31 passing against Las Vegas, for 235 yards and 1 TD. The 109 passer rating marked just his 2nd game among the past 6 with a rating better than 84.3. The Jaguars head to Kansas City in Week 10.

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The Falcons are trading WR Calvin Ridley to the Jaguars in exchange for what NFL Network's Ian Rapoport calls a "complex draft compensation that can be worth at maximum a 2023 5th rounder and a 2024 2nd rounder." We'll pass along further details on the return when we have them. Ridley, of course, is suspended for at least the rest of the 2022 season for gambling on NFL games. He'll be able to apply for reinstatement in February. Assuming that gets granted, he'll join Jacksonville as a 28-year-old with a 1,374-yard 2020 season under his belt. It's a risky move for the Jaguars, but one that could pay off big time. Ridley and Christian Kirk have the potential to be a strong duo for QB Trevor Lawrence, who's had an up-and-down start to his NFL career.

Update: Per Rapoport, the 2024 draft pick starts as a 4th-rounder. It becomes a 3rd if Ridley hits a play-time milestone and a 2nd if Ridley agrees to a long-term deal with Jacksonville.

View all Calvin Ridley Shark Bites »

Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence threw for just 133 yards in Sunday morning's loss to the Broncos, with 1 TD and a pair of INTs. Lawrence threw right into the grip of S Justin Simmons at the goal line in the 2nd quarter, and then tossed the clinching pick to CB K'Waun Williams late. TE Evan Engram led the Jags in receptions (4) and receiving yards (55), and snagged the TD pass. WR Christian Kirk led with 7 targets but managed just 3 catches for 40 yards. Jacksonville gets a favorable draw against the Raiders in Week 9.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Trevor Lawrence, QB JAC
Dynasty MVP 293.7
Position Rank #17 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
1,000
1,708
2,067
Dynasty Write-up
Lawrence was dealt a tough hand as a rookie, with D.J. Chark playing only 3 games and HC Urban Meyer proving to be a certifiable disaster. But remember that Lawrence profiled as a truly elite prospect coming out of the ’21 draft. He’s a nice “buy-low” ahead of year 2.

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