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Trevor Lawrence - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTrevor Lawrence's Basic Stats

Trevor Lawrence
ADP: 11.9
Bye: 11
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22.7
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.66

Trevor Lawrence's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#21 Quarterback

313.8 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
11.9 394.1/611 4399.2 26.9 14.1 78 335.4 3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTrevor Lawrence's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Playing under failed HC Urban Meyer, Lawrence posted just 3,641-12-17 as a rookie.
  • He finished as a top-10 fantasy QB only once (QB10, Week 5).
  • Lawrence was a factor with his legs, posting 73-334-2 on the ground. He hit 20+ yards in 9 separate games.
  • His rag-tag supporting cast saw Marvin Jones, Laviska Shenault and Laquon Treadwell lead the way in targets.
  • Travis Etienne missed the entire season with a foot injury. D.J. Chark lasted only 4 games.
  • Lawrence faced pressure on an unhealthy 33% of his dropbacks. He posted an ugly 4.4 YPA under pressure.
  • Per Pro Football Reference, only 71.3% of Lawrence’s throws were charted as on-target (2nd worst among 33 qualifiers).
  • The Jags hired HC Doug Pederson this offseason. His background as a QB developer bodes well for Lawrence.
  • Christian Kirk, Zay Jones and Evan Engram were the main free agent adds. While underwhelming individually, collectively, they provide a clear upgrade on the ’21 cast.
  • Etienne is on track to be a full go for the season, giving Lawrence a dynamic mismatch weapon out of the backfield. Of course, the duo played together at Clemson.
  • Up front, Jacksonville landed the premier guard in free agency, Brandon Scherff. LT Cam Robinson was retained on the franchise tag.
  • Lawrence spoke this spring about how smooth the transition has been alongside Doug Pederson. Lawrence indicated that he’ll have greater influence on the direction of the passing game.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

The top pick in the ’21 draft, Lawrence stunk as a rookie and completely fell off the fantasy map.

We still saw some flashes from the former Clemson star, whose arm talent certainly hasn’t disappeared. Simply swapping out Urban Meyer for Doug Pederson supplies a ton of optimism. But Jacksonville also upgraded the pass catching corps with Christian Kirk, Zay Jones and Evan Engram.

While the overall talent on offense isn’t great, we see it as enough to get Lawrence much closer -- and possibly into -- QB1 range. He’s a breakout candidate we're targeting at cost (QB19).

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Trevor Lawrence, QB JAC

8:27am EDT 6/1/22

Lawrence improving

Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence looks better now than he did a year ago at this time, according to Sports Illustrated's John Shipley. Lawrence "looks more decisive and sure of himself when it comes to delivering the ball, especially in tight windows," Shipley observed. Lawrence is coming off a disappointing rookie season. But we're expecting a big year-2 leap under a new coaching staff and with an improved group of pass-catchers. He's a value in early best-ball drafts, going in Round 10 at FFPC and Round 13 at Underdog.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

The Jaguars fired HC Urban Meyer. He didn't even last a year in Jacksonville. Meyer's performance was embarrassing both on and off the field. Darrell Bevell -- who has 15 years of experience as an OC -- will take over as interim HC. Meyer's departure can only be good news for Jacksonville's offense, although we still wouldn't go too crazy investing in Jaguars down the stretch.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Trevor Lawrence, QB JAC
Dynasty MVP 317.3
Position Rank #14 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
Lawrence was dealt a tough hand as a rookie, with D.J. Chark playing only 3 games and HC Urban Meyer proving to be a certifiable disaster. But remember that Lawrence profiled as a truly elite prospect coming out of the ’21 draft. He’s a nice “buy-low” ahead of year 2.

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