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Trevor Lawrence - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Trevor Lawrence
JAC

QB JAC

#17 Quarterback

354 Projected Points

ADP: 11.9
Bye: 7
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 21
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.76

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

14.1

DS Projection

18.8

Consensus

38 other sites
20

High Ceiling

25.6

Rest of
Season

20.9

Week 3 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
249 1.6 1 9 18.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
260 1.6 0.8 16.8 20.9
Week 1
Lawrence completed 28 of 51 passes for 332 yards with 3 TDs and 3 INTs in the Jaguars' Week 1 loss to the Texans.
The Jaguars fell behind big early against a Texans team with an NFL-low 4 projected wins this year, which forced Lawrence and the Jags into a pass-heavy approach.
Lawrence made several mistakes with 3 INTs but also threw for 3 TDs. The Jags pass catchers didn’t do him any favors with 5 bad drops.
It was an up and down start for Lawrence, who, for now, is probably only an option in 2-QB leagues.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • A 3-year starter at Clemson, Lawrence left school with a career 66.6% completion rate, 8.9 yards per attempt and 90 TDs vs. 17 INTs.
  • He was the 1st freshman QB to earn a 90+ grade from Pro Football Focus and improved on that each of the next 2 years.
  • Lawrence netted an elite 97.7 PFF grade on deep passes in 2020.
  • He also brings plus rushing ability, tallying 943 yards and 18 scores on the ground over the past 3 seasons. The 6’6, 213-pounder has sneaky speed and isn’t afraid to take on contact.
  • The Jaguars made Lawrence the #1 overall pick of this spring’s draft. He’ll be under center come Week 1.
  • Lawrence will be working under a remade coaching staff, featuring HC Urban Meyer and OC Darrell Bevell.
  • This will be Meyer’s 1st NFL stint after over 30 years in the college ranks. He most recently served as Ohio State's HC from 2012-2018, leading the Buckeyes to an 83-9 record and 1 national championship. He also won 2 titles among 6 seasons as Florida's HC and spent 2 years before that as HC at Utah.
  • Meyer is an offensive-minded coach. He deployed a spread offense for much of his time in college and prioritizes speed.
  • Bevell has 14 seasons of experience as an NFL OC. He spent the past 2 years in Detroit, where the Lions ranked near the middle of the pack in total yards and points. Bevell's units were better during his Seattle tenure from 2011 to 2017, with 5 of those 7 squads finishing top 11 in points. His offenses have generally leaned toward the run, with 10 of the 14 ranking among the top half of the league in rush attempts. Only 4 of them have finished top-16 in pass attempts.
  • Meyer said at his introductory press conference that Bevell will call plays but “adapt” to Meyer’s vision.
  • Lawrence will have a nice WR trio at his disposal in D.J. Chark, Laviska Shenault and Marvin Jones. Chark and Jones, in particular, should mesh well with Lawrence’s deep-ball prowess.
  • Jacksonville added Travis Etienne with the 25th overall pick of this year’s draft. It’s unclear exactly how he’ll be deployed, but he’ll definitely help the passing game after totaling 85 catches, 1,020 yards and 6 TDs with Lawrence at Clemson over the past 2 seasons.
  • The Jaguars return all 5 starters from an offensive line that last year ranked 19th in Pro Football Focus’ pass-blocking grades and 25th in adjusted sack rate. OTs Cam Robinson and Jawaan Taylor are 25 and 23 years old, respectively, and capable of taking step forwards in 2021.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Lawrence looks like 1 of the most NFL-ready QB prospects to enter the league in recent memory after 3 impressive seasons at Clemson. He has plenty of weapons to work with in Jacksonville and should add fantasy value with his legs.

The Jaguars’ new coaching staff is a question mark. And the offensive line is a concern. But Lawrence certainly has the potential to score as a QB1 as a rookie.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Jaguars started rookie QB Trevor Lawrence in the preseason opener and plan to do so again Monday against the Saints, but OC Darrell Bevell says that doesn't mean they've decided on their regular-season starter. “We’re still going to handle it that way until we end up making the final decision,” Bevell said, via the Florida Times-Union. “Right now, they are still status quo. We’re trying to make everybody better. We want competition at each and every position. Both guys are getting better because of it.” It's still hard to imagine Jacksonville actually going with Minshew in the regular-season opener. But we have to consider it a possibility. We'll all be watching this situation over the next few weeks.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

Jags rookie QB Trevor Lawrence (shoulder) will be a “full-go” for training camp, per NFL Network’s Judy Battista. "Remember they were holding him back a little bit in OTAs and minicamp because he was recovering from the offseason shoulder surgery," Battista said. "It was his non-throwing shoulder, so that's the good news, but they were still restricting him. No restrictions anymore when he gets to training camp. It is going to be full-go." The Jags open up training camp on the 27th.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence will be limited in rookie minicamp as he continues to make his way back from left (non-throwing) surgery in February, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Lawrence is "doing well" in rehab and should be ready to go when training camp opens, Rapoport adds. This is a situation worth monitoring but shouldn't ultimately impact Lawrence's rookie campaign.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

The Jaguars selected Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence with the 1st pick of the 2021 NFL Draft. It’s tough to say how long we’ve known this would be the pick. Lawrence spent at least all of the 2020 season as the presumptive #1 selection. With 36 starts across 3 years at Clemson, Lawrence enters the NFL long on experience. He racked up 90 TD passes vs. just 17 INTs with the Tigers and earned passing grades of 90+ from Pro Football Focus in each of his 3 seasons. Lawrence brings accuracy in throwing to every level and adds rushing upside. He topped out at 563 yards on the ground as a 2019 sophomore and punched in 17 TD runs over the past 2 years. With Jacksonville, Lawrence inherits a talented WR corps led by D.J. Chark, Laviska Shenault and free-agent addition Marvin Jones. Lawrence has the upside to crack the fantasy top 12 right away and should be a long-term factor for his fantasy teams.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

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