Open Nav
Show Navigation
Show Menu
FANTASY FOOTBALL NEWS

Dalton Kincaid Underwhelms Again

By Jared Smola | Updated on Mon, Oct 7 2024 1:37 AM UTC
Dalton Kincaid Headshot

Bills TE Dalton Kincaid managed just two catches for 34 yards in the Week 5 loss to the Texans. He tied for the team lead with six targets for a 20% share. But QB Josh Allen posted a career-worst 30% completion rate, including connecting on just two of six passes to Kincaid.

2024 Fantasy Football Impact

Kincaid has now finished with between 33 and 47 yards in four straight games. He's still looking for his first TD of the season.

While it could be worse (see: Mark Andrews), it certainly hasn't been what drafters were looking for when they spent an early pick on Kincaid.

There is some good news:

  • Kincaid has averaged 6.0 targets per game on a 20.2% share over the past three weeks.
  • Kincaid's 78% route rate vs. Houston was his highest mark since Week 1.
  • He got more downfield action this week, registering 98 air yards. (He had 88 air yards through the first four games.)

None of those usage metrics score you fantasy points, of course. But they're reason for at least some optimism going forward.

Kincaid will not be a league-winner this season, but he still looks like a mid-range TE1 that you can comfortably start every week.

Next up for the Bills is a Jets defense that tends to funnel targets to TEs and RBs because their CBs are so strong.

Jared Smola Author Image
Jared Smola, Lead Analyst
Jared has been with Draft Sharks since 2007. He’s now Lead Analyst, heading up the preseason and weekly projections that fuel your Draft War Room and My Team tools. He currently ranks 1st among 133 analysts in draft rankings accuracy.
Video: What We Got Right in 2024

Video: What We Got Right in 2024

4:41pm UTC 3/14/25

Jayden Daniels turned into one of the best fantasy football picks of 2024. See what else went right for us -- and how that should shape your 2025 drafting.

Read More »
Video: Free Agent Moves That Matter

Video: Free Agent Moves That Matter

12:30pm UTC 3/12/25

Is Najee Harris about to light it up? Should you still avoid Javonte Williams? We're sorting through the early free agent moves in search of fantasy football value ...

Read More »
Shedeur Sanders Dynasty Value: Film Reveals Limited Fantasy Upside

Shedeur Sanders Dynasty Value: Film Reveals Limited Fantasy Upside

11:55am UTC 3/12/25

Draftniks call this guy a top QB prospect. But we broke down the film and found some serious flaws that could hurt him in fantasy.

Read More »
Compare Plans » Compare Plans »
THE 2025 ROOKIE GUIDE IS HERE! UPDATED POST-DRAFT
Trade Values • Model Scores • Analytics & More